>> GOOD MORNING, EVERYONE. WELCOME BACK TO DAY TWO OF NATIONAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING WORKSHOP. I'M BELINDA SETO. I'M THE DEPUTY DIRECTOR OF THE NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF BIOENGINEERING. I HAVE FOUND THIS TO BE A FANTASTIC EXPERIENCE NOT ONLY FOR ME IN TERMS OF LEARNING BUT ALSO IN TERMS OF THE PARTNERSHIP WITH THE NATIONAL LIBRARY OF MEDICINE, WHICH HAS ALWAYS BEEN ONE OF MY FAVORITE INSTITUTES BUT THIS EXPERIENCE ACTUALLY REINFORCES HOW GREAT A PARTNER THEY ARE TO US. AND SO YESTERDAY WE LEARNED AT LEAST I FOUND IT EDUCATIONAL, MAYBE OLD NEWS TO MANY OF YOU. I LEARNED A LOT ABOUT THE STATISTICAL APPROACH, THE LINGUISTIC APPROACH AND THE VERY NICELY DRAWN PENDULUM THAT MAYBE WE COULD END UP SOMEWHERE IN THE MIDDLE WITH A HYBRID APPROACH. AND TODAY WE'RE GOING TO LOOK -- WE'RE GOING TO HEAR TALKS ABOUT APPLYING APPLYING NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING TO EXTRACT INFORMATION FROM HEALTH DATA, INCLUDING ELECTRONIC MEDICAL RECORD, AND APPLY THAT TO CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT. NOW, I RECOGNIZE THAT IN THE LATTER AREA, IN CLINICAL RESEARCH SUPPORT, IT IS STILL A VERY ACTIVE AREA OF RESEARCH. THERE ARE DEBATES WHETHER WE SHOULD DO THIS BASED ON EVIDENCE FROM LITERATURE, BASED ON GUIDELINES, HOW MIGHT WE USE NATIONAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING TO HELP US DECIDE TO TEST RESULTS. SO I LOOK FORWARD TO VIBRANT, ACTIVE, HEATED DISCUSSION EVEN, AND SO AT THIS POINT, IT IS MY PLEASURE TO INTRODUCE DR. BLACKFORD MIDDLETON, WHO WILL GIVE AN OVERVIEW THIS MORNING. DR. MIDDLETON IS THE CORPORATE DIRECTOR OF CLINICAL INFORMATICS RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT AT THE PARTNERS HEALTHCARE IN BOSTON. HE IS A SYSTEM PROFESSOR AT MEDICINE AT BRIGHAM AND WOMEN, ONE OF THE BEST HOSPITALS THERE. I HAVE A BIAS. MY DAUGHTER IS THERE. HE'S ALSO A LECTURER OF HEALTH POLICY AND MANAGEMENT AT THE HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH. HE HAS A VERY, VERY DISTINGUISHED CV AND I AM REALLY ABBREVIATING THIS. HE STUDIED BIOCHEMISTRY AND MOLECULAR BIOLOGY AT THE UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO, BOULDER. HE RECEIVED HIS MASTER'S DEGREE IN PUBLIC HEALTH FROM YALE UNIVERSITY OF PUBLIC HEALTH. WITH A DWUAL CONCENTRATION IN EPIDEMIOLOGY, HEALTH SERVICES ADMINISTRATION. HE RECEIVED HIS MD FROM SUNNI IN SKBOUFLE WAS A RESIDENT IN INTERNAL MEDICINE AT THE UNIVERSITY OF CONNECTICUT HEALTH CENTER. SO YOU CAN SEE HE IS PREEMPTLY QUALIFIED TO GIVE THE OVERVIEW FOR THE MORNING. DR. MIDDLETON? [APPLAUSE] >> THANK YOU VERY MUCH. IF I CAN JUST GET BACK TO THE PC. IS IT SHOWING THE MAP? THANKS VERY MUCH. GOOD MORNING, AND THANK YOU KINDLY FOR THAT INTRODUCTION, DR. SETO. IT IS A PLEASURE TO BE HERE AND TO HAVE WORKED WITH JAMES LUO AND THE TEAM FROM AN N BIB TO HELP PUT TOGETHER THIS DAY, WHICH I THINK WILL BE AN OUTSTANDING OVERVIEW OF CLINICAL SUPPORT, CURRENT PRACTICES AND FUTURE DIRECTIONS. AND COMPLEMENTS SO NICELY WHAT WE HEARD YESTERDAY IN THE NLP DAY. IT REALLY IS AN EXTRAORDINARY OPPORTUNITY, I THINK, TO BRING THESE DISCIPLINES EVEN CLOSER TOGETHER. CERTAINLY MANY RELATIONS ALREADY BETWEEN AN LP AND C.D.S AND WE'LL SEE EXAMPLES THAT HAVE THROUGHOUT THE DAY TODAY IN THIS SORT OF APPLICATIONS TRACK, IF YOU WILL. MY JOB IS TO TALK ABOUT C.D.S FROM THE HIGHEST LEVEL AND GIVE AN ORIENTATION OR OVERVIEW TO WHAT IS CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT IN CLINICAL PRACTICE, WHAT IS IT TODAY, WHAT'S THE EVIDENCE BASE SUGGEST THE UTILITY OR IMPACT OF C.D.S AND BOTH EVIDENCE FOR AND AGAINST BECAUSE IT'S IMPORTANT TO REALIZE WE'RE STILL EVALUATING THE IMPACT OF C.D.S IN MANY WAYS. AND MAINLY GIVE SOME IMPORTANT TO WHAT WILL C.D.S BE IN THE FUTURE AND QUESTIONS AS I SEE THEM. I THINK THE FIRST THING TO REMEMBER, THOUGH, ABOUT DECISION SUPPORT IS SIMPLY ACCESSING THE DATA AND VISUALIZING THE PATIENTS' RECORD IS PROBABLY THE MOST IMPORTANT THING WE DO WITH ELECTRONIC HEALTH RECORDS OR PAPER-BASED RECORDS. THIS, OF COURSE, IS THE FAMOUS DIAGRAM FROM MINUTE ARD, WHO APPLAUDED THE PROGRESS OF NAPOLEON IN THE ARMY IN 1812 TOWARD MOSCOW AND THE SUBSEQUENT RETREAT, OF COURSE, WHEN HE GOT TO MOSCOW AND FOUND IT BURNED TO THE GROUND. IN THIS SINGLE DIAGRAM HE SHOWED SIX DIFFERENT DIAGRAMS SIMULTANEOUSLY. WE CAN SEE LATITUDE AND LONGITUDE. WE CAN SEE TEM PRINCIPAL PROGRESSION AND SIZE OF THE ARMY BOTH IN ADVANCE AND IN RETREAT AND THERE IS ONE MORE I'M FORGETTING. BUT THE WAYSTATIONS ALONG THE WAY, GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION BILLION AND TIME. SO THIS INFORMATION, I THINK, PUT TOGETHER LIKE THIS, GIVES OBVIOUSLY A BEAUTIFUL AND ELEGANT INSIGHT INTO THE COURSE OF THIS MARCH AND SUMMARIZES A LOT OF DATA IN VERY INTERESTING WAYS. THIS IS THE FIRST STEP WE HAVE IN CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT. IS TO SIMPLY GATHER, AGGREGATE AND DISPLAY INFORMATION AND IT'S TIMES TIMES FORGOTTEN AND EXTREMELY IMPORTANT. AND I AM GOING TO COME BACK TO THIS AT THE VERY END. SO IN THE U.S., HOW DO WE -- WHY DO WE NEED CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT IN THE CURRENT DAY? AND IN WASHINGTON MAYBE THIS IS WELL KNOWN BUT I THINK IT'S IMPORTANT THAT WE STILL HAVE PATIENT DATA UNAVAILABLE IN 81% OF CASES, AS PAUL KANG FOUND HAD HIS VERY FAMOUS STUDY. LUSION LEAP FOUND IN THE HARVARD MEDICAL OUTCOMES PRACTICE STUDY, 80% OF MEDICAL ERRORS ARE DUE TO INADEQUATE MEDICAL INFORMATION AVAILABILITY. AND THOSE OVER 65 SEE ON AVERAGE 6.4 DIFFERENT CLINICIANS. IT'S A FRACTURED AND UNWIRED DELIVERY SYSTEM. MANY HAVE WRITTEN ABOUT THE DELAY TRANSLATION OF KNOWLEDGE TO PRACTICE. MARK OVERHAJ AND OTHERS ESTIMATED WHEN YOU NET IT ALL OUT, IT MIGHT TAKE 17 YEARS BEFORE A NEW INNOVATION IS ACTUALLY BROUGHT INTO CLINICAL PRACTICE ROUTINELY. AND WE KNOW FROM A VARIETY OF CAREFUL STUDIES IN BOTH URBAN AND RURAL AND ACADEMIC AND COMMUNITY-BASED PRACTICEITIONERS THAT INFORMATION NEEDS ARE OFTEN NOT BEING MET AT THE BEDSIDE OR IN THE CLINICAL AM BLUETRY CARE SETTING. BILL STILLS AND OTHERS HAVE WRITTEN ABOUT THE COGNITIVE DEMANDS PROGRESSION THE INFORMATION SUPPOSING THAT WE'RE NOW AFFECTED WITH. THIS CHART SHOWS THE WELL KNOWN SAW THAT WE CAN HANDLE ITEMS OR SEVEN PERHAPS ON AVERAGE ON A GOOD DAY. THE HUMAN COGNITIVE CAPACITY, MAPPED AGAINST ALL THE OTHER INFORMATION BITS THAT ARE COMING AT US. DECISION ON THE CLINICAL PHENOTYPE, THAT IS THE PATIENT'S CHARACTERISTICS, PHYSICALLY AND WHAT NOT. STRUCTURAL GENETICS, THE ZMIPS APTYPES THAT MIGHT BE RELEVANT, THE GENE EXPRESSION PROFILES AND ANY OTHER OMIC THAT'S MIGHT APPLY TO THIS DECISION WE'RE NEEDING TO MAKE THAT THE POINT IN TIME BEFORE THIS PATIENT. REGRETTABLELY OUR DECISIONS, THOUGH, DON'T ALWAYS RESOLVE. IN FACT, ONLY ABOUT HALF THE TIME RESULT IN APPLYING THE BEST EVIDENCE TO PRACTICE. ELIZABETH MCGLIN DID THE FAMOUS STUDY LOOKING ACROSS THE COUNTRY AT PRACTICE PATTERNS, SURVEYING PHYSICIANS AND EXAMINING THE MEDICAL RECORDS OF THEIR PATIENTS TO FIND THESE KINDS OF DELIVERY PATTERNS, WHERE COMPLIANCE WITH IDEALIZED OR BEST PRACTICES EVIDENCE-BASED GUIDELINES AND THE LIKE WENT FROM 64.22 TO 14.21 PERCENT REGRETTABLELY. AND IN THE TAKE-AWAY, THE HEADLINE WAS FOR THIS ARTICLE "ON AVERAGE PATIENTS RECEIVE 54.9% OF RECOMMENDED CARE." SO THE CALLED COIN TOSS PROBLEM. SO I THINK WE STILL HAVE THE FLEX NER REPORT TO WREFLES WITH 100 YEARS AFTER ABRAHAM WROTE IT. SOCIETY REAPS AT THIS TIME AT THIS MOMENT BUT A MALL SMALL FRACTION HAS THE POWER TO CONFER. WE HAVE SUCH A GREAT KNOWLEDGE BASE. WE HAVE EXCELLENT PRACTICEITIONERS WHO HAVE DOING THEIR BEST TO DEAL WITH THE EXPLODING KNOWLEDGE BASE AND DATEA SET BUT WE DO NEED TO DO MORE TO BRING THEM TOGETHERF WE DID BRING THEM TOGETHER, A VARIETY OF STUDIES WE DID LOOKED AT USING THE EVIDENCE BASE SYNTHESIZING BEST PRACTICES AND EXPERT OPINION TO ESTIMATE HOW MUCH HIGHLY INFORMED AND INNER OPRABLE CLINICAL MEDICINE WOULD BE WORTH. WHAT'S THE VALUE APPROPRIATION, IF YOU WILL? A VARIETY OF STUDIES HERE LOOKING FOR EVIDENCE FOR AM BLUETRY ORDER ENTRY, HEALTH INFORMATION EXCHANGE, CHRONIC DIABETES MANAGEMENT, HEALTHCARE PHYSICIAN AND PHYSICIAN AND PERSONAL HEALTH RECORDS. WE FIND ACROSS ALL THESE STUDIES ABOUT EIGHT YEARS WORTH OF WORK HOW A TEAM OF TEN THAT ABOUT 150 BILLION COULD BE SAVED IF ALL THIS TECHNOLOGY WERE USED ROUTINELY. THIS MIGHT BE AN IDEAALIZED ESTIMATE IN SOME EYES, BUT WE THINK IT'S FAIRLY CONSERVATIVE AND OTHERS HAVE SUGGESTED IT MIGHT BE MORE LIKE 30 PERCENT, INCLUDING ALL OF THE ADMINISTRATIVE WASTE AS WELL. SO WHERE ARE WE? [LAUGHTER] WE ARE IN THE MIDST OF THIS ERA WITH OUR FEARLESS LEADER. NO MATTER WHAT YOU THINK ABOUT THE POLITICS OF THE ISSUE, HEALTHCARE IS IN THE MIDST OF REFORM, WHICH IS JUST DESPERATELY NEEDED TO SORT OF CORRECT THE COURSE TO BEND THE CURVE, IF YOU WILL, SO THAT WE DON'T HAVE THIS INEXTRAABLE RISE IN HEALTHCARE COSTS THAT SIMPLY IS NOT SUSTAINABLE. IT'S TOO BIG TO FAIL. I DON'T KNOW HOW WE NEED TO GET EVERYONE BEHIND THIS IDEA, BUT HEALTHCARE REFORM NEEDS TO BE ZREFD THAT WE CAN BEND THE CURVE OF COST AND TRY TO DO WHAT'S RIGHT FOR PATIENTS AND MORE OF WHAT'S RIGHT AND LESS OF WHAT'S WRONG AND GET BETTER OUTCOMES AT THE SAME TIME. THE TRIPLE ITEM. THE HEALTHCARE REFORM EFFORT, AT LEAST THE O AND C STIMULUS PACKAGE FROM HIGH-TECH BILL, AIMS TO BOTH STIMULATE THE ADOPTION OF HEALTHCARE IT, STIMULATE INOPRABLET OF THAT IT AND TO THEN INFORM SUPPORT AND ACHIEVE THIS TRANSFORMATION OF HEALTHCARE. A FOUR-YEAR TIMEFRAME IS PRETTY QUICK. MANY HAVE CRITICIZED THIS MIGHT TAKE A GENERATION OR TWO AND THE IMPLEMENTATION I WOULD SUGGEST OF HEALTHCARE IT IS OCCURRING WITHOUT THE ESSENTIAL INGREDIENT OF THE KNOWLEDGE BASE. KNOWLEDGE IS NOT RESIDENT IN ELECTRONIC MEDICAL RECORDS WHEN IMPLEMENTED. IT HAS TO BE ADDED AS A COMPONENT EITHER FROM THE CUSTOMER, THE IMPLEMENTER OR FROM KNOWLEDGE VENDORS AND THE LIKE. SO I THINK ACTUALLY WE ARE IN THE PERFECT STORM FOR C.D.S. MANY SAW THIS MOVE GIVE THE FISHERMEN AND LOBSTERMEN OFF THE COAST OF BOSTON, MASS, FAMOUS STORY ABOUT THE PERFECT STORM. I FEEL SOMETIMES LIKE A MEMBER OF THE CREW ON THAT BOAT IN HEALTHCARE. BUT WE HAVE LOTS OF CLINICAL DATA GOING ONLINE, INCREASED INTEROPRABLET GRADUALLY COMING. A TSUNAMI OF PERSONAL AND SOCIAL DATA WILL BE ARREST TO OUR CLINICAL DECISION AIR AND MENTIONED ALREADY THIS RISE IN THE NEED FOR HEALTHCARE REFORM. SO WHEN WE THINK ABOUT DECISION SUPPORT, LET'S THINK FIRST ABOUT HOW PHYSICIANS REASON. THERE IS, MANY DIFFERENT WAYS TO LOOK AT THE HYPOTHETICAL DEDUCTIVE PROCESS THAT PHYSICIANS EMPLOY TO ANALYZE A PATIENT, ASSESS THE HISTORY AND PHYSICAL ASSESS LABORATORY ZPINGS THEN MAKE A DIFFERENTTIAL DIAGNOSIS OR A LIST OF PROBABLE CAUSES OF DISEASE OR LESS THAN WELLNESS. DAVID AMONG OTHERS, HAVE WRITTEN ABOUT THIS. PHYSICIANS ARE EXTRAORDINARY PATTERN RECOGNIZERS AND LISTENING HIGH POTTING SIES TO VALIDATE OR DISPUTE THESE HIGH POTTING SKPIS THEN TAKING ACTION. WE KNOW THIS DECISION MAKING PROCESS IS SUBJECT TO A NUMBER OF IMPORTANT BIASS. FIRST HIGH POTTING SIES ARE GENERATED VERY EARLY, SOMETIMES IN SECONDS UPON ENTERING A ROOM OR VISITING A PATIENT'S BEDSIDE. AND JUST A FEW ACTIVE HIGH POTTING SIES ARE CONSIDERED AT ANY ONE TIME. BUT THESE BIASS ARE WELL KNOWN AND I POINT YOU TOWARDS DANIELLE CONMAN'S BOOK THINKING FAST AND SLOW, WHICH IS AN ACCESSIBLE TREATY TREATISE ON HIS WORK THAT ELUCIDATED SOME OF THESE FINDINGS. I WON'T GO THOSE IN GREAT DENIAL BUT THE REPRESENTATIVE WE CAN BE BIASED BY OUR MISTAKEN ASSUMPTIONS AROUND PRIOR PROBABILITIES AND INAPPROPRIATELY WAITING DEPENDENT FACTORS OR INDEPENDENT FACTORS, BOTH, THE AVAILABILITY HERE, WHAT DID WE SEE LATELY THAT KINDS OF LOOKS LIKE THIS CASE AND ANCHORING A-AND-ADJUSTING. PHYSICIANS ARE WELL KNOWN TO ANCHOR THEIR PERCEPTIONS AND THEN HAVE DIFFICULTY ADJUSTING. BUT BOTTOM LINE, FROM A DECISION POINT OF VIEW, WHAT WE AIM TO DO IS TO MAKE DECISIONS THAT DISTINGUISH THESE THREE ZONES. THE ZONES OF DON'T TREAT, DON'T INTERVENE, PERHAPS OR CAST OR INTERVENE AND FINALLY THE LAST TREAT, WHERE THE PRIOR PROBABILITY TEST PERFORMANCE CHARACTERISTICS AND CLINICAL INTERVENTION EFFICACY, WHETHER IT'S DRUG OR PROCEDURE, ARE ALL WEIGHED IN THE BALANCE OF A NICE DECISION TREE THAT CAN DISTINGUISH THESE THREE STONES AND HELP US DETERMINE WHICH ZONE WE'RE IN AND WHAT ACTIONS TO TAKE OR NOT. WE NEVER GET TO DO THIS AT THE BEDSIDE, OF COURSE. IT'S TOO COMPLICATED. THE PROBABILITIES AREN'T KNOWN, AND IT'S NOT APPLIED IN PRACTICE, SO IT'S ALWAYS AN INTETUITION. BUT THIS MIGHT BE VIEWED AS THE GOAL. SO CHUCK FRIEDMAN WROTE THIS NICE PAPER ON THE FUNDAMENTAL THIEROM OF BIOINFORMATICS AND IT'S PRETTY JURY. BRAIN PLUS COMPUTER IS GREATER THAN BRAIN. I HOPE THAT'S TRUE. [LAUGHTER] I'M NOT SURE ALWAYS, BUT HOPE SFLI THAT'S TRUE AND WHAT WE'RE REALLY TRYING TO DO I THINK WITH DECISION SUPPORT US UNDERSTAND BOTH THE DEFICIENCIES OF OUR CLINICAL REASONING AND UNDERSTAND THE HEALTHCARE PROCESSES AND THE DELIVERY SYSTEM AND THEN FILL THE GAPS, FILL THE CARE GAPS AND THE REASONING GAPS, FILL THE PROCESS GAPS THAT PARTLY CAN BE DONE DEPENDING WITH THE COMPUTER'S ASSISTANCE. I'D LIKE TO RECALL MARK AND SCOTT'S DIAGRAM, THOUGH, FROM 1980 A LONG TIME AGO, WHO WROTE ABOUT THE COGNITIVE FUNNEL AND WHEREIN IS CLINICAL REASONING AND THE PHYSICIANS' REASONING MOST IMPORTANT? MOVING FROM LEFT TO RIGHT, IF YOU WILL, IN A COGNITIVE FUNNEL, WE OPERATE ACTUALLY VERY WELL AT THE POINT OF A, AND NOT SO WELL AT THE POINT OF B. A IS WHERE UNCERTAINTY IS RAMPANT. THERE AREN'T CLEAR GUIDELINES OR THE EVIDENCE MAY BE CONFLICTING AND MACHINES CAN OPERATE WELL AT B, WHERE THE PROBLEM IS WELL-DEFINED AND CONSTRAINED AND CAN BE REALLY SUPPORT ORDER IS AMENABLE TO COMP PUTATION OR SYMBOLIC REASONING OF ANY KIND. I AM HUMBLED ALSO, THOUGH, BY WHERE C.D.S IS LIMITEDN MY OWN FELLOWSHIP AT STANFORD, FOCUS ON HEALTH SERVICES RESEARCH AND CLINICAL INFORMATICS, I WAS A MEMBER OF A TEAM THAT BUILT A NECK FOR DIFFERENTTIAL DIAGNOSIS AND MY WIFE HALFWAY THROUGH THE PROJECT FOUND THIS CARTOON AND MADE SURE I SAW IT BECAUSE WE WERE GETTING RESULTS LIKE THIS. WE WOULD NIP A LARGE NUMBER OF SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS AND CASE FINDINGS INTO THE DECISION THEORETIC PROGRAM. OF APPROXIMATELY 700 DISEASE CONDITIONS AND 40,000 FINDINGS AND ALL THE PROBABLE CONNECTIONS BETWEEN DISEASES AND FINDINGS WERE CHARACTERIZED AND WE WOULD GET NON-INFORMATIVE DIFFERENT SHALES ALL OVER THE MAP. SO CREATING DECISION SUPPORT REQUIRES THE CREATION OF THIS KNOWLEDGE BASE. IT IS DESCRIBED AS ANAWAY PROGRAM WHOSE PERFORMANCE DEPENDS ON THE EXPLICIT LARGE BODY OF ON PROCEDURES SKBRICHBLET HERE IS IT'S REALLY ABOUT THE KNOWLEDGE. THIS CAME UP SEVERAL TIMES YESTERDAY. SMALL DOSES OF ENGINE IN AN LP CAN INFORM THE STOMACHICAL PROCESSS AND OPTIMIZE THEM IN WAYS THAT ANY AMOUNT OF COMPTATION MAY NEVER GET TO. CREATING THESE KNOWLEDGE BASES, THOUGH, IS DIFFICULT. I AM GOING TO COME BACK TO THAT. THE KNOWLEDGE BASE, THOUGH, CAN BE SUBJECTED TO ANY KIND OF COMP PUTATIONAL PROJECT AND YOU CAN RUN THROUGH THE LIST. BUT THE CHALLENGE IS THAT WE ACTUALLY WANT TO BE ABLE TO USE IT IN MULTIPLE DIFFERENT ENGINES OR DIFFERENT SYSTEMS. THIS IDEA OF SHAREABILITY OF A KNOWLEDGE BASE IS CENTRAL TO A LOT OF THE WORK OVER THE YEARS BUT FRANKLY I DON'T THINK IT HAS EVER BEEN ACHIEVED. LAST THING IS BEFORE DIVING FURTHER IN FOO C.D.S IS EVEN WITH ALL THE BEST EVIDENCE WE HAVE, BRENT JAMES, AMONG OTHERS WOULD, A WE ONLY HAVE EVIDENCE FOR ABOUT 25% OF WHAT WE DO. THE REST OF IT, 75% ISN'T SUPPORTED BY A PARTICULAR GUIDELINE OR A COMBINATION OF GUIDELINES AND IT'S REALLY THE CLINICIAN REASONING ACROSS UNCERTAINTY WHERE THERE IS NOT A SOLID GUIDELINE OR SOLID EVIDENCE TO PURSUE. SO I WOULD SUGGEST WE ACTUALLY ARE ON THE VERGE OF A DRAMATIC NEED FOR NOT JUST KNOWLEDGE BASE CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT BUT DECISION SUPPORT WHICH ARISES FROM ANALYSIS IN REALTIME OF PATIENTS LIKE MINE OR DECISIONS LIKE MINE. THE PATIENTS LIKE ME PHENOMENON HAS BEEN EXTRAORDINARY. JAIME HAYWOOD AND THE TEAM ALLOW PATIENTS TO PROVIDE INFORMATION ONLINE AND GET COMPARISON IN OTHER LIKE PATIENTS. WHY DON'T WE DO THE SAME THING FOR THE PROVIDER? SO AT THE POINT OF CARE IF TLTS THERE IS NOT A PIECE OF EVIDENCE OR A GUIDELINE WHICH MIGHT APPLY, I MIGHT BE ABLE TO SAY SHOW ME WHAT THE PREVIOUS THOUSAND PATIENTS AT THE BRIGHAM HAVE DONE AT A SIMILAR SITUATION OR THE THOUSAND PHYSICIANS CARING FOR THOSE PATIENTS. OUR KNOWLEDGE TRANSLATION SPECIFICATION RESEARCH HISTORY OVER THE YEARS HAS MOVED FROM VERY EARLY EFFORTS AT OKOSON AND STANFORD WITH MARK MUSEEN AND OTHERS THROUGH A VARIETY OF PLAN-BASED AND SORT OF NON-PLAN-BASED REPRESENTATIONS OF KNOWLEDGE TO TRY TO GET AT THIS NOTION OF INNER OPRABLE KNOWLEDGE BASE. OUR GOAL IS TO COMBINE EVIDENCE AND EXPERIENCE, MAKE IT INTO A GUIDELINE AND A PRINCIPLED AND UNAM BIGUOUS WAY AND REPRESENT THE KNOWLEDGE AND SHARE THAT KNOWLEDGE AND SUBSEQUENTLY EXECUTE UPON IT IN ANY DIFFERENT ENGINE OR RECEIVING ENVIRONMENT FOR THE KNOWLEDGE. THESE KNOWLEDGE BASES, THOUGH, THAT WE BUILT OVER THE YEARS THINGS LIKE MICEEN FOR THE ANTI-MICROBIAL THERAPEUTIC MENINGITIS AT STANFORD OR DIFFERENT DIAGNOSISS IN MEDICINE. IN I A WAY THEY'D BEEN CONSTRAINED TO A PARTICULAR DECISION TYPE. WHEN YOU THINK ABOUT THE ACTUAL KNOWLEDGE STACK THAT HAS TO GO INTO MODERN-DAY CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT, IT HAS TO INCLUDE A WIDE ARRAY OF COMPONENTS THAT OFTENTIMES ARE NOT CONSIDERED TOGETHER. RANGING FROM THE TERMINOLOGY SERVICES WHAT IS THE CONTROLLED MEDICAL TERMINOLOGY, THE UNDERLYING INFORMATION MODEL AND ON THE OLING AND SUBSEQUENT INTO EXTRACTION OF MATTER USED AND USED TO SIMPLIFY THE KNOWLEDGE PROCESS. INTERMED CONCEPTS, WHETHER IT'S DRUG CLASSS OR PATIENT STATES, ORDER CATALOGS AND OTHER INFORMATION CLASSES AND THEN STANDARD APP TEMPLATES, ORDER SETS, RULES AND THE LIKE. SO WHERE IS C.D.S TODAY? THE HOSPITALS ARE RIDDLED WITH C.D.S. OUR AUTOMOBILES ARE RIDDLEDED WITH C.D.S NOW. BUT COOPERMAN'S REVIEW AROUND 2000, I THINK, DESCRIBED THESE DIFFERENT CLASSES, FORMATING, INTERPRETING, CONSULTLINGING, MONITORING, CRITICIQUE YGING AND I WOULD ADD THIS WHERE A LOT OF WHAT HERETOFORE WERE CLINICAL DECISIONS ARE BEING NOW MADE BY CONSUMERS THEMSELVES ARE REAL DISRUPTION, IF YOU WILL, FROM A CLAY CHRISTENSEN POINT OF VIEW WHERE THE CONSUMER IS NOW BEING EMPOWERED PREVIOUSLY REQUIRED PROFESSIONAL EXPERTISE. SO WHAT'S THE EVIDENCE FOR C.D.S? GARTH DID A SERIOUS REVIEW FINDING PRACTICEITIONER PERFORMANCE IMPROVED IN 64% OF STUDIES, 40% IN TEN DIAGNOSTIC SYSTEMS, 76 PERCENT IN 21 REMINDER SYSTEMS AND OF% IN DRUG DOERGS PRESCRIBING SYSTEMS. PATIENT OUTCOMES WERE ONLY STUDYD IN SEVEN OF 52 STUDIES AND IMPORTANTLY FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH SUCCESS WERE AUTOMATED PROMPTS VERSUS ANYTHING THAT REQUIRED THE USER TO DO SOMETHING ELSE AND ALSO THE BIAS PERHAPS OF STUDYING ONE ONE-ZONE CHILD AND THE AUTHORS WERE INVOLVED IN EVALUATING THESE SYSTEMS. A LOT OF WORK WE'VE DONE AT THE BRIGHAM AND ELSEWHERE SUGGEST, THOUGH, THAT C.D.S CAN INCREASE GUIDELINE ADHERENCE AT THE POINT OF CARE. WE CAN IMPROVE ORDER ENTRY WITH CTO-RELATED PROMPTS AND SHOWING THE COST OF TESTS AND PROCEDURES AND WE CAN LIKE THE AMAZON CHECK OUT CHART DISPLAY, CHECK OUT THE COST OF ALL THE NUMBER OF TESTS OF ALL ORDER WHEN SHOWING THE COST AS WELL. THE PROBLEMS WITH HIT UP IN MORE APPARENT OF LATE AS WELL. ROSS CAPEL I THINK DID THE FIRST INTERESTING WORK IN THIS SPACE LOOKING AT HOW CTOE HAS FACILITATE TRANSCRIPTION ERROR. WHAT WERE THE PERCEPTIONS OF IMPLEMENTATION OF THIS HIT? AND 22 CATEGORIES OF PERCEIVED INCREASED RISK WERE DESCRIBED, BOTH INFORMATION ERRORS AND ERRORS ASSOCIATED WITH A POOR HUMAN COMPUTER INTERFACE OR WORK FLOW. THIS REALLY LIT THE FUSE, I THINK, THOUGH, UNDER HOW WE HAVE TO VIEW HIT AND C.D. SPECIFICALLY MUCH MORE] CRITICALLY AND ESTABLISH A DOSE RESPONSE CURVE F YOU WILL, FOR HIT. HOW MUCH OF A DOSE OF HIT IS USEFUL VERSUS HOW MUCH IS PROBLEMATIC? ALERT FATIGUE IS A GREAT EXAMPLE AND USUALLY COMES TO MIND. TOO MANY ALERTS AND THE PHYSICIAN STARTS TO TURN OFF AND IGNORE ANYTHING. NOT ENOUGH ALERTS AND THE PHYSICIAN MAY NOT BE PAYING ENOUGH ATTENTION. SO WHAT'S THE RIGHT AMOUNT OF ALERTS IS REALLY OF INTEREST. PERHAPS SOME LARGEST CAN BE BORROWED FROM ECONOMICS AND BEHAVIORAL THEORY, THINKING ABOUT THE THEORY OF SUBJECTIVE NOVELTYY, FOR EXAMPLE. DO WE ENTERTAIN AND INFORM ENOUGH TO MAKE THE DECISION SUPPORT INTERESTING TO THE CLINICIAN? RECENTLY AT DUKE A REPORT WAS COMPLETED BY KENT ROEBUCK, AND OTHERS AND JUST A NUTSHELL HERE IS THAT TO UNDERSCORE THE IDEA OF THE AUTOMATIC PROVISION OF DECISION SUPPORT AT THE TIME AND LOCATION OF DECISION-MAKING, MAKING A RECOMMENDATION THAT IS ACTIONABLE AND THEN INTEGRATING WITH THE WORK FLOW AND PROMOTING ACTION, NO NEED FOR ADDITIONAL DATA ENTRY AND MAKE SURE THE USERS INVOLVED IN THE LOCAL KNOWLEDGE DEVELOPMENT PROCESS. SO THINKING ABOUT THE DECISION SUPPORT RESEARCH FOUND THAT 25% OF ALL THIS DECISION SUPPORT RESEARCH THAT HAS BEEN DONE HAS COME FROM JUST FOUR DIFFERENT INSTITUTIONS. BRIGHAM, V.A. AND INTERMOUNTAIN. I'D LIKE TO BORROW HIS QUOTE THE FUTURE IS ALREADY HERE, IT'S JUST NOT EVENLY DISTRIBUTED. WE HAVE TO THINK ABOUT DISTRIBUTING THIS KNOWLEDGE AND HOW IT CAN WORK WELL. LET ME TAKE A SMALL DETOUR NOW AND JUST TALK ABOUT THE OTHER THINGS I THINK IN ENCROACHING UPON DECISION SUPPORT AND NUMBER ONE, OF COURSE, IS A BIG DATA. HOW DO WE TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE QUANTITYIFIED CELL? AS OUR PATIENTS AND OUR CELLS ARE INCREASINGLY QUANTITYIFIED WITH ALL TYPES OF ONGOING MEASUREMENTS IN THE INTECASTIES OF CARE, HOW DO WE TAKE ADVANTAGE THAT HAVE IN THE RECORD AND THE BODY MONITOR, THE SMART PHONES AND APPS AND OTHER TYPES OF BIOSIGNAL MONITORS, ET CETERA, BECAUSE THE PATIENTS ARE BECOMING ACT VACATE -- ACTIVATED PATIENT AND CAN ACTIVATE THE PROVIDER AS WELL. THE NEXT ONE OF COURSE IS PERSONALIZED MEDICINE. WE'RE NOW BEGINNING TO SEQUENCE THE ENTIRE JET STREAM FOR 100 -- GENOME FOR 100 PATIENTS AT THE BRIGHAM. HOW CONVENIENT IT IS WHEN THE U.S. PROVIDES A PRISON? HOW MUCH DO YOU WANT TO KNOW WHEN YOU SEQUENCE AND JUR GENE? THERE IS THINGS THAT YOU MAY NOT WANT TO DO TO KNOW AND THE PROVIDER DOES NOT KNOW WHAT TO DO WITH THE INFORMATION ANYWAY. SO SO IN ADDITION STUDYING THESE POLY MORPHISMS NEED TO ASSESS THE BEHAVIORAL CHARACTERISTICS OF WHAT PEOPLE WANT TO KNOW AND HOW MUCH THEY WANT TO KNOW. AND ZACH HAS WRITTEN ABOUT THE -- THE PROBLEM WITH SEQUENCING IS IT'S SIMPLY THE TOO MANY TESTS PROBLEM. IF WE HAVE A SENSITIVITY OF 100% AT A FALSE-POSITIVE RATE OF ONLY 0.01 WITH TEN THOUSAND TEST, THE RESULTS WILL BE FALSE-POSITIVE. SO WHAT HAVE SHH WE TELL THE PATIENTS AND WHAT WILL PATIENTS WANT TO KNOW? AND HE HAS A LOVELY GRAPHIC IN HIS TRANSLATIONAL MEDICINE ARTICLE ABOUT THE DIFFERENT DIMENSIONS AND AXES THAT WILL HAVE TO BE ADDRESSED BEFORE WE CAN USE IN A DECISION WAY, PROVIDE ANSWERS THAT MATTER TO THE PATIENT AND MATTER TO THE PROVIDER THAT HAVE UTILITY. SO LET ME CLOSE NOW JUST WITH A FEW WORDS ABOUT SOME CURRENT RESEARCH THAT WE'RE DOING AT PARTNERS WITH A LARGE NUMBER OF COLLABORATORS ACROSS THE COUNTRY THAT'S CALLED THE C.D.S CONSORTIUM FUNDED BY THE HHRQ AND HAS THE GOAL OF ACCELERATING THE TRANCE LATION OF KNOWLEDGE INTO PRACTICE, DISEMANATING KNOWLEDGE AND EQUALITY VAULTING ITS IMPACT. WE HAVE A LARGE NUMBER OF PARTNERS. WE'VE BEEN FORTUNE TO HAVE UMDM J, FRANK SONNENBERG HERE, A NUMBER OF TECHNOLOGY PARTNERS AND INTERNATIONAL PARTNERS AS WELL COLLABORATING IN THIS WORK. WE HAD A FEW SIMPLE GOALS. ONE WAS TO TAKE THE KNOWLEDGE BASE DEVELOPED AT PARTNERS OVER THE 60OD YEARS THAT CLINICAL INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SYSTEMS HAVE BEEN IN USE AND TO TRY TO EXTERNALIZE IT FOR THE WORLD TO USE. SO WE'VE CREATED A PROT-TYPE NATIONAL KNOWLEDGE REPOSITIVETRY PORTAL WHERE ONE CAN GO AND BROWSE THE KNOWLEDGE ARTIFACTS USED IF OUR CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS AND EXAMINE THEM AND SEE IF THEY'RE OF INTEREST FOR YOUR OWN USE FOR FREE. SO WE'VE TAGGED ALL THIS KNOWLEDGE, DEVELOPED A MODEL, AND HOSTED IT NOW IN THIS SAMPLE OF IT, I SHOULD SAY IN THISER, TERNAL KNOWLEDGE PORTAL. THE C.D.S CONSORTIUM SERVES UP THE KNOWLEDGE ARTIFACTS IN THE THREE DOMAINS WE'VE HAD UNDER STUDY FOR THE HH IQ AND NOW SERVE UP A KNOWLEDGE TRANSACTION, IF YOU WILL, WITH REMOTE SITES ACROSS THE WHICH, INDIANAPOLIS, UMDM, G.E., EMINENTLY WITH DR. SONNENBERG AND FRASER NEXTGEN CLINIC IN PA, AND OREGON. AT THE SAME TIME RELATED PROJECTS A PEDIATRIC RESEARCH COLLABORATIVE IS USING THE C.D.SC SERVICES TO PROVIDE DECISION SUPPORT TO OVER HALF A DOZEN SITES NOW I THINK, ALL OF WHICH ARE USING EPIC EMR TECHNOLOGY. SO IN CLOSING, WHAT ARE THE GRAND CHALLENGES WE HAVE TO ADDRESS? SUMMARIZING INFORMATION LEVEL INFORMATION, PRIORITYIZING RECOMMENDATIONS, MERGING GUIDELINES WITH COMPETING RECOMMENDATIONS, DISAM BIGUATING GUIDELINE CONTENT, IMPROVING THE COMPUTER INTERFACE, MANAGING THESE LARGE CLINICAL BASES, ACCESSING AND MANAGING INFORMATION, DISSEMINATION AND THE LIST FROM MY PAPER WITH DEAN SIDIC. I PUT IT TOGETHER IN ANOTHER WAY FOR THE BIOINFORMATITIONS IN THE ROOM TO SORT OF DRAW UPON A BIOLOGICAL ANALOGY. I THINK IN MANY WAYS THIS IS LIKE THE FUNDAMENTAL THIEROM OF BIOLOGY. WE NEED TO TRANSCRIBE ATOMIC KNOWLEDGE OBJECTS BUILT UPON COGNITIVE INFORMATION FOUNDATIONS INTO KNOWLEDGE REPRESENTATION OR KNOWLEDGE ENGINEERING. WE THEN NEED TO TRANSLATE THAT INTO DECISION PROTEINS OR ESSENTIAL CODES AND STRUCTURES FOR SUPPORTING A REFERENCE ARCHITECTURE. WE NEED TO IMPLEMENT AND ASSESS THE EFFECTIVE USE OF PERSONALIZED DECISION SUPPORT AT THE POINT OF CARE. AND EACH ONE OF THESE PROCESSES HAS A FEEDBACK LOOP WHICH HAS TO BE CONSIDERED AS WELL. HOPEFULLY, THE N BIB AND ANYONE ELSE WHO IS INTERESTED WOULD LIKE TO FUND THIS ONGOING WORK. SO LAST SLIDE THEN. I WANT TO RETURN TO NAPOLEON, WOGOT TO MOSCOW, FOUND THE CITY WAS BURNED TO THE GROUND AND RETREATED ALL THE WAY BACK TO THE GREENER FIELDS OF PARIS AND FRANCE, WHERE HE COULD REFLENISH HIS ARMY. BUT NM WAYS, I THINK, THE EMPEROR HAS HAD NO CLOTHES IN U.S. HEALTHCARE AND WE NEED TO THINK ABOUT HOW TO RECLOTHE THE PHYSICIAN EMPEROR. I THINK C.D.S IS THE ESSENTIAL INGREDIENT. WE CANNOT PROCESS THE EXPLOSION OF KNOWLEDGE AND DATE Y WITHOUT C.D.S AND KNOWLEDGE SHARING IS THE ONLY WAY TO SCALE THIS ACROSS OUR COUNTRY AND PERHAPS AROUND THE WORLD. I'D LIKE TO SEE US NOT ONLY SHARE DATA BUT SHARE KNOWLEDGE AS WELL SEAMLESSLY ACROSS THE LAND, AND THAT'S IT. THANK YOU VERY MUCH. [APPLAUSE] QUESTIONS? >> ANY QUICK QUESTIONS FOR BLACKFORD? >> JIM WALKER. I THINK YOUR PRESENTATION WAS GREAT, BLACKFORD. IT RAISES ALL KINDS OF QUESTIONS FOR ME ABOUT PROCESS ENGINEERING, ABOUT THE ROLE OF THE CARE DELIVERY ORGANIZATION, WHETHER IT'S A LOCAL SORT OF TRADITIONAL ORGANIZATION OR INCREASINGLY SOME KIND OF ACCOUNTABLE CARE ARRANGEMENT. IT SEEMS TO US THAT A KEY PART OF THIS IS GETTING COMMITMENT OF ORGANIZATIONS AND INDIVIDUALS -- PATIENTS AND THE REST OF THEIR CARE TEAM -- TO 100% PROCESSES. AND IF YOU GET THAT, THEN IT SEEMS TO ME WHAT YOU ARE DOING BECOMES CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE. WITHOUT THAT, IT'S NOT CLEAR TO ME HOW IT WORKS OUT. BUT THAT'S A COMMENT, NOT A QUESTION. IS THAT ANY PART OF THIS, PART OF THE KNOWLEDGE BASE TO UNDERSTAND WHAT THE LEVERS ARE FOR PATIENTS, PATIENTS WITH LIMITED EDUCATIONS, PATIENTS WITH MODEST INTEREST IN WELLNESS, IN SOME FUTURE STATE TO HOW WE ENGAGE THOSE PEOPLE IN RECEIVING THIS INFORMATION? >> EXCELLENT QUESTIONS AND A GREAT POINT TO BRING THIS BACK TO REALITY. HOW DO WE TUNE THE ORGANIZATION OR FRAME THE PROBLEM FOR THE ORGANIZATION AND HOW DO WE MAKE THIS GENERALIZABLE TO THOSE BEING IN OUR HEALTHCARE SYSTEM AND THOSE WHO ARE NOT? ONE OF THE THINGS I AM ENCOURAGED ABOUT IS JUST THE PLETHORA OF SMART PHONE APPS AND CLINICAL APP AS RISING ARISING IN THE CONSUMERS' HANDS WHERE THE VERY SAME KNOWLEDGE NEED TO BE APPLIED FOR LOW-ACTIVATED PATIENT, ET CETERA. AND I THINK THAT'S AN EXCELLENT POINT AND PART OF THE IMPLEMENTATION CHALLENGE. >> [INDISCERNABLE] >> I GUESS WHAT I WOULD SUGGEST. WHEN YOU THINK ABOUT THE EKG INTERPRETATION, PFTN IN THE HOSPITAL, THE LABORATORY, EVERYTHING COMES WITH AN INTERPRETATION, AND THAT IS NOW DECISION SUPPORT. IF YOU LOOK AT THE DIAGNOSTIC DIFFERENTTIAL, I AGREE WITH YOU, THAT'S BEEN A CHALLENGE BECAUSE I THINK THE PROBLEM IS HARD. BUT ON THE THERAPY SIDE, THE PLANNING RADIATION ONCOLOGY AND OTHER PROGRAMS ARE USED ROUTINELY. WE'VE MADE PROGRESS. OF COURSE, WATSON IS GOING TO SOLVE THIS PROBLEM? >> THANK YOU VERY MUCH. >> THANK YOU,-BLACKFORD. [APPLAUSE] >> MY NAME IS RICHARD CONRAD. I'M THE PROGRAM DIRECTOR OF N BIB AND WE'RE GOING TO START THE FIRST PANEL OF THE MEETING HERE. IT'S ON CLINICAL PERSPECTIVES AND WHEN WE WERE PLANNING THIS MEETING, WHAT WE WERE TALKING THIG ABOUT WE WOULD LIKE TO HEAR WHAT THE STATE-OF-THE-ART IS FOR CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT FROM THE CLINICIANS THEMSELVES AND PEOPLE WHO ARE USING THESE SYSTEMS. WHAT THE CHALLENGES THEY SEE ARE, AND WHERE THEY SEE OPPORTUNITIES FOR FUTURE RESEARCH. BUT ALSO WHERE THEY WOULD SEE SYSTEMS HELPING THEM WITH THEIR CLINICAL PRACTICES. SO WE'VE GOT FOUR GREAT SPEAKERS, AND I AM NOT GOING TO DO A LONG INTRODUCTION BECAUSE I KNOW THEY'VE GOT LOTS OF GREAT THINGS TO SAY. BUT 2007 DR. THOMAS PAYNE FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON. JAMES WALKER FROM GEISINGER HEALTHCARE SYSTEM AND SIEGEL FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND. I AM GOING TO ASK EACH OF THEM TO COME UP. WE'LL TAKE QUESTIONS AFTER EACH OF THE TALKS AND THEN AT THE END WE'LL HAVE A HALF-HOUR PANEL DISCUSSION. SO IF YOU HAVE GENERAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE SAVE THEM TO THE END. IF YOU'VE GOT SPECIFIC QUESTIONS, PLEASE ASK THEM AT THE END OF EACH TALK. THANKS. >> SO GOOD MORNING. I AM THE FIRST PANELIST AND I'M TOM PAYNE FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON IN SEATTLE. I DO HAVE SOME SLIDES, WHICH ARE HERE ON THE SCREEN AND I HAVE. MY TOPIC TODAY IS AN ATTEMPT TO BLINK SOME OF WHAT WE HEARD YESTERDAY INTO THE WORLD IN WHICH I WORK AND WHICH MANY AMERICAN CLINICIANS WORK IN A CLINICAL SETTING AND TO KIND OF SHOW HOW THAT RELATES TO THE TOPIC THAT BLACKFORD REVIEWED, WHICH IS DECISION SUPPORT. I THINK A PERSPECTIVE THAT THE GROUP HERE CAN ADD TO WHAT WE DISCUSSED YESTERDAY IS THE WORK FLOW INTO WHICH ALL OF THIS SITS. THAT WAS SOMETHING I WANTED TO ADD TO THE ANSWERS GIVEN TO OUR QUESTIONER OF YESTERDAY WHO ASKED WHAT DOES IT TAKE TO TAKE WHAT WE'VE LEARNED ABOUT NL. AND TO IMPACT THE HEALTH OF PEOPLE IN THE UNITED STATES? AND THERE WAS A LIST OF ANSWERS TO THAT QUESTION. ONE MORE WOULD BE A RECOGNITION THAT THE WORK FLOW IN WHICH ALL THESE THINGS APPLIED IS A CRITICAL COMPONENT. SO I AM GOING TO GIVE YOU A LITTLE STORY ABOUT MY EXPERIENCE WITH THAT WORK FLOW, AND I WANT TO TELL YOU FIRST HOW WE GOT FROM PAPER TO ELECTRONIC NOTE, WHICH IS THE MILL. AND I WANT SHOW HOW THIS RELATES TO SOME POTENTIAL AND CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT. I'LL GIVE YOU THREE EXAMPLES OF HOW WE ARE USING NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING TODAY IN VERY EARLY WAYS IN UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON IN SEATTLE. AND THEN HOPEFULLY WE'LL HAVE A FEW REMAINING MINUTES FOR DISCUSSION. I WORK IN A HOSPITAL SYSTEM IN SEATTLE. WE HAVE FIVE HOSPITALS. WE HAVE ABOUT ONE AND A HALF MILLION OUTPATIENTS VISITS A YEAR AND 50,000 DISCHARGES FROM OUR HOSPITALS. SO IT'S A MODERATELY SIZED ACADEMIC MEDICAL CENTER IN THE NORTHWEST. THIS IS WHERE WE STARTED, WHICH IS THE STATE OF MANY AMERICAN HOSPITALS, CERTAINLY 30 YEARS AGO AND TODAY AND MANY HOSPITALS. IN OUR FIRST STEP ON THIS JOURNEY TO ELECTRONICS WAS TO PUT THAT INTO AN ELECTRONIC MEDICAL RECORD, WHICH HAS SOME ADVANTAGES AND A FEW DISADVANTAGES AS WELL. SO THE NEXT STEP IN THIS JOURNEY WAS TO CONVERT WHAT CLINICIANS DOCUMENTED IN THEIR CARE OF PATIENTS FROM THAT TO THIS, WHICH IS AN IMPROVEMENT. IT IS LEGIBLE. IT IS AVAILABLE TO MANY PLACES AT THE SAME TIME, AND IT'S USEFUL FOR MANY OTHER PURPOSES BEYOND THE IMMEDIATE PATIENT CARE PURPOSE FOR WHICH THEY WERE CREATED. IT ALSO IS VALUABLE TO OTHERS WHO HELP US WITH COMPLIANCE ISSUES AND SO ON. BUT IT HAS ITS OWN SET OF LIMITATIONS. WE STARTED OUR TRIP FROM PAPER TO ELECTRONIC ABOUT EIGHT YEARS AGO, AND ABOUT SIX YEARS AGO, WE HAD LARGELY FINISHED THIS CONVERSION FROM PAPER TO ELECTRONIC NOTES. SO SINCE THEN, WE HAVE THOUSANDS OF PHYSICIAN NOTES WRITTEN EACH DAY FOR THE HOSPITAL AND IN THE CLINICS AND THAT TRANSITION HAS INCLUDED ALL OTHER DISCIPLINES NOW FROM NURSING NOTES, BEDSIDE NURSING NOTES TO NUTRITION, PHYSICAL THERAPY AND INTERESTINGLY, NOTES WRITTEN BY HOSPITAL CHAPLAINS AS WELL. IT'S ALL ELECTRONIC. IT'S ALL IN ONE PLACE. A REAL ADVANCE FOR US. WHAT WE'VE FOUND IS THAT NARRATIVE TEXT, THE CONTENT OF THE NOTE THAT I JUST SHOWED YOU, WE REGARDED TO BE VERY VALUABLE. AND SOME OF THE WAYS IN WHICH IT'S VALUABLE I LIST HERE. FIRST OF ALL, THE NARRATIVE CONTAINS THE HISTORY AND ITS DETAILS, THE EXAM, AND THE DISTINCTION OF THE CLINICIAN. I HAVE TO SAY THAT THIS IS ONE AREA IN WHICH THE NEEDS OF CLINICAL CARE, THE NEEDS OF OUR COMPLIANCE REIMBURSEMENT CREW, AND THE ZPAECHING RESEARCH ENVIRONMENTS OVERLAP AND THAT IF WE CAPTURE THE THINKING OF THE CLINICIAN, WE CAN ACCOMPLISH A LOT FOR EACH OF THOSE GROUPS. AND EACH OF THESE THOUSANDS MAYBE 5,000 NOTES WRITTEN BY PHYSICIANS EACH DAY CONTAINS SOME SMALL AND MAYBE MORE THAN SMALL KERNELS OF TRUTH. SO THESE FINDINGS, THESE EPISODES OR THESE COMPONENTS OF THE STORY THAT THE PATIENT TELL ARE IN THAT NOTE. NOW, IT'S NOT EASY TO FIND. IT IS OBSCURED BY TEMPLATES, BY THE ARTIFACTS THAT WE USE TO PUT THE NOTE INTO THE REPORTED SUCH AS COPYING AND PASTING, DIRECT ENTRY AIDS AND SO ON. BUT IT'S THERE. AND WE HAVE THE ABILITY TO MAKE IT EASIER TO FIND AS WELL. AND IF YOU MULTIPLY THAT SINGLE NOTE TIMES THE NUMBER OF ENCOUNTERS THAT WE HAVE IN OUR INSTITUTION, AND THE NUMBER OF HOSPITALS IN OUR COMMUNITY, THE NUMBER OF COMMUNITIES IN OUR COUNTRY, THERE IS A LOT OF INFORMATION THERE LURKING WITHIN THE NARRATIVE TEXT. THERE HAS BEEN DISCUSSION OVER THE LAST CERTAINLY 25 YEARS I'VE BEEN IN THE FIELD BETWEEN THE TENSION BETWEEN USE OF NARRATIVE TEXT AND USE OF ENCODED OR STRUCTURED NOTES. BY THE WAY, BARNETT TAUGHT ME YEARS AGO TO CALL IT NARRATIVE TEXT AND NOT PRETEXT. HE SAYS NOTHING IS FREE ABOUT FREE TEXT. SOMEBODY PAYS FOR IT. SO THE NARRATIVE TEXT CONTAINS INFORMATION THAT WE WOULD LIKE TO GET OUT. WE HAVE TO LOOK FOR STRUCTURED NOTE ENTRY AS WELL. AND YOU CAN SEE THAT THERE ARE CONSTRAINED CHOICES FROM WHICH THE CLINICIAN CHOOSES. I HAVE ILLUSTRATE THERE HAD IN A VERY SMALL BOX THAT THERE IS A CHOICE THAT I CAN MAKE TO INDICATE WHETHER THERE IS SERUMIN IN BOTH EARS AND WHEN I MAKE THAT CHOICE, IT IS STORED AS AN ENCODED ELEMENT. THAT'S FROM ONE OF OUR VENDORS. HERE IS THE SAME IDEA IMPLEMENTED BY A DIFFERENT VENDOR. SO THESE ARE ALTERNATIVES TO NARRATIVE TEXT. YOU CAN USE STRUCTURED TOOLS. AND THESE ARE VERY POWERFUL, DEVELOPED WITH THE IDEA THAT STRUCTURED OR ENCODED TEXT IS REALLY THE FOUNDATION ON WHICH WE BUILD CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS. HOWEVER, WHAT WE'VE LEARNED IN OUR JOURNEY IS THAT THERE ARE A LOT OF PROBLEMS WITH STRUCTURED NOTE ENTRIES. THE FIRST IS THAT IT'S HARDER TO TRAIN PEOPLE TO USE THEM. ACE TEACHING INSTITUTION, WE HAVE TURNOVER EVERY MONTH WITH OUR TRAINEES, OUR FELLOWS, OUR JUNIOR FACULTY AND SO ON. WE HAVE FIVE HOSPITALS, NOT INCLUDING THE CHILDREN'S AND THE V.A.. SO PEOPLE MOVE FROM ONE TO ANOTHER AS THEY MOVE, THEY HAVE TO LEARN HOW TO USE STRUCTURED NOTE TEMPLATE TOOLS AND THAT BURDEN IS CONSIDERABLE TO US. IN OUR EXPERIENCE, MOST PHYSICIANS DON'T LIKE TO USE THESE TWOTO WRITE THEIR NOTES. THEY PREFER ALTERNATIVES. THEY WILL DO IT AND SOME ULTIMATELY CHOOSE THIS. BUT IT'S NOT THE MAJORITIES. -- MAJORITY. WHEN YOU ARE DONE WRIG A  MOSTITH THESE TOOLS, PHYSICIANS AREN'T TOO HAPPY ABOUT READING THEM AND THEY FOCUS ON THE NARRATIVE TEXT PORTION, THE ASSESSMENT OR THE VERY TERSE HISTORY AT THE BEGINNING. AND IN TREATING THESE WE HEARD A LITTLE BIT ABOUT THIS YESTERDAY, THAT IF YOU USE THESE TOOLS, YOU LOSE SOME VERY IMPORTANT DETAILS THAT IS CONTAINED KM IN A RICHER NARRATIVE. AND SO FOR THESE REASONS, WE FOUND THAT CLINICIANS ARE MOVING MORE TO NARRATIVE TEXT. SO THAT'S WHY I VIEW A TOPIC SUCH AS NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING AS TO IMPORTANT. AND SO IMPORTANT FOR MANY REASONS, INCLUDING CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT. HERE ARE SOME -- A QUICK WALK THROUGH A SINGLE NOTE THAT WILL HELP ILLUSTRATE WHY I BELIEVE THIS IS IMPORTANT. BUT BEFORE I SHOW YOU THAT NOTE, I'D LIKE TO BRING UP THE POINT THAT GORDY CHEF AND DAVID BATES MADE IN THE NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL ABOUT THE PROBLEMS THAT WE FACE IN CLINICAL MEDICINE TODAY AND HOW CLINICAL DOCUMENTATION MIGHT HELP. THEIR OBSERVATION, WHICH I FIND FIND TO BE VERY ACCURATE, IS THAT THE PROBLEM OF HAVING TOO MUCH INFORMATION IS NOW SURPASSING THAT OF HAVING TOO LITTLE. WHEN I WAS AN INTERN, 20 PERCENT OF THE TIME WHEN I WENT TO THE CLINIC THERE WOULD BE NO CHART. THAT ISN'T THE PROBLEM ANYMORE. NOW I HAVE A CHART THAT'S TOO LARGE FOR ME TO ABSORB. AND THAT HAPPENS IN EVERY ENCOUNTER IN WHICH I ENTER THE ROOM UNLESS I KNOW THE PATIENT WELL. SO THIS IS ANOTHER NEED FOR HELP AND I VIEW THIS AS AN IMPORTANT ELEMENT OF CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT. SO LET'S SEE HOW THAT MIGHT COME TO BARE ON A -- BEAR ON A TYPICAL NOTE. THIS INCLUDES A LIST OF MEDICATIONS THAT WAS ENTERED BY THE INTERN. IS THE RECONCILIATION OF THE MEDICATIONS ACCURATE? CAN WE HELP WITH THAT PROBLEM? IN A PHYSICAL EXAM, VITAL SIGNS AND OTHER FINDINGS ARE NOTED. DO THESE HIDE CLUES TO AN EARLY SIGN OF SUBSTANCE, WHICH IF RECOGNIZED, COULD HELP ALTER OF COURSE THAT HAVE ACCEPTSIS? THE IMAGING REPORT IS LISTED IN A HISTORY. WHAT OTHER RECOMMENDATIONS LIE IN THOSE IMAGING REPORTS THAT ARE RELEVANT TO THE CARE OF THAT PATIENT? HERE IS THE FORMULATION OF THE THINKING OF THAT PHYSICIAN, AND THEIR EFFORTS TO ORGANIZE THE PROBLEM. SHOULD THERE BE A BROADER DIFFERENTTIAL? IS THE CARE OUTLINE THERE HAD APPROPRIATE? THE CODE STATUS, IS THAT ACCURATE? IS THAT UP TO DATE? ALL OF THESE ARE AREAS IN WHICH WE CAN HELP THOSE CLINICIANS WHO MAY HAVE 15 SUCH ADMISSIONS IN ONE NIGHT. AND LASTLY FOR OUR COLLEAGUES IN CMS, ARE THE COMPLIANCE RULES BEING FOLLOWED? WE'RE TENTATIVE TO THIS, AS -- ATTENTIVE TO THIS, AS ARE MOST INSTITUTIONS AND SPENT SPEND A LOT OF TIME IN TRYING TO IMPROVE OUR COMPLIANCE. ONE WAY TO DO THIS WAS TO USE STRUCTURED NOTES. THIS IS ONE OF THE ADVANTAGES OF USING STRUCTURED NOTES THAT YOU CAN QUICKLY TRACK THE CARE GIVEN TO PEOPLE WITH SAY DIABETES MELITIS WITH ENCODED ELEMENTS FOR FOOT EXAM AND SO ON. BUT AS I MENTIONED, THIS IS LESS COMMONLY USED IN OUR EXPERIENCE THAN THE NARRATIVE TEXT REPORT. AND IT'S NOT JUST US. WHEN WE LOOKED AT THE CORE MEASURES THAT ARE USED TO MEASURE THE QUALITY OF THE CARE WE DELIVER, THAT WERE GATHERED TOGETHER BY THE U AC, WHAT WE FOUND WAS THAT A LOT OF THE INFORMATION FROM THE CORE MEASURES IS FOUND IN STRUCTURED ENCODED INFORMATION IN OUR SYSTEMS, BUT MOST OF IT IS NOT. MOST OF THE INFORMATION THAT WE USED TO MEASURE QUALITY LIES IN THE NARRATIVE TEXT OF THE NOTE AND NOT JUST FROM ONE SOURCE BUT FROM MANY SOURCES. SO THERE IS WHERE WE NEED TO DIRECT OUR FOCUS. IF WE LOOK AT A BROADER PERSPECTIVE ON THE SAME ISSUE IN THIS PAPER FROM PROCESS AND HER COLLEAGUES, WE FIND THAT A LOT OF THE QUALITY MEASURES THAT WE SEEK TO APPLY TO THE CARE OF PATIENTS ARE HARD TO GET TO, AND AS YOU CAN SEE, ON THE RIGHT-HAND SIDE OF THIS GRAPH, SOME OF THE THINGS THAT ARE HARD TO GET TO ARE DISEASE-SPECIFIC HISTORY, PHYSICAL EXAM, PATIENT EDUCATION, SOCIAL HISTORY, AND SO ON. THOSE ARE VERY, VERY IMPORTANT TO MEASURE IN QUALITY. AND YET THERE IS LARGELY NOT EASY TO GET TO BECAUSE THEY'RE IN NARRATIVE TEXT. SO I SEE A HOST OF REASONS THAT NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING CAN BE A BIG HELP TO US. SO WITH THAT BACKDROP, THE STORY OF OUR TRANSITION FROM PAPER TO ELECTRONIC NOTES, OUR EXPERIMENTS USING STRUCTURED AND UNSTRUCTURED THE ADVANTAGES OF BOTH. I'D LIKE TO SHOW YOU SOME EXAMPLES WAVE PLIED TO THE FIELD OF NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING IN OUR PRODUCTION ENVIRONMENT. NOW, A BRIEF ASIDE HERE TO POINT OUT THAT, AS WE TAKE A GREAT IDEA IN COMPUTING, IT HAS TO PASS THROUGH SEVERAL HURDLES, INCLUDING THE RIGOROUS TESTING. BUT THE HURDLES THAT I AM FAMILIAR WITH IN MY DAY-TO-DAY WORK IS THE CMS SYSTEM ARE TO GET IT INTO A PRODUCTION SYSTEM, IT HAS TO BE FIRST OF ALL, INDUSTRIAL STRENGTH. IT HAS TO BE HAVE EXTREMELY HIGH PERFORMANCE OR CLINICIANS WON'T TOLERATE IT. IT HAS TO COMPETE WITH LOTS OF OTHER APPLICATIONS, AND IT HAS TO FIT INTO THE WORK FLOW OF THE BUSY CLINICIAN. IF IT DOESN'T MEET THOSE STANDARDS, IT REMAINS IN THE LABORATORY. NOW WE HAVE PASSED THOSE HURD ENVELOPS TWO AREAS AND WE'RE WORKING ON THE THIRD. AND I'LL SHOW YOU THOSE EXAMPLES TODAY. AND THESE ADDED TO MY ENTHUSIASM FOR THE FIELD OF NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING. FIRST, COMPLYING WITH THE LAW. EVALUATION AND MANAGEMENT CODES ARE DIFFICULT TO ASSIGN. FOR THOSE OF YOU WHO AREN'T FAMILIAR WITH THIS, I'LL GIVE YOU A BRIEF VIEW OF A FEW OF THE PAGES OF THE BOOK THAT COVERS HOW YOU ASSIGN AN EMNM CODE TO YOUR NOTE. AND BY THE WAY, THIS IS HOW YOU ARE PAID SO IT'S IMPORTANT THAT YOU MASTER THIS. SO YOU CAN SEE THAT THIS BOOK, A FEW PAGES HERE ONLY IS NOT EASY. AND SO IT IS NOT SURPRISING THAT PHYSICIANS HAVE CHALLENGED COMPLYING WITH THESE. SO WE THOUGHT WHAT A GREAT IDEA FOR THE USE OF NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING. AND JUST AS WE HEARD YESTERDAY, A COMPUTER SYSTEM CODING WAS APPEALING TO US BECAUSE OF THE COMPLEXITY OF THESE RULES AND BECAUSE WE ALSO HAVE THE NOTES IN MACHINE-READABLE FORM. TO OUR MEDICAL ELECTRONIC RECORD CONTAINS A SET OF TOOLS TO PROCESS THE NARRATIVE TEXT, TAG THE DOCUMENTS WITH CODES, APPLY AG GARITHMS THAT ARE PERTINENT TO ASSIGNING AN E AND M EPISODE AND THEN YOU HAVE A REASONABLE ESTIMATE SUPPORTED BY THE DOCUMENT YOU'VE JUST SIGNED. THE TOOLS, HANDLE NEGATIVEATION AND QUALIFIERS. WE CAN ADD RULES TO INCREASE ITS PRECISION AND INTERESTINGLY AND IMPORTANTLY, THIS GIVES FEEDBACK TO THE PROVIDER ON EVERY NOTE THEY FIND WITHIN THREE SECONDS. SO IT FITS INTO THE WORK FLOW OF THE PHYSICIAN. IT'S CALIBRATED TO MEET THE STANDARDS OF OUR COMPLIANCE OFFICER AND AFTER CALIBRATION, 93 OUT OF 100 NOTES WERE GIVEN THE SAME CODE AS A TEAM OF PROFESSIONAL CODERS ASSIGNED TO THAT SAME NOTE. I WILL NOT TELL YOU THE PRECISE FIGURE THAT THE CLINICIANS HAD IN ASSIGNING CODES TO THE SAME NOTES, BUT IT WAS SUBSTANTIALLY LOWER. SO THIS IS VERY ENCOURAGING TO US THAT IT GIVES PHYSICIANS SOMETHING THEY VERY MUCH VALUE, WHICH IS A SAFETY NET TO COMPLYING WITH THE LAW, AND IT ALSO HAS BENEFITS. THIS IS HOW IT ACTUALLY FITS INTO THE WORK FLOW, WHICH IS SORT OF A MODEL FOR HOW DECISION SUPPORT APPLICATIONS MIGHT BE USED. FIRST OF ALL, WE AREN'T PARTS TO HOW THAT NOTE CAME TO BE BUT IT WAS DICTATED, TYPED TO TEMPLATE, VOICE RECOGNITION SOFTWARE. THEN A FEE SHEET IS COMPLETED. THAT SIGNED NOTE GOES THROUGH THE ELECTRONIC MEDICAL RECORD INTO THE PLACES ON THOSE RESIDE. BUT A NOTE IS ALSO SENT TO THIS ENGINE, WHICH IS USED TO DERIVE THE CODE SUPPORTED BY THE DOCUMENT. BUT ALSO THE CODES THAT WERE PULLED FROM THAT NOTES ARE STORED AND ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FOR USE FOR OTHER PURPOSES. AND I'LL SHOW YOU ONE OF THOSE OTHER PURPOSES SHORTLY. IF YOU HAVE A QUICK SCREEN PRINT HERE SHOWS THAT ON THE RIGHT SIDE OF THE SCREEN, YOU SEE THE HISTORY OF THAT NOTE. AND I'VE HIGHLIGHTED AML. IT CORRESPONDS TO LEUKEMIA. YOU HAVE AU A CODE AND EVERY PHRASE THAT IS IDENTIFIED ALSO HAS THOSE. AND AGAIN, THIS ANALYSIS IS PERFORMED WITHIN THREE SECONDS AND FED BACK TO THE PHYSICIAN. THE FULL NOTE LOOKS LIKE THIS. AND THOSE NOTES ARE READ FOR NEGATION, GREEN FOR SOME FORM OF PROBABILITY, AND BLUE FOR POSITIVE. SO THAT'S AN EXAMPLE OF A PHRASE IDENTIFIED AND THE CODE THAT IS ASSIGNED BY THE SOFTWARE IS SHOWN HERE. THE ONE ASSIGNED BY THE PHYSICIAN IS SHOWN HERE. SO THEY CAN UNDERSTAND WHERE THEIR ESTIMATION VARIES FROM WHAT THEptz SYSTEM OFFERS AND THIS ISX EXPERIENCE TO THEM AND I THINK A GOOD MODEL FOR HELPING US DO A BETTER JOB. SO THAT'S ONE EXAMPLE. COMPUTER-ASSISTED CODING. A SECOND IS THAT OUR NOTES LOOK IN MANY CASES LIKE THE ONE I'M SHOWING YOU HERE. AND THIS IS A NARRATIVE TEXT NOTE THAT INCLUDES A DETAILED PROBLEM LIST WRITTEN IN TERMS THAT ARE FAMILIAR TO THE PHYSICIAN. THE PROBLEM IS THAT NONE OF THIS SYSTEMS THAT BLACKFORD REFERRED TO CAN DO MUCH WITH THIS UNTIL IT IS ENCODED. SO WE HAVE TAKEN THAT VERY PHYSICIAN-FRIENDLY PROBLEM, WHICH YOU CAN SEE IN THIS NOTE, AND ADAPTED THE SOFTWARE SYSTEM THAT I SHOWED YOU EARLIER FOR COMPUTER-ASSISTED CODING AND HELPED PULL THE PROBLEM LIST FROM THAT NOTE. SO YOU CAN SEE HERE A LIST OF NOTES ON THE LEFT. IT ANALYZES THE NOTE, AND IT INDENTIFIES A SET OF DIAGNOSES THAT ARE MENTIONED BY THE PHYSICIAN IN THE NOTE, INCLUDING SOME THAT ARE A LITTLE BIT MORE CHALLENGING, FOR EXAMPLE, L RENAL LACERATION, T-11 COMPRESSION FRACTURES. FOLLOW THOSE ABBREVIATION THAT'S WE HEARD SO MUCH ABOUT YESTERDAY AND IT DOES A VERY GOOD JOB OF PULLING OUT THE CODES REPRESENTED IN THAT NOTE FOR THE PHYSICIAN TO REVIEW AND ADD TO THE PROBLEM LIST WHICH THEY CAN DO WITH A SINGLE CLICK. SO THIS MAY SEEM LIKE A SMALL ADVANCE AND I GUESS ON THE SCALE OF THINGS IT IS, BUT FOR THOSE PHYSICIANS, FINISHING THEIR NOTE, DOING THEIR JOB FOR DOCUMENTING THAT CARE AND HAVING THE PROBLEM LIST AUTOMATED AND ENCODED AS A BY PRODUCT THEIR WORK IS VERY POPULAR TO THEM SO THEY DON'T HAVE TO GO TO ANOTHER DIALOGUE BOX, INTERRUPT THEIR WORK FLOW TO ASSIGN A PROBLEM LIST. VERY POPULAR. A THIRD EXAMPLE -- AND THIS ONE HAS NOT YET ACHIEVED THE STANDARD THAT I MENTIONED FOR YOU OF BEING AVAILABLE IN PRODUCTION WITH PERFORMANCE STANDARDS THAT CLINICIANS EXPECT. AND THIS IS WORK I AM DOING WITH MALIA YETISH IN OUR BIOMEDICAL INFORMATICS GROUP. IN IT TACKLES THE UNFORTUNATE PROBLEM THAT WE FACE, WHICH IS THAT IMAGING REPORTS ARE SO EXTENSIVE. I'M NOT REFERRING TO THE IMAGES THEMSELVES BUT THE REPORTS WE GET BACK THAT WITHIN THE REPORTS ARE MORE INFORMATION THAT WE CAN EASILY PROCESS OR REMEMBER. THIS EXAMPLE SHOWS THAT THIS TRAUMA VICTIM HAS MANY SERIOUS PROBLEMS, INCLUDING FRACTURES, PNEUMOTHORACS, HEMATOMA IN THE ABDOMEN, A LEFT HEMOTHORSAX AND THAT'S ENOUGH TO GET YOUR ATTENTION. SO YOU HAVE LOTS TO DO TO CARE FOR THIS PATIENT, AND YOU MIGHT OVERLOOK THE FACT THAT THERE IS ALSO A RIGHT ADNEXAL CYT, WHICH THE RADIOLOGIST RECOMMENDS THAT WE REMEMBER AND FOLLOW UP TO AVOID POSSIBLE OVARIAN NEOPLASM DEVELOPING. SO ALL OF THIS INFORMATION IS IN THE NARRATIVE TEXT. WHAT CAN WE DO TO HELP IT WITH THAT? OUR PROJECT IS LOOKING NOT FOR THE CRITICAL ABNORMALITIES BUT FOR THOSE THAT ARE SUBCRITICAL, FLAGGING THEM SO THAT THEY'RE AVAILABLE FOR THE NEXT PERSON TO REVIEW IN THE CLINIC PERHAPS WHEN THEY'VE RECOVERED FROM THEIR ACCIDENT. SO VOICE IS CATCHING ON. VOICE AND SPEECH TECHNOLOGIES ARE NOW MAINSTREAM. THIS IS NOTICED BY PHYSICIANS. THEY'RE USING THIS EXEXTENSIVELY. I THINK THE THINGS THAT WE CAN USE AS WE TAKE THE EXPRESSIVENESS OF THE PHYSICIAN AND PUT IT INTO TEXT IS THAT WE HAVE THE ABILITY TO SUMMARIZE, TO SEARCH FOR EASILY, TO EXTRACT KEY ENCODED INFORMATION SUCH AS PROBLEM LISTS. WE CAN FOCUS OUR ATTENTION ON THINGS THAT MIGHT BE OVERLOOKED, AND SO AS THE VOLUME OF NARRATIVE TEXT GROWS, SO DOES OUR NEED FOR THE TOOLS THAT WE LEADER ABOUT DESCRIBED YESTERDAY. I THINK THE TREND TOWARD NARRATIVE GROWTH WILL CONTINUE, AND THE NLP WILL HELP US TO MAKE BETTER DECISIONST FITS INTO THE WORK FLOW OF MEDICAL RECORDS AND AS WE IMPLEMENT MEDICAL RECORDS MORE EXTENSIVELY ACROSS OUR COUNTRY, WE NEED TO MAKE SURE THAT WE MATCH THOSE EMRS WITH HUMAN STRENGTH AND WITH WORK FLOWS. WE'LL STOP THERE. [APPLAUSE] >> WE HAVE TIME FOR ONE OR TWO QUESTIONS FOR TOM. >> UNIVERSITY OF UTAH. I HAVE A SPECIFIC QUESTION ABOUT YOUR IMPLEMENTATION OF AN LP TO ENCODE THE NARRATIVE PROBLEM LIST. DO YOU HAVE SOME PERFORMANCE NUMBERS OR DID YOU EVALUATE THAT? HOW WELL DOES IT PERFORM? >> WE HAVE FOR THE CLINICIANS, THE MOST IMPORTANT MEASURE IS HOW FAST IT IS. AND IT IS SECONDS. SO IT'S VERY FAST. THE AACCURACY IS NOT AS GREAT AS -- IS NOT AS HIGH AS A SAY PROBLEM MIGHT BE. BUT AGAIN, IT ISN'T AUTOMATICALLY ADDING IT TO THE PROBLEM. IT'S GIVING IT TO THE CLINICIANS TO MAKE A JUDGMENT ABOUT ADDING IT OR NOT. IT'S BEEN IN PRODUCTION ONLY ABOUT SIX WEEKS BY THIS EARLY DATA BUT IT'S HIGHLY POPULAR. AND VERY FAST. >> SO ON THE SAME LINES, I THINK IT'S A GREAT IDEA. THE PROJECT -- THE IDEA IS THAT YOU MIGHT -- THE PHYSICIAN MIGHT SAY DEPRESSION AND IT SAYS RELENTING AND REMITTING BLAH, BLAH DEPRESSION. DOES IT RECOGNIZE THAT THERE IS A MORE GENERAL, MORE SPECIFIC ONE IN THE REAL PROBLEM LIST? >> PARDON? >> [INDISCERNABLE] >> IT ATTEMPTS TO. AND IT DOES THIS BY LOOKING FOR EXISTING PROBLEMS WITH THE SAME CONCEPT IN ITS FIFR OVERLAPS. IT ACTUALLY SHOWS THE SINCE AND IT DOESN'T PROPOSE TO ADD THEM IF IT FINDS SOMETHING CLOSE. YEAH. >> HI. PHILLIP RES KNICK, UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND. THANK YOU FOR THAT. GIVEN WHAT I WAS TALKING ABOUT YESTERDAY, IT'S INCREDIBLY EXCITING TO HEAR THIS ESPECIALLY FROM THE CLINICIAN PERSPECTIVE. MY QUESTION IS ABOUT WHERE THE STATE OF THINGS >> NOW. THIS IS VERY EXCITING. ARE YOU RIGHT NOW A LONE VOICE IN THE WILDERNESS? ARE YOU STARTING TO SEE WHAT YOU ARE SEEING HERE PERCOLATE OUT THROUGH THE COMMUNITY? IN THE COMPUTER-ASSISTED CODING WORLD, IBSEEN ONE PERSPECTIVE BUT I'M ACTUALLY WONDERING WHETHER RIGHT NOW A BLEEDING EDGE AND NOEBS IS DOING IT OR YOU ARE PART OF A COMMUNITY OF OTHER PEOPLE WHO ARE STARTING TO EXPLORER EXPLORE THIS? >> I THOUGHT LATTER. I WON'T SAY IT'S WIDESPREAD THROUGH THE UNITED STATES. I WILL SAY THAT WITH INSENTIVES FOR EMR USE, THE AVAILABILITY OF ELECTRONIC NOTES IS RISING QUITE RAPIDLY. THERE IS A RUMBLING OCCURRING ACROSS THE COUNTRY THAT WE'RE LOSING SOME OF THE NOTES. AND I AM BEGINNING TO SEE THE PENDULUM SWINGING BACK TO EXPRESSIST. BUT I CAN'T QUOTE YOU DATA ON THIS. I AM NOT ALONE -- A LONE VOICE IN THE WILDERNESS, BUT THE GROUP OF PEOPLE WHO ARE WORKING ON THIS IS A RELATIVELY SMALL BAND AT THE MOMENT. >> WE HAVE TO FIGURE OUT HOW TO GET THE RUMBLING LOUDER. >> WILL THOMPSON, NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY. THE APPLICATION WHERE YOU HAVE THE PROBLEM WITH BEING AUTO-GENERATED GIVES THE CLINICIAN AN OPPORTUNITY TO EITHER ACCEPT OR REJECT THE PROPOSALS MADE BY NLP. ARE YOU USING THE INFORMATION TO TRAIN THE SYSTEM AND MAKE IT BETTER? >> GOOD IDEA BUT NOT YET. EARLY DAYS. I HAVE TO SAY IT'S AN INTERESTING ANECDOTE. WE'RE DOING THIS AT THE SAME TIME WE'RE IMPLEMENTING C.P.OE IN THREE WEEKS AND WORKING ON THE OTHER CRITERIA. IT'S AN EXCITING TIME BUT IT ALSO TAKES AWAY YOUR FOCUS FROM ALL OF THE THINGS YOU'D LIKE TO DO. OUR QOU IS GETTING BIGGER. QUEUE IS GETTING BIGGER. >> THE PROBLEM IS THAT IF YOU GO BACK AFTER SAY FIVE YEARS TO DO RESEARCH, OBVIOUSLY THERE ARE SO MANY ELEMENTS MISSING TO DO A GOOD RESEARCH. FOR EXAMPLE, THE IMPORTANT THING IF YOU ARE LOOKING FOR ANYTHING AND YOU MAY NOT HAVE IT IN A NARRATIVE TEXT. SO ONTS WAY WE ADDRESSED THIS WAS THAT IF ESPECIALLY IN AN ACADEMIC INSTITUTION YOU CAN HAVE A STRUCTURED NOTE BY SOME JUNIOR RESIDENT OR SOMEONE AND THEN YOU MAKE THEM HOW TO THINK COG NITIVELY ABOUT THE PATIENT AND PUT AN IMPRESSION IF A FEW SENTENCE WHAT'S THEY THINK ABOUT THE PATIENT. SO IF THAT WAY YOU SUMMARIZE A FEW SENTENCES ABOUT A PROBLEM THE PATIENT IS FACING. SO YOU HAVE BOTH A STRUCTURED AS WELL AS A FREE TEXT NOTE. SO HOW DO YOU -- WHAT DO YOU THINK ABOUT THAT? >> YEAH. I THINK WE WILL HAVE A MIXTURE OF NARRATIVE AND ENCODED INFORMATION. THE YES IS -- QUESTION IS WHERE DOT BOUNDARIES FALL? WHAT I CAN REPORT IS THAT OUR CLINICIANS ARE PUSHING THE BOUNDARY FARTHER AWAY FROM HIGHLY ENCODED AND CLOSER TO MORE NARRATIVE TEXT SO THAT BOX THAT WE PROVIDE IS BEING USED A LOT. AND OUR REQUESTS ARE FOR TEM PLATS THAT HAVE LESS CLICKING AND MORE TYPING OF VOICE. SO THERE WILL BE A MIXTURE. MY SENSE IS THAT PEOPLE VALUE BOTH THE CREATORS AND THE READERS, REALLY VALUE THAT NARRATIVE AND SO THAT PEND LUM IS SHIFTING MORE IN THAT DIRECTION. >> I'D LIKE TO THANK TOM AGAIN. [APPLAUSE] >> I'D LIKE TO INTRODUCE OUR SECOND SPEAKER FOR THIS SESSION, DR. FRANK SONNENBERG FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF MEDICINE AND DENISTRY IN NEW JERSEY. >> OKAY, GOOD MORNING. AND I WANT TO THANK BLACKFORD FOR INVITING ME TO THIS MEETING. IT'S BEEN SE VERY INTERESTING SO FAR. I WASN'T SUPPOSED TO GO OFF -- ALL THE WAY TO THE -- OKAY, I WANT TO FIRST EXPLAIN THE PERSPECTIVE THAT I AM SPEAKING FROM. I AM A GENERAL INTERNIST. I'VE BEEN PRACTICING FOR ALMOST POYEARS, MORE THAN 30 YEARS IF YOU INCLUDE MY RESIDENCEY. SO I HAVE AN INTEREST IN APPLYING THIS TECHNOLOGY TO ME OWN PATIENT CARE. I'M ALSO A MEDICAL DIRECTOR OF CLINIC CHEMICAL INFORMATION SYSTEMS FOR MEDICAL SCOL AND A LARGE FACULTY, MULTISPECIALTY GROUP PRACTICE. SO I HAVE A RESPONSIBILITY FOR IMPLEMENTING CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT AND I'VE COME UP AGAINST SOME VERY REAL PRACTICAL CONCERNS THAT I AM GOING TO ILLUSTRATE FOR YOU IN MY TALK. I AM ALSO A CO-INVESTIGATOR IN THE CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT CONSORTIUM. SO I'VE TAKEN AN INTEREST IN THE FUTURE OF CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT, AND I AM VERY WELL AWARE OF THE DPAP BETWEEN WHERE WE ARE CURRENTLY AND WHERE WE HOPE IT WILL BE IN THE FUTURE, AS BLACKFORD PRESENTED THIS MORNING. MY CONCLUSION IN OUR CURRENT STATE-OF-THE-ART IS THAT CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT IS STILL NOT READILY AVAILABLE AND IT'S NOT EASY TO IMPLEMENT WITH CURRENTLY AVAILABLE TOOLS. AND JUST GOING TO SHOW YOU. THIS IS A FAIRLY TYPICAL CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT THAT'S AVAILABLE. THIS IS A COMMERCIAL LOENG MEDICAL RECORD WHICH WE USE ELECTRONIC. AND I WOULD CHARACTERIZE THE EARLY DECISION SUPPORT THAT'S AVAILABLE AS LOW-HANGING FRUIT. YOU CAN SEE HERE SOMETHING CALLED PREVENTIVE CARE REMINDERS. I'VE EXPANDED THAT PART OF THE SCREEN SO YOU CAN SEE IT IN MORE DETAIL. IT'S JUST A LIST OF ITEMS THAT THE EMR THINKS OR DO FOR THIS PATIENT. AND THEY ARE CHARACTERIZED BY THINGS THAT CAN BE -- FIRST OF ALL, THEY ARE DETERMINED BY VERY SIMPLE RULES. THE PATIENT IS A CERTAIN AGE, AND THEY EITHER HAVE BEEN DONE OR THEY HAVEN'T BEEN DONE. AND THE SYSTEM CAN'T DISTINGUISH BETWEEN SOMETHING THAT HASN'T BEEN DONE FROM SOMETHING THAT MAYBE HAS BEEN DONE BUT JUST HASN'T BEEN RECORDED IN THE RIGHT PLACE. AND WHEN IT COMES TO MORE COMPLEX DECISION SUPPORT, THE SYSTEM REALLY HAS AT THIS POINT RELATIVELY LITTLE TO OFFER. SO I THINK THAT THERE ARE A NUMBER OF PROBLEMS THAT PRESENT CHALLENGES TO CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT CURRENTLY. FIRST OF ALL, THE CURRENT GENERATION OF ELECTRONIC HEALTH RECORDS ARE NOT DESIGNED TO OPTIMALLY ORGANIZE PATIENT INFORMATION. THEY'RE STILL VERY HEAVILY DOCUMENT-BASED AND EPISODE BASED SO THEY DON'T CAPTURE VERY WELL SOME OF THE ELEMENTS OF THE PATIENTS' DATA THAT ARE LONGITUDENAL AND THAT CARRY OVER FROM ONE EPISODE OF CARE TO THE NEXT. AND ALSO, AS BLACKFORD POINTED OUT THIS MORNING, PATIENTS TEND TO SEE A NUMBER OF DIFFERENT PROVIDERS. THEY'RE NOT ALWAYS AT THE SAME INSTITUTION. AND SO OUR TOTAL MEDICAL RECORD IS COMPRISED OF INFORMATION THAT'S DERIVED FROM A NUMBER OF DIFFERENT SOURCES. IN AND PARTICULAR HISTORICAL FACTS ARE NOT READILY ACCESSIBLE. IT'S NOT EASY TO GO IN AND SEE IF A PARTICULAR THING HAS OCCURRED IN THE PAST. AND CERTAIN KINDS OF DATA -- THIS IS MY OWN PERSONAL OBSERVATION -- ARE NOT CAPTURED VERY WELL. ONE IS SYMPTOMS. THESE TEND TO BE IN THE NARRATIVE DESCRIPTIONS THAT WE'VE BEEN TALKING ABOUT. PHYSICAL FINDINGS. THEY MAY BE DISCREETIZED BUT SOME IN SOME CASES ONLY IN PARTICULAR FIELDS. SO THERE MAY BE A VARIABLE THAT SAYS CARDIOVASCULAR EXAM AND IT MAY BE A SPRING OF WORDS BUT IT DOESN'T ALLOW YOU TO EXTRACT FROM THAT STRING WHAT THE ACTUAL FINDINGS WERE. PREVIOUS PROCEDURES ARE NOT WELL-DOCUMENTED AS DISCREET DATA. AND ALSO MEASUREMENT SUPPORTING DIAGNOSES. I AM GOING TO ILLUSTRATE SOME OF THESE THINGS IN A MOMENT. SO IN ORDER TO APPLY DECISION SUPPORT OF THE TYPE THAT WE'VE BEEN HEARING ABOUT THIS MORNING, WHERE YOU ARE APPLYING DECISION RULES, TRYING IT APPLY GUIDELINES, YOU HAVE TO HAVE VARIABLES IN ORDER TO DECIDE HOW TO EXECUTE THOSE RULES. AND SUPPLYING VARIABLES AUTOMATICALLY FROM EMR REQUIRES CAPTURING THEM DURING ROUTINE CLINICAL CARE. AND THEY HAVE TO BE REPRESENTED SOMEHOW AS DISCREET DATA. YOU HAVE TO IDENTIFY WHAT THE PERTINENT VARIABLES ARE. AND ANOTHER PROBLEM THAT WE HAVEN'T DISCUSSED A LOT AT THIS MEETING BUT IT'S STILL A BIG PROBLEM. EMRS IN GENERAL STILL DO NOT EMPLOY STANDARDIZED TERMINOLOGY. THAT'S BEGINNING TO CHANGE, BUT WE'RE STILL NOT THERE YET. THE SYSTEM WE USE USES A COMPLETELY PROPRIETARY SCHEME. AND IN FACT, IN OUR WORK AS A DEMONSTRATION SITE FOR THE CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT CONSORTIUM, WE HAVE A WHOLE SUBPROJECT TO TRANSLATE OUR DATA INTO THESE STANDARDIZED CODING THAT THE KNOWLEDGE SERVER REQUIRES. THE BOTTOM LINE IS THAT MUCH CRITICAL INFORMATION IS NOT CAPTURED IN EMR VARIABLES. SO I AM GOING TO WALK YOU THROUGH A VERY DETAILED EXAMPLE THAT WE ANALYZED AS PART OF OUR WORK IN IMPLEMENTING CLINICAL DPLINS, AND I AM APPROACHING THIS FROM THE OPPOSITE PERSPECTIVE OF WHAT YOU HEARD YESTERDAY. GUIDELINES. YESTERDAY, PEOPLE WERE TALKING ABOUT LOOKING AT NARRATIVE TEXT AND ASKING WHAT CAN WE EXTRACT FROM IT? I AM APPROACHING IT FROM THE OPPOSITE POINT OF VIEW, WHICH IS WHAT DATA DO WE NEED AND WHERE CAN WE FIND IT IN THE MEDICAL RECORD? SO I LOOKED AT TWO EXAMPLE GUIDELINES. ONE IS THE J AND C SEVEN, WHICH IS THE STANDARD AND MOST HIGHLY ACCEPTED GUIDELINE FOR MANAGEMENT OF HYPERTENSION AND ALSO THE NCEP CHOLESTEROL TREATMENT GUIDELINES. BOTH OF THESE -- WE SELECTED THESE FOR TWO REASONS. ONE IS THAT THEY'RE VERY WELL-ACCEPTED. THEY'RE NOT CONTROVERSIAL AT ALL. AND THEY'RE BOTH FAIRLY COMPLEX. THEY'RE EXTRAORDINARILY COMPLEX, CONSIDERING HOW COMMONLY THEY NEED TO BE IMPLEMENTED. SO WE LOOKED AT THE VARIABLES AND WE IDENTIFIED THE FOLLOWING TYPES OF VARIABLES THAT ARE NEEDED TO IMPLEMENT THESE GUIDELINES. FIRST OF ALL, THERE ARE SIMPLE VARIABLES WHICH I DEFINED AS SINGLE OBSERVATIONS, SOMETHING LIKE A KRISTOLOLIC BLOOD PRESSURE. AND THERE ARE CALCULATED VARIABLES, THINGS THAT ARE NOT OBSERVED DIRECTLY BUT ARE CALCULATED FROM OTHER OBSERVATIONS. SO A SIMPLE EXAMPLE IS AGE THAT CAN BE CALCULATED FROM THE BIRTH DATE OR A BODY MASS INDEX WHICH IS CALCULATED FROM THE HEIGHT AND THE WEIGHT. THEN THERE ARE OTHER COMPLEX VARIABLES THAT ARE DEFINED IN TERMS OF OTHER VARIABLES OR OBSERVATIONS SUCH AS IN THESE GUIDELINES TERMS SUCH AS ELEVATED CORONARY RISK OR MOT BOLIC SYNDROME APPEAR. AND THEY'VE ILLUSTRATED AT THE BOTTOM METABOLIC STROM IS DEFINED IN TERMS OF SEVERAL OTHER TERMS, ONE OF WHICH OBDOMINAL OBESITY IS DEFINED ITSELF IN TERMS OF OTHER VARIABLES SUCH AS ABDOMINAL CIRCUMFERENCE AND DISCREET OBSERVATIONS. AND IN LOOKING AT THESE TWO GUIDELINES TOGETHER, WHICH I THINK MOST PRIMARY PHYSICIANS WOULD BE EXECUTING THESE GUIDELINES MANY TIMES A DAY EVERY DAY THEY SEE PATIENTS. WE IDENTIFIED A TOTAL OF 169 DIFFERENT DISTINCT TERMS THAT HAD TO BE SUBSTANTIATED IN ORDER TO APPLY THESE GUIDELINES. THERE ARE 42 VARIABLE THAT'S COULD BE CHARACTERIZED AS DIRECT OBSERVATION. THERE WERE 40 THAT CONSTITUTED HEALTH ISSUES SO THAT DIAGNOSIS THAT'S WOULD BE ON A PATIENT'S PROBLEM LIST. FOUR WERE MEDICATION-RELATED. THERE WERE 15 VARIABLE THAT'S WERE CATEGORIZED AS -- WE CATEGORIZED THESE AS NEEDING TO ASK A CLINICIAN. THAT MEANS THERE ARE THINGS THAT WERE NOT ROUTINELY CAPTURED AS PART OF A CLINICAL ASSESSMENT BUT WERE NEEDED IN ORDER TO IMPLEMENT THIS GUIDELINE. THERE WERE 32 VARIABLES THAT REQUIRED CALCULATION AND 36 VARIABLE THAT'S WERE COMPLEX TERMS, THAT IS, THINGS THAT WERE DEFINED IN TERMS OF OTHER VARIABLES. SO WE FOUND THAT IN EMR ONLY 51% OF THE VARIABLES WERE SIMPLE TERMS COLLECTED IN THE FORMS NEED FOR APPLICATION OF THE GUIDELINES. 40% OF THEM DEPEND ON OTHER SIMPLE TERMS AND THERE WERE A LOT OF UNDEFINED TERMS, THINGS SUCH AS CHILDREN, ADOLESCENTS, ELDERLY, END STAGE HEART DISEASE THAT A CLINICIAN WOULD NEED TO UNDERSTAND IN ORDER TO APPLY THE GUIDELINE BUT ALL ABOUT IT WERE NOT DEFINED PRECISELY. AND SOME TERMS WERE DEFINED ONLY OUTSIDE OF THE GUIDELINE. THERE WAS ONE TERM ELEVATED CORONARY RISK THAT WAS REFERENCED BUT YOU ACTUALLY HAD TO LOOK UP IN ORDER TO FIND IT. AND SO I WANTED TO FOCUS ON JUST ONE OF THESE COMPLEX VARIABLES THAT COMES FROM THE GUIDELINE CALLED TARGET ORGAN DAMAGE. AND SO MANY CLINICIANS MAY KNOW WHAT THAT MEANS, BUT IN ORDER TO IMPLEMENT THIS GUIDELINE, YOU HAVE TO KNOW VERY PRECISELY. AND SO IF YOU LOOK IT UP, THERE IS A TABLE IN THE GUIDELINE, AND IT CONSISTS OF ALL OF THE FOLLOWING OR ANY OF THE FOLLOWING. LEFT VENTRICULAR HYPERTROPHY, CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE AND SO ON. AND IN ADDITION, NOT ALL OF THESE THINGS ARE SIMPLE TERMS EITHER. FOR EXAMPLE, LEFT VENTRICULAR HYPERTROPHY IS RARELY GOING TO BE RECORDED IN EMR AS A TERM. THAT DEPENDS ON SOME OF THESE OTHER VARIABLES SUCH AS THICKNESS OR LBH BY EKG CRIER TERIA. ANOTHER EXAMPLE IS PERIPHERAL ARTERIAL DISEASE, AND IT'S DEFINED IN THE GUIDELINE AS CONSISTING OF ONE OF THESE FOLLOWING THINGS, INCLUDING AT THE BOTTOM THAT ONE WAS JUST DESCRIBED AS OTHERS. IT WAS NOT SPECIFIED. SO THESE VARIABLES COME FROM DIFFERENT PARTS OF THE RECORDS SORMENT FOR EXAMPLE,. SO FOR EXAMPLE, I'VE HIGHLIGHTED HERE THE ENTITIES THAT WOULD BE RETRIEVED FROM THE PATIENT'S COMPREHENSIVE HISTORY, WHETHER THEY HAD A PRIOR STROKE OR NOT AND SO ON. PRIOR CORONARY DEVASCULARIZATION DEVASCULARIZATION. OTHERS DEPEND ON THE PHYSICAL EXAM -- HEART FAILURE, FOR EXAMPLE, STROKE COULD BE SOMETHING DETECTED FOR THE FIRST TIME ON PHYSICAL EXAM, PERIPHERAL ARTERIAL DISEASE CAN BE BOTH HISTORICAL AND A PHYSICAL FINDING. AND RETINA OPTHY DEPENDS ON THE PHYSICAL ASSESSMENT. SOME THINGS DEPEND ON JRJSDS SUCH AS ANGINA OR SYMPTOMATIC HEART FAILURE AND SOME THINGS DEPEND ON DIAGNOSTIC TESTS. THINGS I'VE HIGHLIGHTD IN RED HERE. THAT IS, SOMEBODY HAS LEFT VENTRICULAR HYPERTROPHY OR CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE, THERE ARE DIAGNOSTIC TEST FORS HEART FAILURE AND STROKES. SO SOME OF THESE ENTITIES ARE CAPTURED BY MORE THAN ONE MODALITY. IN THE CASE OF PERIPHERAL ARTERIAL DISEASE, CHRONIC STENOSIS IS DETECTED BY TESTS. THE QUESTION IS WHERE ARE THESE THINGS IN THE CLINGICAL RECORD? LET'S TAKE LEFT VENTRICULAR HYPERTROPHY AND CONGESTIVE HEART FAILURES AS EXAMPLES. THE DATA ON LDH COMES EITHER FROM AN ECOCARDIOGRAM. YOU CAN SEE THERE ARE TWO VARIABLE THAT'S I'VE HIGHLIGHTED. LEFT VENTRICULAR, POSTERIOR WALL THICKNESS. IN THIS CASE THEY'RE NORMAL BUT THAT'S WHERE ONE WOULD HAVE TO LOOK. ANOTHER PLACE TO LOOK WOULD BE IN THE EKG REPORT. NOW, THIS REPRESENTS THE DATA AS WE RECEIVED. THIS IS FROM AN ACTUAL CASE. THE ECOCARDIOGRAM WAS DONE IN AFAST PHYSICIAN'S OFFICE WHO IS NOT PART OF OUR PRACTICE, AND THIS REPORT, WHICH WE RECEIVED, YOU KNOW THE LD WALL THINGS IS A DISCREET VARIABLE. IT WASN'T CAPTURED THAT WAY BY OU SYSTEM BECAUSE IT'S PART OF A TEXT REPORT. AND THE COMMENT ABOUT THE FRACTION WHICH RELATES TO THE PATIENT HAVING HEART FAILURE, IS NOT EVEN RECORDED AS DATA IN THE REPORT. IT'S RECORDED AS A NARRATIVE CONCLUSION. AND THE ONLY WAY THAT WE COULD POSSIBLY CAPTURE THAT IS BY FINDING THIS TEXT AND REVIEWING IT. NOW, SIMILARLY, THE EKG. THIS IS A COMPUTER-INTERPRETED EQG. BUT THE WAY WE RECEIVE IT IN OUR ELECTRONIC MEDICAL RECORD IS A SCANED REPORT. SO THE TEXT IS THERE, BUT THE FINDINGS, IF LEFT VENTRICULAR HYPERTROPHY WERE PRESENT, IT COULD ONLY BE EXTRACTED FROM THE TEXT IN THAT REPORT. HERE IS ANOTHER EXAMPLE. AGAIN, THIS IS FROM THE SAME CASE. THIS PATIENT HAD CORONARY BYPASS SURGERY, AND THE ONLY RECORD OF IT, THE ONLY ACTUAL DISCREET RECORDING OF THE PRIOR SURGERY IN THE CHART WAS IN A LETTER FROM A CONSULTANT. THIS IS FROM THE PHYSICIAN WHO ACTUALLY PERFORMED THE SURGERY BECAUSE IT WAS DONE IN AN OUTSIDE HOSPITAL. THE OPERATIVE REPORT WAS NOT AVAILABLE IN OUR MEDICAL RECORD. SO ONE WOULD NOT HAVE THIS INFORMATION WITHOUT THE ABILITY TO EXTRACT IT FROM THIS LETTER. AND IT ALSO PROVIDES THE DATE THAT THE TEST WAS DONE OR THAT THE SURGERY WAS DONE. FOR EVIDENCE OF PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE, WE TALKED ABOUT DOING A -- THIS COMES FROM A DUPE PLEX REPORT. AGAIN, THESE ARE NUMBERS. THEY COULD BE DISCREET DATA ELEMENTS. BUT WE RECEIVED IT AS A TEXT TEXT-BASED REPORT. IT TELLS US EXACTLY WHAT THE STENOSIS IS, BUT AGAIN, THIS WOULDN'T BE AVAILABLE TO ANY OF OUR DECISION SUPPORT UNLESS SOMEBODY EXTRACTED THIS INFORMATION FROM THE NARRATIVE TEXT AND PUT IT INTO A VARIABLE. NOW, THIS IS ONE THAT WAS PARTICULARLY VEXING TO ME. THIS IS AN ACTUAL -- THIS IS A SCANED DIRECTLY FROM THE GUIDELINE. THEY TALK ABOUT PATIENTS WITH SYMPTOMIC VENTRICULAR DYSFUNCTION. WE KNOW HOW TO DETERMINE VENTRICULAR DYSFUNCTION BUT HOW DO YOU DETERMINE IF IT'S SYMPTOMATIC? IT COMES FROM NARRATIVE NOTES, IN THIS CASE A LETTER FROM THE PATIENT'S CARDIOLOGIST. SHE'S DOING WELL. WITHOUT ANY SHORTNESS OF BREATH. SO WE CAN CONCLUDE THAT SHE'S NOT SYMPTOMATIC. BUT THE ONLY WAY TO KNOW WOULD BE TO READ THIS NOTE. THERE IS NO VARIABLE IN OUR EMR THAT SAYS SYMPTOMATIC CONGESTIVE HEART FAILURE. SO IN CONCLUSION, APPLYING DECISION RULES REQUIRES SUBSTHANGS OF A -- SUBSTANTIAL AND MANY OF THESE VARIABLES ARE NOT CAPTURED AS DISCREET DATA EVEN IN OUR ELECTRONIC HEALTH RECORDS. AND MANY IMPORTANT DATA ITEMS ARE AVAILABLE ONLY AS TEXTULE ENTRIES OR NARRATIVE REPORTS. ONE APPROACH TO THIS IS INCREASING THE DISCREET DATA CAPTURE BY CLINICIANS. I TEND TO AGREE WITH THE CONSENSUS THAT THAT'S NOT TOTALLY REALISTIC. I THINK THERE ARE LIMITS AS TO HOW MUCH WE CAN CAPTURE DISCREETLY. BUT CURRENT DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS CANNOT MAKE USE OF ALL THE INFORMATION THAT WE HAVE. SO I THINK FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE, NATURAL LANGUAGING PROCESSING WILL BE THE ONLY WAY TO CAPTURE THIS DATE Y FROM THE ELECTRONIC HEALTH RECORD. SO THAT CONCLUDES MY TALK. [APPLAUSE] >> WE HAVE TIME FOR ONE VERY QUICK QUESTION, IF ANYONE HAS ONE. AS WE SWITCH OVER PRESENTATIONS. OKAY, WE'LL MOVE ON TO OUR THIRD PRESENTER. DR. JAMES WALKER FROM GEISINGER HEALTH SYSTEM. >> THANK YOU. IT'S A PLEASURE TO BE HERE TODAY. THANK YOU, BLACKFORD, FOR THE INVITATION AND THANK YOU, DR. LINBERG FOR HOSTING US. IT'S ALWAYS A PLEASURE TO WORK WITH THE HIGHEST FUNCTIONING UNIT OF THE AMERICAN GOVERNMENT. HENRY ADAMS SAID THAT THE ONLY OBLIGATION OF THE NOVEL IS TO BE INTERESTING. AND I THINK THAT'S THE ONLY OBLIGATION FOR PRESENTATIONS, SO I'LL TRY. I WANT TO THANK JOHN BAYER, WHO IS MY UNINDICTED CO-CONSPIRATOR AND THE PERSON THAT MADE ALL OF THIS HAPPEN. I'M THE CHIEF HEALTH INFORMATION OFFICE AT GEISINGER AN INTERNIST, A COGNITIVE PSYCHOLOGIST AND A STUDENT SYSTEMS ENGINEER. AT GEISINGER, WE OPERATE A COMPLETELY INTEGRATED IN PATIENT, OUTPATIENT EHR USED BY ALL CLINICIANS FOR EVERYTHING. WE HAVE A NETWORKED PHR THAT ABOUT 38% OF THE PATIENTS WITH WHOM WE HAVE SOME KIND OF ONGOING RELATIONSHIP USED AND DO THINGS LIKE RECEIVING CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT DIRECTLY THROUGH THAT. AND MANY OF WHOM OF COURSE ACTIVATE IT AND GET THE RESPONSES BACK WITHOUT ANY OTHER HUMAN, EXCEPT THE LAB INTERVENING. WE LEAD HEALTH INFORMATION EXCHANGE THAT LINKS TOGETHER SEVERAL HUNDRED FACILITIES AND I THINK 20 DIFFERENT COMPANIES AND LEAD A BEACON COMMUNITY, WHICH IS ENGAGED IN TRYING TO LEAD AND EXECUTE COMMUNITY-WIDE EVIDENCE-BASED CARE PROCESSES ACROSS FIVE COUNTIES OF RURAL PENNSYLVANIA. SO I AM GOING TO TALK ABOUT INFORMED CARE PROCESS IMPROVEMENT, INCLUDING CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT. IT'S OUR BELIEF, WE THINK WE HAVE LEARNED THAT CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT ONLY IS VERY USEFUL WHEN IT'S SET IN THE LARGER CONTEXT OF CARE PROCESS IMPROVEMENT. AND THIS IS THE WAY WE THINK ABOUT THAT. THE GOAL IS NOT HELPING PEOPLE MAKE BETTER DECISIONS -- WHOEVER THEY ARE, PATIENTS OR SOMEONE ELSE ON THE PATIENT'S CARE TEAM, BUT EXECUTING 100 PERCENT PROCESSES. AND THE ONLY NUMBER YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT AMERICAN HEALTHCARE IS THE ONE THAT BLACKFORD CITED EARLIER, 55%. RIGHT NOW -- AND THIS WAS A VERY CAREFULLY DONE STUDY. I HAVE NEVER HEARD ANY QUIBBLE WITH THEIR METHODOLOGY. THEY IDENTIFIED 30 EVIDENCE EVIDENCE-BASED INTERVENTIONS THAT APPLY TO ADULTS. THEY SURVEYED ACROSS SEVERAL CITIES AND COMMUNITIES IN THE UNITED STATES AND CAME UP WITH THIS APPALLING NUMBER. AND SO WHAT OUR GOAL IS IS TO MAKE SURE THAT EVERY PATIENT GETS EVERY INTERVENTION AOFFERED TO THEM AND IF THEY ELECT TO TAKE IT, EXECUTED FLAWLESSLY 100% OF THE TIME. BY THE WAY, THAT WOULD TAKE CARE OF HEALTHCARE DISPARITIES AS A SIDE BENEFIT. SO WHAT WHAT DOES THAT LOOK LIKE FOR GEISINGER? WE HAD SURGEONS SAT DOWN AND SAID LET'S IDENTIFY EVERYTHING HAS THAT'S BEEN PROVEN IN A GOOD CLINICAL TRIAL TO DECREASE THE RISK A PATIENT HAVING AN ADVERSE EFFECT WHEN THEY HAVE ELECTIVE OPEN HEART SURGERY. THEY FOUND 38 OR 40 -- I CAN NEVER REMEMBER THE NUMBER. AND THEY SAID OKAY, WE'RE GOING TO COMMIT OURSELVES TO DOING 100 PERCENT. EVERY PATIENT GETS 100 PERCENT OF THOSE EVERY SURGERY. FIRST WE LOOKED AT OUR EXISTING PERFORMANCE, WHICH GOD HELP US, WAS BETTER THAN NATIONAL BENCHMARK AND IT WAS 59%. SO THE TEAM -- AND THIS IS A TEAM OF SURGEONS AND OUTPATIENT CARDIOLOGISTS AND PCPS AND POST DOC NURSES AND PREOP NURSES AND EVERYBODY ELSE INVOLVED IN THE PROCESS CARDIAC REHAB DESERVE END TO END -- REDESIGNED THE PROCESS AND THEN DESIGNED HEALTH IT TO REMIND EVERYBODY WHAT THEIR PART OF THE PROCESS WAS AND LET THEM KNOW WHETHER IT HAD BEEN DONE OR NOT. WITHIN THREE MONTHS OF IMPLEMENTATION WE WERE AT 100%. WE'VE HAD BLIPS SINCE THEN BUT THE -- THIS IS NOT THE MOST RECENT DATA -- OUR RUN RATE OVER THE LAST 36 MONTHS IS 98%. SO THAT'S WHAT WE'RE AFTER, AND THEN CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT IS ANYTHING THAT HELPS US GET THERE. ALERT FATIGUE, JUST SO YOU HAVE THE RIGHT DEFINITION OF IT BECAUSE YOU PROBABLY HAVEN'T SEEN THIS ONE BEFORE. ALERT FATIGUE IS DECISION SUPPORT PROVIDED TO SOMEONE WHO IS NOT COMMITTED TO A 100% PROCESS. OUR EXPERIENCE IS THAT AFTER EVERYBODY STACKS HANDS AND SAYS WE'RE GOING TO DO THIS, WE FIND THAT PEOPLE ACTUALLY SCORES OF PHYSICIANS SENDING US AN EMAIL AND SAYING NEED TO PUT US OFF STOP ON THIS PARTICULAR PROCESS BECAUSE I KEEP CLOSING THE NOTE BEFORE I REMEMBER TO DOCUMENT MED REC RECONCILIATION, FOR INSTANCE. AND OBVIOUSLY, THE HEALTH IT IS JUST AN EXPENSIVE MESS. AND AS THE LITERATURE HAS ABUNDANTLY DEMONSTRATED, IT'S UNLIKELY TO IMPROVE QUALITY EFFICIENCY OR SATISFACTION. AND OF COURSE, IF YOU ARE ACTUALLY TRYING TO EXECUTE 100 PERCENT PROCESSS AND THAT ENGAGEMENT RUNS ACROSS ORGANIZATIONS, THEN IT'S INDISPENSEIBLE AND THE ARGUMENT GOES AWAY. SO WHAT IS CARE PROCESS IMPROVEMENT, INCLUDING SUPPORT LOOK LIKE TO US? FIRST OF ALL, THE TOTAL GOAL IS TO IMPROVE EDUCATION, AS YOU PROBABLY KNOW. IT'S ESTIMATED THAT HEALTHCARE ACCOUNTS FOR ABOUT 10% OF THAT. SO WE SHOULD BE A LITTLE BIT MODEST AS WE START OUT. BUT GRANTED THAT 10 PERCENT IS WHAT WE CONTROL, WHAT IS OUR TAKE ON IT? WELL, WE THINK WE NEED TO SUPPORT SHARED AND CLINICIAN SENSE-MAKING, WHICH IS EVERY CLINICIAN AND ALL PATIENTS THAT HAVE SERIOUS PROBLEMS KNOW. IT'S AN APPROXIMATE, INCREDIBLY HIGH ORDER INTELLECTUAL TASK ON BOTH THE PART OF THE CLINICIAN AND THE PATIENT. SUPPORT KNOWLEDGE ACQUISITION, WHICH MAY BE PART OF CLINICAL DECISION MOTHER. SHOULD SUPPORT SHARE-DECISION SHARE-DECISION-MAKING, WHICH IS A LITTLE DIFFERENT ANIMAL THAN WHAT WE CALL CLINICAL SUPPORT OFTEN AND TRANSLATE THOSE DECISIONS INTO COST COST-EFFECTIVE PROCESSES. AND ONE OF THE THINGS THAT WE DO TO TRY TO ACHIEVE 100 PERCENT PROCESSES IS WHAT I AM NOT SURE IF YOU WOULD CALL CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT OR NOT OF WHEN THOSE -- WHEN THAT CARDIOLOGY TEAM GOT TOGETHER AND DID ELECTIVE OPEN HEART SURGERY, WHEN WE DO CONGESTIVE HEART FAILURE AND PERINATAL. WHAT WE DO IS EMBED LOTS OF DECISIONS INTO THE PROCESS. SO IF WE'VE DECIDED THAT EVERYONE WITH CKD, CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE OR HAS A FILTRATION RATE LESS THAN OF 0 SHOULD HAVE ONE VISIT WITH A IF HE PHROLOGIST, THAT IS BUILT FOO THE SYSTEM AND NO HUMAN HAS EVER BOTHERED WITH THAT. NEPHROLOGIST. IF WE OFFERED DECIDED THAT ONE SHOULD BE OFFERED A MAMMOGRAM EVERY YEAR. THAT GOES TO THE PATIENT AND IF THE PATIENT SELF-SCHEDULES, GETS THE AUTOMATIC REMINDERS, GETS IT DONE AND IT'S NORMAL. SHE GETS A MESSAGE BACK FROM HER DOCTOR SAYS HALLELUJAH, IT'S NORMAL. NO GEISINGER CLINICIAN KNOWS ANYTHING HAPPENED. SO A LOT OF WHAT WE CALL CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT IS EMTHE BEDED IN ALL -- EMBEDD IN ALL KINDS OF SWIS THAT CLINICIANS ARE SO THAT CLINICIANS ARE LARGELY NOT IRRITATED BY IT. AND OF COURSE, WE'VE GOT TO EXECUTE THE PROCESSES RELIABLEABLY. HOW WITH DO WE USE IT CURRENTLY? WHAT WE DO IS WHAT WE CALL CLOSING CARE GAPS, WHICH WE NEVER SAY IN PUBLIC BECAUSE WE THINK THAT WOULD SOUND APPALLING TO PATIENTS. BUT WHAT WE DO IS WORK ON CARE PROCESS RELIABILITY. SO FOR INSTANCE WE WANT TO REDUCE THE TIME FROM AN ABNORMAL MAMMOGRAM TO BIOPSY AND FROM BIOPSY TO TREATMENT AND THE ACTUAL PERFORMANCE STANDARD IS IF YOU HAVE AN ABNORMAL MAM GRAM, YOU NEED TO 100% PROCESS BE OFFERED A VISIT WITHIN 24 HOURS WITH THE BREAST CLINIC, WITHIN 12 HOURS OF THE TIME THAT ABNORMAL MAMMOGRAM IS REPORTED. IF NOT, SOMEBODY GETS A NASTY GRAM, NOT THE PATIENT, OF COURSE. WE DEFINE THE POSITIVES. WHY? BECAUSE THE 19th CENTURY HISTOLOGY INFORMATION SYSTEM WE USED DOESN'T UNABLE THE HISTOLOGY -- ENABLE THE HISTOLOGY TO FLIP AN ABNORMAL FLAG ON IT. WE'VE DONE THE ANALYST -- ANALYTICS AND THERE IS NO SENSE DOING THE NLP IF WE DON'T DO THE SIGNAL AND AN ACTIONABLE, USEFUL WAY OF DOING IT. BUT ONCE THAT'S DONE, WE'LL EXECUTE THAT ONE AND THEN AS YOU CAN SEE, WE EXPECT TO DO THAT WITH A LOT OF OTHER PROBLEMS. YOU WILL NOTICE THE PROCESS REALTIME. ONE OF THE THINGS THAT'S IMPORTANT FOR US IS TO UNDERSTAND HOW FAST SOMETHING HAS TO HAPPEN FOR IT TO BE USEFUL. AND IT TURNS OUT THAT LOTS OF THINGS DON'T HAVE TO BE IN REAL TIME. THEY HAVE TO BE FAST ENOUGH OR WHATEVER THE PROCESS IS AND SO THAT'S ONE OF THE WAYS WE TRY TO BE EFFICIENT IS NOT -- IS TO BE SMAMART ABOUT WHAT THE TURN AROUND TIME FOR DIFFERENT KINDS OF IT IS. THAT OBVIOUSLY IS AN ADVANTAGE BECAUSE THEN WE CAN PROCESS IT OFF-LINE. WE DON'T HAVE TO HAVE SUBSECOND SCREEN FLIPS, WHICH OUR USERS RIGHTLY DEMAND OF US AND OBVIOUSLY, THIS IS NOT FAST ENOUGH TO BE POINT OF CARE. WE DON'T THINK IT MATTERS, ACTUALLY, FOR REASONS THAT I'LL TALK ABOUT IN A MINUTE. OTHER POSSIBLE USE CASES. YOU COULD IMAGINE TRACKING ALL OF THESE DIFFERENT PROCESS MEASURES TO MAKE SURE THAT WE'RE TAKING CARE OF PATIENTS APPROPRIATELY. SO THIS IS WHAT NLP CARE PROCESS IMPROVEMENT LOOKS LIKE TO US. OFTEN, PLACING A CLINICAL DECISION INTO BUSINESS PROCESS MANAGEMENT. YOU ARE ALL AWARE OF THAT. EVERYWHERE IN THE WORLD EXCEPT HEALTHCARE THERE IS A DISCIPLINE OF TAKING PROCESSES, BUILDING THEM INTO SOFTWARE SYSTEMS THAT THEN MANAGE MAKING SURE THAT THEY GET DONE OR THAT THE RIGHT PERSON KNOWS THAT IT'S THEIR TURN TO DO SOMETHING. THEN USING AN LP AGAIN SO THAT ONCE THE NLP IS DONE, IT STILL HAS TO FIT IN A PROCESS AND AN EXCUSE SYSTEM THAT'S GOING TO MAKE IT HAPPEN AND THEN GET TO 100 PERCENT PROCESS. SO WHY NOT POINT OF CARE? WE DON'T CARE THAT THAT THING I TOLD YOU ABOUT ISN'T GOING TO BE POINT OF CARE. THE REASON IS BECAUSE WE DON'T WANT ANYTHING POINT OF CARE THAT DOESN'T HAVE TO BE THERE. IN OUR VIEW, THE PATIENT'S TIME WITH THE PHYSICIAN OUGHT TO BE FOCUSED ON THE VERY HIGHEST ORDER, VERY MOST IMPORTANT, VERY MOST COMPLEX INTELLECTUAL TASKS AND REMEMBERING THAT IT'S TIME FOR THE MAMMOGRAM IS NOT ONE OF THOSE. AND SO OUR MODEL IS TO TAKE EVERYTHING OUT OF THE POINT OF CARE THAT COULD BE DONE SOMEWHERE ELSE AS WELL OR BETTER SO THAT THE PATIENT AND THE DOCTOR CAN LOOK IN EACH OTHER'S EYES AND DO THAT SENSE-MAKING, DO THAT SHARED DECISION-MAKING AND NEGOTIATION OF WHAT THE CARE PLAN IS GOING TO LOOK LIKE AND SO THE PATIENT WALKS OUT, A MY DOCTOR LOVES ME AND KNOWS ME AND CARES WHAT IS HAPPENING TO ME. ONE OF THE THINGS IS THE NETWORK-TO-PATIENT HEAT RECORD IS ENORMOUSLY VALUABLE FOR THIS. LOTS OF PATIENTS IN OUR UNDERSERVED, UNDEREDUCATED, POOR, OLD, IMMOBILE -- UNDEREMPLOYED POPULATION, ABOUT PO% OF OUR PATIENTS ARE THRILLED TO ATTACK CARRY OF ALL THIS STUFF THEMSELVES. WE SEND THEM ALERTS. SAY IT'S TOM FOR AREA DIABETES BLOODWORK. WE DON'T CALL IT THAT, OF COURSE. AND MANY OF THEM GO TO THE LAB, GET IT DONE, GET A REPORT THAT GOES BACK ELECTRONICALLY TO THE DOCTOR.<#%Pj" THEY SEND AN EMAILhmJ MESSAGE TO THE PATIENT AND THAT'S DONE. AND SO THAT IS ONE OF THE THINGS THAT HELPS US UNLOAD THE POINT OF CARE. ONE THING WE FIND IS AGGREGATION OF APPROPRIATE INFORMATION TAKES TIME. OUR DATA WAREHOUSE HAS 13 DATABASES FEEDING IT, AND NOT ALL OF THOSE WORK ON THE SAME TIME SCALE, AND SO NOT WORRYING ABOUT POINT OF CARE HELPS US TO AGGREGATE THAT INFORMATION. DO THE KIND OF HEAVY DUTY DECISION ENGINE WORK THAT IS OFTEN REQUIRED TO DO A GOOD JOB THEN GET IT TO THE RIGHT PERSON. ARE YOU GOING TO FLIP UP THAT FIVE MINUTES? THAT'S REALLY SLICK AND THEN ANOTHER THING -- WAS IT TWO MINUTES AGO? [LAUGHTER] SO I'VE GOT THREE MINUTES. I WANT TO TALK QUICKLY ABOUT THIS BECAUSE I DISAGREE FUNDAMENTALLY AND ALMOST COMPLETELY WITH THE IDEA WE'RE GOING BACK TO FREE TEXT. YOU REMEMBER THAT 55%? THAT WAS BEFORE EHRS DESTROYED THE EXPRESSIVITY AND RICHNESS AND NARRATIVE WORK OF THE DOCTOR'S NOTE, OKAY? THE DOCTOR'S NOTE IS NOT THE ISSUE HERE. IF DOCTORS CAN WRITE THE AMERICAN NOVEL AND EXECUTE 100 PERCENT PROCESSES, WE'RE ALL FOR IT. IF NOT, NOT. AND IT IS NOT A MEASURE. AND SO I THINK IT'S AN IMPORTANT THING TO GET PAST THAT SURROGATE. SO THIS IS ONE REASON WHY. SO YOU WAKE UP. AND YOU HAVE BED PAINS SO BAD THAT YOU CAN BARELY GET OUT OF BED AND YOU CAN'T STAND STRAIGHT UP. YOU CAN BARELY GET TO THE DOCTOR WHO MIRACLECULOUSLY IS WILLING TO SEE YOU TODAY. THERE ARE 16 -- TWO KINDS OF BACK PAIN BASICALLY. THERE IS BENIGN AND IT'S OVERTREATED AND OVERMEDICATED AND ENORMOUS AMOUNTS OF MONEY ARE WASTED TON. AND THEN THERE IS MALIGNANT AND IT'S UNDERTREATED AND UNDERRECOGNIZED. AND SO THIS IS ABOUT PRECISION. THIS ISN'T ABOUT OVERVIEWS. THIS IS ABOUT PRECISE CARE. IF YOU ARE ONE OF THE 99.9% WHO HAVE THE BENIGN KIND, YOU WOULD PROBABLY LIKE TO KNOW THAT AND KNOW THAT YOU'VE NOT HAVE TO BE EXPOSED TO X-RAYS THAT MAKES NO DIFFERENCE IN OUR OUTCOMES. THAT PAIN MEDS IF YOU NEED THEM FINE AND DON'T, FINE. THAT BED REST HAS BEEN SHOWN OVER TRIALS TO BE USELESS AND ACTUALLY BAD FOR YOU AND SO YOU CAN DO WHATEVER YOU FEEL LIKE AND 90% YOU ARE GOING TO BE WELL IN FOUR WEEKS. YOU MIGHT WANT TO KNOW ALL THAT. IF, ON THE OTHER HAND, ONE OF THE PEOPLE THAT HAS MET STATIC CANCER AND IF YOU AREN'T TREATED TODAY OR TOMORROW, YOU ARE GOING TO SPEND THE REST OF YOUR LIFE IN BED IN ALL KINDS OF MISERABLE SITUATIONS, YOU WOULD PROBABLY LIKE TO KNOW THAT AND PROBABLY LIKE TO BE SENT FOR EMERGENCY MRI. THERE ARE 16 QUESTIONS THAT HAVE BEEN SHOWN IN A SUPERB TRIAL TO DIFFERENTIATE THOSE TWO STATES. WE JUST ASK ALL THE DOCTORS HERE. YOU PIGEON HOLE A DOCTOR AFTERWARDS AND HAVE HIM TELL YOU THE 16. NO ONE CAN DO IT. IF YOU DO A CHART REVIEW, YOU WILL FIND THAT THERE ISN'T A CHART AT YOUR HEALTHCARE ORGANIZATION THAT HAS ALL 16 DATA ELEMENTS IN IT, NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSOR AND SO WHAT IS THE SOLUTION AND HOW CAN NLP HELP? WELL, FIRST OF ALL, HELP BY IF IT WERE FAST ENOUGH BY IDENTIFYING LOW BACK PAIN AS THE PROBLEM AND TEETH THINGS UP. IT COULD LOOK AND SEE THAT THERE IS NO PRIOR BACK PAIN ANYWHERE THE RECORD, NOTES OR OTHERWISE. IT COULD IDENTIFY THAT FOUR OF THE 16-DAY CRITERIA ARE KNOWN AND PREPLATE ZMOES THEN IT COULD OFFER A TEMPLATE TO SOMEBODY, THE PATIENT, THE NURSE, THE DOCTOR, WHOMEVER IS APPROPRIATE AND THAT HUMAN OR THOSE HUMANS COULD COMPLETE THE 12 AND THEN CHRONICLE DECISION SUPPORT COULD CALCULATE THE HIKEHOODS AND THE PROGNOSIS AND THE PLAN AND ENABLE THE PATIENT AND THE DOCTOR TO WORK THAT THROUGH BECAUSE THAT ISN'T SORT OF A -- IF IT'S BENIGN --, THE ADVICE GIVEN ISN'T INTUITIVE ADVICE THAT YOU FEEL IS APPROPRIATE WHEN YOU CAN'T STRAIGHTEN UP BECAUSE OF THE PAIN. AND THEN THE BUSINESS PROCESS MANAGEMENT SYSTEM CAN PUT ALL OF THAT INTO AN AFTERVISIT SUMMARY THAT GETS PRINTED BECAUSE YOU ARE STILL A HUMAN BEING AND LIKE CARRYING PAPER AROUND, IT ALSO GOES TO YOUR ELECTRONIC FILE FOR YOU TO LOOK AT LATER WHEN THE PAIN GOES DOWN AND YOU CAN THINK AND THE B.P.M TO MAKE SURE THAT YOU ARE FOLLOWED UP AND REALLY ONE OF THE 90%. ARE WE OUT OF TIME? ALL RIGHT. THAT'S ENOUGH. WELL, ONE THING. VERY QUICKLY. [LAUGHTER] LET ME SUGGEST TO YOU THAT THE LEVEL OF AUTOMATION IS ONE OF THE THINGS WE NEED TO THINK ABOUT. THIS IS ADAPTED FROM PAR SURMON, WHO ACTUALLY OUTLINED VERY USEFUL SET OF LEVELS OF AUTOMATION, WHICH AS FAR AS I CAN TELL WE PAID ALMOST SO ATTENTION TO. BUT IN PARTICULAR WOULD HELP US A GREAT DEAL. SO IF IT'S 90% RECALL AND PRECISION, THEN MAYBE LEVEL THREE IS APPROPRIATE. IF IT'S 100% RECALL AND PRECISION, THEN MAYBE IT'S APPROPRIATE TO FULLY AUTOMATE IT. THANKS. [APPLAUSE] >> WE HAVE TIME FOR ONE QUICK QUESTION FOR JIM. >> YES, GO AHEAD. >> [INDISCERNABLE] >> SOMEONE ELSE? >> [INDISCERNABLE] >> THE DATABASE KNOWS EVERY PATIENT AND THEIR PREFERRED COMMUNICATION CHANNEL AND IT AUTOMATICALLY ROUTES IT. IF THEY STILL USE SNAIL MAIL, IT GOES THERE. WE DO THE APPROPRIATE THINGS IN TEXT. >> CAN IT PULL THEM UP ON A -- PHONE THEM UP IN TELEPHONE AND TALK TO THEM? >> YES. YOU'VE GOT -- CREATING A CALL TEMPLATE THAT IS USABLE FOR PEOPLE TAKES WORK BUT YEAH. >> YES. >> [INDISCERNABLE] >> I NOTICED IN ONE OF THE SLIDES IN THE MIDDLE THERE YOU HAD THE LETTERS CAPITALIZED BPM. I ASSUMED THAT DOESN'T MEAN BEATS PER MINUTE. COULD YOU TELL US A LITTLE BIT ABOUT BUSINESS PROCESS MANAGEMENT AND HOW IT RELATES TO THIS? >> SURE. BUSINESS PROCESS MANAGEMENT IS A DISCIPLINE. IF YOU SAY OKAY, GUYSINGER HAS 120 CORE PROCESS THAT'S WE NEED TO CHARACTERIZE AND WHO IS RESPONSIBLE, WHO CAN DO THEM AND WHAT THE TIME LIMITS ARE, THEN THERE IS A SOFTWARE SYSTEM THAT YOU CAN PUT THAT PROCESS CHARACTERIZATION INTO AND THEN THE SOFTWARE SYSTEM MANAGES IT AUTOMATICALLY. SO IT SAYS OH, THIS WOMAN HAS BEEN 12 MONTHS SINCE LAST MAMMOGRAM. SEND THEM A THE WAY, THEY LIKE IT THROUGH THE GIGSER NETWORK AND BY THE WAY, SEND IT THROUGH SMALE MAIL SO IT'S A SYSTEM THAT IS JUST STARTING TO BE USED IN HEALTHCARE THAT MAKES -- THAT IS CRITICAL INFRASTRUCTURE TO MAKING 100% PROCESSES A REALITY. >> AND HOW DOES AN LP FIT INTO THIS? >> WELL, I THINK THERE WOULD BE A STACK AND YOU'D SAY LOOK. YOU'VE GOT THIS PROCESS DEFINITION AND YOU HAVE ALL OF THESE TRIGGERS, BY THE WAY, WHICH TELL YOU WHAT INFORMATION YOU NEED TO COLLECT ONE WAY OR ANOTHER OR GO FIND AN NLP AND SAY IF WE FIND THIS INFORMATION WHEREVER IT IS AND IF IT'S APPROPRIATE TO USE NLP FOR IT LIKE ABNORMAL MAMMOGRAMS, THINGS LIKE THAT, THEN USE THE NLP IN THAT LAYER BUT THEN HOWEVER IT'S COLLECTED FROM THE PATIENT, FROM A CLINICIAN, FROM A PHYSIOLOGIC MONITOR, FROM NLP, ALL OF THAT FEEDS INTO THE B.P.M LAYER AND SORT OF RUNS THE PROCESS. >> FOR EXAMPLE, YOU COULD USE THE PROCESS DEFINITION TO DECIDE WHETHER TO PRESENT A SPEECH RECOGNITION MODULE OR A TEMPLATE BASED UPON A PREFERENCE OR OTHER ANALYTIC STUDIES? >> YEAH, YOU COULD, ABSOLUTELY. >> OKAY. OUR FINAL SPEAKER FOR THIS SESSION IS ELLIOTT -- [APPLAUSE] SORRY. >> OUR FINAL SPEAKER FOR THIS PANEL IS ELIOT SIEGEL FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND. >> WELL, I'D LIKE TO THANK THE NATIONAL LIBRARY OF MEDICINE AND ANYBODYIB FOR THE INVITATION TO MY GUIDE AN ORGANIZED PHYSICIAN ORGANIZED A HEAD CT STUDY FOR DIZZINESS. MINING THE DATA THAT I HAVE AND LOOKING AT APPROPRIATENESS CRITERIA, I CAN MAKE THE DETERMINATION THAT EVEN THOUGH A HEAD CT IS BEING REQUESTED FOR THE INDICATION OF DIZZINESS, IT LOOKS LIKE AN MR WOULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER YIELD. AND YOU CAN AGAIN, GET THAT FROM EXPERT ADVICE OR FROM THE LITERATURE OR YOU CAN MINE YOUR OWN DATA AS FAR AS PERCENTAGE OF POSITIVE STUDIES AND AS FAR AS PREVIOUS RECOMMENDATIONS. AND THIS CAN ESSENTIALLY BE THE SAME THING COULD BE USED WHETHER IT'S A HEAD CT, HERE IS AN EXAMPLE OF AN EXTREMITY MR WHERE THERE IS A REQUEST FOR AN MRI FOR A PATIENT WITH ARTHRITIS. AND HERE IS ANOTHER ONE THAT'S RELATIVELY LOW UTILITY. ESSENTIALLY, A PATIENT WITH BACK PAIN. EVEN AN MRI IS RELATIVELY LOW YIELD AS FAR AS HAVING A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON THAT PATIENT'S CARE. AND SO IN THIS CASE, WE CAN PROVIDE THAT FEEDBACK THAT FOR THAT INDICATION MR MIGHT BE A THREE OUT OF TEN AS FAR AS INDICATION. BUT IF WE ADD ABNORMAL EXTREME. REFLEXS TO THE HISTORY, THEN GO BACK, THEN THAT'S SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASES THE UTILITY AND THE ADDED VALUE THAT THE MR PRESENTS AND NOW IT'S A NINE OUT OF TEN. AND SO THIS CAPABILITY OF BEING ABLE TO MINE THAT SORT OF DATA AS -- ADDS A TREMENDOUS AMOUNT, AS WAS MENTIONED, THE RADIOLOGY REPORTS CAN BE FAIRLY COMPLEX AND BEING ABLE TO MINE THE IMPORTANT CONCEPTS IS REALLY, REALLY CRITICAL. AND ONCE I CAN MINE THOSE CONCEPTS, I CAN START LOOKING AT ORGANIZED PHYSICIANS, FOR EXAMPLE, AND SEE HOW THEY CLUSTER AS FAR AS DIFFERENT STUDIES. FOR MR, HERE IS A CLINICIAN THAT'S AN OUTLIAR THAT HAS A LOWER INCIDENCE OF POSITIVE FINDINGS BUT ALSO A HIGHER INCIDENCE AS FAR AS RECOMMENDATION FOR FOLLOWUP STUDIES. HERE IS ANOTHER ONE WHERE WE COMPARE RADIOLOGISTS. SO WE HAVE TWO AGENCIES RADIOLOGISTS THAT KIND OF CLUSTER WITH CT STUDIES WITH A LOWER INCIDENCE OF POSITIVE FINDINGS BUT A HIGHER RECOMMENDATION RATE. I DON'T KNOW IF THESE TWO ARE BETTER OR WORSE THAN ANOTHER RADIOLOGIST BUT IT'S INTERESTING TO SEE HOW THEY CLUSTER. HERE IS CLUSTERING OF POSITIVE FINDINGS VERSUS RECOMMENDATION RATE FOR MR CT AND X-RAY. AND IT'S REALLY INTERESTING TO SEE WHICH ONES HAD THE HIGHEST YIELD OF POSITIVE FINDINGS, PRESUME PABLELY WHAT IS HAPPENING IS THE RADIOLOGIST WOULD LOCK AT THE X-RAY AND RECOMMEND A CT STUDY AND THIS IS A DIFFERENCE FOR FEMALES. AND SO ONE OF THE THINGS I'D LIKE TO SEE WITH EDM AND NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING WOULD BE SOME HELP IN EVALUATING THE INDICATION AS FAR AS AUTOMATED PROTOCOLING. ONCE AN EXAM HAS BEEN ACCEPTED SUCH AS AN MR, THEN IT WOULD BE HELPFUL FOR ME TO HAVE ASSISTANCE AND IN AUTOMATTICALLY PROTOCOLING WHICH MIGHT BE BEST TO USE. ALSO I MENTIONED FOR UNEXPECTED FINDINGS. WE HAD A LOT OF PATIENTS WHO HAD, FOR EXAMPLE, A LONG NODULE NOTED ON A TRAUMA CT SERIES JUST LIKE THE OVARIAN KRIS THAT WAS MENTIONED -- KRIST MENTIONED THIS MORNING. KRIST. SO CREDITING HAVING A SIT -- SYSTEM WOULD ALLOW US TO CLOSE THE LOOP. THE RADIOLOGISTS VARY IN THEIR IDENTIFICATION OF THESE QUOTE UNQUOTE UNEXPECTED FINDINGS. OF COURSE, THERE IS GREAT WORK THAT HAS BEEN DONE IN NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING AND DECISION SUPPORT AT MANY FACILITIES. HERE IS A GREAT ONE AT INDIANA UNIVERSITY AND THERE ARE SOME REALLY WONDERFUL ONES THAT HAVE BEEN DONE. THERE HAVE BEEN MANY RADIOLOGY CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT TOOLS. I'M HAPPY TO SEE DR. GREENES IN THE AUDIENCE BECAUSE HE'S AN EXPERT ON THIS AND I CAN REMEMBER AS A RADIOLOGY RESIDENT BACK IN THE 80S, DR. GREENES COMING BY AND TALKING ABOUT THE$1v WONDERFUL TOOLS THAT WERE AVAILABLE FOR DECISION SUPPORT. AND BETWEEN MANY THAT ARE EITHER RURAL-BASED OR ONES THAT USE CASE-BASE REASONING, THERE ARE A WIDE VARIETY OF THESE. ONE OF THE CHALLENGES, THOUGH, IN BEING ABLE TO CREATE THESE RULES-BASED SYSTEMS, IS COLLECTING LARGE AMOUNTS OF DATA. AND SO IT'S GREAT TO HEAR THAT PARTNERS IS DOING THAT AND GUISING HERE IS DOING THAT ALSO. BUT I CAN'T THINK OF A LARGER DATABASE OR HEALTHCARE SYSTEM THAN THE DEPARTMENT OF VETERANS FAIRS WHICH HAS COLLECTED AND NOW CONSOLIDATED DATA. SO WE HAVE DATA NOW FROM 163 CLINICS AND ELECTRONIC AND DIGITAL ESSENTIALLY FOR 20 YEARS. AND IT HAS DATA THAT GOES BACK FOR OVER 12 YEARS ON OVER 28 MILLION PATIENTS. AND SO THERE ARE HUGE AMOUNTS OF VOLUME. SO THE V.A. HAS TAKEN ESPECIALLY A LAYERED APPROACH. IT REALLY LOOKS LIKE A PAPER PAPER-BASED RECORD. AND ALL THE INFORMATION WITHIN THE SYSTEM IS THERE, BUT YOU CAN'T MINE IT. YOU CAN'T ASK QUESTIONS LIKE SHOW ME ALL OF THE INCIDENTS WHERE THIS PARTICULAR PATIENT HAD A RASH OR SHOW ME ALL RASHES, FOR EXAMPLE. SO THE V.A. HAS CREATED A TEAM OF DOZENS AND DOZENS OF FOLKS WHO SUPPORT HSR AND D, ESSENTIALLY A HEALTH SERVICES RESEARCH WHO ARE TAKING ADVANTAGE OF CONSOLIDATING THESE DATA AND TO HAVE A NUMBER OF NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING EXPERTS WHO ARE CREATING PIPELINES THAT ARE DOING PROCESSING AND REPROCESSING OF THE DATA THAT'S AVAILABLE TO MAKE IT EASIER AND EASIER TO BE ABLE TO DO DIFFERENT TYPES OF STATISTICAL ANALYSIS. SO I CAN'T IMAGINE ANY BETTER SAND BOX THAT EXISTS RIGHT NOW. THE TEAM HAS FOCUSED PREDOMINANTLY ON RESEARCH APPLICATIONS. WHAT I AM HOPING TO DO IS TO BE ABLE TO UTILIZE IT TO A GREATER EXTENT FOR DATA SUPPORT. AND WE'VE HAD TO DEAL WITH ISSUES RELATING TO SECURITY. THERE ARE MANY DIFFERENT DATA TYPES AND I WON'T GO THROUGH THOSE BUT PRETTY MUCH EVERYTHING IN THE ELECTRONIC MEDICAL RECORDS STRUCTURED AND UNSTRUCTURED IS AVAILABLE WITHIN VINCI. SOME OF THE CHALLENGES, BIGGEST CHALLENGES THAT WE HAVE NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING INCLUDE THE FACT THAT TEM PLATS ARE WIDELY USED AND TEM PLATS CAN BE VERY CONFUSING WHEN YOU TRY AND DO NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING. INCOMPLETE SENTENCES AND JARGON, OF COURSE. AS FAR AS NEXT GENERATION, I AM NOT GOING TO GO INTO DETAIL. I'VE BEEN HERE IN THIS AUDITORIUM PRESENTING SOME OF THE WORK THAT WE'VE DONE ALONG WITH IBM AND WATSON UTILIZING THE JEOPARDY SOFTWARE TO GET INVOLVED EVEN BEFORE THEY PLAYED JEOPARDY. I AM LOOKING FORWARD TO DAVID'S TALK ABOUT HOW IN DETAIL ABOUT HOW THEIR TECHNOLOGY WORKS. BUT JUST SUFFICE IT TO SAY THAT WE'RE REALLY INTERESTED AND WE'VE BEEN WORKING WITH IBM ON TRYING TO UTILIZE WHAT THEY HAVE, WHICH I THINK IS A FUNDAMENTALLY DIFFERENT APPROACH USING VERY, VERY HIGH SPEED. IF YOU CAN IMAGINE THAT YOU'VE HAD AN INFINITE AMOUNT OF TIME AND PROCESSING POWER TO FORM A HYPOTHESIS WITH EVERY QUESTION AND SEARCH A DYNAMIC DATABASE EVERY TIME YOU FORM LATE A QUESTION, WHAT WOULD BE THE POTENTIAL ASSOCIATED WITH THAT? AND I THINK THAT TECHNOLOGY THAT THEY HAVE THOFRS. SO IN CONCLUSION, I THINK RADIOLOGY AND DIAGNOSTIC IMAGING WILL CONTINUE TO BE A RICH SUBSPECIALTY FOR IMAGE PROCESSING, NOT ONLY THAT BUT ALSO COMPUTER-AIDED DETECTION AND ALSO FOR NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING AND ENHANCED CLINICAL DECISION-MAKING. USING THESE TWO TECHNIQUES ON VERY LARGE DATABASES SUCH AS THE VINCI DATABASE HAS THE POTENTIAL TO HAVE A FUNDAMENTAL MAJOR IMPACT ON RESEARCH AS WELL AS OUR DAY DAY-TO-DAY DECISION-MAKING IN MEDICINE AND CERTAINLY IN RADIOLOGY. SO THANKS AGAIN. [APPLAUSE] LOOKING FORWARD TO THE PANEL DISCUSSION. >> CAN I ASK OUR THREE PREVIOUS SPEAKERS TO COME UP AND IF ANYONE HAS ANY SPECIFIC QUESTIONS FOR DR. SIEGEL? OTHERWISE, WE CAN SPEND TEN OR 15 MINUTES. >> I LIKE YOUR FIRST SLIDE THAT SAID "YOU'D LIKE TO ALWAYS SEE POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE." IS THAT REALLY FEASIBLE GIVEN SORT OF THE NATIONAL SHRUB OF THE RADIOLOGIST AS THE HEDGE? >> SO I THINK THAT'S A GREAT QUESTION. AND WE KIND OF JOKE AMONGST OURSELVES AS RADIOLOGISTS AS HEDGERS AND IT BRINGS UP A COUPLE FUNDAMENTAL QUESTION IS WHAT IS A POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE RADIOLOGY REPORT, ESPECIALLY WHEN YOU MAY BE COMMENTING ON MULTIPLE DIFFERENT FINDINGS? ANOTHER ONE IS HOW DOES ONE DETERMINE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY? AND SO IN ROLLING, OUR -- RADIOLOGY, OUR PENDULUM HAS SWUNG BACK AND FORTH AND WE'VE GONE FROM STRUCTURED REPORTS BACK TO UNSTRUCTURED. NOW WE'RE HEADING IN THE DIRECTION OF STRUCTURED REPORTS, WHICH INCREASINGLY REQUIRE A LEVEL OF CERTAINTY. THE BEST EXAMPLE, OF COURSE, IS BIRADS, WHICH IS THE CLASSIFICATION SYSTEM FOR MAMMOGRAMS WHICH FORCES THE RADIOLOGIST TO CATEGORYIZE EVERY SINGLE MAMMOGRAM AND THAT HAS HAD MAJOR POSITIVE IMPACTS. AND SO I THINK TO YOUR POINT, IT'S DIFFICULT WITH FREE TEXT TO CONSTRAIN AN INTERPRETER TO BEING ABLE TO INDICATE LEVEL OF CERTAINTY OF A PARTICULAR FINDING AND I THINK IT'S REALLY IMPORTANT TO DO THAT. AND SO A LOT OF THE WORK THAT I'VE DONE IN ADDITION TO ON NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING HAS BEEN IN SUPPORT OF STRUCTURED REPORTING. AND IN FACT, ONE THING THAT WE PUBLISHED ON WAS COMPLETE GRAPHICAL REPORTING, WHERE ALL DO YOU IS ESSENTIALLY TAKE A PEN ON AN IMAGE, DELINIATE THE AREA OF PATHOLOGY, AND THEN ESSENTIALLY JUST PUT MARKERS ON IT AND THAT BECOMES THE ENTIRE REPORT, INCLUDING YOUR LEVEL OF CERTAINTY. BUT A LOT OF RADIOLOGISTS HAVE OBJECTED BECAUSE THAT DOES NOT ALLOW THEM THE FREE EXPRESSION THAT THEY ENJOY HAVING. AND WHAT VALUE THAT FREE EXPRESSION HAS IS SOMETHING THAT ONE COULD DEBATE. THERE IS VALUE IN THE NUANCES ASSOCIATED WITH THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE, BUT THE STRUCTURE, I THINK, ADDS A TREMENDOUS AMOUNT. AND I THINK AS THE PREVIOUS SPEAKERS HAVE SAID, WE'RE GOING TO BE IN A SITUATION WHERE WE'RE USING A COMBINATION OF STRUCTURED AND STRUCTURED DATE Y AS TIME GOES ON. >> YES. SURE. >> I WOULD LIKE TO KNOW IF FOR MOST RADIO GRAPHIC PROCEDURES, IF STANDARD SETS OF FINDINGS OR FEATURES HAVE BEEN DEFINED SO THAT YOU COULD GO THROUGH A CHECK POLICE AND SAY THIS FEATURE IS PRESENT OR NOT? >> YEP. THAT'S A GREAT QUESTION. SO THE RADIO LOGIC SOCIETY OF NORTH AMERICA HAS RECENTLY RELEASED ABOUT 100 TEMPLATED BEST PRACTICE REPORTS. AND ASSOCIATED WITH THOSE THERE ARE CERTAIN FINDINGS WITHIN THAT TEMPLATE THAT A SERIES OF EXPERTS HAVE GOTTEN TOGETHER, REVIEWED THE LITERATURE, AND SAID IF YOU ARE REPORTING AT AN MRI OF THE KNEE, THESE ARE THE THINGS THAT YOU NEED TO INCLUDE. IF YOU ARE REPORTING AT THESE PARTICULAR OTHER STUDIES, THIS IS WHAT YOU NEED TO INCLUDE. WE'VE TAKEN TAI STEP FARTHER AT THE NATIONAL CANCER INSTITUTE WHERE WE LOOKED AT REPORTING BRAIN TUMORS. AND AS IT TURNS OUT, IF YOU LOOK AT FREE TEXT REPORTS, MAYBE YOU GET SEVEN PARAMETERS IN AN AVERAGE REPORT. BUT WHEN WE LOOKED AT THE LITERATURE OF WHAT KORLETED WITH GENOMIC AND PRODIOMIC DATA, THERE WERE SOMEWHERE AROUND 20 AND 30 THAT WE EXTRACTED. WE CREATE AID TEMPLATED WORK STATION WHERE THE WORK STATION WALKS THE RADIOLOGIST THROUGH A MAKING MEASUREMENTS, ASK SPECIFIC QUESTIONS THAT KORLET WITH THOSE PARTICULAR FINDINGS AND NOW WHAT YOU HAVE IS AN AUTOMATIC WORK STATION INTERACTION THAT AUTOMATICALLY GENERATES A REPORT THAT'S TAILORED TO A SPECIFIC DISEASE ENTITY USING A NEW FORM OF ANNOTATION THAT HAS BEEN CREATED AT NCI CALLED AIM. SO YOU CAN SEE VARYING DEGREES OF ADDED STRUCTURE AS TIME GOES ON. ONE OF THE THINGS THAT WE'RE STARTING TO SEE IN RADIOLOGY AND WE'RE SEEING IT FOR CARROTID STUDIES IS >> I REMEMBER BURSEMENT. YOU CAN CHARGE FOR THE REPORT BUT WE'LL PAY A LITTLE BIT EXTRA IF YOU MAKE SURE YOU INCLUDE THESE PARTICULAR ELEMENTS AND THIS IS ONLY THE START IN DIAGNOSTIC IMAGING. TEN YEARS FROM NOW IN ORDER TO GET PAID WE'RE GOING TO HAVE TO BE ABLE TO DOCUMENT THAT WE HAVE ANSWERED CERTAIN QUESTIONS AND THE ONLY WAY TO DO THAT IS EITHER WITH STRUCTURE OR WITH NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING THAT WILL ALLOW KOERDS TO KNOW WHETHER OR NOT THERE HAS BEEN A REPORT THAT MEET CERTAIN QUALITY CRITERIA AND CRITERIA WILL BE INCLUDING THOSE ELEMENTS. I THINK THIS RADIOLOGY BEST AGREED TEM PLATS IS A FIRST GOOD START BUT THERE ARE MULTIPLE THINGS WE CAN DO TO MAKE IT EVEN BETTER SO THANKS FOR THE QUESTION. >> ONE MORE QUESTION. >> QUESTION FOR TOM PAYNE. REALLY INTERESTING STUFF YOU ARE GOING DOG THERE. COMPOSITION OF THE PROBLEM LIST AND YOU MENTIONED YOU JUST ROLLED IT OUT SIX WEEKS AGO. ABOUT HOW LONG FROM THE TIME THAT THAT PROJECT WAS A GLIM NER YOUR EYE UNTIL SIX WEEKS AGO LEPSED? , ELAPSED? >> WELL, WE HAD AN EARLY EFFORT TO DO THIS ON OUR OWN, AND WE ACTUALLY HAD SHUTTLEE, WHO IS NOT HERE BUT WAS HERE YESTERDAY. THAT WAS THREE YEARS AGO. WE HAD THIS IDEA AND HAD IT IN A PROTOTYPE. WHAT WE WEREN'T ABLE TO DO WAS TO CONVERT THAT IDEA INTO A PRODUCTION SYSTEM THAT WORKED IN THE REAL WORLD. WHEN WE STARTED DOING THE CODING, INTERESTING METAPHOR HERE. A LOT OF OUR HEALTH IT IN OUR HOSPITALS BEGAN WITH BILLING 40 YEARS AGO, 350 YEARS AGO AND THEN WE BROADENED IT TO A BROADER PORTFOLIO. SAME THING HERE. WE STARTED WITH BILLING AND AS A COR LARRY OF THAT TAGGING THAT I SHOWED YOU, WE REALIZED WE COULD DO IT. THE PROBLEM LIST. SO THAT WAS VERY QUICK AFTER THE AGREEMENTS WERE SIGNED LESS THAN A YEAR IT WAS IN PRODUCTION. >> SO WHAT I AM HEARING FROM THIS SESSION IS A NUMBER OF HYBRID SOLUTIONS IS NOT A DEBATE OF WHETHER -- I THINK WE NEED BOTH AND SOMEBODY IN EACH PLACE SORT OF DRAWING THE LINE IN SOMEWHAT DIFFERENT AREAS WHERE YOUR URGENT PROBLEMS ARE. CAN WE CREATE IN A GENERAL D -- ANY GENERAL PRINCIPLES THAT CAN EMERGE AS STANDARD APPROACHES? ELLIOTT MENTIONED THE ACR TEM PLATS, FOR EXAMPLE. CAN WE DO THAT ACROSS OUR SPECIALTIES AND BEGIN TO HAVE TEM PLATS FOR THE COMMENT OR THE HIGH RISK ORT HIGH UTILIZED CONDITIONS WHERE WE DO HAVE TO CAPTURE THESE KINDS OF THINGS? >> ONE GENERALIZATION THAT'S IMPORTANT THAT THIS DISCUSSION HAS BROUGHT UP IS THAT THE CREATOR OF THE INFORMATION IS ALWAYS MORE INTERESTED IN EXPRESSIVITY THAN THE RECIPIENT SO THAT OUR DOCTORS OVER AND OVER AGAIN SAY WITH THE RADIOLOGY SAY CAN YOU PLEASE JUST PUT THE IMPRESSION FIRST AND ALL THE REST OF IT LATER? AND THE RADIOLOGIST ACTUALLY GET ANGRY AND SAY NO, THEY HAVE TO READ THE WHOLE THING. AND DOCTORS ACT THE SAME WAY. ONE OF THE RULES IS THAT IF YOU THINK IN TERMS OF THE INFORMATION CONSUMER, YOU'LL HAVE A DIFFERENT APPROACH TO LOTS OF THIS. >> JUST A COMMENT AND I THINK ONE THING THAT WOULD HELP A LOT IS SOME OF THE REPORTS THAT WE GET, FOR EXAMPLE, THE ECOCARDIOGRAM REPORTS THAT HAVE MEASUREMENTS IN THEM WERE DELIVERED TO US AS DISCREET DATA IN ADDITION TO THE NARRATIVE REPORT. FOR EXAMPLE, IF YOU WANT TO KNOW LEFT ART RAL SIZE CAN BE A DETERMINANT IN SOMEBODY'S RISK IF THEY HAVE HAVEATORIAL FRIBILLATION, WHY NOT MAKE THAT AVAILABLE? I'D LIKE TO SEE A LOT MORE OF THAT DONE. >> AND THERE WOULD BE ANOTHER PRINCIPLEF YOU START WITH 100 PERCENT PROCESS AS YOUR MEASURE, THEN IT BECOMES EASIER TO IDENTIFY WHAT YOU WANT TO CAPTURE. AND PEOPLE WHO ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR CAPTURING IT, PHYSICIANS AND OTHERS, IN OUR EXPERIENCE, HAVE MINIMAL RESISTANCE TO CAPTURING THAT. WHAT THEY PUSH WHAT THEY HATE LIKE FIRE IS THEIR EXPERIENCE OF WHAT 100 YEARS OF BEING ASKED TO RECORD ALL KINDS OF THINGS THAT THEY KNOW FOR A FACT NOBODY'S EVER GOING TO DO ANYTHING WITH. >> JUST SAY THIS DISCUSSION WE'RE HAVING HERE IS NOT NEW. IT'S BEEN GOING ON AT MY CAREER. THERE HAS ALWAYS BEEN A TENSION BETWEEN THE WAY WE PUT IN NOTES AND WHAT IS DIFFERENT AND NEW TODAY IS THE RAPID OPTION OF THESE TOOLS AS THEY EXIST IN A COMMERCIAL WORLD. AND THEIR IMPACT ON THE WORK FLOW AND THE TIME THAT PROVIDERS HAVE TO SPEND WITH A PATIENT. THAT IS NEW, AND WHEN I AM REFLECTING HERE IS THEIR REACTION TO THIS ENORMOUS CHANGE. ANOTHER THING THAT'S NEW IS THE POWER OF NLP, WHICH 30 YEARS AGO WASN'T THE DEGREE AS IT IS TODAY. SO I THINK THERE WILL STILL BE A SPECTRUM. TWHAR LINE FALLS IS GOING TO CHANGE, AND WE HAVE TO RESPECT THE FACT THAT REALLY BUSY PEOPLE ARE PUSHING BACK ON SOME OF THE THINGS. >> BUT I THINK YOU ASKED A GREAT QUESTION. AND WHAT REALLY IS QUALITY? AS TIME GOES ON, I THINK THAT WE'RE GOING TO HAVE AN INCREASED AMOUNT OF ATTENTION PAID IN MEANINGFUL USE TO WHAT REPRESENTS A QUALITY NOTE. I TALKED ABOUT WHAT'S A QUALITY RADIOLOGY REPORT. I REMEMBER WHEN I WAS A STUDENT WRITING A DETAILED THREE-PAGE NOTE NOT A PATIENT AS AN ADMISSION AND PHYSICIANS MAYBE CAN RELATE TO THIS SORT OF THING AND GOT A D ON IT SKPASHLE ASKED WHY DID I GET A B AND THE ANSWER WAS WELL, THE OTHER STUDENTS WHO WERE IN YOUR GROUP WROTE 20 AND 25-PAGE ADMISSION NOTES. [LAUGHTER] AND I'M THINKING WHAT IS A QUALITY NOTE AND WHAT SHOULD BE IN IT AND HOW DO WE DEFINE IT? AND I THINK ONE OF THE PROBLEM IS WE DON'T DEFINE QULET AS THE THIS POINT, WHICH MAKES IT DIFFICULT FOR US TO REALLY KNOW WHAT ARE THE ELEMENTS THAT SHOULD BE IN A TEMPLATED GOOD QUALITY NOTE AND WHAT THINGS DO WE NEED FOR THIS FUTURE OF THE VISION THAT WE ALL HAVE. >> JUST REAL QUICK ON THAT ONE. HENRIKIO HAD A GREAT ARTICLE IN 2000 WHEN COMMUNICATION IS BETTER THAN COMP PUTATION AND I THINK HE ADDRESSES THIS VERY EASILY. THERE ARE SOME THINGS THAT ARE SO HIGHLY CARCIZED, SOME DATA THAT ARE SO HIGHLY CHARACTER YIFD AND SO COMPUTEABLE. DID I GIVE THE PATIENT AN ASPIRIN WHEN THEY HAD AN ACUTE HEART ATTACK THAT THEY SHOULD BE CAPTURED AND STRUCTURED, STANDARDIZED FORM AND COMPUTED ON. AND THERE ARE OTHER THINGS, PATIENT LITERALLY WALKS INTO YOUR ROOM AND SAID IT REALLY HURTS AND THEN IT EXPLODES AND I FEEL FINE. THAT WOULD BE FOOLISH TO TRY TO PUT INTO EXECUTIONAL FORM -- COM PUTATIONAL FORM. THE QUESTION IS THIS DATEUM -- DOES IT FIT INTO A CLINICAL PREDICTION RULE? IS IT USED IN SOME WAY TO HELP INFORM PATIENT CARE, OR IS IT SOMETHING HA WE'RE BETTER OFF JUST ENHANCING COMMUNICATION AND NOT TRYING TO STANDARDIZE, COMPUTE, TEMPLATE AND DO ALL THE THINGS WE NEED TO DO TO HIGHLY CHARACTERIZED INFORMATION? >> SO THIS WHOLE QUESTION ABOUT NARRATIVE TEXT VERSUS ENTERING SPECIFIC QUESTIONS I'VE SUFFERED WITH, TOO, IS A CLINICAL CAREGIVERS GIVER. BUT THE THING I THINK IS MISSING IN OUR FIELD AND MEDICAL FIELD IN GENERAL. SO IF YOU LOOK AT THINGS THAT AREN'T STRUCTURED LIKE ECOCARDIO GRAPHIC AND CURIOUSLY ARE ALL HIGHLY STRUCTURED AND RADIOLOGISTS NOTES AND SOMEDAY WE'LL FIGURE THAT OUT. THEY'VE DONE RESEARCH FOR YEARS AND THEY'VE FIGURED OUT THE 40% MEANS THIS, THIS, THIS AND THIS. NOW EVERYBODY WANTS THAT NUMBER BECAUSE THEY'VE FIGURED OUT WHICH IS THE IMPORTANT OF ALL THESE OTHER THINGS THEY PROVIDE. WE HAVEN'T DONE THAT WITH CLINICAL DATA. AND EVERYBODY BELIEVES INTENSELY THAT THEIR PHYSICAL EXAM SFINGSD THE MOST IMPORTANT. WE WE'VE GOT TO PUT THIS 20-PAGE PHYSICAL THING. NO HUMAN SANE PERSON WOULD EVER DO THAT. BUT YOU ARE SUPPOSED TO BECAUSE THE CARDIOLOGIST ARE GOING TO CHECK THAT YOU'VE GOT THIS PART WHICH YOU NEVER NEED BECAUSE YOU GET AN ECHO. I THINK WE NEED TO INVEST SOME MONEY IN RESEARCH IN THE CLINICAL DATA ELEMENTS THAT ARE NOT MEASUREMENTS THAT FIGURE OUT WHICH ONES MEAN ANYTHING. AND WHICH ONES -- A LOT OF STUFF WE DO AS PHYSICIANS IS JUST TO HELP US GET TO THE NEXT VISIT. IT HAS NO USE TO ANYONE. EXCEPT OURSELVES. BUT WE HAVE TO ENSHRINE THIS AND DO ALL THIS WORK IN GETTING THIS INTO THE DATABASE. NOW THAT WE HAVE THE COMPUTERS IN OUR WORK FLOW, THAT MEANS THE ADMINISTRATION CAN MAKE US ANSWER ANY DUMB QUESTION THEY THINK OF. THAT'S GOING TO BE AN ISSUE. >> A GOOD EXAMPLE, TAKING A FAMILY HISTORY, CREATING A PEDIGREE. HOW IS THAT DONE? WE HAVE A GENETICS CLINIC AND THEY SPEND HOURS DOING THAT IN VERY GREAT DETAIL, WHICH THEY SHOULD. AND WHEN THEY'RE DONE, IT'S GORGEOUS. BUT I SEE THESE PEOPLE DAY AFTER DAY I GET A LITTLE SNIPPET WITH A FAMILY HISTORY EACH TIME. IF IT WERE POSSIBLE FOR ME TO PULL IT TOGETHER WITHOUT SPENDING THREE HOURS EACH TIME ASKING A LITTLE BIT MORE PUT THAT STORY TOGETHER, THIS ULTIMATELY DOES HAVE AN IMPACT ON THAT PERSON'S HEALTH. BUT THE TOOLS TO CAPTURE THAT RIGHT NOW ARE NOT FAST ENOUGH FOR ME TO DO WHAT THEY DO IN THE MEDICAL GENETICS CLINIC. SO I DO A LITTLE PIECE OF IT AT A TIME AND A LOT OF IT IS NO LONGER A SKETCH ON A PIECE OF PAPER. IT'S NOW IN TEXT. WE NEED TO BE ABLE TO DO BETTER WITH THAT BECAUSE THAT TEXT DOES NOTHING THAT IS GOING TO HELP ME COUNSEL THIS PERSON ABOUT WHAT FURTHER TESTING MIGHT BE WARRANTED. >> I JUST HAVE A QUESTION FOR YOU ABOUT THE PROBLEM LIST. IN MY EXPERIENCE IT'S BEEN REALLY INTERESTING. THERE IS NO SHERIFF OF THE PROBLEM LIST, SO ANYBODY CAN WRITE INTO THE PROBLEM LIST AND THE PROBLEM THAT WE HAVE AND I AM WONDERING HOW YOU DEAL WITH IT -- IS WE HAVE THINGS IT'S LOTS OF STUFF GOES ON THE PROBLEM LIST BUT IT'S LIKE A ROACH MOLT. STUFF CHECKS IN AND IT NEVER CHECKS OUT AGAIN. YOU HAVE ONE EPISODE WHERE SOMEBODY MEASURED A BLOOD PRESSURE THAT WAS HE WILLIATE VATED AND SOMEONE WRITES IN THE PROBLEM LIST HYPERTENSION. BUT WHOSE RESPONSIBILITY IS IT TO TAKE THAT OFF OR SOMEBODY HAS AN ELEVATED BLOOD GLUCOSE OR BACK PAIN THAT COMES INTO THE ER? WHOSE RESPONSIBILITY IS IT TO TAKE IT OFF THE PROBLEM LIST? >> WE'RE DOING IT. TESTIFY SAY MY FIRST JOB AS A CLINICAL LOOSE IN A MASS GENERAL WAS HELPING AND THEY HAD OVER YEARS CREATED A WORKING TOOL. WE'RE NOT THERE YET. AND MANY ORGANIZATIONS AREN'T THERE YET. I WOULD GUESS THAT'S ONE OF THE REASONS IS THE MEANING OF THE USE CRIER TERIA. SO WE ARE CHANGING THE CULTURE FROM PUTTING IT AS A LIST OF MY THOUGHTS ABOUT THIS PATIENT AND MAKING IT ENCODED AND THAT'S GROWING AND WE WANT ALL DISCIPLINES INVOLVED. WE THOUGHT THAT FAR AHEAD. WE WANT EVERYONE WHO HAS A VIEW ON THAT PATIENT TO CONTRIBUTE. AND THEN WE HAVE TO DECIDE AS A COMMUNITY HOW WE'RE GOING TO TAILOR IT AND TRIM IT. BUT I CAN'T GIVE YOU EXPERIENCE ON THAT YET. >> THANKS. >> OKAY. WE HAVE TIME FOR ONE LAST QUESTION. >> I WANTED TO MAKE ONE COMMENT ABOUT THE PROBLEM LIST. IN ONE OTHER MEANING. USE REQUIREMENT NOW IS THAT WE MAKE ELECTRONIC INFORMATION AVAILABLE TO THE PATIENTS AND THAT INCLUDES THE PROBLEM LIST. AND SOME OF OUR PHYSICIANS WERE REALLY UPSET WITH THE IDEA THAT PATIENTS WOULD BE SEEING THEIR PROBLEM LIST AND WOULD SAY WELL, IT IS OUTDATED AND INACCURATE INFORMATION AND WE SAID WELL, FIX IT. SO SOME OF THEM WHO NEVER CARED ABOUT IT BEFORE ARE NOW GOING TO BE MOTIVATED BY THE FACT THAT THEY KNOW THE PATIENTS ARE GOING TO SEE IT. >> OKAY. VERY, VERY QUICKLY. >> WE HAVE MAKING A DISCIPLINE OF MANAGING THE PROBLEM LIST SO AT SOME LEVELS IT'S AN ENTERPRISE. >> BUT WHO IS RESPONSIBLE? >> SO AT ONE LEVEL THE ENTERPRISE IS. SO IF YOU'VE GOT A GFR OF LESS THAN 60 AND CKD ON YOUR PROBLEM POLICE AND THE DOCS ALL AGREE TO THAT. THAT IS JUDGMENT. -- AUTOMATIC. IF IT LOOKS LIKE YOU MAY HAVE A PATIENT MIGHT HAVE DIABETES, WE SEND A MESSAGE TO THE DOC AND SAY LOOKS LIKE THEY MIGHT HAVE DIABETES, NOT ON THE PROBLEM LIST. PICK ONE OF THESE THREE. IF THEY HAVE DIABETES BUT THE NEUROLOGICAL EBBERS EFFECTS AREN'T DOCUMENTED, WE CAPTURE THAT. SO THERE IS THAT LEVEL. THERE IS A LEVEL THAT THE PCP AND SOME RESPECTS OWNS THE PROBLEM LIST AND SOME OF WHICH IS A FOOD FIGHT. >> OKAY. >> IT'S MORE A PHILOSOPHICAL QUESTION REALLY WITH THE DIRECTION WE WANT TO GO. SO IF WE THINK ABOUT INFORMATION AND HOW DO WE ACTUALLY PROVIDE TOOLS TO IMPROVING -- PROVE THE QUALITY OF CARE WE'RE DELIVERING, THE SUPPORT, THE CAREGIVERS AND THE CONSUMERS WITH CARE, AS OPPOSED TO MEASURING THEM AGAIN KIND OF AN INTERESTING THING. IF YOU REFLECT BACK ON THE DAYS OF HETUS, WHERE THE INTENT WAS TO DO PREVENTIFF CARE, IT BECAME A WELL, LET'S GO REPORT AND FOCUS ON ACTUALLY GETTING THE MEASURES. AS WE START LEVERAGING THESE TOOLS, LET'S THINK ABOUT WHAT IS IT THAT WE'RE TRYING TO ACTUALLY ACCOMPLISH AND HOW DO YOU MOST EFFECTIVELY DO THAT WITHOUT THE ADVERSE CONSEQUENCES? >> I AM A BIG FAN OF DOING WHAT WE KNOW TO BE THE RIGHT THING TO DO. I ALSO PRACTICE AS WELL, AND I HAVE -- THE OTHER REQUIREMENT IS THAT MY THOUGHTS, MY CONFUSION ABOUT A PERSON'S SYMPTOMS ARE HELPFUL TO ME AND TO MY COLLEAGUES IN JUST SORTING THINGS OUT TO KNOWING WHAT THE HECK IS THIS CAUSING? AND SOMETIMES I CAN FIGURE THAT MYSELF. SOMETIMES I CAN'T. SO IN ADDITION TO MAKING SURE THAT PREVENT PROBLEMS THAT WE KNOW HOW TO PREVENT, I ALSO WANT TO SUMMARIZE WHAT I'VE HEARD AND FOUND SO THAT I CAN EVENTUALLY FIGURE OUT OR ASK A COLLEAGUE TO HELP ME BECAUSE ULTIMATELY, THAT CAN ALSO SAVE LIVES. >> YOU MENTIONED PREVENTIVE MEDICINE. ONE THING THAT MOST OF US EMPHASIZED IS THE ELECTRONIC MEDICAL RECORD BUT THERE ARE SO MANY SOURCES OF INFORMATION. AS TIME GOES ON, I THINK WE'RE GOING TO SEE MORE AND MORE PATIENTS ENTERING INFORMATION, WHETHER IT'S THEIR WEIGHT OR BLOOD PRESSURE OR GLUCOSE MONITORING ET CETERA INTO THE RECORD OR EVEN TWEETING. WE'VE BEEN MONITORING TWEETS AT UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND ACROSS THE COUNTRY AND SO AS FAR AS PREVIVE MEDICINE AND SURVEILLANCE, I THINK THAT WE SHOULD LOOK AT NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING AND ENHANCED DECISION MAKING BEYOND JUST THE ELECTRONIC MEDICAL RECORD AND LOOK AT THE ENTIRE CONTINUUM AND I THINK IT'S AEXCELLENT POINT THAT YOU MAKE. >> OKAY. WE JUST WANT TO ASK EVERYONE ON THE PANEL FOR ONE THING TOP THEIR WISH LIST, WHAT WOULD IT BE IF CLINICAL PRACTICE IF YOU COULD HAVE IT, IT WOULD CHANGE YOUR LIFE. >> MY GIS -- I GUESS THE ONE THING I'M JUST REFLECTING ON THE SAFETY PROBLEMS THAT WE WORK ON BUT WE DON'T FULLY HAVE. THE ONE THING I WOULD ASK FOR WOULD BE A WAY TO PROTECT US FROM NOT FOLLOWING OUR OATH TO DO NO HARM AND TO SAVE THE PATIENTS BUT ALSO THE PRACTICEITIONERS WHO SUFFER WHEN HARM OCCURS. A BETTER WAY TO DO THAT. >> I THINK FOR ME WHAT WOULD MAKE THE BIGGEST DIFFERENCE IS TO HAVE TRULY SEAMLESS HEALTH INFORMATION EXCHANGE SO THAT EVERYTHING THAT WAS AVAILABLE AND KNOWN ABOUT THAT INFORMATION WOULD BE AVAILABLE TO ME WHEN I SEE THEM. >> PARTICULARLY IN THE CONTEXT OF THE DAY. I WOULD LOVE TO HAVE NATURAL NLP PROCESSING ENGINE THAT RAN AGAINST ALL OF THE DATERA, INCLUDING OUR COMMUNITY DATA WAREHOUSE AND WAS ABLE TO PROVIDE APPROPRIATE INFORMATION WITH THE BEST ESTIMATE OF ITS RELIABILITY THAT WE CAN DEPLOY WHEREVER AND WHATEVER PROCESS WE NEEDED TO. >> AND I AGREE WITH FRANK. WHAT I WAS GOING TO ASK FOR MAY SOUND LIKE A CONTRADICTION IN TERMS. BE ABLE TO HAVE A MECHANISM TO MONITOR ALL HEALTH INFORMATION RELATED TO ALL PATIENTS WITHOUT ANY COMPROMISE OF PRIVACY OR SECURITY. AND FIGURE OUT A WAY TO DO THAT. >> AND I THINK IT'S SOMETHING THAT FOR US TO STRIVE FOR. >> LET'S THANK ALL OUR SPEAKERS AGAIN FOR THIS SESSION. [APPLAUSE] AND I THINK WE'LL TAKE A TEN TEN-MINUTE BREAK AND RECONVENE AT 10:50. THANKS. >> IN TERMS OF SUPPORT AND THE PROCESSING. WE HEARD A TOUB NEEDS AND WHAT ARE THE CHALLENGES AND NOW THIS SESSION WE'RE GOING TO HEAR THE PERSPECTIVES FROM THE NATIONAL PROCESSING EXPERTS AND SEE HOW THE NATIONAL PROCESSING WILL BE ABLE TO ADDRESS SOME OF THOSE CHALLENGES AND HELP MEET THIS NEED. SO WE HAVE AN EXCELLENT PANEL OF SPEAKERS FOR THIS SESSION, AND WE HAVE DR. ROBERT GREENES FROM ARIZONA STATE UNIVERSITY AND DR. LI ZHOU FROM HEALTHCARE AND DR. STEFAN MEYSTRE FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF UTAH AND DR. MARK MUSEN FROM STANFORD UNIVERSITY. SO WY LIKE TO CALL EVERYBODY UP TO THE FRONT ROW, NOT HERE. I KNOW IT'S HARD FOR PEOPLE TO WATCH THE SCREEN FROM UP FRONT. BUT ONCE WE GET INTO THE DISCUSSION, A PORTION OF THE SESSION, THEN EVERYBODY WILL SIT IN THE FRONT. WITH THAT, I WOULD LIKE TO QUICKLY INTRODUCE THE KEYNOTE OF THE SESSION, DR. ROBERT GREENES FROM ARIZONA STATE UNIVERSITY, AND IRA FULTON, CHAIR PROFESSOR OF BIOMEDICAL INFORMATICS AND PROFESSOR OF BIOINFORMATICS AT MAYO CLINIC. AND HIS RESEARCH IS FOCUSED ON THE CLINICAL INFORMATICS AND PARTICULARLY ON CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT AND HEALTHCARE QUALITY IMPROVEMENT AND THE APPLICATION OF USEABILITY AND CLINICAL CARE PROCESS. SO THIS IS VERY, VERY SHORT SUMMARY. AND WITH THAT I WOULD LIKE TO INVITE DR. GREENES TO GIVE THE PRESENTATION. >> THANKS, STEVE. LET'S SEE HOW TO WORK THIS. WELL, I'M NOT A LANGUAGE EXPERT AND I WAS ASKED TO PROVIDE A PERSPECTIVE ON CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT MORE BROADLY. I'M KIND OF -- IT'S KIND OF A RESEARCH AGENDA TALK ABOUT SOME OF THE REMAINING -- YOU'VE HEARD A LOT THIS ALREADY BUT I'M GOING TO KIND OF PROVIDE A PERSPECTIVE ON THE GRAND CHALLENGES FOR CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT FROM A CLINICAL PERSPECTIVE. AND THIS IS ACTUALLY NOT A NEW THING. ACTUALLY, THERE WAS A NICE ARTICLE BY DEAN AND OTHERS IN 2008 -- 2008 INDICATING CHALLENGES. THEY'RE NOT THE SAME AS MINE. IN FACT, IN FOUR YEARS A SO A LOT+%rA CHANGED ALREADY. THERE HAVE BEEN SOME=GS STUDIES. RECENTLY THERE WAS DAVE NOVAK AND COLLEAGUES HAD A REVIEW OF EFFECTIVENESS OF C.D.S THAT OUR COMMISSION -- I DON'T KNOW IF IT'S NOT ACTUALLY RELEASED YET OR NOT. JONATHAN TISHA HAD A SUMMARY OF SOME OF THE STATE-OF-THE-ART OF CRINKICAL DECISION SUPPORT. THESE WERE ALL KIND OF BEGINNING TO SET THE STAGE FOR WHERE WE ARE NOW. BUT I THINK THERE IS A LOT NEW IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. FIRST OF ALL, WE'RE SEEING FINALLY SOME CONVERGENCE ON DATA MODELS AND DATA INTEROPRABLET AND MANY LADIES AND GENTLEMEN OF THE JURY-SCALE PROJECTS ARE BEGINNING TO WORK TOGETHER TO TRY TO GET TO THAT AIM. OBVIOUSLY, WE NEED THAT MORE DECISION SUPPORT. THERE IS ALSO INCREASINGLY THE AVAILABILITY OF LARGE DATABASES. WE'VE HEARD ABOUT VINCI. PARTNERS HAS A DATABASE. THERE ARE MANY SOURCES NOW WHERE WE CAN BEGIN TO DO POPULATION-BASED KIND OF EVALUATIONS. THE OTHER -- ANOTHER KEY THING THAT'S DRIVING DECISION SUPPORT NEW PERSPECTIVES IS THE IDEA OF THE CONTINUITY OF CARE ACROSS THE CONTINUUM AND PATIENT-CENTERED MEDICAL HOMES, THE ACCOUNTABLE CARE ORGANIZATION IS BEGINNING TO CHANGE THAT FOCUS TO LOOKING AT THAT WHOLE ISSUE. AND THIS IS ALSO BEING DRIVEN BY MEANINGFUL USE INITIATIVES THAT ARE EMPHASIZING THE NEED FOR CONTINUITY AND FOR QUALITY AND FOR VALUE AND FOR EFFICIENCY. ANOTHER THING THAT'S NOT OFTEN REALIZED AS THIS EMERGE OF AN APP CULTURE BECAUSE I THINK WHAT HAPPENS WITH THAT IS IT NOW FREES OUR THINKING ABOUT HOW TO PRESENT AND UTILIZE DECISION SUPPORT IN OTHER KINDS OF WAYS TO INTERACT WITH OUR PATIENT CARE DELIVERY TASKS MORE EFFICIENTLY AND MORE EFFECTIVELY. SO IT CREATES AN INNOVATION ENVIRONMENT. AND I THINK WITH ALL OF THESE AND WITH THE CONCEPT OF CONTINUITY OF CARE, WE'RE BEGINNING TO SEE GLIMERS OF SOMETHING THAT SOME OF US HAVE TALKED ABOUT FOR YEARS, THE INTEGRATIVE LONGITUDENAL PERMANENT CARE RECORD. SO I ALWAYS LIKE THIS SLIDE BECAUSE I'VE SHOWN IT FOR 20 YEARS AND SO MY TOP TEN LIST OF CHALLENGES ACTUALLY FITS IN THREE CATEGORIES. ONE IS THE THE FRAMEWORK FOR CARE, AND I'LL TALK ABOUT EACH OF THESE BRIEFLY. THE KNOWLEDGE SOURCES, HOW WE DERIVE THE KNOWLEDGE AND ASSEMBLE IT AND THEN HOW WE USE IT. SO WE'LL TALK ABOUT EACH OF THESE. I'M NOT GOING TO SPEND TIME READING THROUGH THIS SLIDE. BUT THE SCOPE OF THE CARE PROCESS I'VE TOUCHED ON ALREADY IS REALLY NOW INCREASINGLY ABLE TO BE CONSIDERED TO BE THE WHOLE CARE CONTINUUM, INCLUDING HEALTH AND WELLNESS. WE'RE BEGINNING TO SEE AT LEAST TALK ABOUT BUT THERE IS NO EMERGENCE OF A LONGITUDENAL PATIENT RECORD INFORMATION MODEL. WE DO FOCUS ON HOW> MAYBE WE HAVE ONE FOR ONE OR TWO QUICK QUESTIONS. GO AHEAD. >> THAT WAS A REALLY BROAD BROAD-RANGING TALK. IT WAS VERY HELPFUL IN SETTING THE LANDSCAPE. MY QUESTION IS WHEN YOU TALK ABOUT THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF APPLICATIONS TO SUPPORT C.D.S OR PATIENTS, PROVIDERS AND SYSTEMS, WHAT DO YOU SEE AS THE ROLE OF INNOVATION AND PERHAPS PUBLIC-PRIVATE SECTOR PARTNERSHIPS TO HELP STIMULATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF THESE C.D.S-RELATED APPLICATIONS? >> ACTUALLY, I THINK IT'S ESSENTIAL. WE ACTUALLY HAD A MEETING IN SCOTTS DALE, FEBRUARY 1-3RD AT THE SKPRAMPLET THE DODD HEALTH MAYO CLINIC. GEORGIA TECH TOOLS AND I FORGET WHO HE IS. HARVARD SMART PROJECT. AND THE GOAL WAS REALLY TO SEE IF WE COULD AGREE ON THE NEED FOR A SET OF SPECIFICATIONS BEYOND DATA INTEROPRABLET. BUT THERE WERE A LOT OF THINGS LIKE CONTEXT MANAGEMENT AND SO ON THAT NEEDED TO BE ADDRESSED. SO WE CAME AWAY WITH THAT WITH A PRETTY RESOUNDING YES AND IT SHOULD BE DRIVEN PERHAPS BY THESE LARGE-SCALE CARE PROVIDERS THAT COULD ACTUALLY ARTICULATE THE NEED FOR IT AND MAYBE BUILD DEMONSTRATIONS. SO ONE PART OF THAT IS TO KIND OF CREATE SAND BOXES, WHICH ARE SO THE CONSORTIUM WOULD BE A PUBLIC-PRIVATE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SET OF SPECIFICATIONS. BUT THEN THE SAND BOXES CAN BE SEMI COMMERCIAL. THEY BASICALLY WILL BECOME ENTREPRENEURIAL WORK SPACE, ECOSYSTEM THAT'S CAN ALLOW APP DEVELOPERS TO WORK WITH LOWER-LEVEL SERVICE AND TOOL PROVIDERS AND CREATE KIND OF THE TECHNICAL PHONY FRASTRUCTURE TO ALLOW THEM TO WORK TOGETHER TO PROT-TYPE, BUILD THE APPLICATIONS. SO IN OUR MAYO ENVIRONMENT WE'RE FOCUSEDING ON THE CONTINUITY OF CARE COORDINATION ISSUES, THERE IS MANAGEMENT THAT THEY ARE TRYING TO COME UP WITH A UNIVERSAL SOLUTION FOR AND THERE IS OTHER THINGS THAT ARE DRIVING IT. I THINK WE'LL SEE OTHER EXAMPLES LIKE THAT. >> THANKS. [APPLAUSE] >> OUR NEXT SPEAKER IS DR. LI ZHOU FROM THE HEALTHCARE SYSTEM. PARTNERS HEALTHCARE SYSTEM. >> GOOD MORNING, EVERYBODY. MY NAME IS LI ZHOU. I'M FROM PARTNERS HEALTHCARE AT HARVARD MEDICAL SCHOOL. SO WHY DO WE NEED THE PROCESSING IN C.D.S? THE USE OF ELECTRONIC NOTES IN OUR AM BLAHTRY ELECTRONIC HEALTH RECORDS. YOU CAN SEE THAT THE AVAILABILITY OF THE ELECTRONIC NOTES HAD INCREASED DRAMATICALLY IN THE LAST 20 YEARS. AND WE HAVE 13 MILLION NOTES. WE ALSO KNOW MUCH INFORMATION ABOUT C.D.S IS TEXTULE DATA AND THEREFORE CANNOT BE REACHED WITHOUT SRP. FIRST I WANT TO TALK ABOUT THE PERSPECTIVE OF THESE TWO AREAS. WHEN I WAS A DOCTOR STUDENT AND PURSUED BY PH.D IN BIOMEDICAL INFORMATICS AT COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY, MY DISSERTATION FOCUSED ON THE PROCESSING. WE USED AN RP SYSTEM THAT CONVERT THE NARRATIVE REPORT INTO A SPECIAL FORMAT AND DEVELOPED A SYSTEM CALLED TEMPEST TO IDENTIFY THE TEM PRINCIPAL ASPECTS OF MEDICAL EVENTS TWO YEARS BEFORE THE PATIENT WAS DIAGNOSED WITH HEPATITIS. THE PATIENT HAD A LIVER TRANSPLANT ON JUNE, 199 IT. HE UNDERWENT A STUDY AND THEN PRESENT A FEVER FOR TWO DAYS. SO USING -- BY CONTACTING PROCESSING AND PRECISIONING, WE COULD IDENTIFY WHEN THE EVENT OCCURRED, HOW LONG IT LASTED, AND THE DURATION AND DIFFERENT MEDICAL EVENTS AND ALSO DEDEUCE THE TEM PRINCIPAL RELATIONSHIPS SUCH AS AFTER AND BEFORE. SO I JOINED CLINICAL INFORMATICS RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT TEAM AT PARTNERS A FEW YEARS AGO. THE GROUP IS LED BY DR. GEN. I AM PARTICULARLY IN THE CLINICAL SUPPORT TEAM, WHERE I HAVE A GREAT OPPORTUNITY TO LEARN A LOT OF THINGS REGARDING TO REALTIME CLINICAL SUPPORT. WE ARE INVOLVED IN DEVELOPING AND MAINTAINING A DIVERSE INCLUDING REMINDERS, ALERTS, ET CETERA. AND THOSE CLINICAL INTERVENTIONS HAVE IMPLEMENTED OUT-OF-PATIENT AND IN-PATIENT SETTINGS. INCLUDING C.P.OE PRESCRIBING. IN A RESEARCH PROJECT LED BY DR. MIDDLETON, WE INVESTIGATE REPRESENTING THE CLINICAL KNOWLEDGE AND ALSO DID ELEMENTS FOR THOSE C.D.S INTERVENTIONS TO SHARE ACROSS DIFFERENT CLINICAL SETTINGS AND DIFFERENT SYSTEMS. WE ALSO IMPLEMENTED SERVICE SERVICE-ORIENTED ARCHITECTURE TO CENTRALIZED C.D.S SERVICE TO SHARE KNOWLEDGE AND ALSO ACHIEVE SYSTEM INTEROPERAABILITY. SO BY BEING INVOLVED IN THESE TWO AREAS, THERE IS ONE QUESTION OF HOW WE APPLY OUR RP INTO C.D.S. THERE IS MANY AREAS WE CAN APPLY, AS MENTIONED. HERE I WANT TO FOCUS ON -- I WANT TO -- I WILL GIVE A FEW EXAMPLES IN THE FOLLOWING THROW AREAS. IMPROVING PATIENT SAFETY. YOU HAVE EHR FUNCTIONS AND REDUCE THE HEALTHCARE COST. FOR PATIENT 50 I WANT TO USE A MEDICATION LIST AS AN EXAMPLE. WE KNOW MEDICATION ERRORS CAN CAUSE INJURIES. MEDICATION ERRORS ARE ESTIMATED TO COST THE U.S. HEALTHCARE SYSTEM $177 BILLION PER YEAR. MEDICATION-BASED PATIENTS RECORDS ARE ALSO OUTDATED, INCOMPLETE OR INACCURATE, WHICH IS A MAJOR CAUSE OF MEDICATION ERRORS. RESEARCH FUND ACTIVE MEDICATIONS ARE ALSO NOT ADDD IN A TIMELY MANNER. ONE FINDS DISCREPANCES BETWEEN THE MEDICATION THAT'S PATIENTS REPORT TAKING. IN ADDITION, ONE STUDY FOUND 7% OF MEDICATIONS WAS DUE ONE CALENDAR DAY AFTER THE INACTIVE WAS DOCUMENTED IF THEIR CLINICAL NOTES. MEDICATION APPLICATIONS BECAUSE OF THOSE ERRORS. APPLICATIONS HAVE BEEN BUILT TO ADDRESS THIS ISSUE. [INDISCERNABLE] THIS SCREEN SHOT SHOWS AN EXAMPLE OF THE MEDICATION LIST. AND THIS SLIDE SHOWS YOU AN EXAMPLE OF APPLICATION TO RECONCILE A MEDICATION LIST AFTER THE CHART. HOWEVER, THOSE MED REC APPLICATIONS USING HIGHLY RELIED ON STRUCTURED DATA. ONE OF OUR STUDIES WE FOUND 30% OF ACTIVE MEDICATIONS WERE FROM PATIENTS MEDICATION LISTS, PARTICULARLY PROSCRIBED BY A SPECIALIST OUTSIDE THE INSTITUTION. IN ADDITION, CLINICIANS OFTEN NEED ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BEYOND THE MEDICATION LIST IN ORDER TO MAKE JUDGMENT, CHANGES OR MAKE OTHER DECISIONS. FOR EXAMPLE, WANT TO EXTEND THE HISTORY UNDERSTAND THE PROGRESS OF THE DISEASE AND LOOK AT THE CONSULTATION NOTES FROM MEDICAL SPECIALISTS. ONE POTENTIAL APPLICATION WE CAN USE EXTRACTS MEDICATION AND WE CAN PUT -- THIS INTO THE EXISTING APPLICATION. [INDISCERNABLE] THIS ALSO PROVIDE A WARNING TO THE PROVIDERS WHEN THEY FOUND A HIGH LETTER OF IMPORTANT MEDICATIONS. ALSO WE CAN PROVIDE A NOTE BUTTON ALONGSIDE OF EACH MEDICATION JUST LIKE TO SEE THE NOTES BETTER -- THE MEDICATION WITH NOTES WAS MENTIONED. HOWEVER, THERE ARE MANY CHALLENGES TO THOSE, THOUGH. HOW WE INTEGRATE MRP WITH C.D.S? ONE IS THE INTEROPRABLET AND THE TERMINOLOGY STANDARD. WE KNOW MEDICATION LISTS MAY BE CODED USING AN INSTITUTIONAL OR COMMERCIAL TERMINOLOGY WHERE MOST EXISTING ENCODING CLINICAL TESTS IS TERMINOLOGIES LIKE PEOPLE MENTIONED. SO THIS REQUIRES THE SYSTEM ENCODED INFORMATION MODIFIED TERMINOLOGIES. IT REQUIRES THE SYSTEM TO INTEGRATE A SYSTEM WITH OTHER APPLICATION AND CONTACT DATA INTERGATION, AGGREGATION, NARRATIVE DATA AND STRUCTURED DATA. SO IT WOULD BE NICE TO CONDUCT AND GIVING INFERENCE USING, FOR EXAMPLE, KNOWLEDGE BASE. THE SECOND AREA I WANT TO TALK ABOUT HOW TO USE NRP IN HER FUNCTIONS. HERE USE CPOE AS AN EXAMPLE. SEVEN PERCENT OF ORDER ENTRIES. EVEN THE C.P.OS HAVE BEEN IN PLACE FOR 20 YEARS HAS A LOT OF FREE TEXT ENTRIES. WE ALSO FOUND THE% OF HYPOGLYCIC MEDICATIONS WERE USED IN THIS CONTEXT. 75 OF THOSE FREE TEXT ENTRIES HAVE AN EXACT MATCH IN OUR MEDICATION DICTIONARY AND THE REMAINING 25 COULD BE CODED AS FORMULA INFORMATION WAS ALSO PROVIDEED. WE ALSO SAW 17% OF FREE TEXT HYPOGLYC PEMIC MEDICATION IN ORDER ENTRIES. HERE I STILL USED SEVERAL MOST COMMONLY MISSPELLED TERMS, THEY LOOK AND SOUND SIMILAR. SO WHAT DO THIS AFFECT? C.D. C.D. IS NOT TRIGGERED AS A MEDICATION IN FREE TEXT. USING A SIMILAR DATA WE FOUND TRIGGER -- WERE NOT TRIGGERED DUE TO FREE TEXT ENTRIES AFFECTING 84 DIFFERENT PATIENTS. 196 PATIENTS WHO HAD A FREE TEXT ENTRY HAD THE SAME EXACT DRUG IN THIS PERIOD. AND 10% OF THEM HAVE HAD IDENTICAL DRUG ENTRIES ACTIVE USING THE MEDICATION LIST AT THE SAME TIME. THIS IS KIND OF DUPLICATE THERAPY ERROR. ONLY 26 OF THOSE PATIENTS HAD DIABETES RECORDD IN THEIR PROBLEM LIST. SO WE HAVE AN ISSUE RELATED TO PROBLEM LIST IF THEY ARE NOT COMPLETED AS WELL WELL. THOSE C.D.S ARE CRITICAL IN PATIENTS SAFETY. SO OUT OF SEARCH FUNCTION. SUCH FUNCTION SHOULD NOT BE LIMITED TO ONLY DETECTING EXACTLY WHEN THE MEDICATION ENDS. IT SHOULD PROVIDE RELEVANT AND A SMART LIST, NOT. A LONG LIST TO SORT THROUGH. IT SHOULD HAVE A SPANNING ERROR DETECTION AND FRACTION. IT CAN COMPRISE A LIST OF SUGGESTIONS FOR THE CORRECTION. IMPORTANTLY, WE NEED TO DESIGN EFFICIENCY TO ADDRESS WORK FLOW ISSUES. FOR EXAMPLE, A FEW FEATURES. THEY ALLOW -- PROVIDE US TO CREATE THEIR OWN LIST. HOWEVER, THIS WILL BE MONITORED. AND WE ALSO SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING TO SAVE THEIR TIME. IT WOULD BE MORE EFFICIENT IF WE CAN INCORPORATE SPEECH RECOGNITION. SO FOR EXAMPLE, IT MAY BE ABLE TO REDUCE THAT. THE LAST EXAMPLE IS HOW WE ARE USING IT TO HAVE REDUCED HEALTHCARE COST. THERE IS A GREAT NEED TO MINIMIZE THE COST OF CARE DELIVERED MEETING QUALITY INSTITUTES. FIVE PERCENT OF PATIENTS GENERALLY ARE UP TO 50 OF THE COSTS. ONE EXAMPLE IS HOW WE USE IT TO PREVENT READMISSIONS BY IDENTIFYING HIGH-RISK, HIGH-COST. MOST CURRENT RISK ASSESSMENT USING STRUCTURED DATA. CLINICAL NARRATIVE REPORT -- [INDISCERNABLE] ONE POSSIBLE SOLUTION IS TO COMBINE DATA WITH DATA USING NRP SO WE CAN IDENTIFY THE TARGETED PATIENT'S POPULATION. AND THEN EMPLOY A METHOD LIKE CLASSIFICATION TECHNIQUES AS MODELS TO INFORM PATIENTS AND PROVIDE A C.D.S AND MAKE A RECOMMENDATION BASED ON CLINICAL DATA LINES. NOW A BRIEF SUMMARY AND DISCUSS THE POTENTIAL OPPORTUNITIES AND ALSO CHALLENGES IN THE FIELD. HERE ARE DR. MIDDLETON'S TEN COMMANDMENTS FOR AN EFFECTIVE C.D.S. AS WE SEE, THERE ARE MANY OPPORTUNITIES TO APPLYING NRP TO ENHANCED C.D.S. WE NEED TO REMEMBER IT CAN MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE. WE NEEDED TO MAKE THE SYSTEM USEFUL. WE NEED TO MAKE IT EASY FOR A CLINICIAN TO DO THE RIGHT THING. HOWEVER, THERE ARE MANY CHALLENGES TO IT. IF IT TAKES TOO LONG TO WORK, IT WILL BE USELESS. [INDISCERNABLE] THE SYSTEM COULD BE ABLE TO ANTICIPATE A NEED AND DELIVER IN REALTIME. WE CAN -- THE SYSTEM SHOULD BRING INFORMATION TO CLINICIANS AT THE TIMES THEY NEED IT. THE APPLICATION NEEDS TO FIT INTO THE USER'S. FOR EXAMPLE, IF A PATIENT USES THE INTERFACE TO OUTPUT. AS MENTIONED BEFORE, STANDARD AND SYSTEM INTEROPABILITY WERE IMPORTANT. AND COULD WE PROVIDE SERVICE SERVICE-ORIENTED ARCHITECTURE TO PROVIDE CENTRALIZED MRP SERVICE TO DIVERSE EHI SYSTEMS? THERE ARE MANY OTHER ISSUES LIKE ENCODING ORGANIZATIONAL ISSUES, DIVERSE CLINICAL DOMAIN, USERS MEETING THE NEEDS OF THE USERS WITH DIVERSE BACKGROUND AND NEEDS. THERE ARE OTHER REQUIREMENTS IN THE FIELD AS WELL. SIMPLE INTERVENTIONS WORK BEST. SO WE NEED TO SIMPLIFY AND MAKE IT USEFUL. LASTLY BUT IMPORTANTLY, WE NEED TO CONTINUE MONITOR THE FEEDBACK AND MAKE PERMANENT THOSE APPLICATIONS. I AM DONE. [APPLAUSE] >> WE HAVE TIME FOR ONE OR TWO QUESTIONS. GO AHEAD. >> DO YOU TRY TO USE THE CONSUMER AS A SOURCE OF DATA AND MAYBE MISSPELLED DRUG NAMES FROM PHR? AND EVEN BE ABLE TO VIEW WHAT'S MY CURRENT MEDICATION ON RECORD AND ADD THE OVER-THE-COUNTER MEDICATION? >> THIS IS A GREAT SUGGESTION. WENT DONE THIS YET. BUT I THINK IT'S VERY INTERESTING RESEARCH AREA. >> DAVID CAROL, GROUP HEALTH. I'M CURIOUS IN THE C.D.S AREA IF YOU ARE SEEING ANYTHING THAT MIGHT BE CALLED LIKE A GOOGLE EFFECT WHERE WE'RE GETTING ACCUSTOMED TO JUST BEING ABLE TO REMEMBER A FEW WORDS RELATED TO SOMETHING EITHER IN OUR EMAIL AND OUR WEB SEARCHES AND EXPECT THAT THAT SHOULD BE THE STANDARD OF OUR OWN PERFORMANCE IN ORDER TO FIND THINGS THAT WE NEED TO IN OUR RECORD? >> YES. THIS IS A GOOD SUGGESTION, YES. I THINK THE TECHNOLOGY IS THERE. WE JUST NEED TO BRING THOSE KINDS OF TECHNOLOGIES TO RETRIEVE RELEVANT INFORMATION AND THE INFORMATION WE REALLY NEED IN REALTIME. YEAH. THANK YOU. [APPLAUSE] >> OUR NEXT SPEAKER IS DR. STEPHANE MEYSTRE. >> THANK YOU. LET ME FIND THIS. GOOD MORNING AND THANK YOU FOR THE OPPORTUNITY. I THINK THIS IS A REALLY EXCELLENT WORKSHOP AND VERY NICE MIX OF FEEDBACK. AND WHAT I AM GOING TO TELL YOU ABOUT FOR A CHANGE IS IN LP AND CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT. I AM FROM THE DEPARTMENT OF BIOMEDICAL INFORM ARTICS AT THE UNIVERSITY OF UTAH. WE HAVE MANY COLLABORATIONS WITH SALT LAKE CITY V.A. AND SO I'D LIKE TO START ABOUT ASKING A QUESTION THAT SEVERAL PRESENTERS ALREADY ADDRESSED ABOUT WHY NLP COULD BE USEFUL? WHY BOTHER? THERE IS ONE SIDE OF A REALLY FAST GROWTH OF INFORMATION THAT'S BECOMING AVAILABLE MORE AND MORE SYSTEMS USE DHRS AND MORE REQUIREMENTS FOR ELECTRONIC DOCUMENTATION. THERE IS ALSO A HUGE GROWTH ON OTHER TYPES OF ELECTRONIC INFORMATION FROM DIFFERENT, NEW INVESTIGATIONS, GENETIC TESTS, ET CETERA. BUT THE PROBLEM IS THAT MOST OF THE INFORMATION IS NOT STRUCTURED AND CODED. IT'S NAR NIV TEXT. AND THE EXISTING STRUCTURED INFORMATION AND CODED INFORMATION FOR MOST OF IT IS CREATED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE AND >> I REMEMBER BURSEMENT PURPOSES, NOT FOR CLINICAL CARE. SO IF WE LOOK AT THE ELECTRONIC HEALTH RECORDS, MOST OF THE CONTENT IS NARRATIVE TEXT. IT'S DOCUMENTS. HISTORY AND PHYSICAL, ORDERS, PROGRESS NOTES, ET CETERA, THAT WE HAVE SOME IMAGING REPORTS, PRESCRIPTIONS. THIS IS BECOMING MORE STRUCTURED, LAB RESULTS, ADMINISTRATIVE INFORMATION THAT'S NOT STRUCTURED AND YOU SEE THAT MOST OF THE HR CONTENT IS UNSTRUCTURED, NARRATIVE TEXT, AND THIS IS NOT USABLE FOR CLINICAL SUPPORT DIRECTLY. CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT NEEDS STRUCTURED AND DETAILED INFORMATION, INFORMATION THAT'S STRUCTURED USING SOME DATA MODEL AND THAT IS CODED USING SOME CENTERED TERMINOLOGIES. AND ACTUALLY, MOST DHR CONTENT IS NARRATIVE TEXT AND IT'S UNSTRUCTURED AND NOT ACCESSIBLE FOR CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT. AND ALSO INFORMATION NEEDS TO BE DETAILED AT DIFFERENT LEVELS. AND THE ONLY EXISTING -- MOST OF THE EXISTING STRUCTURED INFORMATION IN DHRS NOW IS CODED FOR PUBLIC HEALTH STATISTICS OR REIMBURSEMENT AND DOESN'T ALLOW FOR ENOUGH DETAILS AND CLINICAL CARE CODING. SO ONE WAY TO DEAL WITH THIS IS TO USE EXTRACT TO INFORMATION FROM ALL THE NARRATIVE TEXT CONTEXT AND ELECTRONIC HEALTH RECORDS. AND THIS IS FOR MOST OF IT CALLED CLINICAL INFORMATION EXTRACTION. INFORMATION EXTRACTION INVOLVES THREE DIFFERENT TYPES OF INFORMATION. SO IT'S NOT THE WHOLE, COMPLETE ANALYSIS OF EVERYTHING THAT'S EXPRESSED AND MENTIONED BUT IT'S FOCUSING ON SOME SPECIFIC TYPES OF INFORMATION OF INTEREST FOR CLINICAL CARE. AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF INFORMATION EXTRACTION HAS ALREADY QUITE A HISTORY IN THE MEDICAL, BIOMEDICAL DOMAIN, CLINICAL DOMAIN. MUCH BUT MUCH MORE IN THE BIOMEDICAL SIDE BECAUSE OF AVAILABLE DATA. CLINICAL DATA, AS WAS MENTIONED YESTERDAY, IS STILL VERY DIFFICULT TO OBTAIN AND THIS AVAILABILITY AND ALSO CHARACTERISTICS OF THE CLINICAL TEXT MAKE IT DIFFICULT FOR INFORMATION EXTRACTION. CHARACTERISTICS OF CLINICAL TEXTS LIKE GRAMMATICAL STRUCTURES, DEMOGRAPHIC STYLE, A LOT OF ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS AND THIS IS BECOMING EVEN MORE IMPORTANT WHEN THE INFORMATION IS MANUALLY ENTERED BY THE HEALTHCARE PROVIDERS. THEY WANT TO DO IT FAST AND SO THEY ABBREVIATE AND THESE ABBREVIATIONS ARE OFTEN SPECIFIC TO THEIR SPECIALTY, TO THEIR INSTITUTION OR EVEN TO THEMSELVES. SO IT'S A DIFFICULT PROBLEM ALSO. SO NOW I AM GOING TO TELL YOUE"JJT7u WHO:j TWO-EXAMPLES THAT WE HAVE DONE. THE FIRST ONE WAS CALLED THE AUTOMATED PROBLEM LIST AND THE PROBLEM THERE AND THIS HAPPENED A FEW YEARS AGO. THE PROBLEM IS THAT THERE WAS AN ELECTRONIC PROBLEM THAT WAS AVAILABLE BUT IT WAS MOST OF THE TIME INCOMPLETE, LIKE THIS ONE HERE. AND THIS ONE IS] -- HAS ALREADY SOME ENTRIES AND WAS NOT USED AT ALL. AND AT THE SAME TIME THERE WERE ALSO EFFORTS TOTHA NEEDED INFORMATION FROM THE PROBLEM LIST AND FROM ADDITIONAL C.P.OE OF CLINICAL ZPIRGS, FOR EXAMPLE AND OTHER APPLICATION THAT'S REALLY NEEDED A COMPLETE, ACCURATE AND TIMELY PROBLEM LIST. SO WHAT WE DID IS TO THEN DEVELOP A SYSTEM TO EXTRACT POTENTIAL PROBLEMS FROM ALL THE NARRATIVE TEXT INTO THE HEALTH RECORDS AND THIS SYSTEM USED DIFFERENT STEPS THAT WERE DISCUSSIOND IN SEVERAL EXAMPLES YESTERDAY STARTING WITH DETECTING AND STRUCTURE THE DOCUMENT, THE SECTIONS, THE SENTENCES, THEN DISAM BIGATING ALL THESE ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS I JUST MENTIONED. AND THEN USED MM T X. THIS WAS FROM THE NATIONAL LIBRARY OF MEDICINE HERE TO MAP CONCEPTS AND THEN ALSO THE NEGATION DETECTION AND DID SOME POST PERSISTING ALSO TO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT AND CORRECT THE FACT THAT MMTX WERE FOR BIOMEDICAL TEXT. SO THE AM BIGUT WAS DEALT WITH DIFFERENTLY. FOR EXAMPLE, DIFFERENT COMMON ACRONYMS WERE UNDERSTOOD AS MENTAL DEPRESSION AND THIS WAS JUST AN EXAMPLE. MAPPED LOCAL CODES IN HEALTHCARE AND THEN CREATED AND FED BACK THE INFORMATION INTO THE ELECTRONIC HEALTH RECORD IN TWO FORMATS. HL 7S.CA DOCUMENTS ALONG WITH THE SECTIONS ENCODED AND EACH INDIVIDUAL MEDICAL PROBLEM USING THE LOCAL INFORMATION MODEL AND TERMINOLOGIES IN HEALTHCARE. AND THEN THIS INFORMATION WAS MADE AVAILABLE IN THE H.R. AND WE IMPLEMENTED IT AT THE HOSPITAL IN SKPLAX IT LOOKED A LITTLE BIT -- SALT LAKE CITY, AND IT LOOKED A LITTLE BIT LIKE THIS. IT'S NOT SUPPOSED TO BE READABLE. WHAT YOU SEE IS THERE IS MANY MORE ENTRIES HERE AND SO WHAT WE DID IS TO FIRST MAKE SURE THAT USERS KNEW WHERE THE INFORMATION CAME FROM. AND THEN WE ALLOWED THEM TO CHANGE OR EDIT THE STATUS OF THE PROBLEM THAT WAS AUTOMATICALLY PROPOSED HERE TO ALLOW THEM TO ASSESS WHETHER IT WAS A CORRECT CURRENT PROBLEM OR AN ACTIVE PROBLEM OR A RESOLVED PROBLEM, ET CETERA. AND SO WE REALLY WANTED TO HAVE THE HUMAN IN THE LOOP HAVE THE FINAL DECISION FOR ALL INFORMATION THAT BECAME OFFICIALLY PART OF THE HEALTH RECORDS. AND THIS IS SOMETHING I'LL MENTION AT THE END THAT WAS REALLY IMPORTANT. AND THEN ALSO TO ALLOW THEM TO SEE AND HAVE AN IDEA WHERE THE INFORMATION CAME FROM BECAUSE SOMETIMES THEY WERE NOT AWARE OF THE INFORMATION WE WERE PROPOSING. THEN THEY COULD SLICK CLICK ON THE SOURCE BUTTON AND THEN SEE ALL THE SOURCE DOCUMENTS WITH THE SENTENCES AND THE PROBLEM HIGHLIGHTD IN RED. NOT VERY VISIBLE HERE. BUT ALLOW THEM IN A FEW SECONDS TO CHECK FOR THEMSELVES WHAT INFORMATION WAS EXTRACTED. AND SO WE FIRST TESTED THE NATURAL PERSISTING EXTRACTION PART OF IT AND COMPARED ALSO DIFFERENT METHODS TO DO IT. SO THIS IS A SYSTEM THAT I AM TALKING ABOUT. WE ALSO COMPARED IT AS A BASELINE WITH A SIMPLE SEARCH USING ALL ENTRIES AND ALSO COMPARING THEM WITH THE INDIVIDUAL HUMAN REVIEWERS, THEY WERE CLINICIANS. AND YOU SEE THAT HUMANS HAD AN ADVANTAGE. THEY WERE MORE PRECISE AND WHAT WE FOUND WAS MOST OF THE TIME CORRECT. BUT THEY WERE NOT AS SENSITIVE AS OUR SYSTEM. AND THIS IS THE ADVANTAGE WE BROUGHT. ADD SOME CONTENT THAT HUMANS WERE MISSING. AND THEN WE IMPLEMENTED THE SYSTEM IN SALT LAKE CITY IN THE MEDICAL AND SURGICAL ICU AND CARDIOVASCULAR SURGERY AND EVALUATED IT IN A RANDOMIZED CONTROLLED TRIAL. SO THIS WAS AN VALUATION OF THE IMPACT OF THE SYSTEM ON THE CONTENT OF THE PROBLEM WITH CONTROL, TEST GROUP AND ABOUT 250 PATIENTS. AND IN THE END WE OBSERVED THAT, ESPECIALLY IN THE INTENSIVE CARE UNIT, WE FWRENT A SENSITIVITY, A PROPORTION OF PROBLEMS THAT WERE SUPPOSED TO BE IN THE PROBLEM LIST AND ACTUALLY FOUND IN THE PROBLEM LIST OF ABOUT 9% TO 41% AND THEN IF WE ALSO INCLUDED PROBLEMS WE PROPOSED THAT WERE NOT ASSESSED BY THE PHYSICIAN, BY THE USER OF THE PROBLEM LIST, THEN IT WAS ALMOST 78% BUT THE SPECIFICITY WENT DOWN A LITTLE BIT. AND YOU SEE ALSO THAT IN THE CARDIOVASCULAR SURGERY UNITS THERE WERE NO EFFECT AND THIS WAS SIMPLY BECAUSE THEY DIDN'T USE IT. THEY TOLD US THAT WE WOULD USE IT. AND SO THIS FINAL CONTROL THE HUMAN IN THE LOOP DIDN'T WORK HERE. WE HAD NO IMPACT BECAUSE THAT HAVE. BUT POTENTIALLY IT COULD GO UP TO 88% SENSITIVITY. ANOTHER EXAMPLE IS A SYSTEM THAT WE STARTED DEVELOPING FOR THE I 2 B 2 MEDICATION CHALLENGE IN 2009, REALIZING THERE WAS A NEED FOR DIFFERENT REASONS AND OBSERVED THAT THE LIST OF PROBLEMS OF MEDICATIONS WAS INCOMPLETE MOSTLY BECAUSE OF MEDICATION THAT'S WERE PROSCRIBED IN ANOTHER INSTITUTION, SOMEWHERE ELSE OUT OF THE SYSTEM OR BOTH OVER THE COUNTER BY THE PATIENTS OR SIMPLY PROSCRIBED BEFORE THE INTRODUCTION OF THE ORDER ENTRY SYSTEM. SO WE ALSO DEVELOPED A SYSTEM TO EXTRACT ALL MEDICATION THAT'S WERE MENTIONED IN THE NARRATIVE TEXT IN CLINICAL TEXT. AND FOR THIS CHALLENGE WHAT WE FOCUSED ON WAS THE NAMES BUT DETAILED INFORMATION LIKE DOSAGE, FREQUENCY, DURATION, AND A MORE DIFFICULT ONE THE REASON FOR THE PRESCRIPTION. FOR THIS CHALLENGE IT WAS EVALUATED FOR THE PURPOSE OF MORE THAN 500 DOCUMENTS. AND THE SYSTEM THAT WE DEVELOPED INCLUDED ALSO MANY DIFFERENT STEPS THAT ARE SHOWN HERE. SO IT STARTED WITH AGAIN SOME ANALYSIS OF THE STRUCTURE OF THE DOCUMENTS, SECTIONS AND FILTERING OF SOME SECTIONS, FOR EXAMPLE, WE EXCLUDED THE MEDICATION ALLERGY SECTION OBVIOUSLY BECAUSE THE GOAL HERE WAS TO FIND THE MEDICATION THE PATIENT WAS TAKEN OR HAS TAKEN SOMETIMES. HOW TO SWITCH. THEN ALSO SOME DISAM BIGATION OF SOME OF THOSE ACRONYMS. LIKE HERE MG BECAME MILL GRAM. COULD BE MAGNESIUM OR SOMETHING ELSE. ID WAS NOT AM BIGUOUS IN THE CONTEXT. THEN WE EXTRACTED THE NAMES AND POTENTIAL REASONS FOR PRESCRIPTIONS. SO THIS IS WHERE MOST OF THE DIAGNOSIS PROBLEM AND FILTERED SOME OF THOSE PROBLEMS. SO WE HAD LIKE IN THIS EXAMPLE, 40 MILLIGRAMS. WE HAVE A DRUG LACEIX AND A REASON. THEN WE WOULD ANALYZE THE CONTEXT. SO THE NEGATION, THE EXPERIENCE WITH THE MEDICATION ABOUT THE PATIENT OR SOMEONE ELSE. IF THE PATIENT DID NOT TAKE THE MEDICATION, ET CETERA. ALSO DETECTED ALLERGIES. AND THEN EXTRACTED ALL THE ADDITIONAL INFORMATION, THE DOSAGE, THE FREQUENCY, THE DURATION. AND IN THE END RECONCILED THOSE INFORMATION TO END UP WITH SOME STRUCTURED ENTRY. LIKE IN THIS EXAMPLE THE NAME IS LACEIX, THE DOSE IS 40 MILL GRALES. THE FREQUENCYY IS TWICE A DAY. DURATION IS NOT MENTIOND IN THIS CASE. AND WHEN EVALUATING IT FOR EXACT MATCHES. SO THIS MEANS WHAT WE FOUND -- THE TERMS WE FOUND CORRESPONDING EXACTLY TO THE STANDARD, WE HAD PERFORMANCE, THE RECALL IS EQUIVALENT TO THE SENSITIVITY HERE THAT RANGED FROM 17% ONLY TO ABOUTLE 2% FOR SOME TYPES OF INFORMATION. PRECISION WAS MUCH HIGHER. AND YOU SEE THAT FOR SOME OF THESE CATEGORIES LIKE THE DURATION AND REASON FOR THE PRESCRIPTION, THE PERFORMANCE WAS PRETTY LOW. AND ACTUALLY EVERYONE STRUGGLED WITH THAT. AND EVEN HUMANS STRUGGLED WITH IT. AND SO FOR EXAMPLE, WE ADDED SOME MANUAL ADAPTATIONS ON OUR TEAM AND OUR AGREEMENTS AT THE FIRST TASK FOR DURATION ANNOTATIONS WAS ONLY 16% OR 31% FOR REASON FOR PRESCRIPTION, WHICH IS VERY -- AND EVEN AT THE CHALLENGE LEVEL, MULTIPLE DIFFERENCES ANNOTATIONS BY EXPERTS, THEN FOR DURATION THEY ONLY AGREED ABOUT 40% OF THE TIME. AT ABOUT 47% OF THE TIME. SO THIS IS A REALLY DIFFICULT TASK NOT ONLY FOR NLT. SO AS A CONCLUSION, I'D LIKE TO EMPHASIZE TWO ASPECTS THAT I THINK ARE IMPORTANT FOR USING CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT. AND MORE SPECIFICALLY WHEN USING NATURAL PERSISTING TO EXTRACT CLINICAL INFORMATION. AND THIS IS REALLY FOR HUMANS, FOR USERS TO TRUST THE INFORMATION THAT'S EXTRACTED. AND WHAT WE OBSERVED AND EXPERIENCED IS THAT THE FACT THAT THERE IS A HUMAN THAT EVENTUALLY DECIDES THAT HUMAN IS CORRECT IS VERY IMPORTANT AND ALSO TO ALLOW THIS HUMAN TO SEE WHERE THIS INFORMATION CAME FROM AND MAYBE HOW IT WAS EXTRACTED. AND SO DISCUSSION WE HAD YESTERDAY ABOUT WHAT METHOD TO USE AND FOR ACCEPTANCE. AND IN THIS CASE IT SHOULD BE SOMETHING THAT'S MORE TRANSPARENT AND EXPLAINS HOW AND WHERE THE INFORMATION WAS EXTRACTED. WHEN WE IMPLEMENTED THE SYSTEM, WE HAD A LOT OF TRUST AND ENDED UP DICTATING SMALL NOTES TO HAVE THE PROBLEMS IN THE LIST INSTEAD OF ANSWERING IT ANNUAL MANUALLY. THIS WAS REALLY IMPORTANT. AND ALSO ANOTHER ONE IS THAT WITH THIS IN MIND, THEN PERFORMANCE IS NOT AS IMPORTANT. IT SHOULD BE FAST, THAT'S TRUE. IT SHOULD HAVE ACCEPTABLE AACCURACY, BUT EVEN IF IT JUST ADDS A LITTLE TO WHAT'S ALREADY AVAILABLE, IT'S ALREADY GOOD. THANK YOU. [APPLAUSE] >> EXCELLENT WORK. ONE COMMENTS IS A QUESTION. A COMMENT. IT'S INTERESTING THAT I SEE DOCTORS DICTATED AND A PROBLEM TILLS A LITTLE BIT ABOUT WHAT THEY'RE COMFORTABLE WITH. THE TELLS. THE QUESTION IS WHY WOULD THEY BE INTERESTED IN ADDING TO THE COMMENTS? >> WELL, IT'S FOR SEVERAL REASONS. BUT IN THE ICU IT'S BECAUSE THEY SAW INTEREST IN THE PROBLEM LIST FROM THE BEGINNING. THEIR CHAIR WAS INTERESTED IN MAKING THE PROBLEM LIST THE CENTRAL COMPONENTS IN THEIR WORK FLOW, IN THEIR CARE. SO OBVIOUSLY, TO MAKE IT USEFUL, IT NEEDS TO BE USED. AND YOU SEE THE DIFFERENCE WITH THE CARDIO VASC COLLAR SURGERY DEPARTMENT WHERE IMPLEMENTED IT, IT HAS ABSOLUTELY NO IMPACT. EVEN IF IT PERFORMED PRETTY WELL BUT NO ONE USED IT BECAUSE THEY STILL CONTINUED THERE ARE USUAL WORK FLOW THAT WAS REALLY NOT RELYING ON THE PROBLEM. BUT IN THE ICU, THEY WERE WORKING ON -- THEY HAD A STRONG EFFORT TO MAKE IT MORE IMPORTANT, TO RELY ON ENTRIES ON THE PROBLEM TO BASE ALL THEIR DISCUSSIONS, CASE DISCUSSIONS, ET CETERA ON THE PROBLEMS, ET CETERA. >> DAVID MENDLESTON IN NEW YORK. SO TO WORK THAT OUT A LITTLE BIT FURTHER, THIS VALIDATION STEP THAT YOU MENTIONED BECAUSE PROBABLY YOU CAN'T RELY ON THESE SYSTEMS AT LEAST ON THIS POINT IN TIME COMPLETELY. AND WHAT WAS THE RESISTANCE IN THE CARDIOVASCULAR UNIT? WAS THAT IT WOULD TAKE MORE TIME? WE'VE HAD EXPERIENCE USING CAT SYSTEMS. SOME PEOPLE WON'T TOUCH THEM BECAUSE IT TAKES MORE TIME SO I WOULD BE INTERESTED IN YOUR VIEWS IN HOW THIS WAS SEEN IN YOUR SIGHT AND HOW IT MIGHT EVOLVED INVOLVE. >> INITIALLY WE'VE HAD PILOTS EVALUATION WITH SELECT USERS IN CARDIO VASC COLLAR SKPIRJ THEY DIDN'T COMPLAIN ABOUT THAT BECAUSE FOR THEM IT MEANT ONE OR TWO CLICKS. SO IT WAS REALLY FAST. BUT THE MAIN PROBLEMS IS THAT THEY SIMPLY HAD NO CINTIVE TO USE THE PROBLEM LIST AT ALL. SO THAT'S WHY THEY DIDN'T USE IT. YES? >> JUST OUT OF CURIOUSITY. AS A STUDENT, I USED TO WONDER IF HUMAN EXPERT IN THE LOOP. IF I SEE A NOTE THAT SAYS CIRRHOSIS OF LIVER, AS A JUNIOR DOCTOR, I WOULD SAY THERE IS CHRONIC CIRRHOSIS OF THE LIVER. SO I WOULD COME OUT WITH AT LEAST FIVE, SIX, SEVEN DIAGNOSES POSSIBLY. WHICH ONE WOULD YOU PICK AND WITHOUT ALL OF THEM IN THE -- WOULD YOU WANT ALL OF THEM IN THE PROBLEM LIST? >> WE DID, TO FILTER ALL THESE PROBLEMS, TO FIRST MAKE SURE THAT THERE WERE NO DUPLICATES. WE DID DIFFERENT LEVELS USING TERMINOLOGIES, RELATIONS, ET CETERA, TO MAKE SURE THAT FOR EXAMPLE, IF THERE WAS ALREADY DIABETES IN THE LIST AND WE FOUND DIABETES MILLITIS TYPE TWO, THEN WE WOULD NOT ADD IT -- WOOPS. A -- ALREADY VOICED. AND WE ONLY INCLUDED SOME TYPES OF CLINICAL INFORMATION MOSTLY DIAGNOSES. SO WE HAD A LONG LIST OF MOST FREQUENT DIAGNOSES IN THE DOMAINS CARDIO VASC COLLAR SURGERY. MOSTLY CARDIO VASC COLLAR SO IT WASN'T EVERYTHING. NOT ALL FINDINGS, SYMPTOMS, ET CETERA. >> [INDISCERNABLE] >> SO WHEN WE IMPLEMENTED IT, IT WAS DONE IN REALTIME. SO AS SOON AS THE PROVIDER STORED, RECORDED OR SAVED A DOCUMENT HE AUTHORED -- >> [INDISCERNABLE] >> NO. IT WAS ONLY PERSPECTIVE. ONLY PERSPECTIVE. SO AS SOON AS THE PATIENT WAS HOSPITALIZED ENTERED IN THE ICU AND EVERYTHING WAS NEW DOCUMENTS, WHERE PROCESS AND PLATE AID PROBLEM. IT WAS ONLY PERSPECTIVE. >> ONE MORE QUICK QUESTION HERE. DID YOU CONSIDER USING NURSE PRACTICEITIONERS OR NURSES TO WHET THE PROBLEM LIST SO THAT IT'S A LITTLE MORE CLEANER IN THE WORK FLOW? >> NO, WE DID NOT, BECAUSE THE PROBLEM WAS ALMOST ONLY USED BY PHYSICIANS. IT WAS REALLY MORE LIKE A DOCTOR'S PROBLEM LISTS. >> WHAT ABOUT MEDICATION RECONCILIATION? >> THEY WERE NOT IN THE PROBLEM LIST. >> FOR THE OTHER ONE,, HE IN GENERAL YOU MEAN? >> YEAH. >> NOT REALLY, BUT IT COULD BE A GOOD IDEA, ESPECIALLY IN SOME ENVIRONMENTS WHERE NURSE PRACTICEITIONERS DO MOST OF THE CONTACT WITH THE PATIENT. IT WOULD MAKE SENSE, YES. >> THANKS. [APPLAUSE] >> OUR NEXT SPEAKER IS DR. MARK MUSEN FROM STANFORD UNIVERSITY. >> THANK YOU, JAMES. LET ME JUST ALL RIGHT. WHERE IS THE -- ON THE BOTTOM. SEE, I'M A MAC GUY. YEAH. IT'S BETTER ON A MAC. [LAUGHTER] ANYWAY, THANK YOU. I REALLY WANT TO THANK THE NI BIB FOR BRINGING US TOGETHER AND HAVING THIS WONDERFUL CONVERSATION. I WANT TO START BY CONFESSING THERE WAS A TIME WHEN I WAS A NON-BELIEVER. IN THE 80S CHERRY WIN GRAD HAD JUST MADE A SPLASH IN VOLUME ONE OF HIS BOOK AND IMMEDIATELY ABANDONED THE IDEA OF VOLUME TWO WHEN HE SAID WELL, THEY WOULD FIGURE OUT SOME ANTICS SO WE SHOULD JUST GIVE UP AND THAT'S WHEN HE MOVED INTO COMPUTER INTERACTION. AND FRANKLY, IF YOU'D ASKED ME THEN IF WE HAD THE CAPABILITIES THAT WE HAVE NOW IN NLP, I WOULD HAVE BEEN VERY DOUFBLET. AND SOMEONE WHO HAS SPENT HIS CAREER MAINLY DEALING WITH DECISION SUPPORT ACTUALLY NOT DEALING WITH NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING AS MUCH AS I CAN AT ALL, I AM ACTUALLY VERY IMPRESSED WHERE NLT HAS COME AND I'M FRUSTRATED WHERE C.D.S HAS GONE, PARTICULARLY IN THE COMMERCIAL SECTOR. AND I THINK WHAT I'D LIKE TO DO IN THE NEXT FEW MINUTES IS TALK ABOUT WHERE C.D.S EXISTS AS IS ACTUALLY DEPLOYED IN THE REAL WORLD, WHERE I THINK IT CAN BE VERY HELPFUL. I WAS VERY INSPIRED BY BOB'S NENOTE WHERE HE WENT ABOUT THE LARGE GAMUT OF ACTIVITY IN CLINICAL SUPPORT AND BETTER MEDICAL DECISION MAKING. AND THEN GAIN TO THINK ABOUT REALLY WHERE ARE WE IN THE WORLD NOW AND FRANKLY, AS MY SLIDE SUGGESTS, AT LEAST IN THE COMMERCIAL SECTOR AND LARGELY IN THE ACADEMIC SECTOR AS WELL, WE TEND TO LOOK FOR CLAIM GREAT SUCCESS WHEN REALLY WE'RE MISSING OUT ON GREAT OPPORTUNITIES AND WAYS OF IMPROVING HEALTHCARE AND HELP. WHEN YOU LOOK AT THE WAY VENDORS TALK ABOUT DETERMINES IN TERMS OF SUPPORT, THEY ADVERTISE RULES. THIS IS ACTUALLY A RULE STOLEN FROM PRODUCT LITERATURE THAT SENER DISHES OUT WHICH TALKS ABOUT THE KINDS OF RULES THAT YOU CAN WRITE AND THEIR PARTICULAR LANGUAGE FOR HANDLING RULES. WE ALL KNOW ABOUT H.R. 7 AND FRANKLY THESE RULES PROVIDE THE OPPORTUNITY TO SAY IF SOME BAD SITUATION EXISTS, THEN DO SOMETHING ABOUT THAT BAD SITUATION IN GENERAL. AND THIS IS A TECHNOLOGY THAT HAS EXISTED SINCE THE 1970'S. HOYEARS AGO MCDONALD SHOWED BRILLIANTLY HOW THIS KIND OF TECHNOLOGY CAN HAVE A TREMENDOUS EFFECT ON AFFECTING THE KINDS OF THE PROBLEMS THAT UNITELY AFFECT PEOPLE IN AM BLUETRY CARE AND AVERTING KINDS OF THE SITUATIONS MOST OF US ARE MOST CONCERNED ABOUT. WE CAN DEAL WITH DRUG AND DRUG INTERACTIONS AND DON'T GET DRUGS THEY SHOULDN'T GET. WE CAN SUGGEST ALTERNATIVE MEDICATION THAT'S MIGHT BE CHEAPER AT THE TIME OF ORDER ENTRY. WE CAN MAKE REMARKS ABOUT ABNORMAL LAB RESULTS, OPPORTUNITIES FOR IMMUNIZATIONS, SERVICES THAT WE BRING TO THE ATTENTION OF PROVIDERS. THIS IS ALL WONDERFUL STUFF, ALL STUFF THAT WE SHOWED HOYEARS AGO REALLY IS AT THE HEART OF RULE-BASED SYSTEMS WHEN THEY'RE USED REALLY WELL IN CLINICAL CARE. THE PROBLEM IS WE'RE CONTINUING TO PROMOTE THESE KINDS OF SYSTEMS AND PROMOTING THEM TO DO THE KINDS OF THINGS THEY DO WELL WHILE WE REALLY IGNORE THE POSSIBILITY OF ALTERNATIVE FORMS OF DECISION SUPPORT THAT ACTUALLY ADDRESS SOME OTHER KINDS OF PRESSING PROBLEMS WE JUST DON'T LOOK AT AT ALL. WE'RE GOOD AT SQUINTING AT CLINICAL PROBLEMS AND SAYING THIS IS WHERE RULES MIGHT BE USEFUL. BUT WE IGNORE ALL THE PROBLEMS THAT RULE-BASE SYSTEMS EMERGE WHEN WORK WAS DONE IN THE 80S AND REALIZED HOW THEY WERE BRITLE AND HOW THEY DIDN'T ADDRESS PROBLEMS AT THE EDGE OF THEIR CAPABILITIES AND MOST IMPORTANT, HOW WE LEARN WHEN THEY BECAME LARGE WERE ABSOLUTELY IMPOSSIBLE TO DEVELOP, HOW QUALITY ASSURANCE WAS IMPOSSIBLE AND HOW WE REALLY NEEDED WAYS OF STRUCTURING KNOWLEDGE IN A MUCH MORE COHERENT WAY NOT ONLY IT MAKE OUR SYSTEMS MORE INTELLIGENT OU TO MAKE US MORE INTELLIGENT IN BEING ABLE TO MAINTAIN THEM AND REPAIR THEM. AND FRANKLY,S THE POPULATION AGES AND WE START TALKING ABOUT WHAT THE NEXT GENERATION OF CARE IS GOING TO REQUIRE, WE ARE NOT VERY GOOD AT DEALING WITH WHAT THE NEXT KIND OF DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS NEED TO PROVIDE. THEY NEED TO BE ABLE TO DEAL WITH GUIDELINES, AS BOB SUGGESTED, THEY NEED TO BE ABLE TO DEAL WITH TREATMENT OVER TIME. THEY HAVE TO DEAL WITH INTERVENTIONS THAT ARE BASED ON PREVIOUS RESPONSE OF TREATMENTS. WELL-PREVIOUSLY ON SOME DRUG, IT MIGHT BE GOOD TO CONTINUE THAT KIND OF DRUG. IF SOMEBODY DID POORLY, WE KNOW WE WANT TO TRY SOME ALTERNATIVES. AND MOST IMPORTANT AS THE POPULATION AGES, WE HAVE TO RECOGNIZE THAT 60% OF PATIENTS OVER AGE 50350 HAVE MORE THAN ONE DISEASE. AND IN THE SETTING OF MULTIMORBIDITY, EVEN OUR EXISTING GUIDELINES WHICH WERE ALL DEVELOPED WITH CLINICAL TRIALS WERE EXCLUDED IN THE FIRST PLACE. WE HAVE TROUBLE ADOPTING OUR GUIDELINES IN WAYS THAT ACTUALLY MAKE SENSE WHERE THE KINDS OF PATIENTS WERE ACTUALLY FOR THE PATIENTS WE'RE TREATING IN THE CLINIC. CLINICAL CARE TASS EXISTS IS MESSY. PATIENTS HAVE MANY COMPLEX PROBLEMS. GUIDELINES THAT DON'T ALWAYS APPLY, AND YET WE'RE REALLY GOOD AT THINKING ABOUT THOSE RULES THAT TELL US NOT TO GIVE DRUGS TO WHICH PATIENTS ARE ALLERGIC. AND WHAT WE REALLY NEED TO BE THINKING ABOUT IS THE NEXT GENERATION OF CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT THAT CAN SUPPORT TO DO THINGS THAT ARE MORE INTERESTING. I KNOW THIS SOUNDS IMMODEST BUT IT GIVES YOU AN EXAMPLE OF THE KINDS OF THINGS WE'VE BEEN WORKING AT OVER THE YEARS. ONE IS I THINK IT GIVES A GOOD EXAMPLE, TOO, AND I'M OBLIGATED TO TALK ABOUT IT. WE HAVE A SYSTEM AT STANFORD THAT BLACKFORD ALLUDED TO EARLIER THIS MORNING CALLED ION, WHICH PROVIDES A FOUNDATION WHICH MY COLLEAGUE AT STANFORD USED TO DEPLOY IN ABOUT NINE DIFFERENT V.A. MEDICAL CENTERS FAIR VARIETY OF CHRONIC DISEASES FOR WHICH GUIDELINE-BASED CARE MAKES SENSE. THIS SHOWS YOU AN EXPERIMENTAL FRONT FOR THE HYPERTENSION SYSTEM WHICH SITS ON TOP OF CPRS, WHICH SITS ON TOP OF VIST Y AT V.A. MEDICAL CENTERS AND WHAT VISTA AND ATHENA ALLOW ONE TO DO TOGETHER IS TO LOOK AT INFORMATION ABOUT PATIENTS WHO ARE HYPER-- HAVE HYPERTENSION AND TO APPLY THAT JOINT NATIONAL COMMISSION GUIDELINE THAT BLACKFORD MENTIONED OR MAYBE IT WAS FRANK, TO AUTOMATICALLY MAKE SUGGESTION ABOUTS HOW PATIENTS MIGHT BE TREATED IF THE DOCTOR WANTS TO ASSUME THAT THE GUIDELINE MAKES STENS SENSE IN THAT PARTICULAR SCENARIO AND HOW DOES ATHENA WORK? IT HAS A REPRESENTATION OF THE GUIDELINES STORED AS A KNOWLEDGE BASE AND THE PATIENT DATA THAT ARE AVAILABLE TO THE VISTA ELECTRONIC HEALTH RECORD SYSTEM AND ASSUMING THAT ALL THE CODED DATA ARE ALL YOU NEED, BRINGS THAT INFORMATION TOGETHER TO MAKE RECOMMENDATIONS SUCH AS FOR EXAMPLE, CONSIDER ADDING AN ACE INHINTOR BECAUSE THERE IS COMPELLING INDICATION OF HEART FAILURE. ATHENA DOES THIS BECAUSE WE HAVE UNDER THE HOOD -- AND IT'S ALWAYS GOOD TO SHOW WHAT'S UNDER THE HOOD AT THIS KIND OF THE MEETING, AN ONCOLOGY WHICH DESCRIBED WHAT'S DEFINED IN TYPICAL GUIDELINES. THIS ONCOLOGY PROVIDES A FRAMEWORK OF THINGS SUCH AS A RECOMMENDATION SPECIFICATION. IT WILL HAVE AN ACTION SPECIFICATION. IT WILL HAVE AN ALGARITHM THAT WILL SUGGEST HOW VARIOUS TASKS HAVE BEEN IMPLEMENTED OVER TIME. AND IT WILL PROVIDE PARTICULAR PROPERTIES OF THOSE VARIOUS ENTITIES IN A WAY THAT ALLOWS OUR SYSTEM TO AUTOMATICALLY ACQUIRE INFORMATION ABOUT THE VARIOUS GUIDELINES THAT MIGHT BE INITIATED USING THOSE GENERIC ONTOLOGY. SO IT MIGHT SUGGEST WHAT THE INFORMATION YOU NEED TO DESCRIBE THE GAC 7 GUIDELINE. WHAT ARE THE WAYS IN WHICH THE GUIDELINES APPLIES SO WE KNOW WE ARE MEETING ITS GOALS. WHAT ARE THE KINDS OF DRUGS WE WANT TO USE AND INTERVENTIONS WE WANT TO CONSIDER AND SO ON? AND BECAUSE WE CAN DRAW OUR GRAPHS, WE CAN SAY WHAT IS THE TEM PRALE ORDER OF INNOVATION THAT'S MAKE SENSE IF WE WANT TO TREAT PATIENTS IN ACCORDANCE TO THE GUIDELINES? THIS IS NOT THE KIND OF SPECIFICATION THAT YOU CAN SET A SITUATION CAN SPECIFY IN A VERY CLEAN WAY. THIS IS NOT THE KIND OF SITUATION ACTION THAT MAKES SENSE -- NOT THE KIND OF SPECIFICATION THAT DEALS WITH ONE SITUATION AND ONE ACTION, RATHER, IT DEALS WITH MULTIPLE SITUATIONS IN MULTIPLE ACTIONS THAT UNFOLD IN A RATHER COMPLICATED CHAIN OF SEQUENCE. BUT ONCE YOU HAVE THIS KIND OF REPRESENTATION, ONCE YOU HAVE THE DATA THAT ARE AVAILABLE THROUGH VISTA, ONCE YOU HAVE THE PATIENT WHO IS BEING TREATED ACCORDING TO THE GUIDELINE, THEN YOU HAVE THE BASIS FOR HAVING AN AUTOMATED SYSTEM THAT CAN GO WELL BEYOND IDENTIFYING VERY SIMPLE PROBLEMS BUT CAN MANAGE COMPLEX PATIENTS WITH MULTIPLE, COMPLICATING ISSUES IN THE AREA OF HYPERTENSION OVER TIME. THAT'S THE GOOD NEWS. THE BAD NEWS IS THAT TO DO THIS ACTUALLY REQUIRES A LOT OF INFORMATION THAT'S NOT ACCESSIBLE THROUGH THE CODED DATA THAT WE ARE ABLE TO BRING IN THROUGH VISTA. SO WHAT DO WE MISS? WE MISS UNDERSTANDING WHAT ARE THE SPECIFIC PATIENT PREFERENCE THAT'S MIGHT CAUSE A PATIENT TO CHOOSE ONE ACTION OVER ANOTHER IF BOTH ACTIONS ARE RELATIVELY INDICATED AT THE SAME LEVEL? WHAT ARE THE PROVIDER PREFERENCES OR THE ORGANIZATIONAL PREFERENCE THAT'S MIGHT MAKE ONE ACTION EFFECTIVE OVER ANOTHER IN A PERFECT SETTING? WHAT ARE ALL THE INTANGIBLES? WHAT'S THE PATIENT'S TRANSPORTATION SITUATION? CAN THE PATIENT GET TO THE CLINIC FOR EVALUATION? WHAT OVER-THE-COUNTER MEDICATIONS MIGHT THE PATIENT BE TAKING? WHAT DRUGS MIGHT BE PROSCRIBED ELSLSHERE THAT WE DON'T KNOW ABOUT? WHAT MORBIDITY EXISTS? IN FACT, WHAT IS THE CLINICAL PRACTICE GUIDELINES ACCORDING TO THE PATIENT BEING TREATED? THAT KIND OF THING IS ALL IN THE NARRATIVE TEXT AND THAT INFORMATION IS NOT ACCESSIBLE TO ATHENA IN ANY WAY, SHAPE OR FORM. AND AS YOU'VE JUST HEARD, A LOT OF WHAT WE ASUME IS GOING TO BE AVAILABLE THROUGH THE CODED INFORMATION MAY OR MAY NOT BE THERE BUT WE'LL LEAVE THAT FOR ANOTHER DAY. WE'VE GOTTEN REALLY GOOD AT TAKING THE ATHENA MODEL AND REPLICATING IT. SO MY COLLEAGUES AT THE V.A. HAVE TAKEN VERSIONS OF ATHENA THAT TAKE THE HYPERTENSION VERSION AND REPLICATE IT FOR USE IN A GUIDELINE THAT TREATS HEART FAILURE. AND IF -VREPLICATED IT FOR ENTERING INFORMATION ABOUT HYPERLEP DEMIA AND DIABETES AND MANAGEMENT OPOID THERAPY AND ALL THAT IS REALLY WONDERFUL. BUT ALL OF THESE ARE SYSTEMS AND AS I SAID A MOMENT AGO, OUR BIGGEST PROBLEM IS DEALING WITH MORBIDITY. AND WHAT WE'RE REALLY TRYING TO DO NOW IS IDENTIFY MECHANISMS THAT MAKE SENSE FOR TAKING THE COMPLEXITIES WHERE WE HAVE TO MANAGE PATIENTS IN ACCORDANCE WITH GUIDELINES AND BEGIN TO IDENTIFY WAYS IN WHICH WE CAN BRING OTHER GUIDELINES INTO THE IDENTIFICATION-MAKING PROCESS. AND SO A CONTRACT THAT WAS SPOTTED THAT -- FUNDED, WE'RE STARTING TO LOOK AT THE WAYS IN WHICH MULTIPLE GUIDELINES CAN BE ADMINISTERED TOGETHER. AND THE MODEL RIGHT NOW IS VERY SIMPLE. WE'RE VERY EXCITED ABOUT THE POSSIBILITY OF LOOKING AT THE PROBLEM AS IT EMERGES WHEN YOU TAKE THE MULTIPLE GUIDELINES USING THE ION TECHNOLOGY, THE VARIOUS ATHENA VERSIONS, RUN THEM ON A PARTICULAR PATIENT WHO HAS MORBID CONDITIONS AND THINK ABOUT HOW CAN WE APPLY THOSE GUIDELINES? HOW CAN WE CONSOLIDATE THE VARIOUS RECOMMENDATION THAT'S THE GUIDELINES INDIVIDUALLY WOULD RECOMMEND? AND THEN HOW CAN WE IDENTIFY POTENTIAL INTERACTIONS AMONG THOSE GUIDELINES, HOW CAN WE REPAIR THOSE INTERACTIONS AND ULTIMATELY HOW CAN WE PRIORITIZE RECOMMENDATIONS WHEN MULTIPLE GUIDELINES RUN TOGETHER AND OBVIOUSLY NONE OF THESE GUIDELINES WERE CREATED WITH THE IDEA OF ANTICIPATING ALL THE POSSIBLE SIDE EFFECTS THAT MIGHT OCCUR WHEN THE GUIDELINES FOR OTHER DISEASES ARE BEING RUN SIMULTANEOUSLY? I WON'T SAY THAT WE HAVE THE SOLUTION HERE BUT I THINK THIS IS AN EXCITING AREA OF RESEARCH AND POINTS TO THE COMPLEXITY OF THE CLINICAL ENTERVISE AND THE PROBLEMS THAT DECISION CERTAINLY WE HAVE A LONG WAY TO GO IN BEING ABLE TO DEAL WITH. DEALING WITH THESE MULTIPLE COMORBIDITIES IS HARD BECAUSE AS I SAID EARLIER, ALL THE CLINICAL TRIALS TYPICALLY WILL EXCHRUT PATIENTS WHO HAVE OTHER DISEASES AND RARELY IS THERE EVIDENCE THAT TELLS US WHAT TO DO WHEN PATIENTS HAVE MORE THAN ONE CONDITION. UNDERSTANDING THE RELATIVE EFFECTS OF COMORBIDITIES ON FUNCTIONAL STATUS IS REALLY OF AN IMPORTANT NUANCE. WE NEED TO BE ABLE TO APPRECIATE THAT YES, TREATING A PATIENT IN ACCORDANCE WITH ONE GUIDELINE MIGHT HELP ONE PROBLEM BUT MIGHT HURT SOME OTHER PROBLEM AND BEING ABLE TO ASSESS THAT TRADE-OFF IS A DIFFICULT DECISION PROBLEM THAT IS NOT SOMETHING THAT'S BUILT INTO ANYIST EXISTING GUIDELINE STRUCTURES. BUT WHEN WE TRY TO DO THAT, THOSE DECISION MODELS CAN BECOME COMPLICATED AS WE DEAL WITH ALL THOSE POSSIBILITIES. AND OBVIOUSLY, WHAT WE REALLY NEED ARE WAYS OF BEING ABLE TO MANAGE THE COMPLEXITY IN A REUSABLE SENSE. AND THE DECISION-MAKING BASICALLY IN THE ABSENCE OF ANY KIND OF FORMAL EVIDENCE WHICH USUALLY IS THE CASE WHEN YOU DEAL WITH PATIENTS WITH MULTIPLE MORBIDITY, HAS TO BE INFORMED FROM OTHER SOURCES. AND INFORM THAT KIND OF DECISION MAKING WILL FUNDAMENTALLY BE THE KIND OF INFORMATION THAT WE CAN GREEN FROM ELECTRONIC HEALTH RECORDS. MAINLY INFORMATION THAT WE CAN GREEN IN THE FORM OF NLP. SO IN ORDER TO BASICALLY HAVE THE KINDS OF HEALTH SYSTEMS THAT CAN OFFER EVIDENCE-BASED CARE, NOT FOR SIMPLE SITUATIONS, NOT EVEN FOR INDIVIDUAL GUIDELINES, BUT FOR THE KINDS OF PATIENTS WHO TYPICALLY WILL BE OVERRUNNING THE HEALTHCARE SYSTEM FOR THE NEXT 40 YEARS, WE BASICALLY NEED TO BE ABLE TO INCORPORATE ALL THE NON-CODED DATA THAT EXISTS IN THE H.R. AND IDENTIFY FROM HISTORICAL RECORDS PATIENTS WHO ARE SIMILAR IN THEIR COMORBIDITY, SIMILAR IN TREATMENT SITUATIONS AND TRY TO UNDERSTAND NOT IN THE CONTEXT OF CONTROLLED TRIALS BUT IN THE CONTEXT OF OUR EXPERIENCE WHAT HAS TAKEN PLACE FROM WHICH WE CAN LEARN IN ORDER TO MAKE DECISIONS ABOUT THESE KINDS OF COMPLEX PATIENTS WHICH ARE THE NORM IN CLINICAL PRACTICE? AND BASICALLY, WHAT CAN WE DO TO BUILD THE KINDS OF CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS THAT WILL ADDRESS ALL THE SITUATIONS FOR WHICH PATIENTS AND PROVIDERS, NOT JUST THOSE THAT COULD BE FRAMED IN TERMS OF THE KINDS OF SIMPLE RULES THAT ARE SO PERVASIVE NOW IN THE KINDS OF SYSTEMS THAT ARE AVAILABLE COMMERCIALLY. THERE ARE A NUMBER OF WORKSHOPS THAT WERE HELD BY THE INSTITUTE OF MEDICINE FROM OTHER AGENCIES ON THE IDEA OF A LEARNING HEALTHCARE SYSTEM. THAT WOULD BE ABLE TO LEARN FROM THE EVIDENCE OF PREVIOUS PRACTICE WHAT MIGHT BE REASONABLE APPROACHES WHEN FRANKLY THERE IS NO EVIDENCE AND TO APPLY THOSE KINDS OF INFERENCES IN THE CARE OF PATIENTS WHEN THERE MAY NOT BE A CLINICAL PRACTICE GUIDELINE BUT WHERE PROVIDERS ARE SEEKING MORE THAN JUST AN INTUITION ABOUT WHAT MIGHT BE THE BEST KIND OF CARE. AND I THINK AS WE THINK ABOUT THE COMPLEXITIES OF THE CLINICAL ARENA AND THINK ABOUT HOW WE WANT TO APPLY EVIDENCE-BASED PRACTICE TO THE BEST OF OUR ABILITY AND HOW WE WANT TO FILL IN THE GAPS, I THINK IN WORKING TOWARD THIS NOTION OF A LEARNING HEALTHCARE SYSTEM, WE CAN SEE A LOT OF BENEFIT FROM TRADITIONAL CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS, THE KINDS OF SUPPORT SYSTEMS THAT CAN INCORPORATE THE COMPLEXITIES OF THE GUIDELINES FOLKS HAVE TALKED ABOUT THIS MORNING, BUT ALSO UNDERSTANDING HOW SIMILAR PATIENTS HAVE BEEN TREATED IN AN EFFORT TO COME UP WITH THE KINDS OF CARE PLANS THAT COULD TAKE ADVANTAGE OF AS MUCH INFORMATION AS POSSIBLE IN DEALING WITH PATIENTS WHO HAVE THE KINDS OF COMPLEXITIES, WHICH USED TO BE CONSIDERED RARE, BUT NOW IN THE CURRENT AGING POPULATION JUST WHAT WE DEAL WITH ALL THE TIME. THANKS. [APPLAUSE] >> I WOULD LIKE TO INVITE THE SPEAKERS UP TO THE PANEL FOR DISCUSSION. >> GO AHEAD. >> HEY. WITH REGARD TO LOOKING AT THE EXPERIENCE WITH SIMILAR PATIENTS WELL, THE SAME CONDITION OR COMBINATIONS, I'D LIKE TO ASK YOU TO ELABORATE ON HOW YOU USE THAT INFORMATION AND DO YOU ASSUME THAT THOSE PATIENTS WERE TREATED CORRECTLY OR DO YOU TRY TO SEPARATE THEM OUT ACCORDING TO THE DIFFERENT WAYS THEY ARE TREATED AND LOOK AT THEIR OUTCOMES? >> I WILL CLARIFY THAT THIS IS NOT RESEARCH THAT WE'RE CURRENTLY DOING AND VERY EXCITED ABOUT MOVING IN THIS DIRECTION. AND I THINK WHAT ONE HAS TO DO IS LOOK AT A VARIETY OF PARAMETERS, INCLUDING THE CHARACTERISTICS OF THE PATIENT IN TERMS OF SIGNS AND SYMPTOMS AND PROBLEMS, INTERVENTIONS, INTERVENTION HISTORY, AND TRY TO IDENTIFY WHAT IS THE DISTANCE, FULL, BETWEEN THE PATIENT TO BE TREATED AND THE HISTORICAL PATIENTS WHO MIGHT BE AVAILABLE ON THE RECORD? FRANKLY SOME OF THE BEST WORK THAT I KNOW OF IN THIS AREA WAS DONE 30 YEARS AGO BY REYNOLDS WHEN HE LOOKED AT THE PROBLEM OF REASONING ABOUT PATIENTS WHOSE DESCRIPTIONS WERE AVAILABLE THROUGH LITERATURE AND NOT TRIALS. AND I THINK WE CAN LEARN A LOT FROM THAT WORK AND FRANKLY WITH THE ABILITY TO GET ACCESS TIHOST OF INFORMATION, I THINK WE HAVE A RICH SET OF DATA THAT WE CAN USE TO TRY TO DO THAT KIND OF LEARNING. BUT I DON'T KNOW OF ANYONE WHO HAS DONE IT VERY WELL YET. >> YEAH. >> HI. I'M FROM THE MAYO CLINIC. I UNDERSTAND THAT THE GUIDELINES -- ONLY A PART OF THE GUIDELINE CAN BE IMPLEMENTED BECAUSE YOU ARE DEALING WITH -- DATA AND I UNDERSTAND PART OF THE GUIDELINES CAN'T BE IMPLEMENTED BECAUSE THE DATA IS NOT AVAILABLE IN RECORDED FORM. CAN YOU ESTIMATE WHAT PART THE FRACTION OF THE GUIDELINE WHICH CAN BE IMPLEMENTED BECAUSE OF THE NEED FOR CODED DATA BECAUSE DATA IS IN THE FREE TEXT? >> IT TURNS OUT THAT THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE DATA THAT IS NEEDED CAN ULTIMATELY BE INFERRED FROM CODED INFORMATION, NOT IN A WAY WHICH GUARANTEES THAT EVERY POSSIBLE INFERENCE THAT MIGHT BE AVAILABLE IN THE RECORD COULD BE APPLIED TO THE GUIDELINE, BUT IN A WAY THAT IS REASONABLE. SO AS I AM NOW TRYING TO REMEMBER. I THINK IT WAS FRANK WHO TALKED ABOUT IT EARLIER. WE CAN TAKE ADVANTAGE FROM THE CODED RECORD AND USE IT TO INFER ABSTRACTIONS THAT MAY ALLOW US THEN TO PREDICATE OTHER ACTIONS THAT ARE SPECIFIED IN THE GUIDELINE. SO EVEN THOUGH WE MAY NOT HAVE A PROBLEM CODE, WE CAN PERFORM INFERENCE BASED ON WHAT WE DO KNOW TO MAKE A GUESS AS TO WHETHER THAT SITUATION THERE IS. AND IT'S IMPORTANT, TOO, -- WHAT IS IMPORTANT STOS THESE KINDS OF SOPHISTICATED REASONORS ARE ABLE TO INFORM THE CLINICIAN HOW THE INFERENCE WAS MADE AND WHAT THE CERTAINTY IS WITH WHICH THAT CONCLUSION WAS MADE. THESE SYSTEMS ARE NOT PERFECT, BUT I THINK IT'S REALLY IMPORTANT TO RECOGNIZE THAT PROVIDERS SIMPLY ARE OVERLOADED WITH GUIDELINES SUGGESTIONS AND HAVE DIFFICULTY JUST REMEMBERING WHAT GUIDELINES MIGHT SUGGEST IN CERTAIN CIRCUMSTANCES AND THE MORE THAT WE CAN PROVIDE THESE KINDS OF DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS, THE BETTER OFF THEY WILL BE IN BEING ABLE TO DETERMINE WHETHER THE GUIDELINE MIGHT APPLY AND IF SO, HOW THEY WOULD WANT TO APPLY IT. >> I THINK JUST TO CLARIFY, WHEN BILL AND HIS GROUP TRIED TO INCLUDE A GUIDELINE FOR HEART FAILURE ABOUT TEN YEARS AGO, THEY PUBLISHED A WONDERFUL PAPER SWRASHGS PAPER THAT GOES INTO GREAT DETAIL ABOUT THE INFORMATION THE GUIDELINE REQUIRED, HOW IT WAS NOT NECESSARILY DREBLINGTLY AVAILABLE -- DIRECTLY AVAILABLE AND WHAT INFERENCES THEY NEEDED TO MAKE IN ORDER TO PROVIDE THAT INFORMATION. >> OKAY, THANK YOU. [APPLAUSE] >> THE NEXT, WE HAVE ABOUT 25 MINUTES FOR THIS PANEL DISCUSSION, AND WE CAN REST FOR QUESTIONS. >> I HAVE A QUICK QUESTION FOR DR. MUSEN. I REMEMBER PARTICIPATING IN A TECHNOLOGY EXPERT PANEL ON QUALITY MEASURES AND A LONG TERM CARE PHYSICIAN SAID THAT ANY PATIENT CHART WHICH HAS MORE THAN TEN MEDICATIONS IS GUARANTEED TO HAVE A DRUG DRUG-DRUG INTERACTION. AND AS HE LOOKED AT THE RETIRED PEOPLE AND BABY BOOMERS, THEY ALL HAVE A LONG LIST OF PROBLEMS. ARE YOU LOOKING AT JUST TWO CLINICAL GUIDELINES OR ARE YOU LOOKING AT TEN DIFFERENT PROBLEMS THAT THESE PATIENTS HAVE, WHICH ARE ALL BEING TREATED WITH MEDICATIONS SNK >> THAT'S A GREAT QUESTION. AND IN FACT, WE'RE LOOKING BOTH OF THE PROBLEMS OF GUIDELINES INTERACTING AND SUGGESTING INTERVENTIONS AND LOOKING OVERALL AT THE QUESTION, PARTICULARLY IN THE ELDERLY. IT'S A REALLY SERIOUS PROBLEM AND THEN IT BECOMES A MATTER OF TRYING TO IDENTIFY WHAT ARE THE PREFERENCES OF THE PATIENTS AND THE PROVIDERS IN TERMS OF HOW TO TRIM SUCH A LIST IN ORDER TO GIVE THOSE DRUGS THAT ARE THE MOST REASONABLE TO GIVE, RECOGNIZING FOR EXACTLY THE PURPOSES THAT IT MAY BE DANGEROUS TO GIVE THOSE LONG LISTS OF DRUGS IN THE KINDS OF SETTINGS WHERE ACTUALLY A STRICT APPLICATION TO GUIDELINES MIGHT SUGGEST SUCH ENORMOUS NUMBERS OF MEDICATIONS. >> I HAVE A QUESTION MAYBE PRIMARILY TO MARK MUSEN BUT THEN TO THE OTHER PANELIST. WE'VE HEARD FROM IN THE KEYNOTE THAT WE DON'T HAVE A GUIDELINE EXECUTION ENGINE OUT THERE. YOU MENTIONED THAT WE HAVE A RULE-BASED LANGUAGE LIKE SIN TAX. WHERE DO YOU SEE THE MAGIC OF WHAT'S SOMETIMES CALLED TASK NETWORK MODELS LIKE ATHENA IS USING? WHERE DO YOU SEE THE KIND OF WHERE THEY GO BEYOND THE RULES WHERE THE RULES BECOME BRILITY? AND MAYBE -- BRITLE AND PUT THIS INTO A PERSPECTIVE OF I AM DEALING WITH PHARMACOGENOMICS AND AS AN INFORMATITION WHO IS SUPPOSED TO BE GOOD AS CODING, I CAN HAVE A PERFECT OPPORTUNITY TO SHAPE THEM TOWARDS A PARTICULAR STANDARD AND THE BEST THING I CAN TELL THEM IS OUT OF SIN TAX AND THERE IS ALSO THIS BOUNDARY, WHERE ONE PHARMACOGENOMICS GUIDELINE ENDS FOR ONE DRUG BUT ACTUALLY SOME OF THE GENES AFFECT OTHER DRUGS. SO THE PROBLEMS OF THE BOUNDARY BETWEEN GUIDELINES THERE IS, TOO. SO MAYBE SUMMARIZE. SO THIS PROBLEM OF WE DON'T HAVE A STANDARD OUT THERE AND THE MODELS BRING SOME MAGIC. HOW DO WE ADDRESS IT? >> I WANT TO ADDRESS THE MAGIC. BUT I GUESS THE FIRST QUESTION WAS WHERE IS THE INFLECTION POINT WHERE IT BECOMES DIFFICULT TO MANAGE? AND THAT'S A HARD ONE TO ANSWER. OBVIOUSLY, NS ONE IS EASY. WHEN THE RULES ARE SUCH THAT THEY DO NOT INTERACT, IT'S VERY EASY. THE PROBLEM OCCURS WHEN YOU HAVE TO USE MULTIPLE INTERACTING RULES IN ORDER TO DEAL WITH COMPLEX DECISION-MAKING PROCESSES. AND I THINK THERE WAS A PAPER IN AMIA ABOUT SEVEN YEARS AGO WHERE ATTEMPTS WERE MADE AT COLUMBIA TO BE ABLE TO IMPLEMENT IN A RULE RULE-BASED FRAMEWORK USING ARDEN, I BELIEVE, PROTOCOLS FOR MANAGEMENT OF CANCER CHEMOTHERAPY. AND THE BOTTOM LINE WAS THAT THOSE RULES INDIVIDUALLY MADE SENSE BUT COLLECTIVELY ACTUALLY WERE VERY PROBLEMATIC BECAUSE COMPLEXITIES OF THE INTERACTIONS. WHEN YOU LOOK AT WHAT HAPPENED IN THE 1980S WITH ALL THE EXCITEMENT OF RULE-BASED SYSTEMS, ALL OF THE INDUSTRIAL APPLICATIONS OF RULE-BASED SYSTEMS GOT GREAT PRESS EARLY ON AND ULTIMATELY THERE WAS AN ENORMOUS RETRENCHMENT BECAUSE PEOPLE FOUND THAT AS YOU HAD MORE THAN 20 OR 30 OR 100 RULES TO REPRESENT COMPLEX SITUATIONS, THE MANAGEMENT OF THOSE RULES BECAME ABSOLUTELY IMPOSSIBLE. AND SO I THINK AS WE THINK ABOUT THE IDEA OF AUTOMATING TASKS FROM THE PURPOSES OF DECISION SUPPORT, THEN I THINK IT'S MUCH MORE USEFUL TO BE THINKING ABOUT TASKS AS ABTRACTIONS, WHICH WE WILL THEN IMPLEMENT USING SOME PROGRAMMING FRAMEWORK, WHICH COULD ACTUALLY HAVE RULES UNDER THE HOOD BUT WHERE THE COGNITIVE TASK FOR THE DEVELOPER IS TO BE THINKING ABOUT THINGS OF THE HIGHEST LEVEL OF ABTRACTION AND NOT HAVING TO BE WORRIED ABOUT HOW INDIVIDUAL PRODUCTION RULES INTERACT. I THINK ARDEN HAS AN IMPORTANT ROLE TO PLAY IN ALL OF THE SITUATIONS WHERE ONE IS DEALING WITH SAY ALLERGIES OR DRUG-DRUG INTERACTIONS OR CONTRAINDICATED DRUGS. AND THOSE SITUATIONS THAT CAN BE STOVE-PIPED AND DEALT WITH INDIVIDUALLY, I THINK INDIVIDUAL RULES ARE WONDERFUL, AND ALTHOUGH A LOT OF PEOPLE GOT INTO TROUBLE WITH LARGE RULE-BASED SYSTEMS IN THE 80S, THERE WAS AMAZING SUCCESSES WITH SMALL RULE-BASED SYSTEMS IN THE 70S. AND SO MY ARGUMENT WOULD BE ONE HAS TO KNOW WHEN TO USE THE RIGHT TECHNOLOGY. >> I WOULD JUST AMPLE PLI FY-THAT. A GUIDELINE TO ACTUALLY EXECUTE IT. PATIENTS DON'T COME READY-MADE TO FIT A GUIDELINE. THEY COME AT A CERTAIN POINT IN TIME SO THERE IS AN ELIGIBILITY POINT AT WHICH MAY BE A GUIDELINE MIGHT APPLY TO THEM. AND AT THAT POINT THERE IS SOME SITUATION ACTION RULE THAT MIGHT APPLY. SO WE TEND TO THINK OF GUIDELINES AS IF WE HAD A STANDARD REPRESENTATION OF THE NETWORK THAT YOU COULD TAKE INDIVIDUAL POINTS OF THOSE AND TURN THEM INTO A SITUATION RULE. SO NOW YOU HAVE THIS KNOWLEDGE BASE OF RULES OR WHATEVER. I PICKARDEN BECAUSE IT'S A STANDARD. WHY INVENT ANOTHER EXPRESSION LINE? BUT THOSE THEN CAN COREFERENCE THE GUIDELINES THAT THEY ARE PART OF OR THE GOALS-DIRECTED SYSTEMS THAT THEY ARE PART OF SO THAT YOU KNOW, IF YOU NOW NEED TO REFER TO THE FRAMEWORK, THE MORE COMPLEX MANAGEMENT OF THAT PROBLEM, MY GPS MODEL. YOU COULD BASICALLY HAVE A GOAL THAT THAT RULE IS PART OF. SO I DON'T I KNOW IT'S NOT A COMPLETE ANSWER BUT RATHER THAN SAYING IT'S RULES VERSUS GUIDELINES, SOME RULES -- TO ACT WAIT A GUIDELINE, YOU HAVE TO COMPOSE IT TO RULES AND OTHER THINGS THAT YOU ARE GOING TO HAVE TO IMPLEMENT. 1Y >> TO CONTINUE WITH DR. STEPHANE. THERE ARE SOME SYSTEMS WHICH ENFORCE MEDICATION ASSOCIATION WITH THE PROBLEM LIST. SO FOR EXAMPLE IF YOU PRESCRIBE SOMETHING LIKE THAT, THERE SHOULD BE A PRIMARY DIAGNOSIS OF SOME COST. IF WE PUT EVERYTHING CHRONIC CIRRHOSIS OF LIVER AND HYPERTENSION, DO YOU ASSOCIATE THEM LIKE THAT? DO YOU RATHER PREFER TO ASSOCIATE EACH OF THE MEDICATIONS FOR SPECIFIC CAUSES OR SPECIFIC UTILITY LIKE SAY HYPERTENSION? >> I AM HAVING TROUBLE HEARING YOU BECAUSE OF THE ECHO. PERHAPS YOU COULD SPEAK A LITTLE MORE SLOWLY? >> THE QUESTION IS I THINK THE MEDICAL RECORD SYSTEMS, THEY PROVIDE THE MEDICATION ASSOCIATION WITH A DIAGNOSIS. IT'S A GREAT C.D.S. SO IT MAKES YOU THINK. WHETHER SAY I CAN ASSOCIATE ALL THE MEDICATIONS I HAVE FOR A CHRONIC LIVER-DISEASED PATIENT WITH JUST SIR OYSIS OR FLUID RETENTION OR FLUID OVERLOAD OR THIS TREATMENT IS FOR HYPERTENSION. SO I CAN CLASSIFY LIKE THAT. HOW DO YOU BALANCE IT? >> I MEAN, CERTAINLY THOSE KINDS OF ASSOCIATIONS ARE THE PERFECT KINDS OF THINGS TO ENCODE IN A RULE-BASED APPROACH. WHERE YOU GET INTO TROUBLE ARE IN THE KINDS OF GUIDELINES THAT DEAL WITH SITUATIONS. JUST TO PICK ONE, WHICH WE LIKE TO TALK ABOUT A LOT BECAUSE IT KOUSTS A LOT OF TROUBLE AT STANFORD. WE WERE CODING GUIDELINES FOR MANAGEMENT OF H.I.V., WHICH WOULD HAVE A -- SOUND LIKE A RULE, SAYING THAT IF THIS IS THE SECOND EPISODE OF ANEMIA THAT HAS FOLLOWED THE USE OF THESE DRUGS, THEN CONSIDER INTRODUCING OF THESE OTHER -- SUBSTITUTION OF THESE OTHER DRUGS. AND THAT KIND OF A SITUATION, WHICH SOUNDS LIKE A RULE IS WHEN YOU GET DOWN TO IT, IS VERY HARD TO ENCODE IN A RULE-BASED FRAMEWORK BECAUSE YOU HAVE TO FIGURE OUT WHAT DOES IT MEAN TO HAVE ANEMIA AND THE SECOND EPISODE OF ANEMIA? HOW DO YOU FIGURE TOUT WHETHER THAT ANEMIA FOLLOWED SOME INTERVENTION, WHICH NOW YOU WANT TO BE CONCERNED ABOUT IN PRESCRIBING IN THE FUTURE? AND WHEN YOU HAVE TO HAVE THAT KIND OF REASONING, ARDEN IS NOT A GOOD HAMMER FOR THAT PARTICULAR NAIL. AND SO WHAT I AM SAYING IS NOT THAT THERE IS A -- ONLY ONE HAMMER THROUGHOUT AND IT'S REALLY COMPLICATED, WHAT I'M SAYING IS THAT THERE IS A LARGE SUITE OF THINGS WE WANT TO DO IN CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT, SOME OF WHICH ARE VERY SIMPLE AND REPETITIVE AND BEAUTIFULLY DONE IN A SITUATION ACTION FRAMEWORK. AND OTHER THINGS, WHICH ARE HARD AND WHICH ARE BECOMING INCREASINGLY MORE PREVALENT IS PATIENTS FRANKLY GET OLDER AND SICKER, WHERE WE ARE GOING TO NEED TO TURN TO OTHER KINDS OF DECISION SUPPORT TECHNOLOGY IN ORDER TO HAVE THE KIND OF INFLUENCE ON THE WORLD THAT WE WANT. AND AS BOB ALLUDED, MANY OF US OVER THE YEARS HAS BEEN DEALING WITH WAYS OF TRYING TO REPRESENT THESE MORE COMPLICATED GUIDELINES TO BE ABLE TO DEAL WITH THESE SITUATIONS THAT ALLUDE THE SAME RULE-BASED FRAMEWORK. THERE IS NOT A WAY OF DOING IT. THERE IS A LOT OF EXPERIENCE AND DAVE APPROACHES. AND I THINK WE NEED A LOT MORE OF THAT. WE NEED TO LEARN A LOT MORE OF THAT SO THAT WE CAN HAVE MORE SOPHISTICATED WAYS OF REASONING AND THEN WHEN WE REALIZE WE ARE NOT THERE YET, WE'RE FALLING PAYOFF -POFF A CLIFF, WE NEED TO FIGURE OUT WELL, WHAT'S THE NEXT BEST KIND OF INFORMATION THAT WE CAN GET TO HELP US. >> DID YOU WANT TO HAVE MORE ANSWER? I THOUGHT YOU DIRECTED THE QUESTION TO ME ORIGINALLY. >> IF SO, I APOLOGIZE. >> THAT'S FINE. >> VERY GOOD. I DIDN'T UNDERSTAND VERY CLEARLY WHAT YOU WERE ASKING, SO I AM VERY GLAD. >> IT'S JUST THAT HOW DISCREET AND HOW EXTENDED YOU WOULD LIKE YOUR DIAGNOSIS AT A PRIMARY -- PROBLEM LIST FOR FACILITATING WITH MEDICATIONS? SO CORRECT ME IF I DON'T UNDERSTAND. THIS IS ABOUT ORGANIZING SOMETHING LIKE A LIST OF PROBLEMS THAT INCLUDES ALSO MEDICATIONS AND ORGANIZING THEM, ORGANIZED THEM WITH SPECIFIC PROBLEMS? YOU SAY A QUESTION ABOUT FUNCTIONALITY OR ABOUT AUTOMATICALLY PROVIDING THIS TYPE OF INFORMATION? >> FUNCTIONALITY. >> SO THAT'S SOMETHING THAT WE HEARD SEVERAL TIMES THAT WE REALLY DIDN'T INVESTIGATE IT. BUT THE NEED OR THE USE OF THE PROBLEM VARIES A LOT BETWEEN USERS AND SPECIALISTIES. SOME USE IT AS A VERY EXTENSIVE DIFFERENTTIAL DIAGNOSIS TOOL AND WOULD LIKE TO INCLUDE ALL THE RELEVANT NOGS IT, USE IT AS THE MAIN TABLE OF CONTENT FOR THE WHOLE H.R., WHICH IS A BIT THE IDEA OF THE PROBLEM IN MEDICAL RECORD. AND OTHER ONES JUST USE IT AS LIKE A TO DO LIST WITH A LEVEL OF ABTRACTION THAT MAKES SENSE FOR THEM BUT OBVIOUSLY DOESN'T INCLUDE A LOT OF INFORMATION, RELEVANT INFORMATION THAT'S MENTIONED. AND SOMETIMES THE MEDICATION IS INCLUDED. SOMETIMES THE PROBLEM BAUKS BECOMES SOMETHING LIKE IT TO DO LIKE CHECK VERIFIED MEDICATION EFFECTS OR REMOVE OR STOP MEDICATION, JUST AS WITH A DATE SO THAT WHEN THEY LOOK AGAIN THEY DON'T FORGET TO LOOK AT THAT AND ASK THE PATIENT IF THE MEDICATION WORKS AS EXPECTED IF THEY HAVE TO CHANGE IT OR EVALUATE IT. IT REALLY VARIES. >> I HAVE A FEW COMMENTS. ONE IS HOW WE USE ARP 2 MINING THE DATA TO FIGURE OUT THE ASSOCIATION IS ACCURATE. -- ARE CURRENT MEDICATIONS AND PROBLEMS, LIKE A LARGE AMOUNT OF CLINICAL DATA AND FIND ASSOCIATION BETWEEN MEDICATION AND A PROBLEM. ONE PROBLEM OF THIS IS YOU CAN SPEND A LOT FALSE-POSITIVES. SO THE FALSE-POSITIVES LIKE IF YOU WANT TO FIGURE THOSE TWO MEDICATIONS, THIS IS -- TOGETHER IT'S NOT TWO. NEED A SOPHISTICATED MODEL TO HANDLE THIS PROBLEM. I THINK YOU CAN LOOK AT SOME REFERENCE PUBLISHED FROM COLUMBIA. ANOTHER IS ABOUT HER FUNCTION. WE HAVE A VAPOR PROJECT, WHICH YOU CAN USE BECAUSE THE PROBLEM LIST IS NOT COMPLETE. SO YOU CAN ACTUALLY LOOK AT THE PATIENT PROBLEM LIST. IF THE PATIENT HAS TAKEN MEDICATIONS FOR DIABETES, THE PHYSICIAN SAY WOULD YOU LIKE TO ADD DIAGNOSIS OF DIABETES ON THE PROBLEM LIST? >> THANKS. I HAVE I GUESS PARTLY A PHILOSOPHIC QUESTION BUT SOMETHING I'VE STRUGD WITH SOME OF THE WORK THAT I'VE DONE LOOKING AT THE ELECTRONIC MEDICAL RECORDS AND THAT IS IF I GET ADMITTED TO THE HOSPITAL, I REALLY WANT THE BEST DOCTOR POSSIBLE TO TAKE CARE OF ME. BUT THERE IS NO CONSUMER REPORTS FOR THESE DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS. AND SO AS TIME GOES ON, IT WAS INTERESTING TO SEE THE VERSION FROM SER NER AND SOME OF THE ESTABLISHED ELECTRONIC MEDICAL RECORD COMPANIES. THERE ARE GOING TO BE MORE AND MORE THIRD PARTIES THAT ARE GOING TO HAVE SOFTWARE. BUT HOW DOES ONE DETERMINE THE QUALITY OF A SYSTEM LIKE THIS? IS THERE KIND OF A TEST SET LIKE CONSUMER REPORTS MIGHT HAVE WHERE YOU KIND OF KNOW WHAT THE ANSWERS ARE AND YOU JUST RUN YOUR CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM ON? SO HOW WOULD I DETERMINE WHO SHALL THE SYSTEM YOU GUYS ARE USING OR ANYONE ELSE IS REALLY ANY BETTER AND WHEN YOU TRAIN IT, HOW DO YOU KNOW THAT YOUR SYSTEM'S BETTER NEXT YEAR THAN IT WAS THIS YEAR? >> CONTINUE SUPPORT DOCTORS, HOSPITALS, AND DIFFERENT LEVEL, RIGHT? >> NOT SO MUCH TO DETERMINE QUALITY OF DOCTORS. I JUST MEANT IN GENERAL. IN OTHER WORDS, CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS. HOW DO YOU KNOW WHAT THEY'RE DOING WHETHER THEY PURPORT TO DO? HOW DO YOU GUYS KNOW WHEN YOU DEVELOP IT IT'S GETTING BETTER? >> DO YOU WORK FOR THE F.D.A.? >> I'M SURE THEY WOULD LIKE TO KNOW. >> REGULATE THESE THINGS. [LAUGHTER] >> QUESTIONS. >> I THINK THE PROBLEM IS LARGER THAN THAT. EVEN IF YOU HAVE A GREAT PERFORMING CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM EVALUATED INTRINSICALLY IN ISOLATION WITH A SPECIFIC SET OF DECISIONS AND DATA, ET CETERA, HOW YOU IMPLEMENT IT IN THE HEALTHCARE SYSTEM DATA THAT HAS ZEESE IT AND THIS IS PRECISELY THE PROBLEM THAT WE MENTIONED MANY TIMES HERE MAKES ALL THE DIFFERENCE, I THINK. AND SO THE MOST INFORMATIVE EVALUATION WOULD PROBABLY BE EXTRINSIX EVALUATION IMPACT OF SUCH A SYSTEM IN A SPECIFIC HEALTHCARE INSTITUTION. >> YEAH, AND THAT'S KIND OF TRICKY, THOUGH, ISN'T IT? I CAN TELL YOU WHO HAS THE STRONGEST CHESS ENGINE AND WHO PLAYS JEOPARDY THE BEST BECAUSE I KNOW THE ANSWERS TO THE QUESTIONS. BUT HOW CAN I DETERMINE WHAT THE QUALITY OF AN INFORMATION DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM IS? >> SO ONE OF THE ONGOING ISSUES FOR A LOT OF APPS AND OTHER H.R. IMPROVEMENTS IS TO HAVE A ROBUST DEIDENTIFIED PATIENT DATA SET. >> RIGHT. SO IS THERE A DATA SET THAT EXISTS? >> WE HAVE TO MOVE AFOOT TO CREATE SUCH A THING. DID YOU WANT TO COMMENT? >> THE OTHER THOUGHT IS THAT I THINK THE EVALUATION COMPONENT OF COURSE IS ALWAYS IMPORTANT. ONE MIGHT IMAGINE A TEST CORP IS LIKE THE NLP FOLKS, OF COURSE, WHO TEST THEIR ENGINES AND WHO NOT. -- WHAT NOT. WE'VE COME UP WAY MEASURE THAT CAN BE USED IN CLINICAL PRACTICE. WHAT'S THE ULTIMATE CORRECT OUTCOME FOR DECISION SUPPORT IS THE OUTCOME, NOT NECESSARILY THE PROCESS CHANGE, AS JIM WALKER WAS TALKING ABOUT. NOT NECESSARILY ORGANIZED THE TEST PERHAPS, BUT THE CORRECT CLINICAL OUTCOME OR PERFORMANCE? >> SO WE HAVE A MEASURE CALLED NEVER NEEDED TO REMIND WHICH LOOKS AT CLINICAL PERFORMANCE AND HAVE TO EQUALITY VAULT THE SAME ENGINE WHERE THERE MIGHT BE DIFFERENT REASONS WHY CLINICAL PERFORMANCES ARE BEING ACHIEVED. AND I CAN GIVE YOU A DIFFERENTTIAL MAYBE SQCH >> CAN YOU EVALUATE DIFFERENT CLINICAL SUPPORT ENGINES SNAESHLINGS IS IT NOT POSSIBLE TO BE ABLE TO COMPARE ONE VERSUS THE OTHER ON DATA THAT ONE MIGHT BE ABLE TO ESSENTIALLY COMPARE ONE TO THE OTHER ON? >> YOU MIGHT FIND A DIFFERENTIATION WITH THIS NEED TO REMIND IDEA. BUT I AGREE A SEPARATE TEST CORPUS COULD BE HELPFUL. >> IF THERE ARE THREE VENDORS WHO ALL CLAIM TO BE THE BEST, HOW DO I KNOW WHAT TO BUY? >> SO THAT'S THE SIMPLEST. WHETHER IT'S EFFECTIVE IS HOW IT'S IMPLEMENTED AND TRIGGERED AND HOW IT INTEGRATES. I DON'T KNOW HOW YOU WOULD TEST THAT OTHER THAN -- >> I THINK THERE ARE TWO ISSUES HERE AND THAT IS IF THERE IS, FOR EXAMPLE, EVIDENCE THAT HAS BEEN USED TO FORM LATE A GUIDELINE, THEN IN AN ARTIFICIAL LABORATORY SETTING YOU CAN DETERMINE WHETHER THE DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM IS ALLOWING ADVICE THAT FOLLOWS THE GUIDELINE. THAT IS THE PROCESS THAT BOB ALLUDED TO AS BEING IMPORTANT BUT NOT REALLY WHERE THE MONEY IS. ON THE OTHER HAND, OUTCOMES IS VERY, VERY HARD BECAUSE IT'S SO IDEOSIN CRATIC BASED ON THE PARTICULAR PATIENT AND PARTICULAR SITUATION AND EVEN IF YOU ARE DOING A TRIAL, WHERE YOU ARE LOOKING AT A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM ON A CADRE OF PATIENTS, THE TIME IT TAKES AND CERTAINLY IN THE AREA OF CHRONIC DISEASE, TO BE ABLE TO KNOW WHETHER YOU HAVE REACHED OUTCOMES IS DIFFERENT IS SO LONG YOU'RE AT A SITUATION WHERE THE BEST THAT YOU CAN DO IS AT LEAST SAY THAT I HAVE FAITH IN THE GUIDELINE REPRESENTING THE EVIDENCE AND THEREFORE I'LL GO WITH PROCESS BECAUSE IT'S EXPEDIENT EVEN THOUGH IT MAY NOT BE THE METRIC THAT MATTERS THE MOST. >> THE GUIDELINES HAS SOME OF THE VALIDATION PROCESS. [INDISCERNABLE] YEAH. IF NOT, THEN THERE IS ANOTHER PROBLEM. >> ONE LAST COMMENT. >> AS FOR THE V.A., THERE WAS ENORMOUS DIFFERENCE IN HOW DIFFERENT SITES USED THE SAME TOOLS, HOW MUCH ENERGY THEY PUT INTO USING THEM. SO IT WASN'T REALLY THE VENDOR SO MUCH AS OTHER FACTORS. AND I FOUND THAT TO BE TRUE FOR THE COMMERCIAL VENDORS WITH WHICH WE WORK AS WELL. THEY HAVE INCREDIBLE SETS OF TOOLS, BUT THEY'RE NOT FULLY UTILIZED. AND THE SITES OF OUR WORKING ON THOSE THINGS. IT WOULD BE A TRICKY THING TO DO TO SAY THIS VENDOR IS STRONGER, WEAKER THAN THAT VENDOR UNLESS YOU WERE SOMEHOW MAGICLY BE ABLE TO CONTROL FOR THE PEOPLE WHO ARE USING IT, HOW MUCH ENERGY THEY PUT INTO IT AND SO ON. >> ONE QUESTION. >> HI, I'M TONY WIDER. MORE THAN ONE SPEAKER TODAY HAS NOTED THE USE OF STANDARD TERMINOLOGIES FOR USING COMMUNICATION TO C.D.S SYSTEMS AND I WANT TO EMPHASIZE THAT WHAT WE REALLY NEED ARE VALUE SETS AND TERMINOLOGY SUBSETS TO FOCUS INTERACTION. ON THE ONE HAND, THIS GIVES GUIDANCE TO THE NLP SYSTEMS ABOUT WHAT WE'RE LOOKING FOR IN TERMS OF DECISION SUPPORT AND THEN IF A C.D.S PERSPECTIVE, IT INDICATES WHAT WE NEED TO FIND IN ORDER TO RENDER DECISIONS. AND SO WHEN BOB SPOKE EARLIER ABOUT THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN QUALITY MEASURES, WHICH ARE RETROPERSPECTIVE -- TE TROSPECTIVE. I THOUGHT ABOUT THE FACT THAT INCREASING FOCUS IS BEING PAID TODAY TO QUALITY MEASURES AND AS A RESULT MORE AND MORE VALUE SETS ARE BEING VEPD DEVELOPED AND PUBLISHED. FOR EXAMPLE, WE'RE WORKING ON DEVELOPING BEHAVIORAL HEALTH VALUE SETS AND QUALITY MEASURES. SO MY QUESTION FOR BOB AND FOR EVERYBODY IS CONSIDERING THE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN QUALITY MEASUREMENT AND C.D.S, DO YOU FEEL THAT THE CONCEPTULE BASIS THAT IS KINDS OF CONCEPTS WE FIND IN STANDARD TERMINOLOGIES ARE SUFFICIENTLY SIMILAR BETWEEN QUALITY MEASUREMENT AND CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT THAT INDEED WE CAN DEVELOP AND REUSE THEM FOR BOTH PURPOSES? >> WELL, I THINK THEY'RE THE SAME DATA CLASSES. CERTAINLY FOR PROACTIVE DECISION SUPPORT MAY WANT TO DO THINGS THAT ARE NOT MEASURED IN THE NUMERATOR OR DENOMINATER OF A QUALITY MEASURE. SO YOU MAY WANT TO CHECK ON TEMPORAL RELATIONSHIPS, EXISTENCE OF THINGS, COMORBID CONDITIONS AND OTHER THINGS LIKE THAT. SOME OF THOSE BASICALLY AIM TO TRY TO MAKE THE DECISION SUPPORT AS TARGETED AND AS SPECIFIC AS YOU CAN. THE QUALITY MEASURE IS KIND OF A COURSER NET THAT PROBABLY DOESN'T HAVE ALL THOSE REFINEMENTS IN IT. AND SO I THINK WHEN YOU ARE TRYING TO DELIVER IT AND AVOID ALERT FATIGUE AND ALL THESE OTHER THINGS THAT DON'T APPLY TO YOUR PATIENT, NON-SPECIFIC RECOMMENDATIONS, YOUR OBLIGATION IS REALLY TO TRY TO PULL UP MORE DATA. SO I DON'T THINK IT'S A DIFFERENCE IN CLASS THAT'S WE HAVEN'T THOUGHT OF THAT AREN'T IN YOUR -- BUT IT'S PROBABLY GOING TO NEED MORE PARAMETERS WITHIN THOSE CLASSES. >> I HAVE A QUICK COMMENT TO MAKE ON THAT. I SEE THE DISTINCTION IS QUALITY MEASURES IS PRETTY MUCH ENCODES THE CLINICAL GUIDELINES, BUT AS CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT ALLOWS YOU TO NOT ONLY MEASURE GIVEN THAT YOU HAVE A PARTICULAR DIAGNOSIS, YOU NEED TO TREAT THEM IN A CERTAIN WAY, WHERE AS CLINICAL SUPPORT SAY HOW QUI MAKE A CERTAIN DIAGNOSIS? MAYBE YOU CAN HELP WITH THAT TOO, WHICH IS NOT THE FOCUS OF QUALITY MEASURES. AT LEAST THAT'S HOW I'VE BEEN LOOKING AT IT. >> I HAVE A COMMENT TOO, AND THIS IS BASED ON THE EXPERIENCE WE HAD ALSO TRYING TO MATCH WHAT CAN BE FOUND IN THE NEXT USING INFORMATION EXTRACTION IN WHAT'S EVENTUALLY USED AND NEEDED FOR PLATING THE PROBLEM LIST OF DRIVING CLINICAL SUPPORTS OR OTHER APPLICATIONS. SO WHAT WE FOUND IS THAT THERE IS ACTUALLY A MISMATCH OFTEN. WELL, MOST OF THE TIME YOU CAN FIND SOMETHING THAT MATCHES WITH WHAT'S MOST OF THE TIME MISSING IS CONNECTIONS BETWEEN THE CONCEPTS. SO MOST OF THE TERMINOLOGIES WE USE ARE JUST TERMINOLOGIES THAT ARE NOT REALLY WELL ORGANIZED AND COMPLETE ONTOLOGYS WITH MULTIPLE RELATIONS WE CAN USE TO NAVIGATE DIFFERENT LEVELS OF GRANUL ARITIES AND DETAILS ABOUT CONCEPTS. SO THERE IS SOME OF THAT BUT WE ACTUALLY NEED TO ADD LOGIC OIT TO NAVIGATE TERMINOLOGIES AND THIS IS PROBABLY WHAT I THINK WOULD BE THE MOST USEFUL TO ADD CONNECTIONS BETWEEN THE DIFFERENT CONCEPTS BESIDES WHAT'S ALREADY EXISTING AND ALREADY VERY RICH BUT NOT COMPLETE YET. [INDISCERNABLE] >> THE MEDICATION. WE FIND LIKE WE USE IT. SIGH LOT OF IT ACTUALLY HAS CLASSES -- [INDISCERNABLE] THIS IS AN AREA THAT NEEDS MORE WORK TO BUILD THIS KIND OF STANDARD. >> THANKS, EVERYONE. FOR A GREAT DISCUSSION AND WE CAN CONTINUE THE DISCUSSION WHILE WE HAVE SESSIONS DURING THE LUNCH HOUR AND WE'RE RUNNING OUT TIFLE. SO THANK ALL THE SPEAKERS. [APPLAUSE] >> I WON'T DELAY YOUR SESSION BUT I WANT TO PRESENT TO YOU ONE MORE INSURMOUNTABLE OPPORTUNITY. MAINLY IF YOU HAVE TIME LEFT WHEN YOUR MEETING HERE ENDS, THERE IS IN THE LIBRARY WHICH IS TO SAY THE BUILDING YOU CAN SEE NEAREST AN EXHIBITION CALLED NATIVE CONCEPTS OF HEALTH AND ILLNESS. WHICH WE WORKED PRETTY HARD ON. IT RELATES TO AMERICAN INDIANS NATIVE ALASKAS, NATIVE HAWAIIANS AND WE'RE PRESENTING THE MENTAL MODEL, SO TO SPEAK, WHICH THEY HAVE OF HEALTH AND ILLNESS. ARGUING THAT, IF YOU MAY OR MAY NOT AGREE WITH ME IF THE DOCTOR AND PATIENT DON'T HAVE THE SAME IDEA IN MIND THIS THERAPY DOESN'T WORK BECAUSE THE PATIENT DOESN'T FOLLOW IT. SO THESE PEOPLE HAVE THEIR OWN IDEAS. SOME ARE QUITE WORTHWHILE SHARING, THAT'S WHY WE HAVE THE EXHIBITION. YOU WOULD BE VERY WELCOME OVER THERE, IT'S INTERACTIVE, YOU CAN FIND YOUR OWN WAY THROUGH. AND PLEASE JOIN US IF YOU GET THE CHANCE. THANK YOU. >> MY NAME IS STEVE LOHR, TECHNOLOGY REPORTER FOR THE NEW YORK TIMES. I HAVE COVERED -- THE REASON I'M HERE IS JUST TO EXPLAIN, I HAVE COVERED ELECTRONIC HEALTH RECORDS FOR A NUMBER OF YEARS AND HAVE REPORTED A FAIR BIT ON ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE TECHNIQUES INCLUDING NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING. FOR USES IN A NUMBER OF FIELDS. SO I'M INTERESTED IN THE SUBJECT. THIS AFTERNOON'S PANEL IS ENTITLED STAKEHOLDERS AND WE HAVE A NUMBER OF FOUR DISTINGUISHED PANELISTS, THREE FROM OUR INDUSTRY STAKEHOLDERS FROM AETNA, SIEMENS AND IBM AND OUR INITIAL SPEAKER, JACOB RIDER WHO IS A HYBRID, HAS IN TERMS OF HIS PERSPECTIVE AS FAMILY PHYSICIAN, THROUGH INDUSTRY AND FOR SEVERAL YEARS, AND IS NOW SENIOR POLICY ADVISER TO THE THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION IN THE OFFICE OF THE NATIONAL COORDINATOR. JACOB GOT INTO INDUSTRY THROUGH COMPLAINT I GATHER. HE WAS A PRACTICING PHYSICIAN AS WELL AS IT GURU AND ON HIS BLOG I THINK IN 2004 HE COMPLAINED ABOUT THE USABILITY PROBLEMS OF ELECTRONIC HEALTH RECORD. AT FIRST THE VENDOR CALLED HIS BOSS TO TRY TO SHUT HIM DOWN AND THEN THAT DIDN'T WORK BECAUSE HE WOULDN'T TAKE DOWN HIS BLOG. AFTER THAT THEY ENGAGED IN CONVERSATION AND THEY HIRED HIM. AS CHIEF MEDICAL DIRECTOR FOR MISIS WHICH LATER BECAME ALL SCRIPTS WHEN THE COMPANIES MERGED. LAST YEAR WHEN HE DECIDED TO JOIN THE OBAMA ADMINISTRATION IN AN INTERVIEW HE WAS ASKED TO HIS ROLE AS SENIOR ADVISER AT THE OFFICE OF NATIONAL COORDINATOR. AND SAID MY ROLE IS TO LISTEN TO THE MARKET. TO DOCTOR, NURSES, HOSPITALS AND VENDORS. WELL TODAY JACOB IS HERE TO SPEAK AND WE'LL ALL BENEFIT FROM WHAT HE HAS TO SAY. THANK YOU. [APPLAUSE] STEVE DEMONSTRATED WHAT A GOOD REPORTER DOES WHICH IS TO DO RESEARCH. I'M IMPRESSED THAT YOU DO THAT RESEARCH. I SHOULD HAVE WORN MY RED SOX HAT. I GOT TO ENHANCE SOME OF THE BACKGROUND, I DID DIB KNOW STEEF WAS GOING TO DO SO MUCH RESEARCH. I'LL TALK ABOUT MY BACKGROUND, SOME STUFF THAT STEVE DIDN'T TOUCH ON, THEN TALK ABOUT THE PERSPECTIVE OF THE OFFICE OF NATIONAL COORDINATOR AND SOME OF THE PROBLEMS THAT WE SEE THAT PERHAPS CKS AND BY EXTENSION ARE INCLUSION PERHAPS NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING MIGHT PLAY A ROLE IN SOLVING SOME OF THOSE PROBLEMS. PERHAPS SOME REALITIES THAT WE SEE. SO THE PROGRAM SAID THAT DOUG FRIDSMA IS TALKING NOW. AND DOUG COULDN'T MAKE IT TODAY SO I DID A LITTLE IMAGE SEARCH ON DOUG FRIDSMA, THIS IS PAGE 1 AND BY THE WAY THERE'S A LITTLE NATURAL LANGUAGE SPROASESSING PITCH HERE BECAUSE GOOGLE MUST BE DOING SOMETHING. SO HERE WE SEE VARIOUS ITERATIONS OF DOUG FRIDSMA AND SOME WHO AREN'T DUG FRIDSMA. THIS IS -- DOUG FRIDSMA. HERE IS PAGE 2. AND THIS GO ON GOOGLE AND DO THIS. DO WE HAVE A BLAZER? HERE IS THE DO DOUG FRIDSMA THERE. SEARCH FOR DOUG FRIDSMA AND YOU GET ME WEARING MY RED SOX HAT WITH A LITTLE MORE FACIAL HAIR. SO GOOGLE AND THE ORGANIZERS TODAY KNEW THAT I AM DOUG FRIDSMA. I GREW UP IN BOSTON UNLIKE DOUG FRIDSMA. ON MY LINKED IN PROFILE WHICH I KNOW STEVE LOOKED AT YESTERDAY, IT LISTS ME AS THESE THINGS, PARENT SON FAMILY BLOG PIONEER, I DIDN'T SAY NERD BUT I THINK IT'S THERE. FINDING THE BENEVOLENCE IN BUSINESS IS AN INTERESTING THING CALLED GOOGLISM SO YOU GOOGLE GOOGLISM AND FIND IT AND YOU CAN ASK IT SOMETHING, GIVE IT A WORD OR NAME OR SOMETHING AND IT SAYS JACOB RIDER IS DOT, DOT, DOT, LOOKING FOR BENEVOLENCE IN BUSINESS, FROM ABOUT TEN YEARS AGO. THE APPLE DOESN'T FALL FAR FROM THE TREE. THAT'S AN P L TREE. -- APPLE TREE. MY DAD IS A PSYCHIATRIST AND HOW I PRACTICED FAMILY MEDICINE AND HEALTH IT IS FROM A PSYCHIATRIC PERSPECTIVE. I'M STILL A PRACTICING FAMILY DOCTOR, THIS IS NOT AN ENDORSEMENT OF ANY ORGANIZATION. YOU HAVE TO SAY THAT, RIGHT? YOU CAN SEE ALL FIVE PEOPLE WHO ANSWERED THE HEALTH GRADE SURVEY THOUGHT IT WAS A GREAT DOCTOR. AWARDS AND RECOGNITIONS, DR. RIDER THE HEALTH GRADES RECOGNIZED DOCTOR. MY WIFE IS A LAW PROFESSOR AND WRITES RECOMMENDATIONS FOR STUDENTS AND JOE SMO WOULD DEFINITELY WAS ONE OF MY STUDENTS, NOT ALWAYS THE BEST RECOMMENDATION. I SPENT TIME IN STARTUP AND THE STARTUP THAT I WORKED FOR WAS A COMPANY CALLED MED REMOTE, WE WERE DOING MACHINE LEARNING AND NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING ABOUT TEN YEARS AGO. THE COMPANY WAS ACQUIRED BY NUANCE AS WAS OUR IP. SO THIS IS MAYBE A HOOK TO THIS CONFERENCE. I'M FASCINATED BY WHAT MIGHT BE FEASIBLE AND I THINK THAT'S WHAT WE WERE DOING BACK THEN. DOING WORK THAT MIGHT MAKE STUFF POSSIBLE SOME DAY. THAT'S WHAT I'M HEARING, WE ARE INCHING EVER CLOSER TOWARD WHAT WE MIGHT BE ABLE TO DO AS WE ALIGN CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING I DID SPEND TIME AT HN EHR VENDOR AND LEARNED A LOT WHEN I DID THAT BUT MY FOCUS HAS BEEN ON HOW WE CAN HELP PEOPLE BE HEALTHIERER. AS BOTH AS A FAMILY DOC AND AS AN INFORMATICIAN. I TRY AND KEEP THE END IN MIND. FOR ME, THAT'S WHAT THIS IS. I FOUND MY WAY TO THIS CITY, SPECIFICALLY THIS BUILDING. WHERE ONC IS HEAD QUARTERED AND HHS. FOR THOSE WHO DON'T KNOW, JUST A LITTLE EXPLANATION WHERE WE SIT AND WHAT WE DO. THE MEANINGFUL USE STUFF IS COMPRISED OF TWO REGULATIONS. ONE FROM CMS, THAT'S THE INCENTIVE PROGRAM. THE OTHER FROM OFFICE OF NATIONAL CONSIDERED NAYTOR. AND WE -- COORDINATOR AND WE DEFINE STANDARDS CERTIFICATION CRITERIA FOR ELECTRONIC HEALTH RECORDS. SO EVERYBODY HAS SEEN THIS SLIDE WE HAVE PLAGIARIZED INTO OUR SLIDE DECKS. DO YOU KNOW WHAT DID THIS ONE ORIGINALLY? WHO DID IT? ESPECIALLY WITH STEVE IN THE ROOM I HAVE TO MAKE SURE THAT WE PROVIDE APPROPRIATE ATTRIBUTION. SOMEONE TOOK THIS PICTURE AND MADE IT INTO MANY, MANY SLIDE DECKS. SO THE MED FORE I USUALLY -- MET FORE I USE IS TO -- METAPHOR I USE IS DRIVEING A CAR. THE MEANINGFUL USE PROGRAM IS TAKING YOUR DRIVER'S TEST WHEN YOU'RE 16 AND YOU HAVE TO DO THE RIGHT THINGS, YOU HAVE TO DO A 3 POINT TURN AND YOU HAVE TO BE ABLE TO STOP AT THE STOPLIGHT AND JUST DO STUFF THAT OUGHT TO BE DONE. THAT IS DEFINED BY THE CMS REGULATION IF YOU DO THAT IS ALL YOU GET A LOT OF MONEY, QUITE A BIT IF YOU'RE A HEALTHCARE PROVIDER. AS FRIEND OF MY SON'S FOUND OUT WHEN HE WENT FOR HIS DRIVER'S TEST AND HIS DAD'S UNINSPECTED CAR, YOU NEED TO BE DRIVING AND INSPECTED CAR OR YOU WILL FAILURE DRIVER'S TEST. THE ANALOG IS IN OUR PROGRAM YOU CAN'T MEANINGFULLY USE AN EHR UNLESS IT'S CERTIFIED SO THE INCENTIVE PROGRAM SAYS YOU MUST MAKE MEANINGFUL USE OF CERTIFIED HEALTH INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY. WE ARE THE SERVICE STATION. ONC. WE DEFINE THE INSPECTION CRY TIER MAYA -- CRITERIA. BECAUSE THERE'S TESTING BODIES AT THE SERVICE STATIONS BECAUSE WE DON'T SCALE, WHEREAS SHELL AND JOE SMO OR THIS IS THE INSPECTION STORE. THEY DO SCALE. SO WE DEFINE CERTIFICATION TRIE CRITERIA AND SO WE SET THE STANDARDS WHICH EHRs ARE CERTIFIED. BY EXTENSION THEN WE ALSO DEFINE WHAT THE EHRs ARE CAPABLE OF, MEANING MEANINGFULLY USED TO DO. SO IF WE WERE TO EXPAND THE CERTIFICATION CRITERIA IN SOME WAY, THE MEANINGFUL USE CRITERIA IS ALSO EXPANDED. IF WE CONSTRAIN THE MEANINGFUL USE CRITERIA, EHRs MAY NOT DO SO MUCH CONSISTENTLY. AS YOU TELL WE HAVE A LOT OF LEVERAGE HERE. PEOPLE PAY ATTENTION TO THINGS THAT WE SAY IN OUR REGULATIONS. SO WHAT HAPPENS IS PRODUCTS ARE CERTIFIED. WHEN A PRODUCT IS CERTIFIED IT JOINS COMPETITORS ON THE P CHAPEL THE CERTIFIED HEALTH IT PRODUCT LIST ON OUR WEBSITE. AND SO IF YOU ARE A CLINICIAN OR HOSPITAL OR SOMETHING LIKE THAT AND YOU WANTED TO PURCHASE AN EHR YOU COULD GO TO THE THE CHAPEL AND CONFIRM WHAT THE SALESPERSON HAS TOLD YOU. OR INVALIDATE IF THE EHR IS CERTIFIED OR NOT. SO THESE ARE GUIDEN PRINCIPLES, THAT'S A PICTURE OF MY DAD, THE PSYCHIATRIST, THESE ARE FIVE PRINCIPLES. A WORTHY STEWARD OF THE TRUST MONEY AND TRUST, FOCUS ON YUT COME, UNDERSTAND WHAT WE'RE DOING AND WHAT THE END GAME IS, NOT JUST WHAT'S IN FRONT OF US. GO BEYOND WHAT WORK MEAN, LET'S BE PRAGMATIC. WE'RE NOT GOING TO DO CHITY CHITY BANG BANG BECAUSE THAT'S NOT WORKING TODAY. IF WE THINK ABOUT WHAT WE MIGHT DO IN DOMAIN OF CDS AND NATURAL LAKE SPROASESSING, WHAT'S WORKING TODAY? HOW CAN WE LEVERAGE THAT TO MAKE IT FEASIBLE FOR THE REST OF THE INDUSTRY. FOSTER INNOVATION AND SUPPORT HEALTH IT BENEFITS FOR ALL, WE TRANSLATE THAT INTERNALLY AS WE LOOK OUT FOR THE LITTLE GUY. IT'S NOT UNCOMMON TO BE VISITED BY EXECUTIVES OF LARGE HNG ORGANIZATION SO IT TAKES EFFORT ON OUR PART TO MAKE SURE THAT WE GO OUT INTO THE FIELD AND Id TALK TO AN EHR VENDOR WHO HAS $2 MILLION OF REVENUE AND NOT 200 MILLION OR $2 BILLION OF REVENUE, THEY DON'T HAVE THE BANDWIDTH. THEY'RE TREADING WATER, THEY CAN'T COME TO US AND ELOQUENTLY EXPRESS THINGS IN POWERPOINT DECKS SO A LOT OF FOCUS THE LAST COUPLE OF YEARS HAS BEEN ON MEASUREMENT. AND AS WE THINK ABOUT QUALITY IMPROVEMENT AND THE IMPROVEMENT OF HEALTHCARE, NOTICE A LOT OF EFFORT IN OUR RULE AND THE ONE FROM CMS FOCUSED ON MEASUREMENT. I THINK OF MEASUREMENT LIKE WE'RE GIVING ALL THE KIDS IN CLASS A CERTAIN GRADE BUT WE HAVEN'T EMPOWERED THEM TO GET GOOD GRADES. SO EVERYBODY GETS A C MINUS AND WE EXPECT THAT TO MOTIVATE THEM TO GET AN A PLUS. I THINK OF CDS AS PERHAPS THE TOOLS THAT WOULD ENABLE THEM TO GET A PLUSES BUT I GI DIGRESES. HISTORICALLY QUALITY MEASURES WERE DONE USING HUMAN WHOSE READ PAPER RECORDS AND THEN MADE DECISIONS BASED ON LITTLE SURVEY TOOLS THAT THEY HAD ABOUT B WHETHER QUALITY CARE WAS RENDERED. IT'S A RETROSPECTIVE VIEW. WE'RE LOOKING IN THE THE REAR-VIEW MIRROR, SOMETIME AS LONG TIME AGO ESPECIALLY IF WE'RE USING PAPER RECORDS AND ABSTRACTERS LOOK AT WHAT CARE WE RENDERED, 6, 12, 18 MONTHS AGO AND WE DEVELOP AN INTERVENTION FOR HOW WE CAN SOLVE THE PROBLEM. THAT WHOLE ITERATION TAKES 36 MONTHS IS NOT UNCOMMON FROM DISCOVERY OF QUALITY ISSUE TO RESOLUTION AND BY THEN IT MIGHT HAVE GONE AWAY ANYWAY OR WE CREATE OTHER ONES. THE DECISION IS PROSPECTIVE AND WE HAD SOME DISDISCUSSION DURING THE LAST SESSION AND HOW DECISION SUPPORT IS PROSPECTIVE AND THERE ARE AS JODY MENTIONED TOWARD THE END, THERE ARE DIFFERENT QUALITIES TO DECISION SUPPORT, NOT JUST THE MIRROR IMAGE OF CLAM QUALITY MEASURES. I WOULD LIKE TO TALK ABOUT THE OTHER DECISION OF CDS, THAT'S CONSUMER DECISION SUPPORT. THIS IS OUR SURGEON GENERAL. AT THE LAUNCH OF OUR CONSUMER HEALTH PROGRAM LAST FALL. WHEN YOU THINK CDS LET'S NOT JUST THINK ABOUT THE PROVIDER AS THE RECIPIENT OF CDS. IT'S ALSO THE PATIENT OR THE CAREGIVER OR OTHER MEMBERS OF THE CARE TEAM. IN FACT, THE PHYSICIAN MAY BE THE RATE-LIMITING STEP HERE. AS WE THINK CREATIVELY HOW WE'RE GOING TO SOLVE THE HEALTHCARE PROBLEM, WHY IS IT THAT A MAMMOGRAM REMINDER SHOULD EVER BE PRESENTED TO A PHYSICIAN. WE LOOK AT ORGANIZES DOING THINGS PROGRESSIVELY. 'S IDIOTIC TO REMIND ME ABOUT MY PATIENT'S MAMMOGRAMS SO I CAN ASK SOMEBODY ELSE TO ASK SOMEBODY ELSE. LET'S ASK THE PATIENT. IF OUR SYSTEMS KNOW HOW TO DO THAT THERE'S NO REASON FOR US NOT TO DO THAT. SO I THINK WE NEED TO THINK MORE AND MORE ABOUT BEING PATIENT-CENTERED. I CAN REMEMBER WHEN I STARTED IN THE VENDOR WORLD, THERE WAS ALL THIS TALK ABOUT BEING PHYSICIAN CENTERED. THAT WAS LIKE A REVOLUTIONARY THOUGHT TO STOP BEING HOSPITAL CENTERED. WE'RE GOING TO STOP THINKING HOSPITALS. WE'RE GOING DOWNSTREAM TO THE THE DOCTORS. I REMEMBER TALKING TO THE CEO AND SAID YOU'RE NOT BACK TO THE ROOT OF THE ISSUE YET. AND HE LOOKED AT MY QUIZZICALLY AND SAID THE PATIENT IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN DOCTOR. ANYWAY, THIS IS A BIT OF A PORTRAYAL WHAT WE MIGHT SEE AND IT'S A CARE CATURE AND OVERSIMPLIFIES BUT FROM RESEARCH TO GUIDELINES, TO CDS AND THEN TO MEASUREMENT, CDS IS THE PART THAT IN GENERAL HASN'T BEEN PRESENT IN THE PAST DECADE OR TWO. BUT IT'S NOT A WATER FALL. IT MIGHT BE BETTER THOUGHT OF AS A CIRCLE. SO RESEARCH TO GUIDE GUIDELINES GOES TO INTERVENTIONS, WE HOPE. GOES TO HEALTHCARE AND LIFE. THAT WAS A DIFFICULT CIRCLE TO DRAW BECAUSE IT ENCOMPASSES SO MUCH. THEN WE MEASURE IT, THE REASON I DIDN'T SAY PHYSICIAN OR HOSPITAL OR CARE PROVIDER, IDEALLY OUR INTERVENTION MAY HAVE GREATER SCOPE THAN JUST THE CARE PROVIDERS AS I TALKED ABOUT A SECOND AGO. THEN WE MEASURE IT AND THAT MIGHT BE PART OF A VERY TIGHT LOOP, SO YOU SAY IT'S A FIVE MINUTE LOOP OR A FIVE YEAR LOOP OR SOMETHING IN THE MIDDLE. NOTHING DICTATES HOW SLOW OR FAST IT MUST BE. AN IMPORTANT PIECE AS WE THINK ABOUT ALL THE CONNECTIONS HERE, CERTAINLY VERY IMPORTANT FOR US AT ONC, IS ADOPTABILITY OR USABILITY OF THE SYSTEMS. SO WE HEAR A LOT ABOUT HOW CPOE IS THIS HORRIBLE THING, THAT WE HAVE IMPOSED ON THE INDUSTRY. I HAD A PLEASANT CONVERSATION WITH A PHYSICIAN LAST WEEKEND WHO SAID THE MEANINGFUL USE REQUIREMENT FOR CPOE COMPUTERIZED ORDER ENTRY OR PHYSICIAN ORDER ENTRY OR SOMETHING LIKE THAT IS A TERRIBLE THING. SHE THINKS IT DOESN'T -- OUR PRESUMPTION THAT THE PROVIDER SHOULD BE INTERACTING WITH A COMPUTER IS AN INAPPROPRIATE ONE AND SHE CAN THINK OF LOTS OF WAYS THIS WOULD WORK BETTER SO SHE ENCOURAGED ME TO RETHINK WHETHER CPOE SHOULD BE PART OF MEANINGFUL USE. AND THAT'SNARY GAME. A KEY PART OF HER CONCERN WAS THAT IT'S NOT USABLE. CPOE DOESN'T FIT WITH THE WAY SHE WORKS. THIS IS A BIT OF A USER EXPERIENCE FRAMEWORK THAT I LIKE TO USE AS I THINK ABOUT USABILITY. SO WHEN I HEAR COMPLAINTS OR CONCERNS ABOUT USABILITY THIS IS THE FRAMEWORK I CONSIDER. FUNCTIONAL MEANS IT DOES WHAT IT WAS INTENDED TO DO. REMIGHT BE LIEBL MEANS THAT WAY -- RELIABLE MEANS THAT WAY EVERY TIME SO SYSTEMS THAT GO DOWN OR BREAK OR ARE DOWN EVERY NIGHT FOR BACK UP. MY FIRST EHR EXPERIENCE, I'M A NIGHT OWL SO UNFORTUNATELY AFTER KIDS SOCCER PRACTICE OR WHAT NOT MAKE IT TO THE COMPUTER ABOUT MIDNIGHT TO FINISH PROGRESS NOTES FOR THE DAY, SO I'M ONE OF THOSE UNFORTUNATE FEW WHO COULDN'T FINISH DURING THE DAY BUT OUR SYSTEM WOULD GO DOWN AT 12:30 FOR BACKUP AND STAY DOWN MOST OF THE NIGHT. ABOUT 4:30 IT CAME BACK UP. F I WANTED TO NISH THE NOTES FOR THE NEXT DAY WHICH WAS AN IMPORTANT THING TO DO OR ELSE I GET TOO FAR BEHIND I WAKE UP AT 4:30 TO FINISH THE NOTES WHICH WAS NUTS SO THAT WASN'T A RELIABLE SYSTEM. USABILITY IS MEETS MY EXPECTATIONS. IT'S EASY. I CAN INTERACT WITH IT WITHOUT TAKING PROTON PUMP INHIBITORS. VEENS CONVENIENT MEANS IT AN AT THIS -- CONVENIENT MEANS IT ANTICIPATES MY NEEDS AND PLEASURABLE IS SELF-EVIDENT. THIS IS A FUNCTIONAL SYSTEM THIS, THIS IS A FUNCTIONAL SYSTEM. THIS MIGHT BE A USABLE SYSTEM. THAT MIGHT BE A PLEASURABLE SYSTEM SO WE LOOK AT ANY KIND OF SYSTEM, EHR OR ANY NEW KIND OF TECHNOLOGY AND WE CAN SAY THAT FOLKS WILL ACTUALLY EXPRESS EMOTIONS ABOUT SO I DID THIS IN A SIMILAR SESSION WITH MEDICAL STUDENTS LAST WEEK AND SAID RAISE YOUR HAND IF YOU HAVE A SMART PHONE. THEY ALL WENT UP. SO WHAT EMOTION DO YOU HAVE? ALL THE ONE WHOSE PURCHASED THIS COMPANY'S PRODUCTS THAT I LOVE IT. WHEN DO WE GET THERE WITH ELECTRONIC HEALTH RECORDS? MORE IMPORTANTLY THAN LOVING SOMETHING IS?kP THAT THERE ARE SOME THINGS THAT WE HAVE ARE SAFE. SO THAT'S ANOTHER FOCUS THAT WE AT ONC HAVE AND SO MANY OF YOU KNOW WE COMMISSIONED A REPORT FROM THE IOM WHICH WAS PUBLISHED LAST NOVEMBER THAT LOOKED AT THE SAFETY OF HEALTH IT SYSTEMS. WE ARE ALSO THINKING USABILITY AND SAFETY ARE TIGHTLY ALIGNED. IF THE SYSTEM ISN'T USABLE IT'S EASY TO MAKE MISTAKES AND IF IT'S EASY TO MAKE MISTAKES WE HAVE HEALTH IT CAUSED PATIENT SAFETY PROBLEMSCH HEALTH IT CAN BE THE SOLUTION TO PATIENT SAFETY PROBLEMS SO WE NEED TO BETTER UNDERSTAND SAFETY. THIS IS AN EXAMPLE OF A FAIRLY UNSAFE ENVIRONMENT IF BICYCLES ARE RIDING ACROSS ROADS VERY QUICKLY THEY MIGHT GET SMOOSHED BY CARS. THESE THINGS SLOW DOWN THE BIKE RIDERS, THE CATTLE CRATE SYSTEMS AND IN MY AREA IN UPSTATE NEW YORK THEY HAVE PUT THESE IN MANY OF OUR BIKE PATHS. THE REASON FOR THAT IS THAT PEOPLE WERE GETTING SMUSHED BY CARS WHEN THEY WENT TOO FAST. THE SAME CAN HAPPEN IN HEALTH IT SYSTEMS AND THE REASON I PUT THIS UP IS OFTEN WE'LL HEAR FROM END USERS IS TESTIMONY IS TOO SLOW. THE FASTER IS SYSTEM GOES IN SOME CASE IT IS MORE ERRORS OCCURS. RAISE YOUR HAND IF YOU HAVE USED AUTOSUGGEST IN OUTLOOK AND SENT THE WRONG MESSAGE TO SOMEBODY. SENDING THE WRONG MESSAGE MAY HAVE CAREER-ENDING IMPLICATIONS. BUT SENDING THE WRONG PRESCRIPTION TO SOMEONE OR LOOKING UP THE WRONG PATIENT MAY KILL SOMEBODY. SO WE CAN END OUR CAREERS WITH OUTLOOK BUT IF THE SYSTEM CAUSES IT TOOB TOO FAST, IT CAN ALSO BE UNSAFE. DECISION SUPPORT IS A REALLY IMPORTANT DOMAIN TO THINK ABOUT BECAUSE ALL THOSE AUTOSUGGEST SYSTEMS USE ALGORITHMS THAT ARE DECISION SUPPORT. THIS IS A SYSTEM IS HELPING YOU DO SOMETHING FASTER AND MORE EASILY AND IF YOU CAN DO IT TOO FAST THAT'S A PROBLEM. WE PARTICIPATED IN A SESSION LAST SUMMER ATNIST WHERE THERE WAS AN EXAMPLE ABOUT WHICH SIDE, WAS AN OR FORM THAT A DOCK WAS SUPPOSED TO FILL OUT, WHICH FOOT ARE YOU GOING TO AMPUTATE. THE QUESTION IS DO I DESIGN THIS USING A RADIO BUTTON WHERE THERE'S A .4% CHANCE THEY CLICK THE WRONG ONE IN A HURRY OR MAKE A FREE TEXT FIELD AND FORCE THEM TO TYPE IN L E F T. THE LATTER IS THE ANSWER BUT IN THIS ATTEMPT TO DO THINGS QUICKLY MANY VENDORS ARE NOW MAKING THE FORMER SELECTION BECAUSE CUSTOMERS ARE SAYING HELP US DO IT FAST, HELP US DO IT FAST. THERE'S THE TRUCK TO SMOOSH SOMEBODY. THERE'S A PROBLEM WE HAVE BEEN SEEING, I LOVE THE DISCUSSION EARLIER ABOUT VALUE SETS. IN THE QUALITY MEASURE DOMAIN THIS IS MY RENDITION QUALITY CHASM 2.0. QUALITY MEASURES SAY THINGS ABOUT WHAT OUGHT TO HAPPEN AND THERE'S THE EXCLUSION AND EXCEPTION CONCERNS. SO THOSE WHO AREN'T ENTRENCHED IN QUALITY MEASURES, A QUICK QUALITY MEASURE 101. QUALITY MEASURE ASKS DID THIS HAPPEN, WHEN I'M JUDGED ON WHETHER I HAVE DONE S>m NOT, SO DID I DO THE FOOT EXAM FOR MY DIABETICS? TURNS OUT IF I'M A PHYSICIAN AND I'M BEING JUDGED OR PAID BASED ON MY PERFORMANCE, A PERCENTAGE OF PATIENTS WON'T HAVE GOTTEN A DIABETIC FOOT EXAM DONE, ESPECIALLY ONES WHO DON'T HAVE FEET. SO ABSENCE OF FEET WOULD BE AN EXCEPTION TO THIS. BUT YET I NEED TO TELL MY EHR THAT THE PATIENT HAS NO FEET. SO THERE'S THIS BALANCE BETWEEN THE QUALITY MEASURE WORLD THAT SAYS OH, WE NEED ALL THESE EXCEPTIONS TO BE EXPRESSED IN THE QUALITY MEASURE SO THAT WE CAN HELP PROVIDERS NOT GET DINGED WHERE THEY SHOULDN'T GET DINGED. SO IN THAT CASE THE QUALITY MEASURES ARE COMPLEX AND HAVE LOTS OF EXPECTATIONS OF DATA THAT MAY OR MAY NOT BE IN THE ELECTRONIC HEALTH RECORD. SO THAT'S WHY I HAVE THE QUALITY MEASURE EXPECTATION ON THE LEFT OF THIS CHASM AND THE CAPABILITY OF THE EHR, THE FACT THE PATIENT HAS NO FEET MAY OR MAY NOT BE IN THE EHR, THERE ARE MANY EXCEPTIONS MEDICATION, PATIENT PREFERENCE T FACT THAT THE PHARMACY WAS OUT OF THE MEDICATION AT THE TIME AND THAT'S WHY I DIDN'T PRESCRIBE IT. THERE ARE LOTS OF REASONS WHY A PATIENT WON'T GET SOMETHING THAT ARE EXCEPTIONS. THE EHR MAY OR MAY NOT HAVE THAT INFORMATION. SO AS YOU THINK ABOUT THE NUMBER OF ELEMENTS THAT COULD GO INTO A CLINICAL QUALITY MEASURE AND THE FOLKS THAT MAKE THESE MEASURES, THERE ARE LOTS AND LOTS OF THINGS THAT THEY COULD SAY IN AN EHR OR I'M SORRY, IN A QUALITY MEASURE SO THESE ARE I THINK OF THESE AS THE MANY THOUSANDS OF CRAYONS. AND YET THE EHR MAY ONLY HAVE A SUBSET OF THOSE THINGS AVAILABLE TO US SO THERE MAYBE A VOCABULARY THAT EXPRESSES A SUBSET OF THINGS THAT THE CLINICAL QUALITY MEASURES WOULD EXPRESS SO THAT'S THE BIG GAP. YET WE'RE TRYING TO SOLVE THE PROBLEM WITH THE TOOL THAT WE HAVE. SO THERE'S THE EHR CAPABILITY SO MY ATTEMPT TO THINK ABOUT HOW WE MIGHT FILL THIS GAP, THERE ON THE LEFT IS QUALITY MEASURE EXPECTATIONS AND CAPABILITIES THAT WE HAVE STANDARDS, WE HAVE STANDARD TERMINOLOGIES. WE HAVE STANDARD VALUE SETS. WE HAVE STANDARD METHODS OF CAPTURING AND EXPRESSING INFORMATION. WE MIGHT ACTUALLY HAVE TO MODIFY THE EXPECTATIONS THAT WE HAVE OF THE INFORMATION SO PERHAPS THE EXCEPTIONS FOR QUALITY MEASURES SHOULDN'T BE SO EXPANSIVE AND STATEMENT WE MAY NEED TO ENHANCE THE EHR CAPABILITIES. SO WE ONC CAN ENHANCE THE EHR CAPABILITIES SO I SEE MARC IN FRONT SO I'LL PICK ON MINIMUM HIM, THE CMAO OF SIEMENS. BUT I CAN SAY TO MARC YOU MUST CAPTURE THE FACT THE PATIENT HAD A FOOT AMPUTATIONS, ANY TIME THERE'S A PATIENT WHO IS DIABETIC. SO WHETHER OR NOT THIS PATIENT HAS FEET NEEDS TO BE CAPTURED. SO MARC COULD THINK ABOUT WAYS TO IMPLEMENT THAT IN HIS SYSTEM. EITHER USING NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING WHERE THEY WOULD GO THROUGH NARRATIVE NOTES OR DICTATED NOTES OR SOME OTHER EVIDENCE OF THAT, MAYBE A CPT CODE 17 YEARS AGO FROM THAT AM AMPUTATION. BUT I MAY REQUIRE THAT OF MARC EXPLICITLY. I COULD SAY FOR CERTIFICATION HE ABSOLUTELY POSITIVELY HAS TO IDENTIFY THE EVENT. I COULD NAME A SNOW MED C THET CONCEPT AND YET AT THE SAME TIME THERE MAYBE 3,000 OF THOSE THINGS AND I CAN'T EXPECT MARC TO ADD 3,000 BY 2014 EHR CERTIFICATION SOY MIGHT PICK 1400 OF THEM. AND YET I WILL TALK TO FOLKS WHO MAKE THE MEASURES AND SAY YOU FOLKS HAVE 3,000 OF THESE THINGS, PICK THE BEST 1400 AND TELL ME WHAT THEY ARE SO I CAN IMPOSE THEM ON MARC. THIS IS THE ROCK AND HARD PLACE ONC FINDS ITSELF IN TODAY AND WORK FLOW AND USABILITY NEEDS TO BE PART OF HOW WE THINK ABOUT THIS. NECESSARY ARE NOT JUST FORMS INSTANTIATING EHR. IN FACT, IF WE ENCOURAGE OR ALLOW VENDORS TO INSTANTIATE HARD CODED FORM INTO THEIR SYSTEMS, WE WILL DESTROY THE USABILITY IN THE WORK FLOW AND THIS IS HARD WIRING SO ANY OF YOU WHO HAVE BEEN PAYING ATTENTION TO THE HIT POLICY COMMITTEE, WHICH IS A FEDERAL ADVISORY COMMITTEE THAT TELLS US WHAT TO DO, YOU HAVE HEARD THEM COMPLAIN ABOUT HARD WIRING SO THIS IS A CASE IF I TOLL MARC THIS IS A SNOW MED CT CONCEPT, MARC WOULD ACTUALLY I THINK I HAVE A THE PICTURE MAKE ONE OF THESE AND HIS PHYSICIANS WILL JUMP OFF A BRIDGE. BECAUSE THIS IS TERRIBLE USABILITY. YET THIS IS WHAT HAPPENED DURING OUR -- IN MANY CASES STAGE 1 OF THE MEANINGFUL USE PROGRAM STARTED IN 2011. SO CURRENTLY TODAY WHAT WE HAVE, AND PART OF WHY WE HAVE SO MUCH HARD CODING IS BECAUSE WE HAVE CDS AND CTUMs IMBEDDED INSIDE OF EHRs. SO MARC HAS HIGHER PROGRAM, I'M REALLY PICKING ON MARC, HE'S IN THE FRONT ROW. HE'S USED TO IT TOO. HE'S A BIG GUY. SO THESE PIECES ARE PART OF THE SAME SYSTEM AND SO YOU HAVE TO HIRE PROGRAMMERS THAT THE TIME THAT IT TAKES TO IT RATE AND IMPLEMENT THESE THINGS IS QUITE LONG BECAUSE YOU HAVE TO HIRE HUMANS TO INTERPRET WHAT THESE CONCEPTS ARE AND THEN PUT THEM INTO YOUR SYSTEMS. THIS IS WHAT WE HEAR FROM PHYSICIAN, DOCTOR NOT A DATA ENTRY CLERK AND WE HAVE TO HEAR MORE ABOUT WHERE THE PUCK WILL BE AND NOT WHERE IT HAS BEEN. SO WE THINK ABOUT THE LEVERS THAT ARE AVAILABLE TO US IN THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT, SPECIFICALLY AT ONC. STANDARDS ARE A LEVER, ONE OF THE TWO THINGS ONC DEFINES WHEN WE CREATE THE STANDARD AND CERTIFICATION CRITERIA. SO WE LOOK TO STANDARDS FOR SAY HOW INFORMATION IS SHARED. HOW INFORMATION IS INCORPORATED INTO EHR, IS THERE A STANDARD HOW QAL CLAWLT MEASURE OR DECISION SUPPORT INTERVENTION AND CDS FOLKS IN THE ROOM KNOW IN OUR PROPOSED RULE WE REFER TO THESE AS INTERVENTIONS NOT RULES. THE REASON IS WE WANT TO THINK HOW IT EXPOSED AND ENTERACTS WITH THE USER NOT HOW IT'S INSTANTIATED IN THE SYSTEM ELECTRONIC FORM SO IT MIGHT BE A ROLE BUT IT MIGHT BE SOMETHING ELSE, WE DON'T WANT TO MAKE ASSUMPTIONS HOW THAT'S ENCODED. SO STANDARD WAYS TO DO THINGS TO ENHANCE THE LIKELIHOOD THEY WOULD ACCELERATE. THEN WE HAVE REGULATIONS. POLICIES. THESE ARE ALSO STANDARDS, STANDARDS OF BEHAVIOR. SO WE HAVE TECHNICAL STANDARDS AN STANDARD OF BEHAVIOR. THESE ARE THE TOOLS THAT WE THE GOVERNMENT HAVE TO ACTUALLY ACCELERATE PROCESS BECAUSE WHEN YOU STANDARDIZE THINGS, THEY CAN GO FASTER. THAT'S WHAT I TRIED TO SAY HERE. WHEN I TAKE THE TRAIN FROM BWI TO DC IT'S MUCH FASTER THAN THE THE BUS. AND THE REASON IS THERE'S A STANDARD. STANDARD THINGS YOU CAN PLUG IN AND UNPLUG. SO THIS IS A STANDARD FOR HOW WE PUT THINGS IN SOCKETS IN THE UNITED STATES. SO IF WE WERE TO STANDARDIZE BOTH CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT AND CLINICAL QUALITY MEASURES AND HAVE THEM EXPRESSIBLE IN MACHINE INDEPENDENT END POINT INDEPENDENT FORMATS SO MARC AND COLLEAGUES FROM NEXTGEN AND EPIC COULD CONSUME THESE PIECES OF CLINICAL CONTENT AUTONOMOUSLY FROM THE COURT SYSTEM, THEY COULD IT RATE THEM MUCH MORE QUICKLY AND IT WOULDN'T BE SO HARD CODED, HARD WIRED. SO DO WE HAVE AN OPPORTUNITY FOR THIS ADS YOUR DATA -- AS YOUR DATA ENTRY MECHANISM INSTEAD OF THE FORM OR THE TEMPLATE AND MAYBE THAT'S DICTATION, MAYBE IT'S SOMETHING ELSE. MIND READING OR INTERACTION WITH THE PATIENT. OR SOMETHING ELSE. IS THIS ANOTHER WAY FOR US TO UNDERSTAND HOW PATIENT CARE IS RENDERED? INTERACTED WITH A COMPANY A COUPLE OF WEEKS AGO THAT'S CREATING A SYSTEM FOR PHYSICIANS AN PATIENTS TO INTERACT WITH EACH OTHER ELECTRONICALLY. A SECURE MESSAGING SYSTEM, THEY'RE NOT JUST DOING THE MESSAGES. THEY'RE DOING ANALYSIS, DOING MACHINE LEARNING AND THEY'RE ACTUALLY LOOKING FOR OUTCOMES. SO THE SYSTEM SENDS A MESSAGE TO THE PATIENT 24 HOURS AFTER THE LAST INTERACTION. THE PATIENT SAYS HEY DOCK MY BACK HURTS AND THE DOC GIVES AD VOICE AND 24 HOURS LATER THE SYSTEM FOLLOWS UP WITH THE PATIENT AND SAYS ARE YOU BETTER? THE PATIENT SAYS YES I'M BETTER. WHAT THE DOC GETS IS A BETTER UNDERSTANDING OF OUTCOMES. SO THEY'RE READING THE TEXT OF THESE THINGS AND THAT TEXT CARRY ASSET OF DIAGNOSE KNOW SAYS, A SET OF ACTIONS, A SET OF INTERVENTIONS BUT THEN WE CAN LEARN FROM AS WE IT RATE FORWARD. SO AS WE THINK WE ONC THINK OF THESE THINGS WE'RE THINKING VERY HARD ABOUT HOW WE CAN WRITE OUR REGULATIONS WITHOUT MAKING PRESUMPTIONS ABOUT HOW THINGS ARE DONE. WE WANT TO ACCOMMODATE NEW INNOVATIVE WAYS OF DOING THINGS THAT MAY INCLUDE DECOUPLED CDS, THAT MAY INCLUDE NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING AN INNOVATIVE WAYS OF INTERACTING WITH PATIENTS RATHER THAN JUST PROVIDERS. HERE IS CDS 1.0, I DON'T NEED TO READ IT. IT'S ONE OF MANY. WE DON'T THINK IN THOSE TERMS. THIS IS MAYBE A 2.0 JUST IN TIME INFORMATION. WHERE I NEED IT WHEN I NEED IT WHAT I NEED AND THE SYSTEM HAS TO DO THAT PROPERLY. SO WITHOUT REALLY COMPLEX THINK ING WE CAN'T DEVELOP IT AT THE RIGHT TIME AND THE RIGHT PLACE. THIS IS MY MASCOT FOR JUNIOR (INAUDIBLE) AND I'M FINISHED. SO THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION AND LOOK FORWARD TO TALKING TO YOU. [APPLAUSE] >> WE'RE RUNNING OVER SO LET'S SAVE QUESTIONS FOR THE END. OUR NEXT SPEAKER IS DR. GREGORY STEINBERG OF AETNA. >> I'LL GREG STEINBERG, HEAD OF CLINICAL AIF YEAR AGO AT AETNA, I'M GOING TO SPEAK TO YOU FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF THE PAYER AND DIRECTLY FROM THE EMPLOYERS WHO ARGUABLY ARE INVOLVED IN THE MUNDANE BUT NOT TRIVIAL TASK OF PAYING FOR SOME OF THESE PRODUCTS AND SERVICES WE'RE TALKING ABOUT. I'LL SAY FROM THE OUTSET THAT I THINK A LOT CAN AND HAS BEEN DONE ALREADY WITH EXISTING DATA SOURCES, ADMINISTRATIVE DATA SOURCES AND HIGH QUALITY CDS SYSTEMS AROUND TODAY. CLEARLY THERE'S POTENTIAL TO DO MORE AND BETTER WITH NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING AND I'LL TRY TO COVER SOME OF THAT. I'LL ALSO SPEAK BRIEFLY ABOUT SOME HIGH LEVEL STRATEGIC THOUGHTS FROM THE AETNA PERSPECTIVE, PARTICULARLY RELATIVE TO THE NEW PARADIGM OF THE MECHANICAL CARE ORGANIZATIONS. SO WHEN I TALKED ABOUT DATA AND CURRENT ADMINISTRATIVE DATA WHAT THAT MEANS AT LEAST TO US OBVIOUSLY DIAGNOSTIC AND PROCEDURE CLAIMS BUT DATA FROM THE PBM LAB DATA SO WE CAN GET AND HAVE FOR MANY YEARS NOW, NOT JUST THE FACT OF LAB TEST BUT WE KNOW WHAT THE LAB RESULT IS. WE HAVE ALSO HAD PATIENT PATIENT SELF-REPORTED DATA SO WE HAVE A PERSONAL HEALTH RECORD, WHERE DATA IS INPUTTED BY PATIENTS ELECTRONICALLY AND COMES INTO OUR DATABASE. IN ADDITION WHEN WE HAVE CARE MANAGEMENT NURSES SPEAKING TO PATIENTS THEY'RE ENTERING THAT DATA AND THAT DATA IS ALSO PART OF THE LONGITUDINAL HEALTH RECORD. SO SOMEBODY TALKED ABOUT LACK OF AVAILABILITY OF LONGITUDINAL HEALTH RECORDS AND I WOULD POSIT THESE ARE ACTUALLY AVAILABLE AND HAVE BEEN AVAILABLE IN THE PAIR WORLD FOR MANY YEARS. MORE RECENTLY, WE'LL TALK MORE ABOUT THIS LATER BUT, NOT SURE THAT'S WORKING BUT THE HEALTH INFORMATION EXCHANGE CAPABILITIES WHICH ALLOW US ELECTRONIC ACCESS TO EMRs IS GOING TO BE AN INTEGRAL PART AS WE GO[ FORWARD OF THE EXPANDED DATABASE. WHAT WE HAVE IN THE MIDDLE IS THE CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT ENGINE THAT TAKES ALL THAT DATA AND DEPENDING HOW THE ALGORITHMS IN THE CDS SYSTEM ARE CONFIGURED DOES A NUMBER OF THINGS, WILL EITHER DEAL ON THE LEFT WITH PATIENT-SPECIFIC SO-CALLED PRECISION ALERTS, GAPS IN CARE THAT WE HAVE BEEN TALKING ABOUT, PEOPLE MENTION PATIENT ENGAGEMENT SO VERSIONS OF OUR GAPS IN CARE ARE FED BACK ACTUALLY IN REAL TIME TO THE PERSONAL HEALTH RECORDS AND TO THE PATIENTS THEREFORE. DIFFERENT VERSIONS OF CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT RULES CAN INFORM REAL TIME ANALYTICS. WE TALKED ABOUT QUALITY MEASURE, REGISTRIES, ET CETERA. MORE IMPORTANTLY OR MORE RECENTLY I SHOULD SAY, WORK FLOW RULES HAVE BEEN DEVISED TO HELP IN TERMS OF CARE COORDINATION AGAIN RELATIVE TO ACCOUNTABLE CARE ORGANIZATIONS, PATIENT CENTERED MEDICAL HOMES AND THE LIKE. SO A LITTLE CLICK DOWN IN TERMS OF THE CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM. WE GET ALL THE DATA THAT I TALKED ABOUT, IT CREATES A ROBUST LONGITUDINAL PATIENT-CENTRIC ELECTRONIC MEDICAL RECORD WHICH IS THEN APPLIED AGAINST A DIGITIZED VERSION OF THE EVIDENCE BASE MEDICAL LITERATURE. AND WHAT COMES OUT THE OTHER END, IF YOU WILL, IS GAP ANALYSIS ON A PATIENT SPECIFIC LEVEL. THAT LOOKS AT THE DIFFERENCE THAT A PATIENT RECEIVING CARE IS RECEIVING REFLECTED IN THE DATA AND THE CARE THEY SHOULD BE RECEIVING REFLECTED IN THE LITERATURE THAT NEGATIVE INFORMATION IS ENCAPSULATED INTO VARIOUS FORMATS THAT WILL BE TRANSMITTED THAT ARE TRANSMITSED IN VARIOUS WAYS TO DOCTORS AND PATIENTS. SO CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT LIKE A LOT OF THINGS IN THE WORLD VARY A LOT OF DECISION SUPPORT LOOKS LIKE THIS. THIS IS OBVIOUSLY RELATIVE TO DIABETES AND FAIR HI BASIC IN FAIRLY UNINTERESTING. MORE IMPORTANTLY NOT REALLY A REFLECTION OF THE TRUE VARIETY AND COMPLEXITY OF THE SITUATION. FOR US CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT IS THIS. NOT JUST THERE'S MORE STUFF. WHICH THERE IS BUT THIS IS A REPRESENTATION OF HOW THINGS INTERACT WITH EACH OTHER PHYSIOLOGICALLY AND HOW PHYSICIANS ACTUALLY THINK. IT GOES TO THE POINT THAT WAS MADE BY A FEW PEOPLE THAT CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS ARE NOT NECESSARILY ABLE TO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT COMORBIDITIES, MULTIPLE MEDICATIONS AND SO FORTH. THAT'S NOT NECESSARILY TRUE, AT LEAST WITH RESPECT TO THE DO NO HARM CAPABILITY. SO YOU CAN CLEARLY HAVE THESE ARE SOPHISTICATED RULES WITH SOPHISTICATED RULE AUTHORING CAPABILITIES BUT THEY EXIST. SO YOU CAN CLEARLY HAVE ON THE TOP YOU CAN CLEARLY IDENTIFY DIABETIC WITH HEMOGLOBIN A 1C NOT ON ANY MEDICATION, THE AMERICAN DIABETES ASSOCIATION POSITS THAT PERSON SHOULD BE ON METAPHORMAN BUT THERE ARE A HOST OF CONDITIONS METAPHORMAN MAY NOT BE A GOOD IDEA, YOU CAN WRITE RULES THAT WILL PROACTIVELY LOOK FOR THOSE CONDITIONS AND NOT SEND THE OUTPUT TO A PHYSICIAN OR PATIENT IF ANY OF THOSE CONDITIONS ARE PRESENT BY LAB DATA, CURVES. THERE'S A NUMBER THOSE STATIN, INHIBITORS, YOU GET THE IDEA. GIVE YOU A SENSE OF THE FACT THAT WE HAVE BEEN DOING THIS FOR REAL ON LARGE SCALE, THESE STATISTICS ARE RELATIVE TO 2011. ON THE LEFT SOME OF THE SOURCES FOR SPACE STANDARDS THAT WE USE FAIRLY LARGE GROUP OF FULL-TIME DOCS, PHARMACISTS, ARE INVOLVED IN BUILDING AND MAINTAINING THESE RULES, THE TYPE OF RULES, THE NUMBERS OF RULES IN THE MIDDLE THERE AND IT GIVES YOU A SENSE OF SOME OF THE ACTIVITY AND THIS IS JUST IN ONE YEAR THE RULES THAT WERE MESSAGES GENERATED TO PROVIDERS AND/OR PATIENTS. ONE POINT WAS MADE ABOUT YOU SEE MANY MORE PATIENT ALERTS, THAN DOCTOR ALERTS, THAT GOES TO THE FACT THAT AS SOMEBODY SAID PROBABLY NOT A GOOD IDEA TO SEND MAMMOGRAM ALERTS TO DOCS SO WE DON'T BUT WE SEND THEM TO THE PATIENT. THE LITTLE THING AT THE BOTTOM MAKE IT IS THE POINT WE HAVE THE OPPORTUNITY TO DO A CHART ANALYSIS WITH LARGE TEACHING HOSPITAL IN NEW YORK CITY WHERE WE HAD ACCESS TO MEDICAL RECORDS AND WE WERE ABLE TO COMPARE BOTH DIAGNOSTIC VALIDITY OF THE RULE, DIAGNOSES THAT WE WERE IMPUTING AND THE CLINICAL CONTENT OF THE RULE AND HAD GREATER THAN 90% CONCORDANCE. SO WHAT HAVE WE LEARNED FROM WORKING WITH THE SYSTEMS OVER THE YEARS AND THE AREAS WHERE NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING MAY HELP US? THE REAL WORLD DATA WE DEAL WITH, THOUGH IT'S USEFUL, VERY USEFUL, IT HAS ISSUES. SO DIAGNOSTIC CLAIMS CLEARLY ARE OFTEN INACCURATE DUE TO A HOST OF ERRORS. IF I WANT TO RULE OUT DIABETES IT'S THE SAME CODE AS IF THE PERSON HAS DIABETES. YOU CAN CONSTRUCT RULE LOGIC INCLUSIONNARY CRITERIA AND EXCLUSIONARY CRITERIA TO MITIGATE THAT BUT IT'S AN ISSUE AND CLEARLY CLAIMS LAG. SENSITIVITY SPECIFICITY PROBLEM SO THIS WAS MENTIONED BY A NUMBER OF SPEAKERS. WHEN YOU'RE DEALING WITH PATIENT-SPECIFIC ALERTS GOING TO DOCS YOU BETTER WITH RIGHT ALL THE TIME. DOCS HATE WRONG ALERT. THEY HAVE NO PROBLEM TELLING US THAT YOU HAVE LIED TO THEM. AND POTENTIAL FOR ALERT FATIGUE. YOU CAN DO THAT INCREASING SPECIFICITY BUT T AT THE EXPENSE OF SENSITIVITY. ON THE OTHER HAND THIS WAS MENTIONED EARLIER, WHEN DEALING WITH POPULATION BASED QUALITY MEASURES YOU PROBABLY HAVE TO DIAL IT THE OTHER WAY PARTICULARLY NUMERATOR BECAUSE MANY PROVIDERS ARE GOING TO BE MEASURED AND POTENTIALLY PAID BASED ON HOW THE RULES ARE STRUCTURED. LASTLY AT THE BOTTOM OF THE SLIDE, ABSENCE OF EVIDENCE DOES NOT EQUAL EVIDENCE OF ABSENCE, IS THE REAL PROBLEM. SO HOW DO YOU GET TO ERRORS OF OMISSION, THINGS THAT ARE NOT THERE THAT SHOULD BE THERE. IN OUR CURRENT PARADIGM WE USE ELIGIBILITY DATA ESSENTIALLY AND AS A SURROGATE FOR IF SOMETHING IS NOT THERE, IF IT HAD BEEN THERE WE WOULD HAVE SEEN IT. THAT IS TRUE A LOT OF TIME BUT NOT ALL THE TIME. AND CLEARLY CAN LEAD TO FALSE POSITIVES AND CLEARLY AN AREA NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING CAN SIGNIFICANTLY HELP. SO IS THERE DATA THAT THE CDS SYSTEMS THAT DO NOT USE NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING, ONLY OTHER SOURCES OF DATA I TALKED ABOUT REALLY WORKED. SO THESE ARE TWO PUBLICATIONS ON ONE STUDY. THIS WAS ONE OF THE ONLY RANDOMIZED PROSPECTIVE CONTROLLED TRIALS OF CDS THAT I THINK IS IN THE LITERATURE. THEY TOOK 40,000 MEMBERS IN A HEALTH PLAN IN CLEVELAND AND BASICALLY RANDOMIZED THEM, HALF GOT THE CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM, HALF DIDN'T, IT WAS WELL MATCHED, A ONE YEAR PROSPECTIVE STUDY AND THE PRE-DEFINED POINTS IN ADDITION TO THE THE NUMBER OF ERRORS DEFINED, HOSPITALIZATIONS AND PAID CLAIMS. REAL MONEY. THESE WERE STATISTICALLY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES, HOSPITAL REDUCTION -- PAID CLAIMS REDUCED BY $8. PANEL ON THE RIGHT TOOK THE SAME DATA BUT HAD AN EXTRA YEAR OF DATA AFTERWARDS, AFTER THE STUDY WAS OVER BECAUSE WHAT HAPPENED IS THAT THE HEALTH PLAN INVOLVED, FIGURED IT UNETHICAL TO NOT HAVE THE CONTROL GROUP HAVE CDS SO THE CONTROL GROUP RECEIVED CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT IN THE YEAR SUBSEQUENT TO THE STUDY. AND THE AUTHORS OF THAT STUDY PUBLISHED IN THE JOURNAL OF HEALTH ECONOMICS LOOKED AT THAT SO THEY LOOK AT CHARGES UNPAID CLAIMS AN CONFIRMED CHARGES WERE SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED. HOSPITALIZATIONIZATIONS WERE REDUCED. INTERESTINGLY THE HOSPITALIZATIONS WERE ALL TO DO WITH THE AREAS AND THE CAUSALITY THING WAS INTERESTING. WHAT HAPPENS IS YOU HAD THE TWO GROUPS STARTED TOGETHER IN TERMS OF CHARGES IN THE FIRST YEAR, THEY DIVERGED DURING THE STUDY YEAR AND THEN IN THE YEAR AFTER WHEN BOTH GROUPS NOW GOT THE CDS SYSTEM THE CHARGE DIFFERENTIAL DISAPPEARED. WHICH LED TO THE CONCLUSION THAT THERE WAS PROBABLY A CAUSAL EFFECT. I SAID WE TALKED A LITTLE BIT ABOUT ACCOUNTABLE CARE ORGANIZATION. SO WHAT THIS REALLY WHAT THE SLIDE IS REALLY TALKING ABOUT, WE'RE UNDERGOING A FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT PARADIGM SHIFT RIGHT NOW WHERE WE'RE MOVING FROM PATIENT-SPECIFIC REACTIVE CARE, TO POPULATION MANAGEMENT AND PROACTIVE CARE. MOVING FROM PAYING PEOPLE MORE FOR DOING MORE TO PAYING PEOPLE MORE FOR DOING BETTER. THIS IS A FUNDAMENTAL TECH TONIC SHIFT WE'RE INVOLVED WITH. THE WAY WE TRIED TO START TO LOOK AT THIS AND COBBLE TOGETHER A SET OF SOLUTIONS THAT MIGHT HELP IS IN ADDITION TO THE THE DECISION SUPPORT STUFF THAT IS THE BOTTOM RIGHT BUBBLE THERE, WHERE YOU HAVE GAPS IN CARE AND POPULATION BASED DECISION SUPPORT TOOLS AND WORK FLOW TOOLS. WE HAVE THE HELP INFORMATION EXCHANGE CAPABILITIES ADDED TO THAT. YOU HAVE ON THE TOP THERE A LARGE HEALTH SYSTEM EXCHANGE, HAS THE LARGEST FOOTPRINT WHICH ALSO HAS THE INEX CAPABILITY WHICH IS A CLOUD-BASED APPLICATION STORE LIKE THE APPLE STORE WHERE A HOST OF APPLICATIONS CAN BE DEVELOPED QUICKLY AND SIT ON THIS AND DOWNLOADED BEHIND AN INDIVIDUAL FIREWALL OFFICE. LAYERED ON TOP OF THAT IS TOOLS THAT I TRIAGE AS ONE OF THE LEADING CONSUMER MOBILE APPS THAT PROVIDES NAVIGATION SYMPTOM CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT, ITSELF AND WRAP ALL THAT AROUND WITH HEALTH PLAN SERVICES BECAUSE THESE ACCOUNTABLE CARE ORGANIZATIONS ARE GOING TO HAVE TO START DEALING FAIRLY SERIOUSLY WITH ALL THAT RISK THAT IS SOMETHING NEW AN FOREIGN TO THEM. SO DOUBLE CLICKING MORE, I APOLOGIZE, KIND OF BUSY BUT WHAT THIS IS TRYING TO SAY IS, ONE MORE LEVEL OF DETAIL. AT THE BOTTOM YOU HAVE THE DOCTOR, PROVIDED THE PROVIDER DATA. ON THE LEFT YOU HAVE THE HOSPITAL DATA. ON THE RIGHT IT'S CONNECTED THROUGH THE MEDICITY HEALTH INFORMATION EXCHANGE GRID STRUCTURE ON THE BOTTOM. IT GETS FED INTO THE ANALYTIC ENGINE WHICH DOES A NUMBER OF THINGS, IT SENDS OUT THE CARE ALERTS AND DECISION SUPPORT STRAIGHT UP. IT TALKS TO THE PATIENTS IT PROVIDES WORK FLOW TOOLS FOR THE DOCTORS TO AFTER THE PATIENTS PROACTIVELY. AND A WHOLE HOST OF REPORTING CAPABILITIES SOPHISTICATED AND GOING TO BE NEEDED IN ORDER TO SURVIVE AND THRIVE IN THE ARCCL WORLD. ONE WAY NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING HELPS IS BEING ABLE TO TAKE ALL THE UNSTRUCTURED DATA THAT WE HAVE TALKED ABOUT AND ADD THAT TO EXISTING DATA. THAT WILL ALLOW NOT CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT FUNCTIONS THAT WE TALKED ABOUT, THE FUNCTION BETTER AND MORE ACCURATELY BUT PROBABLY OTHER ANCILLARY BENEFITS IN TERMS OF EFFICIENCIES AND UTILIZATION MANAGEMENT AND PRIOR AUTHORIZATION, ET CETERA. SO LAST SLIDE. WE HAVE COME A LONG WAY, JUST WITH THE EXISTING DATA SETS THAT WE HAVE, WITH EXISTING CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT TOOLS THAT WE HAVE. UNSTRUCTURED CLINICAL DATA WITH THE HELP OF NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING WILL ALLOW US TO GET OVER THE BRIDGE THAT PARENTHETICALLY HAPPENS TO BE A BRIDGE WHERE I LIVE IN PENNSYLVANIA T OLEST PRIVATELY OWNED BRIDGE IN THE UNITED STATES. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION. [APPLAUSE] >> OUR NEXT SPEAKER IS THE PREVIOUSLY INTRODUCED DR. MARC OVERHAGE FROM SIEMENS. >> I SPENT 25 YEARS AT THE REGULATORY INSTITUTE DOING CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT SO THAT'S SORT OF MY LONG-TIME HOME. AND I HAVE BEEN AT SIEMENS FOR JUST A YEAR NOW. IT WAS HARD TO THINK ABOUT WHAT WOULD BE USEFUL TO TALK ALL OF YOU ABOUT SO POKE AT A FEW AREAS THAT WE'RE BUMPING INTO AS WE'RE DOING OUR WORK WHERE NLP AND CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT COLLIDE AND IN PARTICULAR SOME THINGS WE HAVEN'T SPENT TOO MUCH TIME ON. THE MESSAGE THAT THIS IS IMPORTANT HAS GOTTEN THROUGH TO PEOPLE, THIS SLIDE IS ONE THAT PROFESSOR REICHARDT, HEAD OF OUR BOARD FOR HEALTHCARE FOR SIEMENS USED IN LONDON A FEW MONTHS AGO AT A STOCK ANALYST MEETING, THIS WAS THE ONLY SLIDE HE USED TALKING FUTURE OF THE COMPANY. AND TALKED ABOUT HOW UNSTRUCTURED DATA DISEASE MODELS AN THERAPY INTERACT TODAY AND HOW THE EVOLUTION IS TO STRUCTURE DATA PATIENT MODELS INDIVIDUALIZED THERAPY AND KNOWLEDGE O DOMAIN IN THE MIDDLE GOING FORWARD. SO PEOPLE EVEN AT THE SENIOR LEADERSHIP LEVELS AND SPH POWER HEALTHCARE AND TECHNOLOGY GET THIS MESSAGE AND UNDERSTANDING WHERE ALL OF US TWO WITH THIS WORK. SO THIS IS MARC'S MENTAL MODEL HOW PIECES FIT TOGETHER. I WON'T TALK ABOUT -- THE RED STARS REPRESENT PLACES WHERE NLP IN PARTICULAR POPS UP, I'LL HIGHLIGHT EXAMPLES OF THAT. I THINK OF IT AS COMING FROM TWO DIRECTIONSCH ONE IS THE LEFT-HAND SIDE WE HAVE HAD A LOT OF CONVERSATION ABOUT TODAY WHICH IS PATIENT DATA GETTING TURNED INTO STRUCTURED DATA SO IT CAN BE USED AN LIRNED FROM. -- LEARNED FROM. WE'RE RUNNING INTO THE RIGHT HAND SIDE OF THIS EQUATION, HOW DO YOU POPULATE THAT RIGHT SIDE WHETHER IT'S PRODUCTION ROLES OR WHETHER IT'S SOME EXPERT SYSTEM, HOW DO YOU BUILD THE KNOWLEDGE BASE THAT NEEDS TO UNDERPIN THAT. CONCRETE EXAMPLE IN A MINUTE. ONE THING BRAG ABOUT, ONE OF THOSE INTERESTING WAGING COMMERCIAL SUCCESSES OF NLP WHICH YOU MIGHT NOT KNOW EXIST BUT LOOKED AT THE PROBLEM WE JUST HEARD ABOUT QUALITY MEASURES. AND THE CHALLENGE MUCH OF THE DOCK MEN TAIGHTS IS UNSTRUCTURED TEK OF SOME KIND -- DOCUMENTATION OF UNSTRUCTURED TEXT OF SOME KIND, DEFINED BY FRIENDS AT CMS AND A SPECIFIC AND CONCRETE WAY. AND THE SYSTEM DOES THE USUAL TO FIND AND DERIVE THAT DATA AND PROVIDE FEEDBACK TO THE USER ABOUT THE CONTEXT IT CAME FROM, WHAT'S NEAT, THERE'S A COUPLE OF THINGS ABOUT THE SYSTEM. ONE THING TO HIGHLIGHT IS THE LEARNING ASPECT OF THE SYSTEM. WHAT I MEAN BY THAT IS THERE ARE SEVERAL HUNDRED USERS ACROSS THE UNITED STATES, SEVERAL THOUSAND ACROSS THE WORLD WHO ARE USING THE SYSTEM EVERY DAY IN HOSPITALS AND HEALTH SYSTEMS TO CAPTURE DATA FOR THE QUALITY REPORTING. ALL THE CASES THEY CHOOSE TO CHANGE THE MACHINES INTERPRETATION GETS FED BACK INTO THE LEARNING ALGORITHM ON A DAILY BASIS AND REFINE IT SO THE PROCESSING THAT HAPPENS ON ONGOING BASIS IS IMPROVED BY FEEDBACK OF THESE THOUSANDS OF INDIVIDUALS WHO ARE SOLVING THEIR DAY TO DAY PROBLEM WHICH IS HOW DO I CAPTURE THIS DATA FOR A PARTICULAR QUALITY MEASURE. SO ONE BIT OF GENIUS THAT BROCK AND HIS GROUP DID. A SECOND WAY THAT WE BUMP INTO PLA A LOT, THIS IS A DIFFERENCE CLASS OF PROBLEM T RADIOLOGY NOTE. WE ALSO FIND NEED FOR SHORT SNIP PETS. WHICH IS A WHOLE DIFFERENT SET OF CHALLENGES AND PROBLEMS AND WE'LL HEAR A BIT ABOUT QUESTION ANSWERING IN A BIT. THAT'S ANOTHER DOMAIN WHERE SHORT INPUT HAS TO BE INTERPRETED. ANOTHER ONE WE HAVE SPENT TIME ON CARRIED OVER IN THE WORK I WAS DOING ON REAGAN STREET IS THE FACT YOU HAVE IN LABORATORY RESULTS AN ANSWER, A SHORT SNIP PET OF TEXT SO IF YOU'RE TRYING TO DO PUBLIC HEALTH REPORTING OF REPORTING CONDITIONS YOU MIGHT HAVE A TEST FOR SHEGELLA WHICH MIGHT SAY SHEGELLA ISOLATED BUT MORE COMMON TO HAVE SOMETHING THAT SAYS NO SHEGELLA, SALMONELLA OR ECO LIE AND YOU HAVE TO RECOGNIZE THE THREE NEGOTIATIONS AND ALL YOU HAVE ARE 6 OR 7 WORDS. BUT VERY SHORT SNIP PETS OF TEXT. AND THIS IS JUST FROM PURPOSES OF PUBLIC HEALTH REPORTING WHAT WE HAD DONE AT REAGAN STREET WAS THREE LAYERS, THAT'S A THEME FROM THE WORKSHOP, NUMERIC RESULTS ARE EASY, YOU SAID THRESHOLDS AND THINGS, DISCRETE RESULTS LIKE POSITIVE OR NEGATIVE AND HARDER QAT GOIR OF RESULTS WHERE THE ANSWER TO THE QUESTION IS SOMETHING THAT'S A SHORT SNIP PET OF TEXT AND NEEDS TO BE TURNED INTO STRUCTURE CONTENT IN ORDER TO PROCESS IT. THE SECOND THING WITH THE SO CALLED REMIND PLATFORM WHICH WAS INTRIGUING AND THERE WERE A COUPLE OF REFERENCES THROUGHOUT THE DISCUSSION, IS THE NEED PARTICULARLY WITH UNSTRUCTURED DATA TO BEGIN TO COMBINE AND REASON PROBABLISTICLY ABOUT THE DATA THAT WE GOT. SO CLASSIC EXAMPLE HE WALKED ME THROUGH WHEN HE FIRST DESCRIBED THIS IS A PATIENT IN THE HOSPITAL, YOU HAVE AMBULATORY PHYSICIANS NOTE WHICH SAYS THE PATIENT TRIED TO QUIT SMOKING TWO YEARS AGO BUT FAILED AND RESTARTED. YOU HAVE THE INFORMATION FROM THE PATIENT PHR THAT SAYS A YEAR OLD THAT SAYS I'M NOT SMOKING ANY MORE AN YOU HAVE DATA FROM THE ADMITTING NURSES NOTE THAT SAYS THE PATIENT SMOKES A PACK AND A HALF A DAY BUT INTERMITTENTLY. HOW DO YOU PUT THAT TOGETHER TO DECIDE WHETHER THE PATIENT SMOKES OR NOT? SO TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE TEMPORAL PATTERN. WE HEARD FROM PARTNERS NLP GROUP IN THE LAST SESSION AN RELIABILITY OF THE REPORTER YOU CAN CONSTRUCT PROBLEM LISTIC INFERENCE ABOUT THOSE INDIVIDUAL ELEMENTS AND DECIDE WHAT YOU WANT THE ANSWER TO BE TODAY IN PLAWR UNSTRUCTURED DATA BUT STRUCTURED DATA AS WELL. SO THIRD SNIP PET, AS -- WITHIN SIEMENS IS ANOTHER SHORT TEXT ASPECT OF NLP WITH A SYSTEM YOU MIGHT BE RECORDING ENTERING SYSTEMS AND FINDING DIAGNOSES IN A FREE TEXT FORMAT FOR EXAMPLE AND THE SYSTEM PROCESSING IS EACH WORD IS ADDED TO THAT TEXT TAKING INTO ACCOUNT WHAT WAS THERE BEFORE AS WELL AS PATIENT AND PROVIDER CONTEXT INFORMATION IN ORDER TO DERIVE USEFUL OUTPUT IN VARIOUS WAYS SO HERE IS A CONCRETE EXAMPLE FROM WORK AT REAGAN STREET APPLYING THIS ON THE LEFT-HAND SIDE IS A FREE TEXT BOX WHERE USER IS FREE TEXT NARRATIVE TEXT BOX WHERE A USER IS ENTERING THINGS AND ON THE RIGHT HAND SIDE AS THAT TEXT IS PROCESSED, THE SYSTEM IS MATCHES THAT UP WITH CONCEPTS OF THINGS THAT MIGHT BE REASONABLE TO ORDER. SO DIABETES THEY NOTED THE OPHTHALMOLOGY CONSULT AND ELECTROLIGHTS MIGHT BE APPROPRIATE SO THOSE THREE THINGS SHOW UP ON THE RIGHT HAND SIDE TO MAKE THEM EASY FOR THE USER TO GO AHEAD AND ORDER. SOMEWHAT ANALOGOUS TO THE WORK THAT TOM PAING DESCRIBED ADDING PROBLEMS TO THE PROBLEM LIST, MAKING IT EASY TO GET TO THOSE THINGS AND NOT FORGET ABOUT THEM. ANOTHER WAY THAT WE'RE LEVERAGING THIS DATA AND ACTUALLY TRYING TO IMPROVE THE DATA CAPTURE IS BY BUILDING INDIVIDUALIZED PATIENT MODELS. THAT COMES INTO PLAY IN PARTICULAR IN THE CAPTURING OF THE DATA. IF WE HAVE VERY GOOD MODELS FOR THAT INDIVIDUAL PATIENT THIS IS ONE FOR HYPERTENSION, ONE OF MY COLLEAGUES GLENN FUNG DID, AS YOU BEGIN TO HAVE THIS YOU CAN PLAY THAT BACK INTO THE DATA THAT YOU CHOOSE TO USE OUT OF THE PATIENT'S RECORD WHETHER FOR CLINICAL DOCUMENTATION OR OTHER SORTS OF USE, SO THAT'S ANOTHER PLACE WE'RE LEVERAGING IT. THE RIGHT HAND SIDE WE FOCUS ON A MINUTE, I HAVEN'T HEARD A LOT OF CONVERSATION TODAY BUT ONE PLACE WE'RE SPENDING A FAIR AMOUNT OF ENERGY FOR A VARIETY OF REASONS WORKING FROM THESE UNSTRUCTURED AS WELL AS STRUCTURED DATA SOURCES AND TRYING TO DRIVE THROUGH TO USABLE KNOWLEDGE AND WAYS TO CURE RATE AND MANAGE THAT KNOWLEDGE SO WE CAN BEGIN TO USE IT FOR ACTUAL REASONING AND SEMANTIC SORTING OF DATA AND THINGS OF THAT NATURE. WE'LL HEAR ABOUT THAT IN A FEW MINUTES. AND IN PARTICULAR, ONE OF THE THINGS WE TRY TO FIND IS I CALL THE ART OF POSSIBLE. IN OTHER WORDS, WHILE THESE APPROACHES ARE IMPERFECT IN MANY WAYS OUR ABILITY TO FIND SEMANTIC STRUCTURE WITHIN WHETHER GUIDELINES OR JOURNAL ARTICLES AND SO ON THAT CAN BEGIN TO INFORM HOW WE DRIVE DECISION SUPPORT HAVE BEEN INTERESTING, PROBABLY THE MOST SOPHISTICATED APPLICATION OF THIS THAT WE HAVE DONE TODAY HAS BEEN WHERE WE'RE TRYING TO PULL TOGETHER SEVERAL ASPECTS AND TAKING DATA IN THE SEMANTIC STRUCTURE AN ONTOLOGY DERIVED FROM THE CARDIAC LITERATURE ALONG WITH STRUCTURAL OBSERVATIONS FROM CT MRI ULTRASOUND OF THE HEART. USING THOSE CONSTRUCTED DYNAMIC MODELS OF THE CARDIAC CIRCUMSTANCE LAS. SO STRUCTURAL OBSERVATION, DATA FROM LITERATURE HOW THESE INTERACT AND CREATE DYNAMIC MODELS OF THE HART THAT CAN BE USED FOR DECISION SUPPORT FOR CARDIAC SURGEONS WHO ARE OPERATING ON COMPLEX CARDIAC ABNORMALITIES TO SAY IF WE OPENED UP THEt OF 25%, WHAT MIGHT THAT DO TO THE CARDIAC CIRCULATION? NEONATES AND IN PARTICULAR BUT IN OTHER -- EVEN IN OLDER ADULTS FOR EXAMPLE, WHILE EXPERIENCE IS A GOOD GUIDE, HAVING THE DATA AND MODEL THAT UNDERPINS IT CAN BE INCREDIBLY POWERFUL DECISION SUPPORT TO SAY TURN THE DIAL THIS WAY, WHERE WILL I LAND? THAT MIGHT LEAD FOR EXAMPLE TO CHOOSE A LESS AGGRESSIVE PROCEDURE INITIALLY REASSESS AND THEN FOLLOW-UP WITH A MORE AGGRESSIVE PROCEDURE IF NEEDED. AND THERE ARE O OTHER EXAMPLES OF THAT. SO THAT KIND OF DECISION SUPPORT FOR THERAPEUTIC CHOICES CAN BE DRIVEN BY THESE DATA DRIVEN OUT OF THESE VARIOUS SOURCES. SO BROADER SCALE WE LOOK ATTENTION MINING AND NLP AS ONE SOURCE ALONG WITH IMAGE SEGMENTATION, FORMALIZATION OF TREATMENT PLANS AND SO ON. THAT SORT OF CREATE A CONTINUUM. AND THAT'S -- THIS IS A -- NOT A PRODUCT BUT A PROTOTYPE THAT TRIES TO START TO PULL TOGETHER ALL THESE DIFFERENT USES OF NLP AND DECISION SUPPORT A LITTLE BIT THE WORK BLACKBERG AND HIS GROUP DID, TOOK A DIFFERENT DIRECTION BUT ON THE TOP LEFT HAND PANEL THERE PATIENT DATA WITH IMAGING LINKED THROUGH A SEMANTIC NETWORK SO ABNORMALITIES AN IMAGE AND DATA PATIENT RECORD ARE LINKED TOGETHER. MIDDLE RIGHT HAND PANEL, WHAT HAPPENS TO THE LAST THOUSAND PATIENT WHOSE LOOKED LIKE THIS SO THE COMPARISON RECOMMENDATIONS BASED ON SYSTEM CASES DRIVEN OUT OF LOCAL RECORD SYSTEM IN THE BOTTOM KNOWLEDGE NETWORK LINKAGE BACK TO THE CLINICAL GUIDELINES AN LITERATURE THAT SUPPORT THOSE THINGS AND ON THE BOTTOM RIGHT TAKING ADVANTAGE OF PUBLICATION STREAMS AND PATIENT CARE PATTERNS TO LINK TO PRACTITIONERS THAT MIGHT HAVE PARTICULAR EXPERTISE IN THIS PATIENT'S CARE SO THIS IS CALLED MEDICO, PART OF A EUROPEAN PROJECT WE'RE JUST IN FEBRUARY HAD THE FIVE YEAR WRAPUP FOR AN EFFORT TO PULL TOGETHER PIECES OF DECISION SUPPORT LEVERAGED BY NLP TO CREATE A DASHBOARD IF YOU WILL IN MY MIND PROPORTIONED WRONG FOR ILLUSTRATION PURPOSES THE PATIENT SORT OF NOT OVERLY EMPHASIZED BUT IT STARTS TO HINT AT THE POSSIBILITIES AS YOU PULL ALL THESE THINGS TOGETHER IN ORDER TO ENABLE DECISION SUPPORT LEVERAGED BY NLP ACROSS THE BOARD. SO THANKS VERY MUCH FOR YOUR ATTENTION. LOOK FORWARD TO THE DISCUSSION. [APPLAUSE] >> OUR NEXT SPEAKER IS DR. DAVID DON GEK OF IBM. -- GONDEK OF IBM. >> I'M DAVID GONDEK, PART OF THE IBM WATT SEASON TEAM RESPONSIBLE FOR THE MACHINE LEARNING IN THE GENERALITY SYSTEM -- JEOPARDY SYSTEM AND NOW LEAD FOR THE WE USE WATSON IN THE HEALTHCARE SPACE. I WANT TO THANK THE ORGANIZE RECOGNIZERS FOR OFFERING TO OFFER A CHANCE TO TALK AND NLM, IT'S ALWAYS GOOD TO COME DOWN HERE. WE'RE A BIG CLOSET NLM FANS BACK IN THE LAB. WE HAVE A LIST CALLED THERE'S A+p COE FOR THAT. THE DISCUSSION LAST WEEK WAS ABOUT SOMEONE FOUND SENSE OF IMPENDING DOOM. AND ANY SOUND IMPENDING DOOM. YOU SAY THAT'S NOT ONE YOU WANT TO SEE IN YOUR RECORD. ANYWAY, SO I THOUGHT I SHOULD START OFF THERE'S HOPE FOR WHAT I CAN DO. ARCHITECTURAL DIAGRAM. ROUGHLY SPEAKING THE ARCHITECTURE DIAGRAM LOOKS LIKE THIS. WHERE YOU HAVE A WHOLE BUNCH OF COMPONENTS ON THE LEFT AND IN THE MIDDLE A WATSON OCCURS AND YOU GET AN OUTPUT. THIS IS FUNNY AND SCARY BECAUSE PEOPLE THINK THAT WATSON CAN DO ALMOST ANYTHING WHICH I CAN'T. WE'RE WORKING ON IT. IT'S SCARY AND THIS IS SO FAR FROM THE TRUTH IN THAT WHEN WE BUILT WATSON WE RELIED ON A LOT OF THE BEST EXISTING TECHNOLOGY. SO WE WERE USING TECHNOLOGY FROM THE LATEST LITERATURE, WE WERE USING A PARSER IN DEVELOPER IBM 30 YEARS, LOOKING AT THE MEDICAL DOMAIN WE USE UMLS WHICH IS A HUGE AMOUNT OF EFFORT. SO IT'S TRUE WATSON IS AN ENSEMBLE SYSTEM AND DEPENDS ON COMPONENTS THERE. THE ORIGINAL SYSTEM IS PLAYING JEOPARDY. SOME SAY THAT'S'S WHEN A MIRACLE OCCURRED. WHAT DOES IT TAI TO PLAY JEOPARDY. THAT DICTATE AD NUMBER OF CHOICES FOR THE SYSTEM. I THOUGHT IT WOULD BE INTERESTING TO THINK ABOUT WHETHER THOSE CHOICES ARE USEFUL IN THE MEDICAL CONTEXT. WHAT YOU'LL SEE IS DUE TO THE BACKGROUND THERE, WE'RE TAKING A SOMEWHAT DIFFERENT APPROACH THAN SOME OF THE OTHER APPROACHES YOU HAVE HEARD ABOUT. SO IN PARTICULAR WE LOOKED AT BOTH UNSTRUCTURED APPROACHES AN STRUCTURED APPROACHES FOR JEOPARDY AND I THINK EVERYONE HERE IS FAMILIAR WITH THE LIMITATIONS AND BENEFITS TO BOTH. THE GROUP THAT I'M FROM MORE A BACKGROUND DEALING WITH UNSTRUCTURED DATA, SEMANTIC SEARCH, CLASSIFICATION, THAT SORT OF THING. I THINK WE'RE FAMILIAR WITH KEY WORD SEARCH WHERE IT HAS BROAD COVERAGE, VERY FAST, CAN BE VERY TIMELY, BUT OF COURSE THE PRECISION IS LOW. AND THE -- THERE'S BASICALLY NO SEMANTICS. SO VERY LITTLE SEMANTICS DOING A KEY WORD SEARCH. YOU CAN TRAP WITH MORE KNOWLEDGE BASED APPROACHES OR RULE BASED APPROACHES WHICH YOU CAN DO ELABORATE IMPRESSIVE REASONING AND YOU HAVE PRECISE SEMANTICS SO WHEN YOU GET AN ANSWER YOU CAN COME ONE THE PROOF, MAY NOT BE READABLE BUT YOU CAN COME UP WITH A PROOF OF WHY THE ANSWER IS THERE. AND LIABILITIES WHEN YOU HAVE TO HAND CONSTRUCT THE MODELS THEY'RE FAIRLY BRITTLE, HARD TO MAP INTO THE MODELS. DEALING WITH NATURAL LANGUAGE IT WOULD BE HARD TO MAP IT TO CONCEPTS. HARD TO KEEP THEM UP TO DATE AND IT ALSO CAN BE COSTLY. SO THE JEOPARDY SYSTEM WAS A COMBINATION OF THESE TWO APPROACHES. WE MERGE THE BEST APPROACHES TO GET YOUR HANDS ON IN SEARCH WITH KNOWLEDGE BASED TECHNIQUES. AND THE HOPE THEN IS THAT YOU CAN GET COVERAGE YOU NEED FOR OPEN DOMAIN JEOPARDY WHERE THEY MAY NOT ASK ABOUT ANYTHING AND FOR CERTAIN AREAS YOU REALIZE SEMANTICS WILL HELP YOU CAN INVEST IN SPECIFIC AREAS. I'M NOT CLAIMING THAT WATSON DEEPLY REPRESENTS COMPLEX MEDICAL GUIDELINE. THAT IS NOT THE GOAL. THE GOAL IS TO GIVE WATSON THE SHY LOW SEMANTICS TO INTERPRET A LARGE NUMBER OF GUIDELINES OR DIAGNOSES WHERE WE CAN GET THE COVERAGE WITHOUT MAYBE QUITE THE SAME EXPLANATORY DEPTH. SO ONE OF THE IMPORTANT REASONS WHY WE THINK WE HAD SUCCESS WAS THE ARCHITECTURE. AND I'M ON A TEAM WITH 40 RESEARCHERS, FOCUSING ON THE UNDERLYING TECHNOLOGY OF WATSON. PART OF THAT, HALF OF THOSE ARE ALGORITHMS, OTHER HALF SYSTEMS SO I'M DEVELOPING THE ARCHITECTURES FOR PLUGGING THE ALGORITHMS TOGETHER. HOW CAN YOU MAKE IT FAST. DEALING WITH NORMALIZING THE DATA. STUFF LIKE THAT. BUT IF YOU LOOK AT THE STATS ON WATSON, JEOPARDY SYSTEM WAS BUILT ON POWER 7 SYSTEM, I THINK PEOPLE MENTIONED DISES DIZ AND -- (INDISCERNIBLE) AND WE BUILT A STATISTICAL LEARNING FRAMEWORK AND NLP TECHNIQUES SO YOU LOOK AT THE NLP TECHNIQUES WE DEVELOPED, THEY'RE REAL STATISTICAL, WE USE ANYTHING WE CAN GET OUR HAND ON. SOME THINGS YOU HEARD LIKE QUESTION PARSING SENTENCE PARSING DISAMBIGUATION, CODING, RELATION EXTRACTION. TRYING TO FIND THE TWO THINGS IN TEXT. LINGUISTIC FRAME EXTRACTION IS WE BUILD KNOWLEDGE BASES FROM LARGE CORPORATE. SO IN THE JEOPARDY CASE WE MINE TWO TERABYTES OF WEB DATA, ABOUT 10% LIBRARY OF CONGRESS, THAT WAS TO GET FACTS AND KNOWLEDGE BASE, SO WE KNOW WHO INVENTED WHAT. IT'S ALSO TO UNDERSTAND USAGE. SO YOU CAN UNDERSTAND HOW LANGUAGE IS USED, WHAT ARE SELECTIONAL RESTRICTIONS, PARTICIPATING IN THIS RELATION. WE CAN LEARN RELATIONS, TO EXPAND YOUR KNOWLEDGE BASE AND PERHAPS YOUR HAND BUILT KNOWLEDGE BASES(.t DON'T HAVE ENOUGH COVERAGE. THE COST WE HAVE A TALENT FRAMEWORK AND THE PURPOSE OF THAT IS TO IDENTIFY WHETHER ONE PASSAGE OR SET OF PASSAGES JUSTIFIES AN ANSWER TO A QUESTION. SO THAT MAY LOOK AT JUST LOOKING AT A BAG OF WORDS MATCH, DO THESE LEXCAL TERMS LIKE KEY WORD SEARCH, DEEPER ANALYSIS LIKE USING THE PRODUCT AND ARGUMENT STRUCTURE, LOGICAL FORM, CODING, DOESN'T HAVE TO. THAT ALLOWS YOU TO -- YOU HAVE ENSEMBLE OF DIFFERENT APPROACHES THAT TRADE OFF SENSITIVITY AND SPECIFICITY. SO SOME THINGS ARE PURELY LEXCAL, OTHER THINGS REQUIRE YOU CODE CORRECTLY AND ABLE TO IDENTIFY THE RELATIONS. SO IT'S THIS ENSEMBLE THAT WE FOUND HAD THE BEST PERFORMANCE. THE WAY WE WERE ABLE TO DO THIS IS WITH SOME OF THE INTEGRATION. I MENTIONED UIMA BEFORE, THE WATSON SYSTEM WAS BASED ON ONLY TEXT DATA. UMA ALLOWS A MULTI-MODAL ANALYTICS FOR THINGS LIKE IMAGES AND SPEECH. IT MEANS THERE'S A SHARE ACROSS THE SYSTEM. IF YOU YOU HAVE A COMPONENT, IF YOU HAVE A RESEARCHER OR KNOWLEDGE BASE TO ADD IT IS FAIRLY SIMPLE, YOU HAVE TO WRITE IT TO THE UIMA API AND PLUG IT INTO THE SYSTEM. THAT'S NOT ENOUGH BECAUSE WHAT IS A SYSTEM GOING TO DO WITH THAT. IT'S NOT ENOUGH TO ADD YOUR NEW PARSER OR YOUR NEW ONTOLOGY. YOU HAVE TO FIGURE WHEN TO USE IT, WHEN THE TRUST IT, WHEN NOT TO TRUST IT. THAT'S WHEN THE IMMIGRATION FRAMEWORK COMES IN. SO YOU HAVE A FRAMEWORK TO REGISTER THE ANALYTICS AND IT TRAINS SO USING TRAINING DATA, JEOPARDY CASES WHERE JEOPARDY QUESTIONS AND ANSWER, IT LEARNS WHICH COMPONENTS ARE MORE RELIABLE FOR WHICH QUESTIONS. THEN AT APPLY TIME RUNNING THE SYSTEM USE THE TRAIN MODELS TO COMBINE THE OUTPUT OF YOUR NLP TECHNIQUES. THE NET OF THIS IS, THAT MEANS THAT YOU DON'T HAVE TO UNDERSTAND THE ENTIRE SYSTEM TO IMPROVE IT. SO YOU CAN WRITE A SPECIFIC COMPONENT, PLUG IT IN, LET THE SYSTEM LEARN HOW TO WEIGH IT. AND IT'S SOMETHING THAT WE'RE WORKING ON ALL THE TIME HOW TO EXTEND THAT TO MORE ASPECTS OF THE SYSTEM, EVERYTHING FROM SCORING PASSAGES TO IDENTIFYING THE TYPES OF THINGS TO EVALUATING SOURCE QUALITY, DO I TRUST THE SOURCE OR NOT. ANOTHER IMPORTANT ASPECT OF THE PROJECT IS WE HAD AN END TO END EXPERIMENTAL EVALUATION. SO WE HAD TOOLS AND WE HAD STANDARD TEST SETS FOR EVALUATING WHETHER A COMPONENT WAS ADDING PERFORMANCE OR NOT. THIS WAS HUGELY IMPORTANT BECAUSE IT HELPED TELL PEOPLE WHAT TO WORK ON. THE BIGGEST PROBLEM WE HAVE IS NOT THINKING OF IDEA OR EVEN DOING THE WORK BUT TRIAGEING WHAT'S MOST IMPORTANT AT THIS POINT WHAT'S GOING TO HAVE THE MOST EFFECT ON END TO END ACCURACY. SO ONE OF THE MOST IMPORTANT THINGS WE LEARNED IN DEVELOPING THE SYSTEM WAS HAVING THE STANDARD SET OF QUESTIONS IN OUR CASE JEOPARDY, WE CAN -- IF YOU ASK ME I CAN TELL YOU HERE ARE THE FIVE MOST IMPORTANT THINGS TO WORK ON, I CAN LOOK AT THE SET AND SAY WHAT IS THE HEAD ROOM FOR POSSIBLE IMPROVEMENT. IF YOU WORK ON PARSING HOW MUCH IMPROVEMENT HOW MUCH IMPACT DID THAT HAVE. I SHARED TEST OR BENCHMARK ALLOWED EVERYBODY TO TUNE COMPONENTS TO BEST HELP THE SYSTEM AND TELL THEM WITH WHAT TO WORK ON. FINALLY IT PRODUCES CONFIDENCE, SO EACH ANSWER CAN GIVE YOU A CONFIDENCE WHAT'S THE PROBABILITY IS CORRECT, IT CAN ALSO TELL YOU WHY IS THE ANSWER THERE. SO WHAT ARE THE DIFFERENT SORTS OF EVIDENCE THAT IT USED. IT CAN ALSO POINT TO SPECIFIC PIECES OF EVIDENCE. SO ONE NICE THING BECAUSE WE WORK FROM TEXT WE CAN PULL UP THE IS A PAJ AND SAY HERE IS THE PASSAGE WE USE AND SEE IF IT CORRECTLY INTERPRETED IT. WE WANT THE FIND A SET OF QUESTIONS. DR. SIEGEL BROUGHT THIS UP, IT WOULD BE NICE TO EVALUATE DIFFERENT TOOLS CERTAIN WILL AGREED IN A CLINICAL CONTEXT BUT ALSO USEFUL FOR DEVELOPERS TO DEVELOP A STANDARD BENCHMARK SETS. HOW DO WE TUNE THE ALGORITHMS TO BEST IMPROVE PERFORMANCE. SO AS SOON AS WE LOOK AT THE MEDICAL DOMAIN WE SAID WE HAD TO FIND DATA. THE DATA THAT WE INITIALLY FOUND WAS THIS AMERICAN COLLEGE OF PHYSICIANS QUESTIONS, WHICH ARE THE TRIVIA GAME WITH MEDICAL RESIDENTS AND PROFESSORS. FOR THESE THINGS LIKE SKIN RASH ASSOCIATED WITH LAMB DISEASE OR TYPE ASSOCIATION WITH THIS (INDISCERNIBLE). SO THESE ARE FAIRLY SIMPLE QUESTIONS, THEY HAVE AN AGREED CORRECT ANSWER, THEY TIP THINK CLI HAVE A SINGLE ANSWER, NOT ALWAYS RELEVANT INFORMATION IS GIVEN AND ALL THE INFORMATION IS GIVEN SO IT SHOULD UNIQUELY SPECIFY AN ANSWER, IT'S A NICE TEST TO SEE HOW DOES THIS PERFORM AND WHAT WE NEED TO WORK ON FIRST. IN THE GRAPH OPT RIGHT I SHOW PERFORMANCE OF A SYSTEM. THATIx] LITTLE PURPLE LINE IS THE JEOPARDY SYSTEM. SO NOTHING WAS CHANGED FROM THE JEOPARDY SYSTEM, LIKE WE LITERALLY TOOK OFF THE SET AND GAVE MEDICAL QUESTIONS. NOW, WHAT THE GRAPH IS SHOWING YOU IS YOU CAN ANSWER BETWEEN ZERO AND 100% OF THE QUESTIONS, THE SYSTEM RANKED THE QUESTIONS BASED ON CONFIDENCE SO IF IT ANSWERED ALL 100% JEOPARDY SYSTEM IS 20% CORRECT. IF IT GOT TO PICK 10% CONFIDENCE WE GET LIKE 40% CORRECT. AS WE START TO IMPROVE THE SYSTEM LIKE ADD SOURCES AT THE RED LINE WE ADD AD FEW MEDICAL REFERENCE TEXTS WE CAN GET OUR HANDS ON. WE RETRAINED SO INSTEAD OF HAVING A SYSTEM TRAINING JEOPARDY QUESTIONS WE TRAINED ON (INAUDIBLE) QUESTIONS. WE BEGAN THE WORK OF FUNCTIONAL ADAPTATION. SO THE ISSUE IS EVENTUALLY YOU GET ABOUT AS MANY SOURCES AS YOU'RE GOING TO GET, EVENTUALLY MACHINE LEARNING SATURATES. MORE DATA TRAINING DOESN'T HELP YOU SO YOU HAVE TO IMPROVE WHAT CAPABILITIES THE SYSTEM HAS. YOU HAVE TO WORK ON THE MEDICAL REASONS. AND THAT'S THE BLUE LINE THERE, SO RIGHT ABOUT 50% WHICH SOME OF THE MEDICAL TELL ME AB WHERE THEY ARE. I DON'T HAVE FIRM NUMBERS ON THAT. EXAMPLES QUESTIONS (INDISCERNIBLE) NASAL PASSAGES CAUSE OF CONGENITAL HYPERBO LAR ANEMIA, SO THESE ARE SOMEWHAT USEFUL, I THINK WHAT MIGHT BE MORE INTERESTING IS TECHNOLOGY THAT GOES INTO SOLVING THEM. SO YOU CAN USE IT FOR QUESTION ANSWERING AND ALSO ASK WHAT ARE THE COMPONENTS WE PUT TOGETHER TO ANSWER THESE. ANOTHER THING TOO, FROM JEOPARDY WE INHERITED THIS INTERACTION MODEL, YOU GET A QUESTION, YOU GIVE AN ANSWER. WE ALSO HAD THIS FOCUS ON GETTING THE CORRECT ANSWER FIRST IN YOUR ANSWER LIST. SO MAKING SURE THE TOP ANSWER IS CORRECT. THAT MIGHT NOT BE AS IMPORTANT IN OTHER DOMAINS SO YOU MIGHT BE INTERESTED IN SOMETHING LIKE THIS QUESTION WHERE THE CORRECT ANSWER IS IN SECOND PLACE. CANCER, IT DID HAVE THE CORRECT ANSWER, SECOND PLACE. SO HOW IS IT ACTUALLY COME UP WITH THOSE ANSWERS AN JUSTIFY THEM? A QUESTION LIKE THIS, WHAT NEUROLOGICAL >>MS. O'CONNELL:TRA INDICATE IT IS USE OF APROPRION. WE HAVE ANALYSES LIKE YOU HAVE SEEN, TOKENNIZING, DETECTION, PARSING, DETECTION NEGATION DETECTION, RELATION DETECTION, SO FORTH. SO WE HAVE TO UNDERSTAND HOW THESE TERMS RELATE. ALSO THINGS LIKE (INAUDIBLE) DETECTION. SO WE'LL SEE AHA, IT HAS A COI SO WE KNOW WHAT THAT IS. NOW, WE HAVE THINGS LIKE RELATION DETECTION SO WE TRANSSEMANTIC RELATIONS AHEAD OF TIME ON THE MOST IMPORTANT MEDICAL RELATIONS FOR THE SET. SO WE IDENTIFY THAT, AHA, ASKING FOR A CONTRAINDICATED RELATION. BUT IF YOU HAVE A KNOWLEDGE BASE, YOU CAN LOOK A THAT UP. I SUPPOSE I HAVE UMLS RELATIONS, SOMETHING LIKE THAT. I CAN LOOK UP THE DRUG, I CAN TRY TO SEE IF I HAVE ASSOCIATED CONTRAINDICATION RELATIONS FOR IT AND COME UP WITH THE ANSWER. NOW, ONE THING WE LEARNED FROM THE JEOPARDY EXPERIENCE WAS THAT THIS IS PROPAGATE. IF YOU DON'T GET THE PARSE RIGHT AND YOU DON'T COME UP WITH A CORRECT RELATION AND DON'T SEGMENT YOUR ARGUMENT CORRECTLY YOU'RE GOING TO GET MISTAKES. SO THE SYSTEM DOES NOT DEPEND ON PERFECTLY CODING EVERYTHING. WE ALSO HAVE A NUMBER OF PASSENGER SCORES SO WE'LL USE TEXT. TO LOOK AT UNSTRUCTURED CONTENT. YOU CAN SEE DIFFERENT PASSAGES WHICH JUSTIFY THE ANSWER. SO THINGS LIKE BUPROPRION IS CONTRAINDICATED NAN REXIA. IT MATCHES -- THE PARSE MATCHES CLOSELY WITH SOME ALGORITHMS THAT WE USE. YOU ALSO HAVE TO KNOW THINGS LIKE IT HAS A LIST OF CONDITIONS HERE WHICH ONE OF THEM IS A NEUROLOGICAL CONDITION. THEN YOU HAVE TO GO TO STRUCTURED RESOURCE. ANOTHER QUESTION LIKE WELLBUTRIN, CONTRAINDICATED IN ADULTS WITH SEIZURE DISORDERS. YOU HAVE TO KNOW THAT'S A COMMERCIAL BUPROPRION. BACKGROUND KNOWLEDGE AGAIN. WE'RE ALWAYS GOING BACK AND FORTH BETWEEN USING UNSTRUCTURED TECHNIQUES AND THE STRUCTURED APPROACHES. WITH THE SYSTEM ALLOWS YOU TO DO IS PLUG THOSE IN AND SOME EXTENT TRAIN ITSELF HOW TO USE THOSE. THIS IS NICE BECAUSE YOU DON'T CODE PERFECTLY. ON THE STOCK ON THE QUESTION, AND EVERYTHING THE NLP ON THE SUPPORTING PACKAGE WILL TRY TO MATCH IF WE CAN. SO BEST CASE WE'LL EXTRACT A RICH FRAME OR RELATION. MAYBE NOT ABLE TO CORRECTLY EXTRACT THOSE WE'LL USE THINGS THAT ARE NOT AS SOPHISTICATED, THINGS THAT MIGHT USE -- ENTITIES THAT APPEAR IN BO. THINGS THAT MIGHT USE SOME PARSE BUT NOT WHOLE PARSE AND NOT REQUIRE A PERFECT PARSE AND THEN YOU HAVE ENSEMBLE OF SCORES TO PUT OUT A SCORE WHETHER IT THINKS THE ANSWER IS CORRECT OR NOT, JUSTIFIED BY THIS PASSAGE AND SYSTEM WILL LEARN HOW TO COMBINE THOSE. WE HAVE TO DO THIS BECAUSE WE COULDN'T STICK WITH A PURELY KNOWLEDGE BASED APPROACH, BECAUSE THE PROPAGATION OF ERRORS. SO WHAT THIS MEANS IS ANOTHER IMPORTANT ASPECT THAT WE HAVE WORKING ON IS THIS MATCHING FRAMEWORK. WHICH ALLOWS YOU TO PLUG IN DIFFERENT ALGORITHMS FOR DOING THESE MATCHINGS ON THE PARSE AND RELATIONS AN CONCEPTS A THAT OCCUR. IF YOU'RE A MATCH THING YOU CAN GET DIFFICULT AND HARD TO FIND TRAINING SETS. IN THE MEDICAL DOMAIN IT'S SUBTLE. AS I LOOK FOR SOMETHING LIKE EROSION ENAMEL EROSION IS IT THE SAME AS TOOTH ENAMEL EROSION. IS THAT THE SAME AS (INDISCERNIBLE)? DOES IT MATTER IF IT'S YELLOW OR NOT? INCREASES WITH (INDISCERNIBLE) VERSUS DECREASES WITH VALSALVA IS VERY IMPORTANT. SO DOING THIS MATCH IN BETWEEN THESE TWO SETS OF SIGNS OR SYMPTOMS IS VERY SUBTLE AND HARD TO FIND TRAINING FOR BECAUSE IT REQUIRES UNDERSTANDING OF THE DOMAIN, SO THIS IS FIRST THAT WE HAVE TAKEN ON KNOWLEDGE TRYING TO COME UP WITH A TRAINING SETTER FOR THIS, COME UP WITH WE HAVE RULE BASED TECHNIQUES, STATISTICAL TECHNIQUES. WE TRY TO CODE THESE SO WE RUN MEDIMAP AND IN EFFECT RUN OVER IT AND NOT TRY TO CODE IT, JUST TRY TO IDENTIFY HIS SYSTEM SO TRYING TO BE ROBUST AND NOT LET ERRORS PROPAGATE THROUGHOUT THE SYSTEM. YOU LOOK AT -- UP PER AIRWAYS OF LOCATION, YOU NEED TO KNOW THAT. WE MINE TEXT, WE ALSO USE UMLS. WE DEAL WITH MORE DIFFICULT PASSAGE JUSTIFICATIONS, SO SOMETHING LIKE ATTACKS OF NEAR DISEASE PRECIPITATED BY THE DIE TEAR INDISCRETION A LOW CELL DIET MAY HELP ALLEVIATING THE SYMPTOMS. SO QUESTIONS WHAT ALLEVIATES AN ATTACK OR PRECIPITATES IT SO YOU HAVE TO DO REASONING TO DECIDE WHETHER IT'S JUSTIFYING OR NOT. ANOTHER THING THAT OPENS UP IN THE REAL CONTEXT IS YOU CAN INTERACT WITH THE USER SO WATSON COULD -- DOES IS ABLE TO SCORE CONFIDENCE IN THESE INTERPRETATIONS SO COULD ASK THE USER I'M NOT SURE WHAT THE TWO PHRASES MEAN DO THEY MEAN THE SAME THING. CONTRA INDICATE MEAN THE SAME AS DO NOT USE? BASED ON ALL THOSE NLP TECHNIQUES WE CAN RUN THEM OVER THE EMR, WE CAN TRY TO DO DIAGNOSE KNOW WHICH IS WHICH USES THE MATCHING, THE EXTRACTION TOGETHER TO COME UP WITH THE CORRECT DIAGNOSIS, ALSO THINGS LIKE QUESTION ANSWERING. SO YOU CAN USE THE EMR AND SAY WHAT IS THE PATIENT ALLERGIC TO OR MEDICATIONS USED FOR NEUROPATHIC PAIN FOR THIS PATIENT. IS THERE ANY PAMELA HISTORY OF HEART DISEASE SO YOU CAN PULL RELEVANT FACTORS FOR PATIENT. ANOTHER THING WE TRY TO DO IS CREATE A FACTOR STRESSING TIME LINE CONSTRUCTION TECHNIQUE WE'LL SHOW YOU THE TIME LINE. HERE ARE SYMPTOMS OF PATIENT HAS HAD AND WHEN. NOW, WE'RE THINKING ABOUT USING WATT TON, THIS IS AN EARLIER VERSION OF SYSTEM THAT WILL COME BACK AND SAY HERE ARE OTHER FACTORS I SAW IN THE DESCRIPTIONS OF LAMB DISEASE, CIRCULAR RASH, FATIGUE, HEADACHE, WHAT WILL THE PATIENT HAVE. SO WE START THINKING AB WATSON IN A FASHION MEANING WE'RE CHANGING THE PARADIGM FROM BEING QUESTION IN AND ANSWER OUT FROM WATSON ITSELF GENERATE THE QUESTIONS AND GET THOSE ANSWERS THAT'S WHERE THE FOCUS OF THE EFFORT IS NOW BOTH ON IDENTIFYING WHERE THE IMPORTANT MISSING INFORMATION, GAPS, AND THEN ALSO WHAT'S A CONVENIENT WAY, HOW DO WE SCORE THOSE, HOW DO WE PRESENT THE USERS SO THEY CAN ANSWER IN A USEFUL WAY FOR WATSON. SO TO SUM UP, GOING BEYOND JEOPARDY WE'RE DEALING WITH MORE COMPLICATED ARTIFACTS AND MUCH MORE COMPLICATED REASONING REQUIRED TO ANSWER THE QUESTIONS. THESE SIMPLE FACTOID O QUESTIONS WE'RE DEALING WITH VERY LARGE AS YOU KNOW EMRs. WHERE WE LOOK AT INSTEAD OF HAVING A QUESTION AND ANSWER HOW DO WE INTERACT WITH WATSON, HOW DOES WATSON PROPOSE CANDIDATES, HOW TO IDENTIFY GAPS, HOW DOES IT ASK YOU QUESTIONS, HOW DO YOU ENCODE FOR WATSON. ONE THING I HAVEN'T TALKED AS MUCH ABOUT IS EXPLANATION. WHEN WATSON COMES UP WITH AN ANSWER IT CAN SCORE WELL HERE ARE PIECES OF EVIDENCE THAT GAVE ME EVIDENCE FOR THE ASPECTS OF THE ANSWER. I CAN TELL YOU WHY I THINK THE CONDITION IS HARSH, WHY IT INCREASES WITH INTENSITY, I CAN SHOW YOU THE BEST PASSAGE FOR THAT. AND ASSESS HOUSE WATSON LEARNS. WE TRAINED WATSON IN THE LAB, CREATED A VERSION OF THE SYSTEM, AND DEPLOYED ANYTIME THE JEOPARDY CASE. WATSON CAN LOOK IN THE RESPONSES IT'S GETTING, USE THAT TO HELP TUNE ALGORITHMS AND INCREASE ACCURACY OVER TIME. SO I THINK TO SUM UP WE'RE WORKING ON THE FUNCTIONAL STAGE AT THIS POINT AND HOPEFULLY WE'LL GET TO SOMETHING THAT IS EVENTUALLY USABLE AND EVEN ENJOYABLE. [APPLAUSE] >> IF PANELIST ALSO COME UP. YOUR DESCRIPTION OF WATSON MAKES YOU THINK OF A LONG TIME PREDECESSOR WITH (INDISCERNIBLE) EXPLAINING EFFORTS TO HAVE MACHINES DO WHAT PEOPLE DO. HIS SIMPLE EXAMINATION WAS AIRPLANES DON'T FLY AT THEIR WINGS. ALWAYS FOCUSES IT FOR ME. SO WE'LL TAKE QUESTIONS AND IF YOU HAVE ONE, IDENTIFY YOURSELF. >> HI, THERE. THANK YOU FOR A PHENOMENAL PANEL. FELL LIP RIZ NECK YOUTH OF MARYLAND. THIS IS -- PHILLIP REZNIK WITH UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND. THESE TWO QUESTIONS, BUT I THINK I CAN LINK THROUGH THE NOTION OF INCENTIVES. SO FROM NLP TO BE VALUABLE, IN THIS CONTEXT NARRATIVE TEXT IS IMPORTANT. BECAUSE YOU HAVE TO HAVE NARRATIVE TEXT TO OPERATE ON. AND THE FUTURE OF NLP IS PUSHING LIKE MANY OTHER THINGS IS MOVING TOWARD BIG DATA BUT THERE ARE A COUPLE OF THINGS GOING ON ON THE INPUT SIDE THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR THROWING NARRATIVE TEXT BABY OUT WITH THE BATH WATER. IN THE PUSH TO TRY TO ACCOMPLISH STRUCTURED DATA FOR MEANINGFUL USE. ONE THING THAT'S VISIBLE HERE IN MY EXPERIENCE AS WELL, THE ACCESSIBILITY OF DATA TO DO ESPECIALLY CLINICAL NLP SIDE, YOU'RE SEEING THIS IN THE INDUSTRY SIDE. IN ACADEMIA AND OTHER FORMS OF RESEARCH IT'S MUCH E LIMITED, EXCEPT IN THE CONTEXT WHERE SOMEBODY IS AFFILIATED WITH ACADEMIC MEDICAL CENTER. SO THE QUESTION IS, ONE, HOW DO YOU INCENTIVIZE EHR VENDORS TO RECOGNIZE AND PRESERVE IMPORTANCE OF NARRATIVE TEXT? AND HOW DO YOU INCENTIVIZE THE FOLKS DOING THIS WORK AND INDUSTRY TO BROADEN PERSPECTIVES AN FIND MORE OF THE NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING IN THE IMMUNITY THAN JUST PEOPLE IN BIOINFORMATICS DPS OR ASSOCIATED WITH ACADEMIC MEDICAL CENTERS? >> I'LL TRY THE ONC PARK. I DON'T KNOW WE WANT TO INCENTIVIZE NLP PER SE. WE WANT TO ALLOW FOR NLP PER SE WHICH MEANS WE NEED TO BE CAREFUL NOT TO DEFINE HOW THE DATA GETS ENTERED SO WE DON'T NEED TO SAY IT MUST BE STRUCTURED WHEN IT COMES IN. SO MUCH AS IT NEEDS TO BE STRUCTURED AT SOME POINT. SO IT COULD BE GOBBLEDEGOOK WHEN IT COMES IN IF THAT'S HOW PROVIDERS WANT TO PUT IT IN. SO LONG AS THE SYSTEM PERHAPS WITHIN NLP COULD CAUSE IT UNGOBBLEDEGOOK. THAT'S THE TECHNICAL TERM. SO I'LL LOOK TO THE NLP EXPERTS TO ANSWER THE SECOND HALF. >> FROM THE PERSPECTIVE OF THE PAYERS ALL I WOULD SAY IS WE RECOGNIZE THE INCREMENTAL VALUE OF NLP. WHAT WE'RE STRUGGLING WITH IS HOW DO YOU -- WHICH WE HAVE TALKED ABOUT THE WHOLE DAY, HOW DO YOU ACTUALLY GET IT INTO A TERM -- INTO A FORM THAT WE CAN USE. WE HAVE THE INFRASTRUCTURE WE BELIEVE TO BE ABLE TO USE IT. WHERE WE'RE NOT QUITE THERE YET AND HOPEFULLY WITH TECHNOLOGIES LIKE WATSON BUT PERHAPS OTHERS AS WELL, THIS WILL ALLOW US TO DO THIS MORE EFFECTIVELY. THE WILL IS ALREADY THERE AND IT'S THERE -- PEOPLE ARE VOTING WITH THEIR FEET IN WITH THEIR WALLETS ULTIMATELY THE PEOPLE PAYING FOR THESE SERVICES WANT THE SERVICES TO BE GOOD, THEY REALIZE THAT FOR THE SERVICE TO BE GOOD, THE OUTPUT TO BE ACCURATE, HAVING MORE DATA IS BETTER. SO THEY'RE ALREADY THERE INTELLECTUALLY. IT'S A MATTER OF THE MISSING LINK IS GETTING FROM THE UNSTRUCTURED DATA SUCH AS IT IS TODAY TO A WAY WE CAN USE IT. E GLIF A FOLLOW-UP QUESTION ON THE SAME TOPIC. THE THE -- THIS F YOU LOOK AT THE CERTIFICATION CRITERIA FOR EHR, IT DOESN'T REALLY SAY THAT YOU CAN USE NLP. AND IF YOU HAVE SOME INDICATION THAT YOU CAN USE NLP AND IT IS BROGHT TO LIGHT AS PART OF THIS CERTIFICATION CRITERIA, NOT ALL THESE EHR EXCLUDED WILL NOT BE GOING AROUND SAYING PHYSICIAN SHOULD BE ENTERING INTO ALL THESE WONDERFUL CHECK BOXES. I KNOW YOU DON'T HAVE TO EXCLUSIVELY SAY ANYTHING BUT AT LEAST IF THE SPECIFICATION HAS BIAS TOWARDS ALLOWING FREE TEXT AND NARRATIVE TEXT, IT WILL MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE. IF YOU GO AND LOOK AT THE MISSED CRITERIA FOR USABILITY, IT DOESN'T HAVE THE WONDERFUL PICTURES YOU PUS PUT UP IN THE -- AND IT REALLY READS LIKE THEY WANT THESE THINGS TO BE ENTERED ONE BY ONE AND WORRYING ABOUT THE SAFETY OF IT AND THINGS LIKE THAT. SO NOTHING IN THE SPECIFICATION FOR CERTIFICATION OF EHR REALLY ALLOWS YOU TO -- IF YOU ARE AN EHR VENDOR TO THINK OF THINGS TO BE NARRATIVE TEXT. THAT IS A FAILING I THINK ON THE PART OF THE SPECIFICATION PART OF IT. AT LEAST THAT'S MY HUMBLE OPINION. >> NOTED. STEVE WISEMAN DATA FORMATION. MY QUESTION IS TO DR. GONDEK WHERE YOU USE NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING IN THE LEARNING SYSTEM DESCRIBED THIS MORN SOMETHING >> I THINK I SAID LALE BIT DURING THE -- A LITTLE BIT DURING THE TALK. WE DON'T EXPECT NLP OR THE WATSON SYSTEM TO HAVE THE DEEP UNDERSTANDING A PRACTITIONER WOULD HAVE UNDERSTANDING CONTEXT TO REPRESENT DIFFERENT FACTORS. WHAT WE THINK IT'S GOOD AT IS RUNNING UP A LOT OF DATA, WE THINK IT'S RICHER, HAS RICHER MATCHING AND RICHER UNDERSTANDING, SOMETHING LIKE KEY WORD->U SEARCH. WHERE IT GETS INTERESTING IS IF YOU'RE SERVING FOR SOMETHING YOU DON'T KNOW HOW IT'S REPRESENTED, YOU DON'T WANT TO MISS IT SO IT'S AN IMPORTANT QUESTION TO YOU. SO WE TALK ABOUT HIGH VALUE QUESTIONS. >> CAN I FOLLOW-UP WITH A QUESTION, CAN YOU USE THE IBM SYSTEM TO CODE MEDICAL RECORDS USING UMLS, GIVEK THE CODES AND IMBED THEM INTO MY MEDICAL RECORD. THE SYSTEM DOES CODING. IT'S NOT OUR MAIN FOCUS BECAUSE WE THINK OUR EXPERIENCE IT'S DIFFICULT AND YOU NEVER MATCH IT EXACTLY WHEN YOU NEED WHEN YOU'RE USING IT SO EXAMPLES TODAY WERE THAT YOU HAVE TO TRIAGE, YOU HAVE TO PICK WHAT ARE THE 1400 CODES YOU'RE WILLING TO IMPLEMENT. SO PART OF THE WATSON VIEW, I THINK IS A LONGER TERM PICTURE, CAN WE GET TO THE POINT WHERE THE SYSTEM CAN MAKE THESE COERCED DO THESE TWO THINGS MEAN THE SAME THING, MAYBE NOT A BINARY DECISION BUT A RICHER REPRESENTATION TRY TO UNDERSTAND SOME OF THE SAME SUBTLETIES HUMANS DOING WHEN READING THE TEXT. I HAVE ANOTHER QUESTION ABOUT WATSON. VERY NICE PRESENTATION BY THE WAY. IN GENERAL SEEMS HUMANS HAVE A HARD TIME TO DEAL WITH PROBABILITIES. WONDERING HOW YOU PRESENT ANSWERS TO PHYSICIANS ANSWERING QUESTIONS, DO YOU PICK THE BEST T HIGHEST PROBABILITY OR GIVE THEM ALL THE INFORMATION AND THEN FIGURE HOW THEY DEAL WITH THIS INFORMATION WITH THESE PROBABILITIES. >> SOMETHING WE HAVEN'T -- WE DON'T HAVE A USER INTERFACE OR CDS SYSTEM AT ALL. OUR EXPERTISE IS ON THE NLP SIDE AND WE'RE TRYING TO BRIDGE TO THAT. I THINK YOU'RE RIGHT YOU LOOK HOW WATSON POPULATES ITS KNOWLEDGE BASES WHEN IT DOES AND WE USE STATISTICAL TECHNIQUES BASED ON THOUSANDS OF PASSAGES. YOU CAN'T SHOW THE DOCTOR THOUSANDS OF PASSAGES, PROBABLY NOT GOING TO PUT UP WITH THAT. ON THE OTHER HAND, IT'S ALSO AN ASSET IN THAT WHEREAS TYPICALLY KNOWLEDGE BASE IS GOING TO HAVE A BINARY RULE, AND WE HAVE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THESE, WE KNOW WHAT'S COMMON, WE KNOW WHEN IT WAS SET, WE KNOW WHAT SOURCES WAS SET. ONE THING WE'RE LOOKING AT DOING, IF I GIVE YOU A FACT, I SAY THAT THIS IS A TREATMENT FOR THIS, CAN WATSON FIND THE BEST PASSAGE JUSTIFYING THAT FACT. WHAT THAT MEANS IS EVEN IF WATSON IS TO A COMPLEX STATISTICAL TECHNIQUE IT CAN RETRIEVE A PASSAGE WHICH SHOULD IDEALLY BE CONVINCING TO THE USER. THAT REQUIRES SETTING UP RELIABLE SOURCE IS IT TIMELY AND SO FORTH. IT'S SOMETHING WE HAVEN'T IN JUST ANSWERING QUESTIONS YOU DON'T DEAL WITH THAT, YOU JUST CARE IF THE ANSWER IS CORRECT OR NOT. BUT WE'RE EXPANDING THE FRAMEWORK TO EVALUATE IS THIS EVIDENCE RELIABLE OR NOT, IS THIS THE BEST PASSAGE WE COULD HAVE SHOWN. >> LOVE THE PRESENTATIONS. THE WHOLE PANEL. MY QUESTION THOUGH IS FOR MARC AND DAVID. I WONDER AT THE EDGES OF REASONING BETWEEN THE NLP METHODS, STATISTICAL METHODS, HOW WILL WE GET AT THE DEEPER REASONING METHODS LIKE ANATOMIC REASONING OR PATHOPHYSIOLOGIC REASONING OR OTHER FORMS OF SYSTEMATIC REASONING? EITHER SEMANTIC MODELING UNDER THE RECORD OR KNOWLEDGE MODELING UNDERNEATH WATSON? >> I THINK THE MODEL THAT SEEMED TO BE MERGING ACROSS THE BOARD ARE THESE LAYERED KIND OF APPROACHES OR ENSEMBLE APPROACHES WHERE THERE'S NO ONE OF THEM BUT YOU HAVE TO COMBINE THOSE AND SOMETIMES IT RATE THROUGH THEM SO YOU GET O TO SOME KIND OF STOPPING ROLE. SO I THINK AS THE -- WHEN WE WILL GET TO THOSE IS WHEN WE HAVE GOTTEN BASICS THAT ARE BAKED SO THEN THOSE BECOME MORE USEFUL AS A SUPPLEMENT TO THOSE. >> I APPRECIATE MARC (INAUDIBLE) TALK BECAUSE OF IN DEPTH MODELS BILLING TO DEAL WITH INTERACTIONS BETWEEN THE MODELS. I SEE THAT WORK APPROACHING IT FROM A RULE BASED BACKGROUND MAKING THOSE BASES RICHER, MORE LOOKING AT JOINTS BETWEEN THEM, HOW THEY ENTERACT, WHEREAS I SEE OUR WORK IS COMING WHERE WE DONE HAVE THE RICH MODELS. THIS IS A CONSCIOUS CHOICE WE MADE SO WE TOOK THE DOCTORS -- WE COULD HAVE SAID WE'RE NOT GOING TO DO DIAGNOSIS OF A SPECIFIC CONDITION AND THEN WE TAKE A VERY DIFFERENT APPROACH. WE WOULD HAVE BUILT MODELS USE MACHINE LEARNING, SO FORTH. THE FACT THAT WE FOR THE TEAM WE DECIDED WE'LL TAKE THE GENERAL TASK MEANS THAT THE TYPE OF TECHNIQUES WE'RE DEVELOPING ARE DIFFERENT WHICH ARE MUCH MORE BASED ON TRYING TO INTERPRET THOSE MODELS FROM THE LANGUAGE ON THE PASSAGE SIDE. THERE'S NO WAY IT CAN BE HUMAN AT THIS POINT. SO I THINK I WOULDN'T LOOK TO WATSON TO BE DOING THAT DEEP HAVING LARGE DECISION TREES SORTS OF REASONING, RATHER LOOK AT MORE FOR COVERAGE AND SEE IF SHALLOW REASONING IS SMARTER OVER TIME. >> IT'S INTERESTING TO USE THE PROBLEM LISTIC REASONING AS WELL. IS THERE A UTILITY FUNCTIONED CONSIDERED IN TERMS OF GUIDING SEARCH OR GUIDING QUESTION AND ANSWERING? SEEMS LIKE YOU MIGHT BE ABLE TO PRIORITIZE CERTAIN DIRECTIONS AND PATHS WITH EITHER A SINGLE ATTRIBUTE OR MULTI-ATTRIBUTE UTILITY MODEL. >> DEFINITELY. ONE THING WE DO WITH A QUESTION IS BREAK IT UP INTO FACTORS BASED ON SIN TACTIC PARTS AND IDENTIFIES. AND WE LEARN FROM DATA WHICH ARE THE IMPORTANT FACTORS TO ANSWER. SO MAYBE IF YOU HAVE -- YOU HAVE SOME SYMPTOM THAT'S NOT VERY SPECIFIC YOU WOULDN'T BE USING THAT. OR NOT SENSITIVE YOU WOULDN'T BE USING THAT. NOW, WE HAVE THOSE TECHNIQUES IDENTIFY WHAT ARE THE IMPORTANT PARTS OF A PASSAGE WHERE THE KEY TERMS HOW IMPORTANT ARE THEY FOR ANSWERING QUESTIONS. THE PROBABLYISTIC -- ONE THING THAT HAPPENS IN A PROBABLISTIC COMPUTATION IS THAT IT TAKES DIFFERENT INTERPRETATIONS OF THE QUESTION. SO WE CAN SAY WE INTERPRET THIS AS A (INAUDIBLE) RELATION OR INTERPRET AS A CONTRA INDICATES RELATION AND SEE WHAT HAPPENS SO IT ALLOWS YOU TO EXPLORE DIFFERENT INTERPRETATIONS AND THEN IN THE JEOPARDY CASE WE DIDN'T GET A CHANCE TO REVISE THE ANSWER, IT WAS BASICALLY QUESTION IN ANSWER OUT. BECAUSE OF THE PROBABILITIES YOU CAN SAY HERE WHAT I THINK ARE THE IMPORTANT FACTORS, HERE ARE WHAT I THINK ARE THE IMPORTANT RELATIONS AND A USER CAN SAY NO, I DISAGREE WITH THAT, THAT'S NOT AS IMPORTANT AS YOU'RE WEIGHING IT. >> ONE NEED THING FROM MY PERSPECTIVE ABOUT WATSON IS IT BUILT ON THE SHOULDERS OF A BUNCH OF GIANTS. ONE OF THOSE GIANTS IS NLP AND 40 OR 50 YEARS OF RESEARCH ON THAT. ANOTHER IS ABOUT FIVE OR SIX INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY ADVANCED RESEARCH PROJECTS THAT FUNNELED MILLIONS OF DOLLARS TO DEVELOP A TECHNOLOGY BEHIND EXTRACTION QUESTION ANSWERING. COUPLED WITH THE VALUATIONS THAT SHOWED HOW YOU CAN TELL IF THOSE THINGS WORKING AND MEASURE THE PROGRESS IN THEM. IT SEEMS TO ME, I'M NOT A DOOKTOR OR NOT THAT KIND OF DOCTOR, THAT THE COMMUNITY IN THIS ROOM DOESN'T SEE HOW CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT MAKES THE SAME LEAPS, GETS THE SAME WAY FORWARD, EXCEPT FROM THE COMPANIES SUCH AS SIEMENS OR AETNA, WHO HAVE BUDGETS AND RESEARCH TEAMS AN ACCESS TO HUGE AMOUNTS OF DATA. I WONDER WHAT IS THE RESEARCH PROGRAM THAT GETS CDS TO WHERE WATSON IS. >> I'LL TAKE A STAB AT THAT. WE HEARD ABOUT GRAND CHALLENGES FROM OTHER SPEAKERS. IT SEEMS TO ME THERE'S A COUPLE OF MAJOR PIECES AN BOB HAD HIS TEN AREAS OR WHATEVER, ONE AREA OF RESEARCH IS CLEARLY ON THE HUMAN COMPUTER INTERACTION ASPECT WHICH IS A HUGE CHALLENGE, HOW TO DELIVER THIS IN A WAY THAT IS NOT INTERRUPTIVE, WHETHER GPS OR HOWEVER UP TO CONCEPTUALIZE IT, THAT IS AN AREA THAT CLEARLY IS UNSOLVED PROBLEM. THE SECOND UNSOLVED PROBLEM IS RELATED TO A LOT OF WHAT WE HAVE BEEN TALKING ABOUT THIS AFTERNOON, HOW DO YOU REPRESENT THE KNOWLEDGE OR ROLES OR WHATEVER IT ENDS UP BEING IN A WAY THAT ARE EDITABLE AND CREATABLE. WHICH IS A REAL CHALLENGE. EVEN IF WE COME UP WITH THIS REALLY COOL WAY TO DO IT IT WILL TAKE TEN YEARS TO TRAIN UP A CADRE OF PEOPLE WHO UNDERSTAND IT CONCEPTUALLY HAVE THE CLINICAL KNOWLEDGE AN TECH NO LOGIC TRANSLATION TECH NO LOGIC TRANSLATION. TECH TECH LODGE I DON'T KNOW THAT WE HAVE THE HUMAN AND PROCESS ENGINEERING SOLVED ABOUT HOW TO DO IT. THE THIRD THING I THINK TECHNO LOGIC. IT IS THE THIR LINE OF RESEARCH IS HOW TO INTEGRATE THINGS INTO WORK FLOW AND PROCESS AN HIGH RELIABILITY WAY. WE LEARNED A LOT ABOUT SOME OF THE AREAS, HOW DO YOU MAKE THAT SING IN A COLLABORATIVE MULTI-USER, BOB ALLUDED TO THIS A BIT, ENVIRONMENT. YOU DID ALSO AS YOU TALK ABOUT HOW YOU MAKE THAT FIT INTO AN ENVIRONMENT WHERE IT'S NOT JUST ONE PERSON YOU'RE SUPPORTING BUT A TEAM AND COLLABORATIVE THAT YOU'RE SUPPORTING. SEEMS TO ME THOSE WERE THREE BIG AREAS. AND ANY ONE OF THOSE CAN HAPPEN INDEPENDENTLY THEY DON'T MOVE TOGETHER TO GET PROGRESS. THOSE ARE THINGS THAT I WOULD -- IF I WERE ADVISING SOMEBODY WHAT RESEARCH PROGRAM TO ADVANCE CVS, THOSE WOULD BE THE THREE BIG ONES. >> I WOULD ADD I THINK YOU WERE REALLY GETTING TO THE FUNDING ISSUE, I THINK. THAT WAS AT LEAST PART OF THE QUESTION, RIGHT? >> MY BIG HEDGE IS DATA BUT SOMETHING WE CAN TALK ABOUT. AT LEAST THROUGH THE FUNDING, THE PUBLIC PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP ROOT IS REALLY WHERE I BELIEVE THIS IS GOING TO HAVE TO GO AND IS ALREADY MOVING. AS AN EXAMPLE, AETNA IS INVOLVED IN THE MANY SENTINEL PROJECT ALONG WITH A NUMBER OF ACADEMIC INSTITUTIONS AND IT'S THAT KIND OF PUBLIC, PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP WHERE THERE'S FUNDING FROM GOVERNMENT, FUNDING FROM INDUSTRY, THIS IS GOING TO SOUND LIKE MOM AND APPLE PIE BUT TOWARDS THE GREATER GOOD THEN I THINK THAT'S GOING TO BE THE END OF IT. >> THIS IS PROBABLY BE OUR LAST QUESTION. >> I GUESS THE OTHER THING IS TO CONSIDER THE PERSPECTIVE HOW BEST TO LEVERAGE BECAUSE IT CAN BE AN AMAZING TOOL. QUESTION IS WHAT'S THE BEST APPLICATION. IF WE KNOW 93% ACCURACY THAT IT RELATES TO BILLING WHICH IS BETTER THAN MOST CODERS AT TIMES, IS THAT REALLY GOOD FOR CODING? AND ALSO BILLING BUT THEN ALSO FOR REPORTING FOR EXAMPLE, QUALITY REPORTS. YOU START TALKING 93% ACCURACY AND DOING CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT WITH THEm/v ALERTED INTERMEDIARY, NOW MAKING MEDICAL DECISIONS YOU MAY NOW SWAY BECAUSE IN GENERAL WE DON'T TOLERATE 93% IF THERE'S SOME -- IF IT'S A DEVICE. SO AGAIN, I THINK HOW DO WE APPLY IT, HOW DO WE LEVERAGE IT, HOW DO WE UNDERSTAND THE BENEFITS AND RISKS, I THINK IS AN IMPORTANT PART OF IT TOO. >> TO BE FAIR I THINK FIRST OF ALL WE WOULD NEVER SAY THAT WE DO CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT. WE ARE PROVIDING INFORMATION TO A PROVIDER. HE OR SHE MAKES A DECISION BASED ON THEIR KNOWLEDGE AND JUDGMENT WHETHER OR NOT THEY WANT TO PROCEED. WE SAY LOOK, WE HAVE ACCESS TO INFORMATION WHETHER ON THE DATA SIDE, KNOWLEDGE SIDE OR BOTH THAT YOU MAY NOT HAVE. HERE FOR YOU TO FIGURE OUT WHETHER YOU WANT TO GO FORWARD OR NOT. AS ONE DOCTOR CALLED US UP AND SAID LOOK, I'LL LISTEN TO YOU IF YOU CAN TELL ME THE COLOR OF THE O (INAUDIBLE) MUTATION BEFORE ME. WE CAN'T DO THAT. >> ALTHOUGH I WOULD ARGUE THAT THERE ARE EHR SYSTEMS, NOT ANYONE AT THE TABLE HERE, THAT ACTUALLY DO A LITTLE BIT MORE THAN THAT. SO YOU MAY IN A HOSPITAL SETTING HAVE IF YOU'RE FAMILIAR WITH THE WAY SYSTEMS WORK IN HOSPITALS THERE'S DEPENDENT AND INDEPENDENT PROTOCOLS. INDEPENDENT PROTOCOL IS SOMETHING THAT A NURSE OR THIS SYSTEM CAN DO. SO IF A PATIENT MEETS CERTAIN CRITERIA WITHOUT AN ORDER FROM A CLINICIAN, THE NURSE CAN ACTUALLY DO SOMETHING. I HAVE SEEN SYSTEMS THAT ACTUALLY DO THAT WORK. SO A PATIENT WILL HAVE A CERTAIN DIAGNOSIS, BY SAY DIABETES, THE DIABETIC ORDER OR MEAL PLAN GETS AUTOMATICALLY ORDERED WITH NO HUMAN INTERVENTION SO WHERE DO THEY DRAW THE LINE BETWEEN ORDER FOR DIABETIC MEAL AND THE KEY P ARC YOU ADMINISTERTOR THE PATIENTS MI. CERTAINLY THERE IS A LINE SOMEWHERE. SO SOMETIMES DECISION SUPPORT DISCUSSION EARLIER ABOUT SOMEONE REGULATING THIS IN SOME WAY. I WON'T NAME THE THREE LETTER AGENCY BUT THIS IS IMPORTANT AND DEEP INTEREST TO US AND IN FACT THE PUBLIC. SO I'LL ALSO PITCH SOMETHING THAT I NEGLECTED EARLIER WHEN I SAY NOTED. I DID NOT OFFICIALLY NOTE THAT. WE WERE IN THE RULE MAKING PROCESS WHICH MEANS OUR PROPOSED RULES ARE PUBLISHED AND FINAL RULES HAVE NOT. THE COMMENT PERIOD IS OPEN SO IF ANYONE HAS OPINIONS HOW,NC OR CMS SHOULD ENHANCE THE LIKELIHOOD NLP IS INCORP RAYED -- INCORPORATED, GO TO REGULATIONS.GOV BY MAY 7 AND LET US KNOW. >> NOTED. WE'RE RUNNING OVER ON TIME SO IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS CATCH THE PANELIST ON THE BREAK. SO THANK YOU VERY MUCH FOR YOUR TIME. [APPLAUSE] SO THIS WILL BE THE LAST PANEL FOR THIS WORKSHOP. AND IN THIS PANEL WILL BE HAVING ONE SPEAKER AS KEYNOTE, AND THEN WE'LL HAVE A SESSION WHERE ALL THE SPEAKERS OF THE DAY ARE GOING TO SIT TOGETHER AND PEOPLE CAN ASK QUESTIONS. SO THIS PANEL SABT FUTURE CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING AND CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT. AND SPEAKER THE KEYNOTE SPEAKER IS DR. JOHN WHITE, HEAD OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SECTION. AS YOU CAN SEE HERE FOR AHRQ. HE DID TRAINING IN MEDICINE AT THE UNIVERSITY OF VIRGINIA AND ALSO LANCASTER GENERAL, IN PENNSYLVANIA. HE HAS WON THE NATIONAL AAFV AWARD FOR EXCELLENCE IN GRADUATE EDUCATION AND ALSO ATTRACTING A LOT ORNC AN CMS. AND OHIO [APPLAUSE] >> TIEW SO MUCH. THANK YOU FOR STICKING THROUGH TO THE END OF THE DAY. IT'S BEEN QUITE A DAY. THERE'S A LOT OF GREAT DISCUSSION. I PROMISE YOU,LY NOT OVERLY BURDEN YOU WITH THOUGHTS. THIS IS THE END OF THE DAY AND MEANT TO PULL TOGETHER AND TRY TO LOOK A LITTLE BIT FURTHER AHEAD. I DO WANT TO SAY THAT THIS IS A GREAT HONOR TO BE THE -- THIS IS THE FIRST OPPORTUNITY TO SPEAK AT LISTER HILL SO THANK YOU FOR BEING WILLING TO LISTEN. SO SO PREPARING FOR THIS TALK IS A LOT OF FUN. BECAUSE IT GOT ME THINKING ABOUT MY LANGUAGE AND WAYS TO INTERPRET IT. GOING TO BE TO USE LANGUAGE. SO USE OTHER PEOPLE'S LANGUAGE BECAUSE MY LANGUAGE IS TERRIBLE. SO YOU WILL SEE SPRINKLED THROUGH HERE QUOTES ABOUT LANGUAGE THAT I HOPE WILL GUIDE US ON OUR TALK. SO O I WAS MOST EXCITED ABOUT THIS QUOTE. THIS IS GAYLEN 2,000 YEARS AGO TALKING LANGUAGE. I THOUGHT MY WORD. THE CHIEF MERIT OF LANGUAGE IS CLEARNESS AND WE KNOW THAT NOTHING DETRACTS SO MUCH FROM THIS AS DO UNFAMILIAR TERMS. THERE'S NOTHING NEW UP IN THE SUN IF GAIL TALKED ABOUT THIS 2000 YEARS AGO. IN TERMS OF THINKING ABOUT CHALLENGES, RESEARCH OPPORTUNITIES AND ALL THIS, I TRIED TO FRAME IN MY HEAD, I COME FROM AHRQ. TO TALK A LITTLE BIT ABOUT WHERE WE'RE TRYING TO GET TO, I WILL NOT OVERLY BURDEN YOU WITH THIS, NATIONAL QUALITY STRATEGY AND HEALTHCARE QUALITY REPORTS. WE TALKED ABOUT QUALITY FOR A LONG PERIOD OF TIME, THE TOPIC OF QUALITY IS (INAUDIBLE) SIGNIFICANTLY. PRIOR TO ABOUT TWO YEARS AGO WE DIDN'T HAVE ONE SOLID THING WE COULD SAY THIS IS WHAT WE'RE TRYING TO DO, THIS IS WHERE WE'RE GETTING AT, MOVES TO A PATIENT FOCUSED APPROACH, IT CAN B THE WHOLE THING YOU CAN FIND A LINK AT THE BOTTOM. THERE ARE THREE AIMS SIX PRIORITY AND TEN LEVERS TO GET THERE. THE THREE AIMS YOU HER OF, BETTER CARE, OVERALL QUALITY, HEALTHY PEOPLE HEALTHY COMMUNITIES AN THIRD IS AFFORDABLE CARE. WE CAN GET DEEP INTO THOSE IF YOU WANT TO. BUT THAT WILL MAKE EVERYBODY LIKE MOM AND APPLE EYE AS ONE PREVIOUS SPEAKER TALKED ABOUT. UNDERLYING THOSE THEME HOUSE DO YOU PRIORITIZE WITHIN THAT WHAT TO DO AND THEY SAID HERE ARE SIX PRIORITIES. NOT WORD FOR WORD BUT POINT THESE OUT BECAUSE THEY COME UP LATER IN QUALITY AND DISPARITIES REPORT REDUCING HARM, PATIENT ENGAGEMENT, EFFECTIVE COMMUNICATION, COORDINATION TREATMENT AND PRACTICES, WIDE USE OF BEST PRACTICES AND QUALITY CARE MORE AFFORDABLE. MAKES SENSE. HOW DO YOU PRIORITIZE. SO I WON'T GET TO THE TEN LEVER BUSILY MENTION THAT HEALTH IT IN PARTICULAR IS SPECIFICALLY MENTIONED AS ONE OF THE DEVELOPERS WE'RE SUPPOSED TO USE TO MOVE QUALITY AHEAD. WHY DO WE DO THIS? TO IMPROVE QUALITY. WHICH IS BETTER CARE, HELPING PEOPLE HEALTHY COMMUNITY, SO ON. SO THIS IS SOMETHING AHRQ DOES EVERY YEAR, MOST RECENT ADDITION MOST RECENT ADDITIONS WERE RELEASED FRIDAY. NATIONAL HEALTHCARE QUALITY REPORT AND DISPAIR RAJ REPORT SENT TO CONGRESS AS PART OF THE AUTHORIZED LEGISLATION. OVERALL QUALITY IMPROVE VRS SLOWLY, A LITTLE AT A TIME. NOTABLY THIS YEAR WE NOTED A DISPARITIES REPORT THAT ACCESS TO HEALTHCARE IS NOT IMPROVING FOR MOST GROUPS AND IN SOME PLACES MOVING BACKWARDS THAT'S TAKING AWAY FOR YOU. ON AVERAGE MOST PEOPLE GET MOST OF THE CARE MOST OF THE TIME. CARDIAC CARE IS A BRIGHT SPOT PLACE WHERE WE HAVE BEEN MAKING SOME SIGNIFICANT GAINS. IF YOU CARE TO LOOK AT THE NATIONAL HEALTHCARE QUALITY REPORT, THERE'S ADOPTION OF EHR WHICH IS SOMETHING WE'RE DOING AS PART OF OUR ORGANIZATION HAS GOOD INFORMATION TOOLS THAT HAS HIGH QUALITY CARE. AND AGAIN, I WANT TO POINT OUT SIX PRIORITIES. THE QUALITY REPORT IS GOING TO BE ALIGNED WITH THOSE. SO IT'S ALL GOOD AND WELL TO TALK ABOUT THE STRATEGY AGAIN YOU CAN'T PROVE WHICH MEASURES SO WE'LL MEASURE RELEVANT TO THAT. SO TOLD YOU I WASN'T GOING TO OVERLY BURDEN YOU BUT THAT'S WHAT YOU'RE -- WE TALK ABOUT QUALITY AND DIFFERENT COMPONENTS AND STUFF LIKE THAT, SOMETIMES (INAUDIBLE) I SAY PERFECT, IT IS THE GREAT HISTORY OF LIFE ITSELF WHICH IS AT THE BOTTOM OF ALL MYSTERIOUS LANGUAGE WHERE IT LIES TO EMPLOY CONCERNING IT THAT'S WHAT I THINK ABOUT WHEN I TALK ABOUT QUALITY, (INAUDIBLE) AT THE BOTTOM OF THIS. THOSE ARE THE CHALLENGES. RESEARCH OPPORTUNITIES. I DON'T KNOW IF THERE ARE ANY IN THE AUDIENCE LOOKING FOR RESEARCH OPPORTUNITIES BUT IF THERE ARE LET US TALK ABOUT A FEW OF THEM. I'M PLEASED TO BE ABLE TO IT WILL YOU THAT TODAY ON THE WEBSITE THERE'S NEW EVIDENCE REPORTS SYSTEMATIC ANALYSIS, LONG TERM META ANALYSIS ON IMPACT OF CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEMS. DONE TO UNIVERSITY NUMBER OF FOLKS IN THE AUDIENCE PARTICIPATED AND EXPERT PANEL TO GUIDE THE WORK. ARTICLES PUBLISHED YET ON LINE IN ANNULS OF CONTROLLED MEDICINE AT ANNULS.ORG AND BASICALLY FINDS THAT AFTER 150 STUDIES THROUGHOUT THERE, CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT IS SHOWN THROUGH PROCESS MEASURES NOT JUST ACADEMIC CENTERS PREVIOUSLY BUT ACROSS A VARIETY OF DIFFERENT SYSTEMS AND VARIETY OF SETTINGS. THIS IS GOOD, THIS IS THE FIRST TIME TO LOOK AND SAY THIS DOES MAKE US BETTER. WHERE THERE IS LIMITED EVIDENCE, IS IN TERMS OF CLINICAL OUTCOMES. ECONOMIC OUTCOMES. WORK FLOW THAT'S ELECTRONIC, SOCIOECONOMIC AND OTHER OUTCOMES SO GETTING ALL THE WAY DOWN TO LIVING LONGER, SUFFERING LESS, THAT OUTCOME OR GETTING BETTER VALUE FOR YOUR DOLLAR, THOSE ARE NOT THERE YET. DOESN'T SAY ONE WAY OR THE OTHER, DOESN'T SAY IT DOESN'T IMPROVE BUT THERE'S NOT ENOUGH EVIDENCE ABOUT THAT. SO THERE IS RESEARCH OPPORTUNITY FOR YOU. TOW TAKE A LOOK AT DECISION SUPPORT AND HOW IT AFFECTS CLINICAL OUTCOMES, ECONOMIC OUTCOMES AND WORK FLOW AND BASICALLY THERE'S SEVERAL FEATURES OF IMPLEMENTATION THAT ARE IDENTIFIED AS LEADING TO IMPROVED IMPACT OF CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT. SO ART.GOV OR ANNULS.GOV THERE'S A NICE ARTICLE ABOUT IT. SO THAT'S ONE OPPORTUNITY. SO I HAVE THROWN UP A LOT OF -- THERE'S MORE NURTURING PEOPLE UP THERE BUT YOU HAVE TO A LITTLE POP BUSINESS PSYCHOLOGY IN HERE TOO. THERE IS A LOT OF GOOD THINGS TO RECOMMEND IN THE INNOVATORS PRESCRIPTION WHICH IS A (INAUDIBLE) BUT THIS ONE IS THE GRAVEYARD OF FAILED PRODUCTS AN SERVICES POPULATED BY THING PEOPLE SHOULDN'T HAVE WANTED. UNDERSTANDING THE JOB CUSTOMERRINGRY TRYING TO DO IS A MAJOR ISSUE AT EVERY HEALTHCARE INNOVATION. HE TALKS ABOUT A MILK SHAKE AN WHEN HE WHEN YOU BUY IT WHAT JOB ARE YOU TRYING TO GET IT TO DO? LET US NOT GO DOWN THAT ROAD BUT WHEN WE TALK ABOUT DECISION SUPPORT, THIS IS GREAT, WILL CHANGE THE WORLD AND ONLY PEOPLE USE IT, WHY AREN'T THEY USING DECISION SUPPORT? THERE MAYBE A REASON WHY, AND IT MAY PROBABLY RELATED TO THE JOB THEY'RE TRYING TO DO AND HOW IT HELPS THEM DO THAT JOB. LET'S TALK ABOUT ANOTHER FUNDING OPPORTUNITY AND ANOTHER OPPORTUNITY FOR FUTURE RESEARCH. FUNDING OPPORTUNITIES WE PUT OUT A LITTLE OVER ALMOST A YEAR AGO BUT REALLY GOOD. A LITTLE MORE BASIC SCIENCE USED TO WRITE (INAUDIBLE) APPLIED STUFF, DEMONSTRATION STUFF, IMPROVING QUALITY, THESE ARE OPPORTUNITIES TO DEFINE WHAT'S THAT JOB. RIGHT? UNDERSTANDING THE JOB THAT THE CUSTOMERS, WE TALK ABOUT CUSTOMERS I'M NOT JUST TALKING ABOUT THE DOCTORS. BUT I'M TALKING ABOUT EVERYBODY IN HEALTHCARE. YOU HEARD THE FOLKS THAT HAVE GONE BEFORE ME BUT TWO FUNDING OPPORTUNITIES, UNDERSTANDING CLINICAL INFORMATION NEEDS AND HEALTHCARE DECISION MAKING PROCESSES IN THE CONTEXT OF HEALTH IT, NOT I HAVE A WIDGET AND I WANT TO DO SOMETHING WITH THE WIDGET. UNDERSTANDING THE INFORMATION NEEDS, DECISION MAKING PROCESS WE HAVE ACCURATE INFORMATION SYSTEMS HOW DOES THAT CHANGE OUR JOB? AS CLINICS? AS PATIENTS? AS CAREGIVERS. RIGHT? WHEN YOUR MOM CALLS AND SAYS I HAD THIS WEIRD TEST RESULT HOW DID THAT CHANGE BECAUSE OF THE INFORMATION TOOLS AND SYSTEMS THAT ARE AVAILABLE TO YOU? SO THOSE TRUNTS OUT THERE, THEY HAVE BEEN A WHILE AND WE HOPE PEOPLE WILL FIND GOOD OPPORTUNITIES FOR THAT. THE BEST PART IS DERIEFD FROM THE REFREX OF THE ACTS OF THE MIND ITSELF, SO THESE WORDS WE'RE TRYING TO PROCESS. I'LL GET TO THE ISSUE WHETHER OR NOT IT'S NATURAL LANGUAGE BECAUSE I DON'T THINK IT IS. WORDS ARE THOUGHTS MAY MANIFEST IN DIFFERENT WAYS SO WHEN WE MAKE THOSE THOUGHTS MANIFEST ARE WE DOING THEM IN A WAY TO HELP SUPPORT DECISIONS. ANOTHER OPPORTUNITY FOR PEOPLE TO THINK ABOUT HOW TO DO THIS. THE IOM ISSUED A REPORT IN THE LATE 2011 CALLED CLINICAL GUIDELINES WE CAN TRUST SOME COLLEAGUES WORKED ON THE REPORT TWO RECOMMENDATIONS THAT ARE KEY IN THERE. FOR THE COMMUNITY. GUIDELINES SHOULD STRUCTURE FORMAT AND CONTENT OF CLINICAL PRACTICE GUIDELINES TO REGULATE CDS, THIS IS NOT I'M GOING TO TAKE LANGUAGE AND (INAUDIBLE) PROCESS THE HELL OUT OF IT. WE NEED TO TAKE THE LANGUAGE WE'RE USING AND WE NEED TO STRUCTURE IT WITHOUT -- I'M NOT GOING TO BEAT ON THAT ANY MORE. YOU HEARD THAT HERE BUT THE IOM IS SAYING THIS IS SOMETHING WE OUGHT TO BE DOING. THE SECOND RECOMMENDATION ALSO KEY, GUIDELINE DEVELOPERS, GUIDELINE IMPLEMENTERS AN DECISION SUPPORT DESIGNERS SHOULD COLLABORATE IN AN EFFORT TO ALIGN THEIR NEEDS WITH ONE ANOTHER BECAUSE BUT DON'T -- NOT AS MUCH AS YOU SHOULD. THERE WAS SOME BUT AS WE TRY TO TAKE CLINICAL KNOWLEDGE AND TRANSLATE INTO HOW WE SPORE DECISIONS, WE DON'T TALK ENOUGH. SO THAT'S SOMETHING WE NEED TO DO. OPPORTUNITY MOVING AHEAD. OKAY. LAST PART. STREAKING ALONG HERE. NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING. (INDISCERNIBLE) CHEMISTS IN THE ROOM? IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO ASSOCIATE LANGUAGE FROM SCIENCE OR SCIENCE FROM LANGUAGE, TO CALL FORTH A CONCEPT A WORD IS NEEDED TO PORTRAY A PHENOMENON, A CONCEPT IS NEEDED. ALL THREE MIRROR ONE AND THE SAME REALITY. SO LANGUAGE THAT WE USE TO DESCRIBE EVENTS AND CARE TRADITIONS, WHAT'S GOING ON, IS MEANT TO REPRESENT SOMETHING. IT'S REPRESENTING HEALTH AND IT REPRESENTS SICKNESS AND REPRESENTING THINGS HAPPENING IN HEALTHCARE IN PEOPLE'S LIVES. I DON'T LIKE THE TERM BIG DATA. 'S FUZZY AND OVERUSED. I THINK PEOPLE LIKE THE CLOUD I THINK THAT THERE'S LACK OF PRECISION IN THAT TERM. BUT I DIGRESS. WHAT DO WE HOPE TO GAIN FROM NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESS SOMETHING WE TALKED ABOUT IT HERE. THERE'S A HUGE SWATH OF HEALTHCARE DATA THAT IS NOT STRUCTURED, IT IS A NARRATIVE FORM. THIS IS HOW I USED TO DO IT. GOES OUT TO THE DICTATION AND COMES BACK. WE HOPE TO GET INFORMATION THAT'S OUT THERE FROM THE SYSTEM, PULL IT IN, THAT'S THE AFFRONT LOOP, PROCESS IT AND SPIT OUT THE OTHER END. THERE'S TWO THINGS TO TRY TO GET FROM THIS. ONE WE'RE LOOK AGO CROSS BIG DATA WE HAVEN'T BEEN ABLE TO ANALYZE BEFORE. AND WE'RE TRYING TO DISCERN PATTERNS IN IT. WE JUST HEARD SOME OF THAT UP HERE, TRY TO IDENTIFY ISSUES THAT US MIRROR -- MERE MORTALS THAT CAN CAN ONLY KEEP 4,000 PATIENTS IN OUR HEAD A DAY AT ONE TIME MIGHT NOT BE ABLE TO DISCERN OTHERWISE AN ISSUES CHECKING DATA TO TRY TO DETERMINE EFFECT MAYBE WE CAN FIND IT IN THE NARRATIVE. SO I THINK THERE'S PROMISE TO BE HAD THERE. THEN THERE'S THE (INAUDIBLE) LOOP, THERE'S JOHN THERE IN A PATIENT AND HE CAN'T REMEMBER SOMETHING SO HE TURNS TO WATSON OR WHATEVER AND SAYS WATSON TELL ME AND WATSON SAYS I HAVE BEEN LISTENING TO WHAT YOU SAID AND YOU OUGHT TO DO DA DA DA DA DA. SO THERE'S THE OUT TO WHETHER IT'S THE CLINICIAN OR WHETHER IT'S THE PATIENT OR WHETHER THERE'S THE POLICY MAKER OR CAREGIVER OR WHOEVER, THERE'S LOOP OUT. RATHER THAN HAVE TO LOOK FOR IT IN A CERTAIN WAY, WE LIKE TO HAVE IT COME BACK TO US IN A WAY THAT WE CAN UNDERSTAND OR AT LEAST THAT ALEX TREBEK CAN UNDERSTAND. I KNOW THE WATSON WE DISCUSSED ARE NOT (INAUDIBLE) WATSON, THE IBM WATSON. BUT SIX MONTHS AGO I'M AT JONATHAN TESH'S TALK. AND HE'S TALKING ABOUT WATSON. SO HE SKETCHED WATSON. THAT IS WATSON, THE NUMBER IS IMAGINARY, I KNOW IT WAS 77,000, NOT 36,000. I'M THINKING DR. WATSON, TRY TO IMAGINE SEEING DR. WATSON, I'M THINKING YOU KNOW, THERE'S SOME THINGS THAT DR. WATSON MIGHT HELP ME WITH BUT THERE'S SOMETHING MISSING IN JUST FROM MY DAYS OF SEEING PATIENTS TRAINED TO BE A CLINICIAN AND DAYS OF PATIENT AND CAREGIVER, THERE'S SOMETHING MISSING. SO I START THE GET ON THE OTHER SIDE AND START SKETCHING SHERLOCK. I'M LIKE OH, WHERE AM I GOING WITH THIS? SO THE QUESTION WAS ASKED WATSON IS A FIRST YEAR MEDICAL STUDENT, WITH THE WAY HE PHRASED IT. WHAT WILL HAPPEN WHEN WATSON GETS THROUGH MEDICAL SCHOOL? I REALLY THINK THAT WATSON AND TECHNOLOGIES LIKE WATSON HAVE TREMENDOUS PROMISE. I THINK DAVID CORRECTLY OBSERVED, I DON'T KNOW IF YOU'RE HERE OR GONE OFF TO TALK TO PEOPLE, CORRECTLY OBSERVED THAT YOU REALLY, THERE ARE CERTAIN THINGS YOU CAN EXPECT FROM IT AND CERTAIN THINGS THAT YOU CAN'T. THIS IS SOMETHING THAT I WOULD LOVE FOLKS TO DISCUSS WHEN WE GET DOWN HERE, WHAT IS IT IN THE COUNTER PART TO WATSON AND THE CLINICIAN THAT YOU NEED? MY SENSE IS A COUPLE OF THINGSCH THERE'S ACTUALLY A QUOTE FROM SHERLOCK HOLMES THAT SAID 50 CAN REASON SYNTHETICALLY FOR ONE THAT CAN REASON ANALYTICALLY. WE CAN TALK ABOUT IT MORE BUT THE IDEA IS THAT IN ANALYTIC THINKER OR AN ANALYTIC REASONER STARTS WITH THE CONCLUSION OR PREMISE OR WORKS BACKWARDS. HOW TO GET THAT CLOSED -- VERSUS A EQUALS B, B EQUALS C, THEREFORE A EQUALS C, THAT'S SYNTHETIC. REASONING YOU PULL TOGETHER THINGS. SEEMS TO ME PULLING TOGETHER TO APPLY IT TO WHAT YOU'RE SEEING THERE AND HELP YOU DETERMINE THAT OUTCOME. ALL THE WAYS WE TALK ABOUT WATSON SCIENCE OF MEDICINE AND ART OF MEDICINE, THERE'S STILL A LOT OF ART AND MEDICINE. FRANKLY THERE'S A LOT OF ART AND LANGUAGE WE USE IN HEALTHCARE. AND ALL YOU KNOW THIS. PART OF OUR LIMITATIONS IN NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING IS THE IMPRECISION WHICH WE USE OUR LANGUAGE AND FRANKLY TO GO BACK TO LOVASIER, THE IMPRECISION IN CONCEPTS WHICH ARE CONSTANTLY EVOLVING AND UNDERSTANDING OF THE PHENOMENA. TO THE DEGREE WE DON'T HAVE SOLID GROUNDING, SO THERE ARE AMAZING THINGS HAPPENING. I LOOK FORWARD TO DISCUSSION FURTHER. WHAT DO WE NEED TO DO, I WAS DIGGING AROUND IN MY QUOTATIONS AN RAN ACROSS (INDISCERNIBLE). NOT SURE WHO (INAUDIBLE) HERE. MUST BE DIFFICULT, THE PROGRAM MUST BECOME COMPREHENSIVE, ELUSIVE, MORE INDIRECT IN ORDER TO FORCE DISLOCATE IF NECESSARY, LANGUAGE INTO ITS MEANING AND WE'RE GETTING AT THE MEANING OF LANGUAGE, WHAT WE'RE TRYING TO PULL OUT OF PROCESSING PART OF IT IS THE MEANING. BETTER HEALTHCARE. SO I THANK YOU FOR YOUR TIME AND ATTENTION AND LOOK FORWARD TO A GREAT DISCUSSION. [APPLAUSE] >> ARE THERE ANY QUESTIONS? >> CAN YOU GET ALL THE SPEAKERS FROM THE PREVIOUS SESSIONS TOGETHER FOR FINAL DISCUSSION?E+9 >> I THOUGHT THERE WERE MORE SPEAKERS TODAY THAN THESE MANY -- BASICALLY IT HAS SOME KIND OF DISCUSSION WHERE WE SEE US GOING AND I GUESS ONE QUESTION LIKE WHAT WE SEE FOR THAT AND WHAT ARE ADVANCES NEEDED IN BOTH FIELDS FOR HEALTHCARE TO BENEFIT. AND THE OTHER QUESTION, WHERE DO YOU SEE NIH FUNDING COMING IN OR HELPING OUT FOR THIS PROCESS TO LOOK FORWARD. >> I DIDN'T WATCH THE QUESTION. >> MY QUESTION, WHERE DO WE WANT TO SEE NLP AND CES GO IN 5 TO 10 YEARS AND WHERE DO YOU SEE NIH ROLE IN MOVING FORWARD. >> IT'S BEEN A TERRIFIC DAY LISTENING AND LEARNING FROM BOTH NLP INVESTIGATORS AND CDS INVESTIGATORS. I GUESS IF I WAS REALLY TO TRY TO PAIN THE PICTURE TEN YEARS OUT NOT SURE O IF IT'S THE GREEK ORACLE MODEL, NOT SURE IF IT'S THE DIALOGUE WITH WATSON DIALOGUE BETWEEN PATIENT AND WATT SEASON OR THREE WAY BETWEEN PATIENT WATSON AND PHYSICIAN. THE NLP ROLE IS TO INFORM MODELS, INFORM KNOWLEDGE STRUCTURES AND DRIVE CORRELATION S JUST LIKE GENOME WIDE ARRAY AREA ASSOCIATION STUDIES, WE'RE STILL TRYING TO CONNECT THE DOTS IN LANGUAGE AS JOHN WHITE JUST POINTED OUT. AND FIND MEANING IN WORDS AND FIND THE CONNECTIONS IN THESE -- IN THE CORPUS OF WORDS. SO TEN YEARS OUT I THINK WE HAVE TO HAVE A MUCH MORE INFORMED CLINICAL PRACTICE. THERE'S WAY TOO MUCH TO KNOW. WE NEED TO HAVE THE TOOLS I THINK ASSISTING THE CLINICIAN AND SYNTHESIZING SUMMARIZING THE PATIENT STATE. I THINK THE PHYSICIAN NEEDS TO HAVE MANY, MANY MORE PREDICTIVE TOOLS TO HELP HIM OR HER INTERPRET THE PATIENT'S TRAJECTORY THROUGH A PLAN AND HEALTH AND WELLNESS AND I THINK THE SAME SET OF TOOLS ACTUALLY PROBABLY WILL BE OFFERED TO THE PATIENT HEM OR HERSELF WHEN APPROPRIATE OBVIOUSLY OR TO A CAREGIVER PROXY FOR THE PATIENT BECAUSE THAT'S FOR WHOM IT REALLY MATTERS. THE KNOWLEDGE BASE WHEN I WAS LISTENING TO DAVID GONDEK, IF PERHAPS THAT THING WILL BECOME THE MEDICAL SIGH BORG. REALLY IS TERMINATETOR. BEST SENSE OF THE WORD BECAUSE IF IT STARTS TO LEARN AND CONTINUES TO LEARN WE MOVE SIMILAR LAYERTY AND THE MACHINE WILL BE WAY SMARTER THAN DOCTORS. THAT MIGHT BE OKAY. WE WILL BE STILL IN A CONSULTATIVE ROLE, THE HANDS-ON ROLE IS STILL GOING TO BE IMPORTANT. IT WILL BE DIFFERENT HANDS ON ROLE THAT WE HAVE NOW. BUT I THINK WE NEED TO HAVE THE NLP, AND THIS EVER-EXPANDING KNOWLEDGE BASE, AND OH, BY THE WAY THAT WILL LEAD TO DISCOVERY IN WAYS THAT WE HAVEN'T THOUGHT OF YET. I PASS THE BALL. >> SO I WANT TO TRY TO FOCUS YOU BACK ON THE WHOLE JOB THING. THERE'S SCIENCE TO BE HAD HERE. UNDERSTANDING THE SEMANTICS OF LANGUAGE AND MEANING MIND IT, THEN THERE'S WHAT YOU TRY TO DO IN HEALTHCARE. AS A PATIENT I HAVE GOT A COUPLE OF JOBS, I'M NOT WELL, I WANT TO GET BETTER. HOW CAN NLP TOOLS HELP ME DO THAT. I DON'T THINK WE TOTALLY KNOW YET. I DON'T THINK WE CLEARLY STATED THAT. AS A CLINICIAN I HAVE A JOB TO DO. THAT ROLE MAY CHANGE OVER TIME, BUT I HAVE GOT A JOB TO DO. AND WHAT DO I NEED THAT'S IN LANGUAGE FORM NOW, NOT STRUCTURED DATA FORM TO DO MY JOB. AND GIVE ME THE INFORMATION THAT I NEED AS A PAYER. TO MY IMMEDIATE RIGHT. WHAT JOB DO I HAVE IN AS THE STEWARD OF FOLKS RESOURCES TO HELP THEM GET BETTER CARE WHAT AM I TRYING TO GET AT, I CAN SEE MORE CLEAR DIRECTIl HOW TO SIT THROUGH THE DATA. I NEED TOO TOOLS TO DO THAT. PEOPLE SETTING POLICY FOR CARE ORGANIZATION OR LARGE ORGANIZATION OR PURCHASER OF CARE. IF YOU SAY HERE ARE PROBLEMS IN HEALTHCARE AND HOW NLP FIXES THAT, A PRECISE STATEMENT WILL GET YOU A LONG WAY. >> ONE OF THE REASONS THAT WE'RE STRUGGLING WITH THIS QUESTION, WE'RE STILL IN THE PROCESS OF RE-ENGINEERING LEGACY HEALTHCARE ENVIRONMENT. SO A LOT OF INFORMATION NOW CAPTURED IN PROSE THAT WE WOULD LIKE TO HAVE STRUCTURED ISN'T A LOT OF THE NUANCES THAT WE WOULD LIKE TO BE ABLE TO CAPTURE THAT ARE ALWAYS WILL BE IN NATURAL LANGUAGE HAVEN'T BEEN APPROACHED. I THINK SO WHAT JOHN SAYS IS PUT NEEDS FIRST, DESIGN YOU WOULD LIKE TO HAVE. IF WE CAN SUSPEND HEALTHCARE FOR A DECADE AND DESIGN THE SYSTEM WE WANT, COULD WE GET THERE, BY INCREMENTALLY IMPROVING THE SYSTEM WE HAVE OR SHOULD WE RETHINK AND THEN CREATING THAT GOAL ARCHITECTURE, ENVIRONMENT AND TRYING TO MOVE THE SYSTEM TOWARD IT. WE'RE NOT GOING TO SUSPEND. CAN WE COME UP WITH THAT VISION AND MOVE TOWARD THAT. I WAS STRUCK BY HALLWAY CONVERSATION A FEW MINUTES AGO. THAT REMINDED ME OF SOME OF THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR USING THE NUANCES MISWHEN WE TRY TO DO STRUCTURED TEXT ENTRY. TO MARC'S POINT EARLIER WE LOOK AT THESE AS THERE ARE LOTS OF DATA AND I WAS IMPRESSED THE WATSON TEAM IS LOOKING WHERE THERE'S DATA. BUT THERE ARE INTERACTIONS HEALTHCARE PROVIDERS HAVE WITH EACH OTHER. SIMILAR TO THE VIGNETTE I DESCRIBED WHERE THE PATIENT AND PROVIDER ARE ELECTRONICALLY COMMUNICATING. I THOUGHT ABOUT THE SIGN OUT EVENT. WE ACTUALLY ARE VERY EFFICIENT IN CONVEYING INFORMATION TO EACH OTHER. SO SIGN OUT FOR THOSE WHO DON'T KNOW IS WHEN I'M ON CALL FOR THE WEEKEND AND MY COLLEAGUE TELLS ME ABOUT THE 7 PATIENTS HE OR SHE IS WORRIED ABOUT. OR I'M A RESIDENT SIGNING OUT TO THE NIGHT RESIDENT WHO IS ON CALL TONIGHT AND I TELL THEM ABOUT THE 26 PATIENTS IN THE HOSPITAL AND OFTEN WILL WRITE VIGNETTES ABOUT THEM AND BYPASS MY INFORMATION SYSTEMS. AND THOSE MIGHT BE FASCINATING PLACES FOR US TO LOOK FOR VARY VERY EFFICIENT USE OF LANGUAGE IN CONVEYING IMPORTANT THINGS ABOUT PATIENTS. SO THAT MIGHT BE AN INTERESTING PLACE TO LOOK THAT'S NOT QUITE UNDER THE STREET LIGHT BECAUSE WE'RE NOT CAPTURING THAT. MAYBE THE OTHER RELATED QUESTION IS ARE THERE BARRIERS TO THESE SORTS OF THINGS. AS WE MOVE TOWARD TOO MUCH OR MOVED TOWARD CAPTURE OF TOO MUCH INFORMATION I CAN THINK OF TWO REASONS FOR IT. ONE, WE INCENTIVIZED IT WITH BILLING BASED ON CAPTURING TOO MUCH DATA AND WE ALSO HAVE A LEGAL SYSTEM DOCS ARE AFRAID OF AND ACCUSTOMED TO CAPTURING TOO MUCH DATA BECAUSE THEY THINK THAT'S NECESSARY TO AVOID. BEING SUED FOR SOME REASON. ARE THOSE BARRIERS, IF SO, HOW DO WE HANDLE THEM. >> THANK YOU. >> YOU THROW AWAY THE LAWYERS. >> I HAD ANOTHER QUESTION, I WANT TO BE DEVIL'S ADVOCATE. SUPPOSE WE GET THE WHOLE THING DONE, AND THIS IS BACK TO THE ANALOGY OF THE GPS SYSTEM. SHUTS DOWN ON THEM, THERE'S STILL THE ANALYTICAL ABILITY LEFT IN HIM OR HER TO MAKE EFFICIENT. SO I BOUGHT A GPS SYSTEM FOR MY WIFE WHEN WE MOVED TO BOSTON FROM THE WEST COAST. SHE THOUGHT IT WAS COOL BECAUSE YOU CAN GO TO DOWN TON BOSTON AND NOT GET LOST, AND IT'S HORRENDOUS IF YOU'RE NOT FROM THERE. SHE TOLD ME THIS GPS THING REALLY STINGS. SHE SAYS I'M PUTTING IN THE LOCATION AN WHEREVER I HAVE TO GO DOWNTOWN I'M GT TAKEN A MILE AWAY REPEATEDLY. I THOUGHT JUST YOU'RE NOT USING IT RIGHT. I GOT MY 20 LASHES FOR THAT. I FIGURED IT WAS A KNOWLEDGE BASE UPDATE PROBLEM. THERE HAS BEEN A KNOWLEDGE BASE UPDATE I NEGLECTED TO PUT IN AND THUS ONCE THE NEW KNOWLEDGE BASE WAS UP LOWED TO THE SYSTEM EVERYTHING WAS FINE AND GPS WORKED AND I WAS AD MEALS AT NIGHTTIME AGAIN. BUT TO ADDRESS THE QUESTION, I THINK OFTEN TIMES WE THINK THESE COGNITIVE AGE CRUTCHES. I NEVER FOUND THAT TO BE THE CASE USING ANY COMPUTING TOOLS TO FACILITATE LEARNING AND COLLEGE AN GRADUATE SCHOOL, ET CETERA. IT MAY CHANGE ONE ASPECT OF REASONING OR DECISION MAKING TO HAVE A DECISION AID OR COGNITIVE SUPPORT TOOLS IN YOUR HANDS. IT DRAMATICALLY EXTENDS ANOTHER FORM OF REASONING, THAT MAYBE CONSIDERS ALL POSSIBILITIES OR DIFFERENT FUNCTIONS AN FORMULATING AND WHAT NOT. IT'S A WIN AND LOSS, THESE DECISION AIDS WILL EXTEND REASONING AN CAPABILITIES IN SOME INTERESTING YET TO BE DESCRIBED WAYS. WHILE WE MAY ACTUALLY FORGET THE KREBS CYCLE WHO REALLY GIVES A DAMN. IF I CAN REASON ABOUT THE KREBS CYCLE, IT'S RELEVANCE TO THE DISEASE AT HAND THAT'S FINE. >> JUST HAD A COMMENT I AGREE WITH WHAT BLACKFORD JUST SAID ABOUT THE NOT THESE SYSTEMS NOT REALLY COMPLETELY BEING A SUBSTITUTE FOR OUR OWN REASONING BUT IT THINK ONE THING THEY CAN DO IS IF THEY FUNCTION WELL THEY CAN TEACH US BETTER WAYS OF DOING THINGS AS WE USE THEM. THAT WILL MAKE US BETTER OFF WHEN WE FIND OURSELVES WITHOUT THEM TEMPORARILY. >> I LIKE TO MAKE THE COMMENT -- YOU KNOW ABOUT WATSON, SUDDENLY RISING UP NEW YORK TIMES AFTER THAT GENERALITY THING CAP CHUED WELL, WATSON DOESN'T KNOW IT WON. I WOULD BE INTERESTED BECAUSE IT'S THE END OF THE DAY, A LITTLE COMMENT FROM ANY PANEL MEMBER HERE. YOU ALL HAVE TOP DOWN POSITIONS IN POLICY OR OTHER THINGS. THERE IS A LITTLE BIT OF A TONE HERE AND YOU MAKE THEM LOVE IT. BOB'S IDEA CRYSTALLIZED THAT VERY WELL, IF WE COULD ONLY SUSPEND FOR TEN YEARS AND PRODUCE CAM LOT AND EVERYONE WILL LIVE IN IT. I UNDERSTAND THE POINT THAT YOU'RE MAKING, OF COURSE WE'RE WORKING WITH FOSSIL SYSTEMS BUT I DONE THINK WE'RE GOING TO GET VERY FAR SITTING HERE IMPLYING VAGUELY IF MEDICAL PROFESSIONALS, DOCTORS AN NURSES ARE SOMEHOW (INAUDIBLE). I HAVEN'T HEARD ENOUGH ABOUT HOW WE WORK WITH THEM TO SEE WHAT IT IS THEY WANT TO DO THEIR JOB BETTER. >> I HAVE ANECDOTE ABOUT THAT. WHEN OUR ORGANIZATION MOVED TO MAYO CLINIC, OUR BMI DEPARTMENT, IMMEDIATELY I HAD A PARADE OF DOCS THAT WERE FRUSTRATED WITH THEIR SHALL BE NAMELESS INFORMATION SYSTEM. AND THEY COULDN'T DO X OR Y OR Z AND WERE FRUSTRATED WITH IT. THEY CAME UP WITH IDEAS HOW THEY COULD HAVE A WORKAROUND OR HOW THEY COULD DO SOMETHING THAT THEY CAN'T DO WITH THAT SYSTEM. THE MESSAGE I GOD GOVERNMENT WAS THEY WANT TO HAVE INFORMATION SYSTEM WOULD BE USEFUL TO THEM. >> I'M NOT TALKING INFORMATION SYSTEMS BUT HELPING THEM DO A BETTER JOB BY GIVING CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT. >> THAT'S PART OF WHAT THEY'RE ASKING FOR, ASKING FOR WAYS TO ASSESS DATA THEY HAVE GOTC' AND WAYS TO ENTER THE DATA THEY NEED TO ENTER, WAYS TO MANAGE THE PATIENT'S PROBLEMS. THESE ARE DECISION SUPPORT POTENTIAL TARGETS. THE MORE ADVANCED IS JUST AN EXTENSION BECAUSE THEY CAN'T DO THEM IN THEIR ENVIRONMENT. SO WHAT YOU WANT TO DO IS CHANGE THE DYNAMIC WHERE INSTEAD OF IT SYSTEM LOOK AT SOMETHING THRUST UPON THEM HAVE THEY BE SOMETHING THEY CAN BUY INTO AND HELP FOSTER THE NATURE OF, THEY CAN ACTUALLY HELP BRING ABOUT. I THINK THE DIRECTION YOU'RE GOING IS NOT IN THE SCOPE OF THE NIH RIGHT NOW HARVARD BUSINESS SCHOOL, THIS IS A MARKETING QUESTION, MARKETING WITH A CAPITAL M I LEARNED WHEN I WENT IN THE PRODUCT LEARN MARKETING WITH A CAPITAL WORLD IS UNDERSTAND THE NEEDS OF THE MARKET AN ADDRESSING THEM. MARKET COMMUNICATIONS PITCHING THE STUFF WE MADE TO SOME DEGREE I WAS REFLECTING ON THAT WHEN I WAS SITTING IN THE BACK EARLIER THAT SOME DEGREE THIS IS A SOLUTION LOOKING FOR A PROBLEM. WHAT ARE THE REAL PROBLEMS THE MARKET UNDERSTANDS SO WE CAN THEN WORK ON ADDRESSING THEM AN OVER TIME PERHAPS THE TWO MAY MEET. CALLING NLP AND CDS IS THE RIGHT WAY TO STOP THE CONVERSATION AT THE BEGINNING. WE NEED TO GO OUT AND LEAD WITH OUR O IRES AS STEVE ACCUSED ME OF DOING EARLIER. AND LISTENING AN DEEPLY UNDERSTAND WHAT THE MARKET NEEDS AND WORK SLOWLY AND DELIBERATELY TO SEE IF STUFF BUILT OVER THE YEARS HAS APPLICATION. SO SIRI IS A GOOD EXAMPLE OF SOMETHING THE MARKET UNDERSTANDS. SO IF I ASK MY MOM HAS SHE EVER USED NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING SHE'D SAY NO. IF I ASKED MY MOM IF SHE USED SIRI SHE WOULD SAY YES. WE KNOW THE JOKES ANECDOTES THAT SIRI ISN'T PERFECT YET BUT IT'S AN APPLICATION OF WORK THAT MET A CONSUMER NEED. WHICH MAKES STUFF EASIER. WHAT ARE THE OTHER STUFF THAT HEALTHCARE PROVIDERS NEED TO BE EASIER AND BETTER? >> JUST REAL QUICK. I PUT UP A (INAUDIBLE) QUOTE SO I'M WITH YOU. I WANT THE TO URGE OUT OF CAUTION IF YOU ONLY THINK ABOUT THE NEEDS OF CERTAIN SECTORS, THE MARKET, YOU RUN THE RISK OF IMMEDIATING THOSE NEEDS TO MY POP CULTURE REFERENCE IS THE SIMPSON'S EPISODE WHERE HOMER FINDS HIS LOST BROTHER WHO RUN IT IS CAR COMPANY. HE SAYS HOMER DESIGN ME A CAR. IT'S A BIG MONSTROSITY THAT'S GOT A BUBBLE AND LIKE COFFEEMAKER AND DONUTS AND THE GUY IS LIKE YOU RUINED ME. I WORRY IF YOU ASK ONE SPECIFIC SEGMENT OF THE MARKET YOU'RE GOING TO GET THE HOME WORK. AND RIGHT? >> WANTS AND NEEDS ARE DIFFERENT. SO WE DON'T BUILD THEM WHAT THEY ASK FOR, WE BUILD THEM WHAT THEY NEED. WHICH MEANS WE HAVE TO ACTUALLY THINK AFTER WE HAVE ASKED THEM. ANYBODY WHO WORKED IN PRODUCT MANAGEMENT KNOWS THAT. WE ASK OUR CUSTOMERS AND ACT ON H WHAT THEY DIDN'T SAY. OTHERWISE STEVE JOBS WOULDN'T HAVE BUILT AN iPAD. RIGHT? >> ONE OF THE CHALLENGES, IT'S A GREAT QUESTION, I THINK ONE OF THE CHALLENGES IS -- TWO THOUGHTS. ONE IS THAT ACTUALLY I HAVE SEEN NOW IN SORT OF THREE EVOLUTIONS OF EMRs I HAVE BEEN PERSONALLY INVOLVED IN, ONCE THE TOOL IS WELL UNDERSTOOD AND REALLY KNOW HOW TO USE IT, THE PHYSICIAN TAKES OVER. AND THE CLINICIAN WHO IS INTERESTED IN PATIENT CARE INTERESTED IN POPULATIONS AND ASKING QUESTIONS, ASSUMES THE PROFESSIONAL ROLE OF CARING ABOUT HIS PATIENTS, USING THE DATA TO DO SO BETTER. I HAVE SEEN THAT THREE TIMES OVER. NOT WITHOUT HICCUPS BUT THREE TIMES OVER. THE PROBLEM IS WE STILL LIVE IN THIS WORLD IN THIS COUNTRY AND IT'S GOT IT DAYS IN WASHINGTON, HE WHO PAYS FOR HEALTHCARE IT IS NOT HE WHO GAINS. SO LONG AS WE HAVE AN ASE METRIC RISK AND REWARD FOR INVESTING IN HEALTH IT, BULK OF OUR CALCULATIONS' GOES TO THE PAYER AND AMONG OTHERS, WHEN THE PHYSICIANS ARE FOOTING THE BILL, IT'S JUST NOT APPROPRIATE PHYSICIAN IS NOT MOTIVATED TO USE HIS MOTIVATION OF HEALTH IT, PAYER IS USED TO OPTIMIZE THE PHYSICIAN IT. IN A STRANGE DYNAMIC THE PAYER AN PHYSICIAN LIVE N. SO FUNDAMENTALLY THINK ABOUT HEALTH REFORM AN HEALTH IT IN THE SAME BREADTH IN THIS COUNTRY BECAUSE IN TEN YEARS WE COULD BE IN THE SAME PLACE. WE CAN HAVE COOLER AND SMARTER TOOLS. IF WE'RE NOT INCENSED CORRECTLY OR WORRIED ABOUT VALUE IN SET OF VOLUME, PHYSICIANS MAY SAY WHO CARES. >> AND THAT IS WHAT IS GOING TO HAPPEN. IT'S HAPPENING NOW AND IT'S GOING TO HAPPEN AT INCREASING SPEED IN THE NOT TOO DISTANT FUTURE. PHYSICIANS AND PAYERS ARE GOING TO COME TOGETHER AS ONE. RIGHT NOW IT'S AN ANTAGONISTIC RELATION RELATIONSHIP FOR A LOT OF REASONS WE'RE FAMILIAR WITH. IT IS GOING TO BECOME A SYMBIOTIC RELATIONSHIP. AND THAT IS WHAT IS GOING TO DRIVE A LOT OF THIS. >> HOW WE MOTIVATE THE PATIENT TO DRIVE WHAT ALL OF YOU WANT TO DO? RIGHT NOW THE FINANCIAL INCENTIVES ARE ALLOCATED 4 1/2 BILLION I WOULD READ YESTERDAY IS GOING TO PAYMENTS OF ONC TO DOCTORS AND HOSPITALS SO FAR ON ADOPTION OF EHR, BUT I DON'T THINK THE PATIENTS NOR UNDERSTAND THE BENEFITS OF EHR AND EVERYTHING WE'RE TRYING TO DO HERE. AND EVERY CONFERENCE I GO TO HERE AND EVERY OTHER ORGANIZATION I GO TO. I STILL DON'T SEE THE BOTTOM UP PUSH WHERE PATIENTS ARE SHOWN, LOOK, I SOLVED YOUR PROBLEM BECAUSE. THEN HE GOES TO ALL HIS DOCS, QUADRUPLE BYPASS AND EVERYTHING BECAUSE I WAS A KID WHO ATE CANDY ALL THE TIME. THE THING WE GOT TO DO IS GET THE PATIENT TO SAY TO THE DOC THAT DOESN'T HAVE THE EHR SYSTEM I'M GOING TO ANOTHER DOC. BECAUSE I WANT THE BEST AVAILABLE MEDICINE AND WE HAVEN'T MADE THE PATIENT, THE DRIVER AND I COME FROM TEN YEARS WORKING FOR THE ADVERTISING INDUSTRY. MY LAW FIRM WAS GENERAL COUNCIL TO THE ADVERTISING FEDERATIONS AND ASSOCIATION NATIONAL ADVERTISERS. AND WE KNOW HOW TO MAKE CONSUMERS WANT THINGS IN THE ADVERTISING INDUSTRY. AND ONC HAS TO MAKE THE CASE. I HATE TO DISAPPOINT YOU BUT ONC PCORI, WE GOT TO MAKE THE CASE TO THE PATIENTS THEY'RE GETTING THE BENEFIT. >> SO WE DO HAVE A MARKETING PROGRAM THAT I REACH TO PATIENTS. IS THAT OUR GREATEST LEVER? YOU SAW ME PUT THE SLIDES UP. WE HAVE CAWP OF LEVERS AN LEVERS ARE REGULATIONS. DO WE HAVE EFFORTS? WE HAVE A WOMAN THAT IS (INDISCERNIBLE) CONSUMERISTA. SHE FOCUSES ON CONSUMER PROGRAM. IT EXISTS. >> WE DON'T HAVE THE BUDGET OF KELLOGG OR BUDGET OF GENERAL FOODS. >> OF COURSE WE DON'T. NOR SHOULD WE. THAT'S NOT OUR GREATEST LEVER. DO WE HAVE SOME EFFORT THERE? YES, WE DO. >> THE OTHER OBSERVATION IS P IF YOU ASK AND SURVEY VERSUS DONE SO, YOU ASK PATIENTS DOES YOUR DOCTOR HAVE AN EMR? IS YOUR RECORD ELECTRONIC? AND PATIENTS TYPICALLY SAY YES, IT IS. THEY'RE SURPRISED WHEN THEY HEAR ABOUT THE SLOW GRADUAL PENETRATION OF EMR. POINT NUMBER ONE. POINT TWO, I THINK THE CONSUMER ACCOUNTABILITY THING OR PERSONAL ACCOUNTABILITY IS GOING TO PLAY ITSELF OUT. IT'S VERY DIFFERENT IN THIS COUNTRY THAN LOTS OF COUNTRIES AROUND THE WORLD AND OTHERS CAN ATTEST TO THIS, PERHAPS. OUR OWN SENSE OF ENTITLEMENT AND ALL THAT STUFF, IN THIS COUNTRY IS PART OF THE HEALTHCARE REFORM CHALLENGE. BUT THE CONSUMERS ARE VOTING WITH THEIR FEET IN THEIR POCKETS WITH THEIR FEET A THIRD OF AMERICANS SEE AN ALTERNATIVE CARE PROVIDER EVERY YEAR W. THE POCKET THERE'S 20,000 NOW OR MORE, iPHONE MEDICALLY ORIENTED APPS PEOPLE ARE DOWNLOADING AND USING SO SOMETHING IS HAPPENING. SOME WAYS I HAVE HEARD ONE PERSON SAY WE HAD THE ARAB SPRING AND CONSUMER MOVEMENT, SOME SUGGESTED PERHAPS WE'RE IN THIS MEDICAL SPRING. IT'S THE SPRINGTIME OF A CONVERSION OR TRANSITION TO A NEW MODEL OF CARE THAT'S NOT VOLUME BASED, IT'S VALUE BASED, IT'S NOT PHYSICIAN ORIENTED, IT'S PAY CONSUMER ORIENTED. >> I GUESS I WOULD ASK, MAYBE GREG, IF YOU FOLKS AND YOUR COLLEAGUES ARE USING THE DATA THAT WE ARE ACTUALLY MAKING AVAILABLE ABOUT PROVIDERS WHO ARE USING HER. RIGHT NOW I CAN GO TO YOUR WEBSITE I CAN PROBABLY GO TO YOUR WEBSITE AND FIND MYSELF. AND FIND CERTAIN FACTORS FOR MYSELF. CARE TO PROVIDE, WHICH HOSPITALS I HAVE BEEN TO, PERHAPS USE ELECTRONIC HEALTH RECORD AND MAYBE IN A DECADE IT'S A ELECTRONIC HEALTH RECORD WITH CLINICAL DECISION SUPPORT WITH PARTNERS OR MY OWE. SO THERE MAYBE CERTAIN MAYO. SO THERE MIGHT BE CERTAIN ATTRIBUTES OF THE KIND OF PRACTICE THAT ARE PUBLICLY AVAILABLE DATA THAT ONC AND CMS MAKE AVAILABLE THAT PAYERS, LADIES HOME JOURNAL OR NEW YORK TIMES MAKE AVAILABLE TO FOLKS TO HELP IN DECISION MAKING ABOUT WHICH PROVIDER THEY LEFER. >> I NOTE WE HAVE ONE PRESS PERSON IN THIS AUDIENCE SITTING NEXT TO ME. THAT'S ONE THING I HAVE FOUND WE ARE SOMETIMES MISSING, AT LOTS OF THESE MEETINGS HERE AT THE LIBRARY, I MUST HAVE ATTENDED TEN IN THE LAST YEAR SINCE THE FIRST DISCUSSION IN WATSON. WE NEED TO GET SOME PRESS PEOPLE TO TRANSLATE WHAT YOU SAY IN MORE DIFFICULT JAR GONE FOR THIS AUDIENCE. >> I WOULD AGREE WITH THAT, >> I'M IN THE AWARE OF OF US HAVING ACCESS TO WHETHER OR NOT THEY USE ELECTRONIC HEALTH RECORDS WITH CLEARLY THE QUALITY MEASUREMENT RELATIVE TO PHYSICIAN MOVEMENT AS ALIVE AND WELL, MAYBE NOT WELL, BUT IS A LIE ALIVE. IT NEEDS TO GET BETTER BECAUSE IT'S NOT ACCURATE AND WELL AND IT'S A LOT OF WHAT WE TALKED ABOUT HERE TODAY. COULD AND SHOULD MAKE THAT BETTER. WHAT IS ULTIMATELY GOING TO DRIVE ALL THIS? THE CHANGE IN BEHAVIOR WHETHER IT'S THE PHYSICIANS OR THE PATIENTS, IT'S MONEY. IT'S NOT COMPLICATED. THE MINUTE YOU PAY DOCTORS MORETOR DOING BETTER AND GIVE THEM THE TOOLS IN A WAY THEY BELIEVE IN AN AGREE TO, BEHAVIOR WILL CHANGE. THE MINUTE YOU MAKE PATIENTS PAY MORE OUT OF PONGT FOR UNHEALTHY BEHAVIORS, THEY'RE BEHAVIOR CHANGERS, IT'S NOT COMPLICATED. GOD BLESS AMERICA. >> A LOT OF ARRA MEANINGFUL USE REQUIREMENTS ARE FOCUSED ON DIRECTLY ON PATIENTS FOR EXAMPLE, THE REQUIREMENT TO PROVIDE A VISIT SUMMARY AT THE END OF THE VISIT. THAT WAS ONE OF THE MOST DIFFICULT THINGS FOR US TO IMPLEMENT IN OUR PRACTICE, PHYSICIANS RESISTED INITIALLY, BUT ONE OF THE THINGS THE PATIENTS APPRECIATE THE MOST AND WE HAVE GOTTEN POSITIVE FEEDBACK ABOUT VALUE OF WALKING AWAY WITH A SUMMARY OF WHAT WAS DISCUSSED AND ACCURATE MEDICATION LIST AND WE HAVE HAD A NUMBER OF PATIENTS WHO HAVE SWITCHED THEIR CARE TO OUR PRACTICE SPECIFICALLY BECAUSE WE HAVE THE ELECTRONIC MEDICAL RECORD AND THEY LIKE THE FACT THAT OUR PROVIDERS IN DIFFERENT SPECIALTIES COMMUNICATE WITH SHARE INFORMATION. >> THAT'S THE POINT. AS PATIENT DO I REALLY CARE? IF MY DOCTOR HAS EHR? I DO BECAUSE THE DIRECTOR OF HEALTH IT (INAUDIBLE). I CARE THAT MY DOCTOR'S TALK TO ONE ANOTHER, I CARE THAT MY INFORMATION IS CAPTURED AND PRESCRIPTION GETS WHERE IT NEEDS TO AND I ALSO HAPPEN TO CARE TIER 1 AND TIER 3 MEDICINE -- BECAUSE MAYBE THE INFORMATION WASN'T AVAILABLE AT THE TIME. DO I CARE HR NO. DO I CARE BETTER CARE THAT I CAN EMAIL MY DOCTOR AND GET A TIMELY ANSWER TO MY QUESTIONS? I CARE ABOUT THAT. ABSOLUTELY. >> JAMES, YOU HAD A QUESTION? >> I WANT TO GET BACK TO RESEARCH AGENDA. PART OF THIS GOAL OF THIS WORKSHOP WHERE WE ARE AND WHERE WE WANT TO MOVE TO. SO I WOULD LIKE TO HEAR WHAT ARE THE OPPORTUNITIES FOR THE FUTURE WHAT ARE NOW NEW RESEARCH DIRECTIONS THAT ADVANCE THE FIELD AND HOW TO MAKE THE IMPACT ON HEALTHCARE. WHAT I DESCRIBE. UNDERSTANDING INFORMATION NEEDS IS KEY. WHETHER IT'S AGAIN, WHETHER IT'S THE PATIENT OR WHETHER IT'S THE CLINICIAN OR SOMEBODY ELSE, UNDERSTANDING WHAT INFORMATION THEY NEED IS IMPORTANT. UNDERSTANDING WHERE YOU GET THAT INFORMATION. IF IT'S -- I GOT A CERTAIN SET OF DATA THAT'S MY STREETLIGHT, INFORMATION THAT'S NOT THERE WHERE DO I HAVE TO GO TO GET IT. THAT IS A FUNDAMENTAL NEED. IN TERMS OF DRIVING THE EVIDENCE THAT SHOWS THESE MAKE A DIFFERENCE MORE RESEARCH THAT ACTUALLY INVESTIGATE IT IS LINKS TO OUTCOMES. WHICH IS COMPLICATED. THERE'S A REASON WE DON'T HAVE A TON OF STUDIES, PROCESSES ARE EASY TO MEASURE AND CONFOUNDING FACTORS THAT LEAD TO OUTCOMES ARE GREAT. THANK GOD FOR SMART RESEARCHERS. FINALLY, THIS IS MORE A PRACTICAL QUESTION. BUT PULLING TOGETHER THOSE WHO CREATE MEDICAL KNOWLEDGE. AND THOSE WHO TRANSLATE THAT SO IT SUPPORTS CARE, IS A WHOLE RIGHT NOW. TO GET TO TEN YEARS FROM NOW THAT HAS TO HAPPEN NOW. >> I LOVE JN'S LIST AND WILL BE SUBMITING A PROPOSAL P BEFORE THE END OF THE DAY. THE YOU HAVE HEARD KEY PREEING ISSUES THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY TODAY AND YESTERDAY. SEVERAL OF US HAVE CHATTED ABOUT THIS KNOWLEDGE REPRESENTATION PROBLEM. STILL MANY DIFFERENT WAYS TO APPROACH THAT AND PERHAPS DIFFERENT WAYS NECESSARY FOR DIFFERENT APPROACHES TO INFERENCE. BUT WE NEED TO ARRIVE AT A STABLE KNOWLEDGE REPRESENTATION SO WE CAN BEGIN TO BUILD = THE CORPUS OF A KNOWLEDGE BASE THAT WILL BE THEN SUITABLE TO BROAD-BASED INTEREST AND THINK ABOUT THE SHARING PROBLEM, AS I ALLUDED IN MY DIAGRAM, IT MAYBE ONE THING TO USE KNOWLEDGE BASE IN EPIC, ANOTHER IN SIEMENS, ANOTHER THING IN WATSON BUT THEY ALL SHOULD BE POTENTIAL USES. THE CDS INFERENCIAL PROBLEM, RIGHT NOW WE'RE TAKING SUCH BABY STEPS WITH OUR RULE BASED SYSTEMS. THIS IS A SITUATION ACTION RULES OF THE MOST MUNDANE SIMPLE ORDER, WE NEED TO THINK HOW TO INCORPORATE PATIENT PREFERENCES AND UTILITIES. WHAT IS A UTILITY MODEL FOR A PATIENT. WHAT DO THEY CARE ABOUT WITH RESPECT TO GENETIC TESTING OR INFERENCE AROUND DISEASE AND TREATMENT. THE SAME MIGHT APPLY TO PHYSICIANS. THEY BOTH HAVE TO BE CONSIDERED. THE OTHER THING WE'RE DOING NOW IS STATE LESS REASONING. IT'S JUST A CROSS SECTIONAL SNAP SHOT SITUATION ACTION RULES FOR PRODUCTION RULES APPLY TO TODAY'S CHART. AS OPPOSED TO CONSIDERING THE PATIENT'S TRAJECTORY THROUGH HEALTH AND DISEASE AND STATEFUL INFERENCE TO REALLY THINK ABOUT A PATIENT'S LONG TERM TRAJECTORY, WORK FLOW INSERTION POINTS, BOB GREEN AND OTHER VERSUS DONE THINKING ABOUT SITUATIONAL FACTORS, DECISION SUPPORT HAS TO BE PROVIDED AT THE MOMENT OF OPPORTUNITY. THE TEACHABLE MOMENT FOR DOC AN EDUCATOR, AT WHAT POINT DOES IT HAVE THE LIGHT BULB GO OFF THAT I NEED TO THINK ABOUT SOMETHING ELSE AND OR THE PATIENT MATTER TO AND WHAT IS THE COGNITIVE MODEL TO SUGGEST A POINT OF UNCERTAINTY WHICH DECISION SUPPORT IS APPLIES AN REALLY USEFUL. WHERE DOES THAT OCCUR IN THE WORK FLOW. PRE-VISIT, POST VISIT IN THE MIDDLE OF VISITS, IN THE INTEREST INTERSTITIALTY IT IS OF CARE. THE DATA PACKAGE PROBLEM. IF I SEND TO WATSON A CHART, WHAT FORM DOES IT HAVE TO GO IN TO SAY CCD OR GREEN CDA OR CCD PLUS OR GREEN VMR OR WHATEVER. WHAT IS THE MODEL FT PACKAGE SHIPPED TO AN INFERENCE ENGINE SO IT CAN BE INFERRED UPON AND SOME INTERESTING RESULT COME BACK AND WHAT'S THE NATURE OF THE RESULT. WHAT'S THE RECOMMENDATION, ARE THERE WAYS TO STANDARDIZE THAT, WHAT'S THE EXPLANATION. WHO ARE THE ACTORS AND TARGETS FOR THE INTERVENTION. LASTLY, WE -- AS THE NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL REPORT THAT BILL STEAD AND OTHERS WORKED ON SUGGESTED WE HAVE THIS TRANSACTIONAL APPROACH TO OUR HIT NOW. NOT SENSITIVE TO THE COGNITIVE MODELS THAT PHYSICIANS HAVE. I DON'T REASON ABOUT A HEMOGLOBIN A 1C RESULT. I USE HEMOGLOBIN A 1C RESULT TO REASON DIABETES. WE DON'T RESIGN SYSTEMS TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF IDIOPATHIC STATE TO ALLOW CLINICIANS TO DO SECOND ORDER ANALYSIS OF PATIENT INFORMATION TO REASON MUCH MORE EFFICIENTLY AND EFFECTIVELY. THAT'S A SIMPLE EXAMPLE. THERE ARE MORE THAT I DON'T UNDERSTAND WELL BUT THE COGNITIVE MODELS IS NOT WELL UNDERSTAND. THAT FEEDS INTO THE PHYSICIAN INFORMATION NEEDS. WHAT ARE CERTAIN COG MITIVE MODELS OR THINKING PATTERNS ASSOCIATED WITH DIFFERENT INFORMATION NEEDS, ET CETERA. Q.I WOULD LIKE FOLLOW-UP ON YOUR ANSWERS AND JAIL'S QUESTION, WOULD YOU SAY THAT ON THE WHOLE THEN THE RESEARCH QUESTIONS ARE MORE BEHAVIOR CULTURAL SOCIETAL ISSUES THAN TECHNICAL? >> I WOULDN'T. I THINK IT'S DISTRIBUTED BOTH MAYBE IF YOU FORCE ME TO GUESS MAYBE A THIRD TECHNICAL ISSUE, A THIRD CULTURAL AND A THIRD MODEL IN ENGINEERING, MAYBE THAT'S PART OF TECHNICAL. IT'S AT LEAST HALF IN HALF. (OFF MIC) >> IN ADDITION TO THE BEHAVIORAL PSYCHOLOGICAL COGNITIVE MODELING WE'RE TALKING ABOUT, THERE'S A SYSTEMS MODELING COMPONENT OF THIS. WE ARE BREAK DOWN BY INDIVIDUAL USER. YES NOT TAKING THE OPPORTUNITY THAT DISWRAIK ALLUDED TO IN HIS TALK, WHY AM I GETTING THE MAMMOGRAM RIGHT IS WHAT SHE SAID. AND WE HAVE ACTUALLY DONE RESEARCH ON THIS, IT'S -- WE HAVE DID A DEMONSTRATION IN NUMBER OF PRIMARY CARE PRACTICES WHERE IT WAS CALLED STANDING ORDERS WHERE ANY MEMBER OF THE STAFF WITH CLINICAL -- IF THERE'S AN INDIVIDUAL THAT NEED PREVENTIVE SERVICES A MEMBER OF THE STAFF POP UP IN FRONT OF THEM AND SAY CAN I GET THAT SCHEDULED FOR YOU NOW? BECAUSE IT DIDN'T HAVE TO BE DR. RIDER OR DR. WHITE TO BE ABLE TO DO THAT. SO THERE'S A SYSTEMS MODELING COMPONENT OF THIS, YOU AND I ARE JUST DISCUSSING EARLIER WE HAVE BEEN TALKING WITH COLLEAGUES AT NSF, THEY HAVE THAT BEHAVIORAL COMPONENT T COMPUTATIONAL COMPONENT AND THEY ALSO HAVE A SYSTEMS MODELING COMPONENT THAT WE HAVE BEEN WORKING WITH CLOSELY. SO ALL THOSE AGAIN GET DEEPLY AT THE ISSUES DOWN THERE, THERE'S MORE TO IT THOUGH. >> ONC IS INTERESTED IN WHAT WORKS. SO BECAUSE WE ON SOME LEVEL WANT TO SAY SO AHRQ AND PERHAPS NIH, THESE ARE LONG-TERM OBJECTIVES. THESE ARE THE KINDS OF THINGS THAT WE EXPECT THE MARKET TO NEED. BACK TO MARKET CONVERSATION AND FIGURE OUT FOR US RESEARCHERS WHAT'S GOING TO WORK SO WE CAN THEN IMPLEMENT THOSE THINGS AS PERHAPS THE STANDARDS, THESE ARE THINGS THAT MAY ACCELERATE THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THIS STUFF THAT WORKS. SO BOTH FROM A STANDARD PERSPECTIVE FROM A TECHNICAL VIEW AND ALSO FROM BEHAVIOR. SO THESE ARE THE KIND OF THINGS THAT WE WOULD MOTIVATE VENDORS TO DO. AND TECHNICAL STANDARDS WE WANT TO REQUIRE SO THAT THINGS GO FASTER. >> SECOND MORE. SO WHEN I TALK ABOUT AHRQ AND WHAT AHRQ DOES AN CONTRAST TO NIH AND WHAT NIH DOES AND CDC DOES, I TALK ANT AHRQ IN TERMS OF HEALTH SERVICES RESEARCH. AND HOW WE DO RESEARCH ABOUT HEALTH SERVICES. IF YOU LOOK ACROSS THE DIFFERENT COMPONENTS OF NIH, THEY BOTH FUND A LOT OF HEALTH SERVICES RESEARCH JUST LIKE DIABETES RESEARCH BUT IN THE CONTEXT OF HEALTH SERVICES. BUT I THINK THE DIFFERENT INSTITUTES CAN ALSO GET MORE DEEPLY INTO THE PARTICULAR ISSUES THAT THAT INSTITUTE IS THERE FOR. AND THE INFORMATICS COMPONENTS OF THOSE ISSUES, THEY HAVE DEEP KNOWLEDGE ABOUT THAT DOMAIN SO WHAT'S NEAT AT THE INTERFACE BETWEEN AND BETWIXT SO I THINK THAT DIFFERENT RESEARCH AGENCIES HAVE DIFFERENCE ROLES TO PLAY. NSF HAS A DIFFERENT ROLE TO PLAY, CDC HAS A PUBLIC HEALTH ROLE TO PLAY, THAT ARE ALL RELATED TO ONE ANOTHER BUT THEY DEFINITELY HAD THEIR OWN TWISTS TO IT THAT MEET THE NEEDS OF CONSTITUENCIES THAT OUR DIFFERENT AGENCIES SERVE. >> ANY OTHER QUESTIONS? I HAD ONE QUESTION ABOUT CLINICAL DECISION, RAISE THE QUESTION ABOUT HOW DO YOU RATE DIFFERENT SYSTEMS. I WAS WONDERING DOES IT MAKE SENSE TO HAVE CENTRALIZED DATABASE FOR ACADEMIC RESEARCHERS LIKE WHAT WE HAVE FOR IMAGING LIKE AD ME WHERE PEOPLE CAN TEST THEIR SYSTEMS AGAINST MULTIPLE KIND OF UNSTRUCTURED NOTES AND HAVE IT OPEN FOR EVERYBODY TO USE. I MEAN, INDUSTRY HAS THEIR OWN DATABASES BUT SOMETHING TO BENEFIT FROM HAVING A BIGGER DATABASE TO WORK WITH. >> IS THE GENTLEMAN FROM NIST HERE? DO YOU WANT TO TALK ABOUT TREG? >> I MANAGE THE GROUP THAT RUNS TREG. SO TREK IS FOR THOSE WHO DON'T KNOW IS EVALUATION WORKSHOP SPEAR SERIES FOR INFORMATION RETRIEVAL, WHERE WE MAKE DATA AVAILABLE STRUCTURE USER FOCUS TASKS AROUND THAT DATA. EXAMPLE, QUESTION ANSWERING CAME OUT OF TREK I SPEND MONEY FROM THE WATSON. THE IDEA TECHNOLOGY HUH TO MEASURE IT AND WRITE THAT TECHNOLOGY CAME OUT OF TRACK. THE CHALLENGE RESEARCHERS HAVE IN THIS DOMAIN RIGHT NOW IS THAT THERE'S A CLS SAL AMOUNT OF DATA AND NO ONE CAN GET TO IT. TWO PEOPLE WITH DATA CAN'T TALK ABOUT WHAT EACH OTHER DID. THEY'RE REALLY GOOD LEGAL AND PRIVACY AND IRB REASONS FOR THIS. WHICH I DON'T WANT TO FOR A MOMENT IMPLY THAT COMPUTER SCIENTISTS LIKE MYSELF THINK ARE A BARRIER TO PROGRESS. BUT THE CHALLENGE IS IF WE CAN SOLVE THIS SECONDARY USE SCENARIO, YOU WILL CHANGE STATE-OF-THE-ART IN FIVE TO TEN YEARS COMPLETELY. EVERY SINGLE PROBLEM I HEARD TALKED ABOUT TODAY, DONE. BUT, BUT YOU HAVE TO SOLVE THE DATA PROBLEM. AND THE DATA PROBLEM SOLUTION IS NOT SOMETHING THAT PEOPLE AT THE RESEARCH LEVEL CAN SOLVE, NOT PEOPLE AT THE MAYO LEVEL TO SOLVE IT. IT'S POLICY LEVEL PEOPLE TO SAY IF WE'RE GOING TO PUSH THE STATE OF THE ART IN HOW COMPUTERS SUPPORT CLINICAL DECISIONS FOR EXAMPLE, PART OF# THAT MIGHT BE NLP, PART MIGHT BE DATABASE, ALL KINDS OF STUFF, IF WE PUSH THE STATE OF THE ART, WE WANT THE MAKE A JUMP, WE'RE GOING TO CREATE THE PHENOMENON WHERE PEOPLE MORE THAN ONE SET OF EYES CAN LOOK AT THE DATA AT ONCE AND PEOPLE CAN COMPARE RESULTS BETWEEN, YOU CAN MEASURE PROGRESS. THIS IS WHAT I GET FOLLOWING ON EMAIL BUT NOT COMING IN PERSON. >> YOU SAID SOLVE THE DATA PROBLEM I WOULD LIKE TO UNDERSTAND MORE WHAT YOU MEAN. ARE YOU TALKING ABOUT BEING ABLE TO AMASS AGGREGATE DATA IN ADDRESSING THE PRIVACY ISSUES OR ARE YOU TALKING ABOUT SOLVING THE STRUCTURE? >> ACCESS PROBLEM. FOR EXAMPLE IN TREK WE HAVE A MEDICAL RECORDS TRACK. SO WE HAVE A TASK AROUND COHORT FINDING AND WE'RE USING DEIDENTIFIED MEDICAL RECORDS FROM PIT. IMAGINE BASED APPARENTLY IT'S OKAY TO HAVE DEIDENTIFIED DATA OUT FOR RESEARCHER AS LONG AS NOT TOO MUCH IF TOO MANY PEOPLE KNOW ABOUT IT, THAT'S BAD. EVEN IF IT'S BEEN DEIDENTIFIED. THAT'S THE PROBLEM THAT NEEDS SOLVING. >> >> THE TREK PEOPLE THAT THEY WOULDN'T HAVE TROUBLE GETTING THE DATA FROM AND CERTAINLY TRUTH TO THAT IN ALL FAIRNESS A LITTLE CONCERNED ABOUT THE LARGE NUMBER OF PEOPLE TO WHOM THE DISTRIBUTED FOR PURPOSES OF THE TREK THING. IN TERMS OF THEIR LAWYERS AND THEIR IRBs THEY WERE ABLE TO MAKE AGREEMENTS WITH TWO PERHAPS THREE ORGANIZATIONS HOW THEY KNEW WELL AND HAD CONFIDENCE IN, IT'S NOT LACK OF CONFIDENCE IN NIST AND TREK BUT THE FACT THAT SUCH A LARGE NUMBER OF RELATIVELY UNKNOWN GROUPS WOULD BE LOOKING AT IT. IT'S PERHAPS UNNECESSARY COWARDICE BUT NOT NECESSARY TO RUIN THIS. >> I THINK THE CENTRAL PART OF THE PROBLEM IS EVERYBODY IS TRYING TO SOLVE THE PROBLEM AT THE LITTLE PERSON LEVEL SO EVERY LITTLE UNIVERSITY, MEDICAL SCHOOL IS DOING A MEDICAL INFORMATICS AND TRYING TO SOLVE THIS PROBLEM, INDEPENDENTLY, EVERYBODY'S IRB IS ASKING THIS PROBLEM ON THEIR OWN. , EVERYBODY'S CERTAINLY THOSE OF US IN NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING INFORMATION RETRIEVAL ARE CONFRONTING IT BECAUSE WE'RE LEARNING WHAT IRB STANDS FOR. WE HAVE TO SOLVE THE SAME PROBLEM THEN WE CAN'T GET SOLVED. >> I WOULD LIKE TO SPEAK IN THE SAME POINT, FROM BRANDEIS UNIVERSITY. IF YOU LOOK AT THE HISTORY OF SPEECH RECOGNITION AND NAMED ENTITY EXTRACTION AND ALL THESE DIFFERENT NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING YOU WILL SEE EVERY TIME DATA WAS COLLECTED, RELEASED AND LET EVERYBODY IN THE COMMUNITY WORK ACROSS THAT DATA AND EVALUATE THEM YOU SEE MOVE IN THE PERFORMANCE AT EVERY TIME. IT'S WELL PLOTTED. UNFORTUNATELY THESE ARE FIELDS THAT NEED A LOT OF DATA. AND WE -- I HAVE BEEN IN THE FIELD FOR MANY YEARS. AND WE REALLY JUST KIND OF PLAYED AROUND FOR ABOUT THE FIRST DECADE OF MY WORK IN THIS AREA, UNTIL WE BECAME DATA-DRIVEN AND EVALUATION-DRIVEN. I KNOW IF YOU JUST PICK A COUPLE OF PLACES AND SAY WE'RE GOING TO LET THEM WORK ON IT, YOU'RE NOT GOING TO MOVE THE FIELD FORWARD. WE NEED TO FIGURE HOW TO GET IT SO WE CAN WORK COMPARATIVELY. AND THIS IS HOW DARPA DIDN'T SOLVE SPEECH BUT MOVE SPEECH TO THE POINT SAYING Y'ALL WILL WORK ON THE WALL STREET JOURNAL AND YOU'RE REQUIRED TO COME TO THIS MEETING AND SAY WHAT YOU DID THAT YOU GOT .4% IMPROVEMENTS BECAUSE YOU DID ADAPTATION IN THIS AND THAT. AND EVERYONE HAD TO SHARE AND WE ACTUALLY GOT SPEECH TO THE POINT WHERE THE APPLE MARKETING MACHINE MADE EVERYBODY WANT IT BUT WE WERE ABLE THE DO THAT. SO WE NEED EVALUATION AND HOW TO GET M COP INTO PIPELINES TO HAVE EXTRINSIC EVALUATION. WE WANT TO EVALUATE PERFORMANCE BUT THEN WHAT DO WE DO? HOW DO WE GET THE SOFTWARE TO YOU SO WE CAN TAKE A PIECE OF THAT PROBLEM AND SAY LOOK, I KNOW IT WORKS TO THIS DEGREE. IS IT REALLY USEFUL IN THAT CONTEXT. SO THOSE ARE I THINK THE TWO BLOCKS THAT THE NATURAL LANGUAGE PROCESSING PARTICULARLY THE UNIVERSITY COMMUNITY IS FACING. >> THIS IS A BIT OF TANGENT AND MAY HAVE BEEN DISCUSSED EARLIER SO FORGIVE ME BUT I NEED TO PUT A PLUG IN FOR THE BEHAVIORAL AND SOCIAL SCIENCES. IF YOU ARE CONCEPTUALIZING MORE INFORMATION BETTER MEDICAL DECISIONS, AND THAT'S THE BASIS, SOMETIMES THOUGHT OF AS A RATIONAL SORT OF WAY TO THINK ABOUT THINGS, IF THAT'S THE CONCEPTUALIZATION AND I HAVE SEEN MORE COMPUTER SCIENTISTS AND MORE BIOINFOMATITIONS, ET CETERA, THINK THAT IF YOU JUST HAVE BETTER INFORMATION YOU HAVE BETTER DECISIONS, I'M HERE TO TELL YOU THERE'S A WHOLE FIELD OF KNOWLEDGE THAT WILL TELL YOU THAT HUMANS ACT ON MORE THAN JUST RATIONAL BASE KNOWLEDGE AND AS YOU BUILD EXPERT SYSTEMS I ENCOURAGE YOU TO CONTACTXE LOCAL BEHAVIORAL SCIENTISTS. >> STEVEN MARCUS NIGMS. >> STEVE WISEMAN, (INAUDIBLE) PREVIOUS QUESTION. I COMMEND TO ALL OF YOU THE KAUFFMAN FOUNDATION REPORT OF THEIR TASK FORCE THAT CAME LAST WEEK, KAUFFMAN WITH TWO Fs AND ONE N. IN THERE THERE ARE A SET OF RECOMMENDATIONS INCLUDING FOUR LAWYERS, TWO FROM DUKE, ONE FROM YALE AND ONE FROM SOMEWHERE ELSE CRITICIZING HIPAA AS IMPEDIMENT TO THE RESEARCH WE ALL WOULD LIKE TO DO WITH LARGE DATE SETS AND AT A MEETING BACK IN JANUARY MADE ONE COMMENT WHICH WAS BEAUTIFUL. WE HAVE GOT SILOS AND STOVE PIPES. AND NO COOPERATION. >> I WOULD ASK ABOUT PATIENTS. RAISE YOUR HAND IF YOU WOULD DONATE YOUR DATA TO SUCH A DATA SET. IF YOU HAD CONTROL OF IT. SO MY MOM SAID THE SAME THING. WE CAN BRAINSTORM ABOUT WHAT MIGHT BE THE POLICY LEVERS OR OPTIONS OR WHATEVER BUT I WOULD SAY THERE'S CERTAINLY A LOT OF ENTHUSIASM FOR PATIENTS STARTING TO TAKE CONTROL HERE AND IF PATIENTS COULD TAKE CONTROL AND DOE DONATE TO NIST OR BRAN DICE OR WHEREVER, THAT MIGHT BE A VIABLE OPTION. >> I THINK ANYBODY HERE NOT A PHYSICIAN BUT SPEND CONSIDERABLE TIME IN A HOSPITAL WOULD AGREE BEING THE PATIENT MAKES YOU REALIZE YOU DON'T CONTROL THAT DATA. AND THAT'S SCARY FOR ANYBODY. I AGREE, LET'S SOLVE THAT PROBLEM. BUT AT THE SAME TIME, THE PEOPLE WHO ARE WORKING ON THE DATA ISSUES, THE SECONDARY USE ISSUES, ARE REMOVED FROM NOT TRYING TO FIND OUT PRIVACY REVEALING INFORMATION. I UNDERSTAND THIS IS A VERY DIFFICULT LINE TO UNDERSTAND. OR TO DRAW. LET'S THINK OUTSIDE THE BOX. BECAUSE THE HIPAA PRIVACY, THE DEIDENTIFICATION STUFF DOESN'T WORK. NOBODY BELIEVES THEY HAD SAFETY BEHIND THAT NUMBER. >> CLOSING COMMENTS? >> NO. >> OKAY. [LAUGHTER] >> >> SO LET'S THANK THE PANELISTS FOR THIS -- >> THERE'S ONE MORE QUESTION. I WAS GOING TO JUST PUT THE CHERRY ON TOP FOR WHAT IAN HAD TO SAY. THANK YOU FOR THAT AND MARIE, THANK YOU FOR REINFORCING THAT. I JUST WANTED TO REPEAT WHAT IAN SAID AT THE BEGINNING, WHICH IS THIS IS NOT A PROBLEM THAT INTO GOING TO BE SOLVED BY THE RESEARCHERS. THIS IS A PROBLEM WHERE WE NEED PEOPLE WHO ARE SEVERAL LEVELS ABOVE US TO BE ADDRESSING THIS. AND IT DOESN'T -- SEEMS TO ME THAT THIS ROOM IS AS GOOD A PLACE AS ANY TO START. SO IT WOULD BE GREAT TO -- LET US KNOW IF THERE SOMETHING WE CAN DO TO HELP. BUT OTHERWISE WE'RE SPEAKING INTO THE WIND. >> ON THAT PROVOCATIVE COMMENT, I'M GOING TO TAKE 60 SECONDS TO CLOSE. THANKS TO ALL OF YOU FOR STAYING TO THE VERY END. THANKS TO THE SPONSORS NIBIB, NLP JAMES LUKER AND DOND LINDEBERG AND INCREDIBLE ARRAY OF SPEAKERS YESTERDAY AND TODAY. PHIL, YOUR TALK WAS EXTREMELY INTEREST, NICE TO MAKE YOUR ACQUAINTANCE, CHRIS MANNING, CAROL FRIEDMAN, OTHERS I'M GOING TO FORGET. THANKS TO ALL WHO TRAVELED LONG AND FAR AND I WON'T NAME NAMES BUT SOME ARE GONE ALREADY. I SUGGEST WE MEET AGAIN MAYBE ABOUT TWO OR THREE YEARS OUT, THE CDS COMMUNITY, NLP COMMUNITY AN BEHAVIORAL SCIENTISTS THANK YOU FOR THE IMPORTANT PROVOCATIVE COMMENT THAT TO ORIENT THIS TOGETHER WE NEED TO THINK AB THOSE BEHAVIORAL DIMENSIONS AND COGNITIVE ISSUES THAT ORIENT US TO OUR DECISION MAKING AN PERCEPTION. THANKS TO ALL OF YOU AND SEE YOU THEN AT THE NEXT TIME. [APPLAUSE]